Re: [Futurework] Future of labor?

2005-06-22 Thread Keith Hudson


Lawry,
At 18:35 22/06/2005 -0400, you wrote:
Greetings,
all

A friend sent me an
email saying that an Indian member of parliament had declared India to be
the worlds back-officeand China its manufacturing center.

I wrote back:

The Indian member of
parliament may have been whistling while walking past the
cemetery&China and other Asian countries are underbidding Indian
software companies.
Very true. I don't think India has much of a chance. Its 'back office'
export functions are almost entirely dependent on economic infrastructure
elsewhere. They could vanish as quickly as they have arisen. China is not
only developing its own software industry -- which will probably take
Indian software business away from them -- but it also serves a large
range of industry and services at home, which India still has not
developed. Furthermore, India still retains its deeply-embedded caste
system which makes its job structure even more hour-glass shaped than
ours is becomng. 
 It
all rolls downhill. I am concerned that many Americans think they are
impervious to this, and continue to think we have some corner on
innovation or whatever that will always be 
ours.
America never has had a corner on innovation from within its own culture.
First of all, in the 19th century it was able to import all the latest
technologies and ideas of England and Western Europe. Secondly, its
industrial efficiency (due to domestic oilfields) and subsequent
prosperity enabled it to recruit the cream of intellectuals and
scientists from Europe for most of the last century, together with, in
the latter half, many of the best students from Asia. There have hardly
been any second- and third-generation American scientists of note. Most
of the leading innovators in science and business have been, and are,
either foreign-born or first-generation Americans.
 Instead,
people from all over the world are just as smart and just as educated as
Americans and, if stereotypes hold true, work harder.  So the future
is not rosy. As the US continues to make it hard for foreigners to come
here for advanced education, the impetus will increase for local
universities to improve their offerings.
And the smartest of us all derive from a moderately small area which
includes Korea and Japan and the coast-line region of north-east
China,  This was at the end of the longest spur of the migration out
of Africa starting about 100,000 years ago where the leading edge had met
increasingly severe environmental conditions until finally it met the
edge of the receding ice-cap in the above region at about 20,000 years
ago. They had become the smartest group -- and had (and still have)
correspondingly larger brain sizes than Europeans.
For most purposes and most jobs the abilities of Africans, Europeans and
Orientals are the same but the Bell curves are displaced respectively
slightly to the right. This means that the "genius" tails are
very different. The rise of Western Europe out of Medievalism was not
only due to native genius (those Enlightenment philosophers who were
breaking away from the stranglehold of the Medieval Church) but also of
the basic infrastructure of engineering methods which had originally come
from China. Almost all the innovations of middle and late Medieval Europe
were Chinese. I won't list them here -- they are too numerous.
I
went to a seminar with Clyde Prestowitz, and he is even more pessimistic.
He has just written a book called, IIRC, 3 Billion Enrepreneurs. It is
about the astonishing economic rise of India and China and other Asian
countries.  Perhaps what we will see is first, a global class of
very smart AND highly effective people who can land great and well-paying
jobs just about anywhere in the world,
Yes
 and,
second, settled labor pools all competing against each other in an
impoverishing race-to-the-bottom.
But not necessarily. The broad mass of the populations of Africa, Europe
and Asia are equally competent once their institutions and cultures are
receptive enough, and once the innovations of the rare geniuses are to
hand. There are still different comparative advantages in every region
and, in the future, these will depend on the different sorts of solar
technologies that each region can best employ. But competition will be
increasingly fierce as long as we depend almost entirely on fossil fuel
resources.
Keith

 

Which category are we
in? Which will our children be in?

 

Cheers,

Lawry

 


From:
[EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] On Behalf Of Cordell, Arthur: ECOM
Sent: Wednesday, June 22, 2005 2:13 PM
To: FUTUREWORK (E-mail)
Subject: [Futurework] FW: Some Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 

 
Subject: Some Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 

Health & Fitness; SECTF
Some Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 
21 June 2005
The New York Times

Political scientists have long held that people's upbringing and experience determine their political views. A child raised on peace protests and Bush-loathing generally tracks lef

[Futurework] Why Protection is so much better than free trade

2005-06-22 Thread Harry Pollard








Hi!

 

Wonderful example of the controlled economy in practice.

 

Yet, though I have Inancio  Albano on my side, I guess we can’t do much
against the power of Lord de Ramsey who, seemingly like many on the Futurework
list, is very much against free trade and the free market. 

 

Yet, as the Classical Analysts well know (the neo-Classicals haven’t a
clue) that if all these EU regulations making rich people richer were abolished,
Inancio Albano wouldn’t be better off.

 

However, the Mozambique
landlords would be doing even better. No trickledown to help Inancio  who would
still be thankful to have a job – working a 12 hour day for perhaps a dollar.

 

Hey Gang! How about relieving African countries of their debts and
giving them more money? That would surely help Inancio Albano,

 

Wouldn’t it?

 

Harry



 

THE BITTER HARVEST

 

HOW EU SUGAR SUBSIDIES DEVASTATE AFRICA

 

By Maxine Frith, 

Social Affairs Correspondent

Independent

 

22 June 2005

 

One is an English aristocrat worth £35m with 9,000 acres and

an 18th century manor house; the other earns less than  £300

a year cutting sugar cane  for  12  hours  a  day  in  rural

Mozambique
to support his parents and four brothers.

 

The link between  the  two,  and  the  reason  why  one  has

continued to increase  his  wealth  while  the  other  faces

losing what he has, is the £1.34bn a year EU  sugar  regime.

Aid agencies are calling for reform of a system  that  costs

some of the poorest countries millions of pounds  each  year

in lost trade.

 

The European Commission is to publish proposals today on how

it intends to reform EU sugar subsidies, after a  ruling  by

the World Trade Organisation  earlier  this  year  that  the

regime was illegal.

 

But campaigners such as Oxfam say the proposals will not  go

far enough and will continue to benefit some of the  richest

farmers in the world at the expense of the poorest.  Critics

of the system, including the National  Farmers'  Union, 
say

the system of inflated  price  guarantees,  generous  export

refunds and high import tariffs surrounding sugar production

is the most graphic example of how the  Common  Agricultural

Policy (CAP) distorts trade  and  makes  it  impossible  for

African farmers to compete on the international stage.

 

Michael Bailey, a senior policy advisor at Oxfam, said: 'The

EU has been caught red-handed providing illegal subsidies to

its sugar producers. European sugar policies top the list of

trade  injustices  suffered  by   Africa  
and   reform   is

desperately urgent.

 

"Consumers and taxpayers are financing a system which denies

African countries the chance to grow out of  poverty,  while

lining the pockets of the European sugar industry."

 

Nowhere are the iniquities of more  apparent  than  when  it

comes to the lives of John Fellowes and Inacio Albano.

 

John Fellowes, the fourth Lord de Ramsey, receives more than

£500,000 a year in CAP subsidies for various crops grown  on

his three farms in Cambridgeshire and Lincolnshire.

 

In addition,  a  minimum  pricing  system  run  by  the  CAP

guarantees that sugar made from his beet is  bought  for  at

least three times more than world prices.

 

Thousands of miles away, Inacio Albano, 25, cuts sugar  cane

until his hands bleed at  a  mill  in  Marremeo,  north-east

Mozambique
but is just thankful to have a job in  a  country

where more than two-thirds of the population  live  on  less

than £1 a day.

 

Mozambique
is heavily dependent on its sugar  industry,  but

loses more than £20m a  year  -  equivalent  to  its  entire

national budget for  agriculture  and  rural  development  -

because of the trade distortions  caused  by  the  EU  sugar

scheme.

 

Landowners in some of the richest parts of Europe,
including

7,500 in eastern England,
grow sugar beet under  quotas  set

by the European Union  but  managed  by  companies  such  as

British Sugar, part of Associated British Foods.

 

For sugar grown within the quotas, a minimum price  of  €631

(£423) per ton has been set by the EU, below which it cannot

be bought by companies that use it for food products or sell

it in bags.

 

The guaranteed price within the EU  is  three  times  higher

than the world price of €157 per ton.

 

Oxfam estimates the price system gives the 27 largest  sugar

beet farmers in the UK
an average  of  £137,595  a  year  in

support.

 

Production  costs  of  sugar  cane  in  countries  such   as

Mozambique
are far  lower  than  in  Europe,  but  they 
are

prevented from  importing  their  products  to  the  EU  and

benefiting from the higher  prices  by  import  tariffs  and

duties charged on their products.

 

The import duties create a tariff equivalent to 324 per cent

on sugar grown outside the EU.

 

The EU does allow some Least Developed Countries (LDCs) such

as Mozambique to
import sugar to  Europe  wi

[Futurework] Future of labor?

2005-06-22 Thread Lawrence deBivort








Greetings, all

 

A friend sent me an email saying that an
Indian member of parliament had declared India to be the world’s ‘back-office’
and China its manufacturing center.

 

I wrote back:

 

The Indian member of parliament may have
been whistling while walking past the cemetery…China and other Asian
countries are underbidding Indian software companies. It all rolls downhill. I
am concerned that many Americans think they are impervious to this, and
continue to think we have some corner on innovation or whatever that will
always be ours. Instead, people from all over the world are just as smart and
just as educated as Americans – and, if stereotypes hold true, work
harder.  So the future is not rosy. As the US continues to make it hard for
foreigners to come here for advanced education, the impetus will increase for
local universities to improve their offerings.

 

I went to a seminar with Clyde Prestowitz,
and he is even more pessimistic. He has just written a book called, IIRC, 3
Billion Enrepreneurs. It is about the astonishing economic rise of India and
China and other Asian countries.  Perhaps what we will see is first, a global
class of very smart AND highly effective people who can land great and
well-paying jobs just about anywhere in the world, and, second, settled labor
pools all competing against each other in an impoverishing race-to-the-bottom.

 

Which category are we in? Which will our
children be in?

 

Cheers,

Lawry

 









From:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Cordell, Arthur: ECOM
Sent: Wednesday, June 22, 2005
2:13 PM
To: FUTUREWORK (E-mail)
Subject: [Futurework] FW: Some
Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 



 



Subject: Some
Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 





Health & Fitness; SECTF

Some
Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 

21 June 2005
The
New York Times

Political scientists have long held that
people's upbringing and experience determine their political views. A child
raised on peace protests and Bush-loathing generally tracks left as an adult,
unless derailed by some powerful life experience. One reared on tax protests
and a hatred of Kennedys usually lists to the right. 

But on the basis of a new study, a team of political scientists is
arguing that people's gut-level reaction to issues like the death penalty,
taxes and abortion is strongly influenced by genetic inheritance. The new
research builds on a series of studies that indicate that people's general
approach to social issues -- more conservative or more progressive -- is
influenced by genes. 

Environmental
influences like upbringing, the study suggests, play a more central role in
party affiliation as a Democrat or Republican, much as they do in affiliation
with a sports team. 

The
report, which appears in the current issue of The American Political Science
Review, the profession's premier journal, uses genetics to help answer several
open questions in political science. 

They
include why some people defect from the party in which they were raised and why
some political campaigns, like the 2004 presidential election, turn into verbal
blood sport, though polls find little disparity in most Americans' views on
specific issues like gun control and affirmative action. 

The
study is the first on genetics to appear in the journal. ''I thought here's
something new and different by respected political scholars that many political
scientists never saw before in their lives,'' said Dr. Lee Sigelman, editor of
the journal and a professor of political science at George Washington
University. 

Dr.
Sigelman said that in many fields the findings ''would create nothing more than
a large yawn,'' but that ''in ours, maybe people will storm the barricades.'' 

Geneticists
who study behavior and personality have known for 30 years that genes play a
large role in people's instinctive emotional responses to certain issues, their
social temperament. 

It
is not that opinions on specific issues are written into a person's DNA.
Rather, genes prime people to respond cautiously or openly to the mores of a
social group. 

Only
recently have researchers begun to examine how these predispositions, in
combination with childhood and later life experiences, shape political
behavior. 

Dr.
Lindon J. Eaves, a professor of human genetics and psychiatry at Virginia
Commonwealth University, said the new research did not add much to this. Dr.
Eaves was not involved in the study but allowed the researchers to analyze data
from a study of twins that he is leading. 

Still, he said the findings were plausible, ''and the real significance
here is that this paper brings genetics to the attention to a whole new field
and gives it a new way of thinking about social, cultural and political
questions.'' 

In
the study, three political scientists -- Dr. John Hibbing of the University of
Nebraska, Dr. John R. Alford of Rice University and Dr. Carolyn L. Funk of
Virginia Commonwealth -- combed survey data from 

[Futurework] FW: Some Politics May Be Etched In the Genes

2005-06-22 Thread Cordell, Arthur: ECOM



Subject: Some Politics May Be Etched In the 
Genes 
Health & 
Fitness; SECTF
Some Politics May Be Etched In the Genes 21 
June 2005The New York Times
Political scientists have long held that people's upbringing and 
experience determine their political views. A child raised on peace protests and 
Bush-loathing generally tracks left as an adult, unless derailed by some 
powerful life experience. One reared on tax protests and a hatred of Kennedys 
usually lists to the right. 
But on the basis of a new study, a team of political scientists is 
arguing that people's gut-level reaction to issues like the death penalty, taxes 
and abortion is strongly influenced by genetic inheritance. The new research 
builds on a series of studies that indicate that people's general approach to 
social issues -- more conservative or more progressive -- is influenced by 
genes. 
Environmental influences like upbringing, the study suggests, play a more 
central role in party affiliation as a Democrat or Republican, much as they do 
in affiliation with a sports team. 
The report, which appears in the current issue of The American Political 
Science Review, the profession's premier journal, uses genetics to help answer 
several open questions in political science. 
They include why some people defect from the party in which they were raised 
and why some political campaigns, like the 2004 presidential election, turn into 
verbal blood sport, though polls find little disparity in most Americans' views 
on specific issues like gun control and affirmative action. 
The study is the first on genetics to appear in the journal. ''I thought 
here's something new and different by respected political scholars that many 
political scientists never saw before in their lives,'' said Dr. Lee Sigelman, 
editor of the journal and a professor of political science at George Washington 
University. 
Dr. Sigelman said that in many fields the findings ''would create nothing 
more than a large yawn,'' but that ''in ours, maybe people will storm the 
barricades.'' 
Geneticists who study behavior and personality have known for 30 years that 
genes play a large role in people's instinctive emotional responses to certain 
issues, their social temperament. 
It is not that opinions on specific issues are written into a person's DNA. 
Rather, genes prime people to respond cautiously or openly to the mores of a 
social group. 
Only recently have researchers begun to examine how these predispositions, in 
combination with childhood and later life experiences, shape political behavior. 

Dr. Lindon J. Eaves, a professor of human genetics and psychiatry at Virginia 
Commonwealth University, said the new research did not add much to this. Dr. 
Eaves was not involved in the study but allowed the researchers to analyze data 
from a study of twins that he is leading. 
Still, he said the findings were plausible, ''and the real 
significance here is that this paper brings genetics to the attention to a whole 
new field and gives it a new way of thinking about social, cultural and 
political questions.'' 
In the study, three political scientists -- Dr. John Hibbing of the 
University of Nebraska, Dr. John R. Alford of Rice University and Dr. Carolyn L. 
Funk of Virginia Commonwealth -- combed survey data from two large continuing 
studies including more than 8,000 sets of twins. 
From an extensive battery of surveys on personality traits, religious beliefs 
and other psychological factors, the researchers selected 28 questions most 
relevant to political behavior. The questions asked people ''to please indicate 
whether or not you agree with each topic,'' or are uncertain on issues like 
property taxes, capitalism, unions and X-rated movies. Most of the twins had a 
mixture of conservative and progressive views. But over all, they leaned 
slightly one way or the other. 
The researchers then compared dizygotic or fraternal twins, who, like any 
biological siblings, share 50 percent of their genes, with monozygotic, or 
identical, twins, who share 100 percent of their genes. 
Calculating how often identical twins agree on an issue and subtracting the 
rate at which fraternal twins agree on the same item provides a rough measure of 
genes' influence on that attitude. A shared family environment for twins reared 
together is assumed. 
On school prayer, for example, the identical twins' opinions correlated at a 
rate of 0.66, a measure of how often they agreed. The correlation rate for 
fraternal twins was 0.46. This translated into a 41 percent contribution from 
inheritance. 
As found in previous studies, attitudes about issues like school prayer, 
property taxes and the draft were among the most influenced by inheritance, the 
researchers found. Others like modern art and divorce were less so. And in the 
twins' overall score, derived from 28 questions, genes accounted for 53 percent 
of the differences. 
But after correcting for the tendency of politically like-minde

[Futurework] [BrowserCMS] Article from the American Prospect

2005-06-22 Thread slerner
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (as entered on our Web site) sent this article to you.
Comment from sender: 'Risk-shifting is an interesting context for what's 
happening - perhaps a way to get people thinking about what needs to be done.'
Article Title: Fresh Air
Article URL: http://www.prospect.org/web/view-web.ww?id=9894


The American Prospect  http://www.prospect.org/web
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[Futurework] future of work

2005-06-22 Thread Cordell, Arthur: ECOM




Moving Up: Challenges to The American Dream 
--- Degrees of Separation: As Economy Shifts, A New Generation Fights to Keep Up 
--- In Milwaukee, Factories Close And Skills, Not Seniority, Are Key to 
Advancement --- An Ex-Welder's Computer Job 22 June 2005The Wall Street JournalA1English
MILWAUKEE -- In 1957, Wayne Hall, then 24 years old, 
responded to a help-wanted shingle outside Badger Die Casting on this city's 
south side. He started work the next day, and, over the years, rose from 
machinery operator to machinery inspector to chief inspector. He helped organize 
a union, got regular raises, enjoyed generous pension and health benefits and, 
eventually, five weeks of vacation. At age 72, he is retired and can afford to 
travel with his wife to Disneyland and Tahiti. 
It was a typical Milwaukee factory worker's escalator ride 
to the middle class. His stepson Ron Larson, 58, thought he'd ride that 
escalator, too. He was wrong. 
In 1971, Mr. Larson went to work as a welder in the 
fabrication shop of a factory across the street from Badger that made rock 
crushers and other heavy equipment. By 1981, he was earning roughly as much as 
his stepfather. But he was laid off that year. Mr. Larson has held many jobs 
since -- tour-boat operator, trucker, air-conditioning repairman. Except for one 
year, he has yet to earn as much as he did at the welding job. Today, he works 
as a computer support technician, but the contract job runs just six weeks and 
he doesn't know if he'll still be working after that. 
"I always believed if you worked hard, your rewards would 
come," Mr. Larson said earlier this year when he was between jobs. "I said 
there's no way I'm going to be like that guy sleeping under the bridge, or 
homeless. Right now I don't think that." 
The gap between poor and rich in the U.S. has 
widened over the past 30 years. But people born to modest circumstances are no 
more likely to rise above their parents' station. The divergent fates of Mr. 
Hall and his stepson -- and others in this blue-collar city -- illustrate why it 
can be hard to move up. 
Industrial jobs that offered steady escalators of 
advancement for workers, even if they were only high-school graduates, are 
vanishing in America. In their place are service-economy jobs with fewer ways 
up. Unions are scarcer and temporary work more common. In newer service 
jobs that have come to dominate the U.S. economy, a college diploma is 
increasingly the prerequisite to a good wage. While increased access to college 
has been a powerful force for mobility, the share of workers with college 
degrees remains a minority. Moreover, getting a degree is closely correlated 
with having parents who themselves went to college. 
Milwaukee was once dotted with factories where thousands 
worked for good wages -- making electrical generators at Allis-Chalmers Corp., 
beer at Pabst Brewing Co. and truck bodies at Heil Co. It was the fictional home 
of TV working girls Laverne and Shirley. The city, says John Gurda, a local 
historian, was "not just egalitarian but proletarian": It had Socialist mayors 
from 1910 to 1960. 
When Wayne Hall proposed in 1957 to Lois Larson, who 
had three children from a prior marriage, she insisted he get a steady job 
before they got married. She was the one who spotted the shingle outside Badger 
on Oklahoma Avenue. "During the good days, Oklahoma Avenue was all factories," 
he recalls. "You could walk from one shop down Oklahoma Avenue and get a job in 
another shop." 
In the past decade, manufacturing's share of employment in 
Milwaukee has fallen to 16% from around 20%, though that's still above the 
national average. Mr. Hall's old factory is still on Oklahoma Avenue, but the 
metal fabrication plant where Mr. Larson worked finally closed last year after 
withering for decades. One of the plant's former parking lots is now a 
supermarket where Mr. Larson's wife, Kathy, works. Across the street from the 
supermarket an old Caterpillar factory is being torn down to make way for a Home 
Depot. A few miles to the west, the site of the old Heil factory is occupied by 
Aurora Health Care, a nonprofit corporation that owns hospitals and clinics and 
is the state's largest private employer. 
Milwaukee as a whole is solid and there are many conspicuous 
signs of affluence. Condominiums in two new luxury towers rising on the downtown 
lakefront sell for $700,000 to $2.5 million. The old Pabst brewery plant 
downtown, which closed in 1996, is the site of a proposed $317 million shopping, 
entertainment and residential complex to be called PabstCity. 
Milwaukee, like the whole country, has experienced a 
polarization in incomes in recent decades. In 1979, the wealthiest 10% of 
households in the city earned about six times as much as the bottom tenth, 
according to the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's Center for Economic 
Development. In 1999, they earned nearly 15 times as much. 
"Deindustrialization has swept away a wh

Re: [Futurework] The future of education

2005-06-22 Thread Keith Hudson


Charles,
At 22:16 22/06/2005 +1000, you wrote:
Keith
 
Let's get out timing
right.

I am arguing that 20 years ago auto workers were by and large unskilled
and that over the past 20 years their numbers have reduced significantly,
but that those who are left are vastly more skilled and better
paid.
 And I know that first hand, I used to work on the Ford production
line as a foreman.
Ah well, yes. But I was writing originally in the context of most of the
workforce. A small proportion of jobs have indeed become highly skilled.
I am constantly writing about this skill divide -- this was the whole
point of my original posting -- that about 75% of all jobs have become
substantially de-skilled (and state schools have thus dumbed down),
whereas 25% are becoming more skilled (and why, in England, for example,
there are now three consortia entering the fee-paying school arena).

Keith Hudson
 
Charles Brass
Chairman
futures foundation
phone:1300 727328
(International 61 3 9459 0244)
fax: 61 3 9459 0344
PO Box 122
Fairfield    3078
www.futuresfoundation.org.au
 
the mission of the futures foundation is:
"...to engage all Australians in creating a better
future..."


- Original Message - 

From: Keith
Hudson 

To: Charles Brass 

Cc:
futurework@scribe.uwaterloo.ca 

Sent: Monday, June 20, 2005 9:49 PM

Subject: Re: [Futurework] The future of education

Sorry, Charles, but when you worked at Ford in Australia, what job did you have? Did you ever go onto the shop floor? How many workers did you know? How many operations did you have intimate knowledge of? 

Perhaps Ford in Australia is an entirely different place from Massey-Ferguson in Coventry that I used to know 30 years ago with five large production shops and one assembly shop which I used to visit every day for some years*. Except for workers in the toolroom, there were few jobs that could not be learned in 30 minutes, some in 5.  I suggest that you have invalidated your own case by saying that Ford of Australia could take people off the boat. Modern factory workers are far, far, far less skilled than they have ever been. They don't compare, for example, with my blacksmith grandfather who was so fast and skilful that he had two strikers.

(*At the time I worked there it was the factory with the largest production of farm tractors in the world and exported 80% of them. On my shift, I was in charge of quality control with responsibilities for the results of most operations from the hardening of the gear wheels to the final lick of paint in the [automated] paint-shop.)

"Hugely more skilled"? No, I'm afraid not. The only really skilled people I knew were the metallurgists and chemists I supervised. There was also one old guy who used to ramble around the gear-cutting machines every now and again and I never did discover what his job was until one day a Prof of engineering at Birmingham university came into the shop and asked for him. It turned out that this old man had a little room of his own, slept most of the time except when brewing a pot of tea, and was a recognised expert in gear-cutting and could do things that the Prof couldn't. The old man used to set the gear-cutting machines for the operators. All the latter had to do was to ensure that the cooling solvent hose-pipe was playing over the cutting head.

Keith Hudson

 At 19:40 20/06/2005 +1000, you wrote:

in 774 Keith Hudson said (in part)

"The reason why such a large part of the education system in the larger countries has become dumbed down is that the majority of the skills required in the job market have also become dumbed down as a result of industrialisation, mass production, automation, computerisation and rationalisation generally by the larger manufacturers (and many services) which increasingly supply the bulk of the staple consumer goods of today's society.

For example, the manufacture of a car, which used to take 70 or 80 person-hours within living memory now takes only 25. "

 

 

Sorry, Keith, but you have got the facts right, but the interpretation wrong.  I used to work at Ford Australia in the 1980's when Ford basically took anyone straight off a boat into the plant.  Sure, there are now many fewer workers, but they are hugely more skilled, and better paid, than their forebears.

 

 

Charles Brass

Chairman

futures foundation

phone:1300 727328

(International 61 3 9459 0244)

fax: 61 3 9459 0344

PO Box 122

Fairfield    3078

www.futuresfoundation.org.au

 

the mission of the futures foundation is:

"...to engage all Australians in creating a better future..." 
- Original Message - 
From: Keith Hudson 
To: futurework@fes.uwaterloo.ca 
Sent: Sunday, June 19, 2005 6:17 PM 
Subject: [Futurework] The future of education
747. The future of education
In the last few weeks I've been changing my mind about the need for education vouchers. Or, rather, I've been changing my interpretation of what has been the reason why the standard of education in state schools in the lar

Re: [Futurework] The future of education

2005-06-22 Thread Charles Brass



Keith
 
Let's get out timing right.
I am arguing that 20 years ago auto workers were by and large unskilled 
and that over the past 20 years their numbers have reduced significantly, but 
that those who are left are vastly more skilled and better 
paid. And I know that first hand, I used to work on the Ford 
production line as a foreman.
 
 
 
Charles BrassChairmanfutures foundationphone:1300 
727328(International 61 3 9459 0244)fax: 61 3 9459 0344PO Box 
122Fairfield    3078www.futuresfoundation.org.au
 
the mission of the futures foundation is:"...to engage all Australians 
in creating a better future..."

  - Original Message - 
  From: 
  Keith Hudson 
  To: Charles Brass 
  Cc: futurework@scribe.uwaterloo.ca 
  
  Sent: Monday, June 20, 2005 9:49 PM
  Subject: Re: [Futurework] The future of 
  education
  Sorry, Charles, but when you worked at Ford in 
  Australia, what job did you have? Did you ever go onto the shop floor? How 
  many workers did you know? How many operations did you have intimate knowledge 
  of? Perhaps Ford in Australia is an entirely different place from 
  Massey-Ferguson in Coventry that I used to know 30 years ago with five large 
  production shops and one assembly shop which I used to visit every day for 
  some years*. Except for workers in the toolroom, there were few jobs that 
  could not be learned in 30 minutes, some in 5.  I suggest that you have 
  invalidated your own case by saying that Ford of Australia could take people 
  off the boat. Modern factory workers are far, far, far less skilled than they 
  have ever been. They don't compare, for example, with my blacksmith 
  grandfather who was so fast and skilful that he had two strikers.(*At 
  the time I worked there it was the factory with the largest production of farm 
  tractors in the world and exported 80% of them. On my shift, I was in charge 
  of quality control with responsibilities for the results of most operations 
  from the hardening of the gear wheels to the final lick of paint in the 
  [automated] paint-shop.)"Hugely more skilled"? No, I'm afraid not. The 
  only really skilled people I knew were the metallurgists and chemists I 
  supervised. There was also one old guy who used to ramble around the 
  gear-cutting machines every now and again and I never did discover what his 
  job was until one day a Prof of engineering at Birmingham university came into 
  the shop and asked for him. It turned out that this old man had a little room 
  of his own, slept most of the time except when brewing a pot of tea, and was a 
  recognised expert in gear-cutting and could do things that the Prof couldn't. 
  The old man used to set the gear-cutting machines for the operators. All the 
  latter had to do was to ensure that the cooling solvent hose-pipe was playing 
  over the cutting head.Keith Hudson At 19:40 20/06/2005 
  +1000, you wrote:
  in 774 
Keith Hudson said (in part)"The reason why such a 
large part of the education system in the larger countries has become dumbed 
down is that the majority of the skills required in the job market have also 
become dumbed down as a result of industrialisation, mass production, 
automation, computerisation and rationalisation generally by the larger 
manufacturers (and many services) which increasingly supply the bulk of the 
staple consumer goods of today's society.For example, the 
manufacture of a car, which used to take 70 or 80 person-hours within living 
memory now takes only 25. "  Sorry, Keith, but you have got the facts right, but the 
interpretation wrong.  I used to work at Ford Australia in the 1980's 
when Ford basically took anyone straight off a boat into the plant.  
Sure, there are now many fewer workers, but they are hugely more skilled, 
and better paid, than their forebears.  Charles BrassChairmanfutures 
foundationphone:1300 727328(International 61 3 9459 0244)fax: 61 
3 9459 0344PO Box 122Fairfield    3078www.futuresfoundation.org.au the 
mission of the futures foundation is:"...to engage all Australians in 
creating a better future..." 

  - Original Message - 
  From: Keith Hudson 
  To: futurework@fes.uwaterloo.ca 
  Sent: Sunday, June 19, 2005 6:17 PM 
  Subject: [Futurework] The future of education
  747. The future of education
  In the last few weeks I've been changing my mind about the need for 
  education vouchers. Or, rather, I've been changing my interpretation of 
  what has been the reason why the standard of education in state schools in 
  the larger developed countries has become increasingly dumbed down.
  I still think that education vouchers will be inevitable in several 
  countries such as England and America, and the short item below from 
  today's Independent on Sunday concerning the growing amount of extra 
  private tuition being paid for by parents of state schoolchi