Re: how to define ASSA (was: The ASSA leads to a unique utilitarism)

2007-10-07 Thread Russell Standish

We're not getting very far with this. Let me put some alternative
equivalent versions of the ASSA as I use it.

The ASSA is the assumption that the SSSA applies to the question of
what our "next OM" will be.

Alternatively:

Given an assumed "birth OM", the ASSA is the assumption that our
current OM is sampled from some absolute measure independent of the
birth OM.

With the RSSA of course, the measure depends on the previous moment
(or the birth moment, if you prefer). The PROJECTION postulate, which
I introduce in "Why Occams Razor" and also better explained in my book
explicitly postulates an RSSA-like probability measure. Of course that
postulate generates the Born rule, so this is some confirmation of the
RSSA.

Of course the RSSA depends upon an explicit notion of time, or at very
least successor OMs. In my book I introduce the TIME postulate, which
is that the OMs experienced by an observer will form an ordered set.

The ASSA crowd appear to be free to deny the existence of such
subjective time. These so called "time deniers" would say that the
question of "next OM" is meaningless. Perhaps being a time denier is
the only way of making the ASSA consistent. I do not know.

Another concern I have about the ASSA, is that it would appear that
the sampling of birth moments is drawn from a complex
measure. Only the relative measures between successive OMs are
probabilities. With the ASSA, however, all OMs seem to need to be drawn
from a positive measure (not necessarily normalisable), which would be
in contradiction with quantum mechanics. Of course I don't know how to
map the ASSA to QM, if indeed it is possible, so this "conundrum" may
be resolvable.

Cheers

On Fri, Oct 05, 2007 at 03:30:25PM +0200, Saibal Mitra wrote:
> 
> 1) looks better because there is no unambiguous definition of "next". 
> However, I don't understand the "shared by everyone" part. Different 
> persons are different programs who cannot exactly represent the 
> "observer moment" of me.
> 
> As I see it, an observer moment is a snapshot of the universe taken by 
> my brain. The brain simulates a virtual world based on information from 
> the real world. We don't really experience the real world, we just 
> experience this simulated world. Observer moments for observers should 
> refer to the physical states of the virtual world they live in. Since 
> different observers live in different universes which have different 
> laws of physics, these physical states (= qualia) cannot be compared to 
> each other.
> 
> We can only talk about an absolute measure for programs (simulated by 
> other programs or not)...
> 
> 
> 
> Citeren Wei Dai <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> 
> >
> > Russell Standish wrote:
> >> This is actually the SSSA, as originally defined by Bostrom. The ASSA
> >> is the SSSA applied to "next observer moments".
> >
> > I guess there is a bit of confusing on these terms. I did some searching in
> > the mailing list archives to find out how they were originally defined.
> > First of all SSSA was clearly coined by Hal Finney, not Bostrom. Here's Hal
> > Finney on May 18, 1999:
> >
> >> Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
> >> which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
> >> "observer-instants".
> >
> > Followed by Bruno Marchal's reply defining RSSA/ASSA:
> >
> >> >Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
> >> >which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
> >> >"observer-instants".
> >>
> >> Useful distinction, indeed.
> >>
> >> Nevertheless I do think we should also distinguish between
> >> a relative strong SSA and a absolute strong SSA.
> >> The idea is that we can only quantify the first-person
> >> indeterminism on the set of consistent observer-instants
> >> extensions. I mean : consistent with the observers memory of its own
> >> (first person) past.
> >
> > Actually now I'm not sure what Bruno really meant. I had assumed that ASSA
> > was the same thing as SSSA, only with the clarification that it's not
> > relative. But if Bruno had really meant to define ASSA as "SSSA applied to
> > the next observer moment" then I have been using the term "ASSA"
> > incorrectly.
> >
> > So to sum up, there are two possible meanings for ASSA currently. Does
> > anyone else have an opinion on the matter? Here are the competing
> > definitions:
> >
> > 1. You should reason as if your current observer-moment was randomly
> > selected from a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of
> > your current observations (hence "absolute").
> >
> > 2. You should expect your next observer-moment to be randomly selected from
> > a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of your current
> > observations.
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > >
> >
> 
> 
> 
> 
-- 


A/Prof Russell Standish  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
Mathematics  

Re: how to define ASSA (was: The ASSA leads to a unique utilitarism)

2007-10-06 Thread Bruno Marchal


Le 05-oct.-07, à 09:14, Wei Dai a écrit :

> Followed by Bruno Marchal's reply defining RSSA/ASSA:
>
>>> Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
>>> which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it 
>>> refers to
>>> "observer-instants".
>>
>> Useful distinction, indeed.
>>
>> Nevertheless I do think we should also distinguish between
>> a relative strong SSA and a absolute strong SSA.
>> The idea is that we can only quantify the first-person
>> indeterminism on the set of consistent observer-instants
>> extensions. I mean : consistent with the observers memory of its own
>> (first person) past.
>
> Actually now I'm not sure what Bruno really meant. I had assumed that 
> ASSA
> was the same thing as SSSA, only with the clarification that it's not
> relative. But if Bruno had really meant to define ASSA as "SSSA 
> applied to
> the next observer moment" then I have been using the term "ASSA"
> incorrectly.


It is really a difficult matter. That is partially why I try to find a 
more direct (arithmetical) interpretation of the OMs, in term of the 
sigma1 sentences (those having the shape "it exist a number having such 
verifiable property"). Those sentences are coding the universal 
deployement in the arithmetical language, and I intend to try to 
explain more. I think we have to distinuish already 1-OM, 3-OM, 
1-plural-OM, etc.

About:

> 1. You should reason as if your current observer-moment was randomly
> selected from a distribution that is shared by everyone and 
> independent of
> your current observations (hence "absolute").

> 2. You should expect your next observer-moment to be randomly selected 
> from
> a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of your 
> current
> observations.


I would say before further clarifications: you should expect your next 
observer-moment to belong to the "closer" computational history among 
those which would have reach your current OMs (platonically: no machine 
can define with certainty which one that current state is).
And "closer computational history" is what I ask the lobian machine to 
define for me. Hmm... sorry.

Again, I repeat it could be that ASSA and RSSA and other views will fit 
better when we progress catching misunderstandings.

Bon Week-end,

Bruno



http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/

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Re: how to define ASSA (was: The ASSA leads to a unique utilitarism)

2007-10-05 Thread Saibal Mitra

1) looks better because there is no unambiguous definition of "next". 
However, I don't understand the "shared by everyone" part. Different 
persons are different programs who cannot exactly represent the 
"observer moment" of me.

As I see it, an observer moment is a snapshot of the universe taken by 
my brain. The brain simulates a virtual world based on information from 
the real world. We don't really experience the real world, we just 
experience this simulated world. Observer moments for observers should 
refer to the physical states of the virtual world they live in. Since 
different observers live in different universes which have different 
laws of physics, these physical states (= qualia) cannot be compared to 
each other.

We can only talk about an absolute measure for programs (simulated by 
other programs or not)...



Citeren Wei Dai <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:

>
> Russell Standish wrote:
>> This is actually the SSSA, as originally defined by Bostrom. The ASSA
>> is the SSSA applied to "next observer moments".
>
> I guess there is a bit of confusing on these terms. I did some searching in
> the mailing list archives to find out how they were originally defined.
> First of all SSSA was clearly coined by Hal Finney, not Bostrom. Here's Hal
> Finney on May 18, 1999:
>
>> Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
>> which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
>> "observer-instants".
>
> Followed by Bruno Marchal's reply defining RSSA/ASSA:
>
>> >Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
>> >which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
>> >"observer-instants".
>>
>> Useful distinction, indeed.
>>
>> Nevertheless I do think we should also distinguish between
>> a relative strong SSA and a absolute strong SSA.
>> The idea is that we can only quantify the first-person
>> indeterminism on the set of consistent observer-instants
>> extensions. I mean : consistent with the observers memory of its own
>> (first person) past.
>
> Actually now I'm not sure what Bruno really meant. I had assumed that ASSA
> was the same thing as SSSA, only with the clarification that it's not
> relative. But if Bruno had really meant to define ASSA as "SSSA applied to
> the next observer moment" then I have been using the term "ASSA"
> incorrectly.
>
> So to sum up, there are two possible meanings for ASSA currently. Does
> anyone else have an opinion on the matter? Here are the competing
> definitions:
>
> 1. You should reason as if your current observer-moment was randomly
> selected from a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of
> your current observations (hence "absolute").
>
> 2. You should expect your next observer-moment to be randomly selected from
> a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of your current
> observations.
>
>
>
>
> >
>



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how to define ASSA (was: The ASSA leads to a unique utilitarism)

2007-10-05 Thread Wei Dai

Russell Standish wrote:
> This is actually the SSSA, as originally defined by Bostrom. The ASSA
> is the SSSA applied to "next observer moments".

I guess there is a bit of confusing on these terms. I did some searching in 
the mailing list archives to find out how they were originally defined. 
First of all SSSA was clearly coined by Hal Finney, not Bostrom. Here's Hal 
Finney on May 18, 1999:

> Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
> which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
> "observer-instants".

Followed by Bruno Marchal's reply defining RSSA/ASSA:

> >Perhaps we need to distinguish a "Strong Self-Sampling Assumption",
> >which is like the SSA but instead of discussing "observers", it refers to
> >"observer-instants".
>
> Useful distinction, indeed.
>
> Nevertheless I do think we should also distinguish between
> a relative strong SSA and a absolute strong SSA.
> The idea is that we can only quantify the first-person
> indeterminism on the set of consistent observer-instants
> extensions. I mean : consistent with the observers memory of its own
> (first person) past.

Actually now I'm not sure what Bruno really meant. I had assumed that ASSA 
was the same thing as SSSA, only with the clarification that it's not 
relative. But if Bruno had really meant to define ASSA as "SSSA applied to 
the next observer moment" then I have been using the term "ASSA" 
incorrectly.

So to sum up, there are two possible meanings for ASSA currently. Does 
anyone else have an opinion on the matter? Here are the competing 
definitions:

1. You should reason as if your current observer-moment was randomly 
selected from a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of 
your current observations (hence "absolute").

2. You should expect your next observer-moment to be randomly selected from 
a distribution that is shared by everyone and independent of your current 
observations.
 



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