Nielsen-Gammon should change his "blame attribution" statement, i.e. "the blame lies in NOAA's press release and whoever approved it". He should name names. NOAA scientists clearly approve of it.
Eg: NOAA scientist Tom Petersen is billed on NOAA slides accompanying the release of the report in question as "Principal Scientist, NOAA National Climatic Data Center". NPR asked him what was going on and one of the things he said, on air was this: "what they've discovered is that the probability of this magnitude of a heat wave and a drought associated with La Nina has become 20 times more likely under current climate conditions than they were back in the 1960s". Audio and transcript here<http://www.npr.org/2012/07/13/156731302/climate-change-ups-odds-of-heat-waves-drought> The "they" Petersen refers to are the Rupp et.al. group who wrote a paper, "*Did Human Influence on Climate Make the 2011 Texas Drought more Probable?"*, which was included (starting on page 1052) in the Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 From a Climate Perspective<http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1> paper published by AMS as a "complimentary article" to the NOAA *State of the Climate 2011* report. That State of the Climate report and its complimentary article were the subject of the press release Nielsen-Gammon blogged about. In the Rupp et.al. paper at the beginning of the "*Conclusions*" section, there is this: "we found that extreme events were roughly 20 times more likely in 2008 than in other La Nina years in the 1960s..." And at the conclusion of the Rupp et.al. "*Conclusions*" there is this: "we cannot say that the 2011 Texas drought and heat wave was "extremely unlikely" (in any absolute sense) to have occurred before this recent warming". Petersen discussed the difficulties of communicating science during the NPR interview: "And that's really some of the questions that have been raised by other scientists is exactly, you know, are we communicating this as precisely, accurately as we should be? And if you get really precisely accurate, sometimes people can't really understand you with all the different caveats". . On Sunday, July 22, 2012 6:02:07 PM UTC-7, andrewjlockley wrote: > > > http://blog.chron.com/climateabyss/2012/07/twenty-times-more-likely-not-the-science/ > > > John Nielsen-Gammon is the Texas State Climatologist and a Professor > of Atmospheric Sciences at Texas A&M University > > Twenty Times More Likely (Not): The Science > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msg/geoengineering/-/R_ZwahSlOT0J. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en.
