Thanks for sharing, Herb!  I haven't read the paper, but from a skim, it
looks like maybe some sanity is emerging among climate modelers on this
issue. Enough with "shaving the peak", it seems to me that we're going to
need cooling (including probably OTEC type generating energy from and
cooling ocean heat) for a very long time, even with robust GHG emissions
and drawdown, and nature regeneration programs!
Ron

On Wed, Mar 29, 2023 at 2:37 PM H simmens <hsimm...@gmail.com> wrote:

> “We generate a large dataset of 355 emission scenarios in which SRM is
> deployed to keep warming levels at 1.5 ∘C global mean temperature.
> Probabilistic climate projections from this ensemble result in a large
> range of plausible future warming and cooling rates that lead to various
> SRM deployment timescales. In all pathways consistent with extrapolated
> current ambition, SRM deployment would exceed 100 years even under the most
> optimistic assumptions regarding climate response.“
>
> [image: esd-14-367-2023-avatar-web.png]
>
> The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of
> mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty
> <https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/367/2023/>
> esd.copernicus.org <https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/367/2023/>
> <https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/367/2023/>
>
>
> Herb Simmens
> Author A Climate Vocabulary of the Future
> @herbsimmens
>
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