Hi Colin,

Great question! We are extremely certain that low-altitude subtropical 
clouds cool the climate by reflecting sunlight but not having a strong 
impact on the amount of heat escaping to space. Unfortunately for us, this 
type of cloud is projected to become less common as sea surface 
temperatures warm — the loss of these clouds leads to additional warming 
(positive feedback). Marine cloud brightening, on the other hand, is a 
proposal to use sea salt aerosol to make these clouds more reflective when 
they do occur, and potentially make them occur more frequently/over larger 
areas. This would cool the climate by increasing the amount and/or 
brightness of these clouds (negative forcing).

In short: increasing low-altitude clouds leads to cooling (MCB) and 
decreasing them leads to warming (positive feedback to global warming).

Cheers,
Michael

On Tuesday, March 28, 2023 at 11:44:25 AM UTC-4 Colin Forrest wrote:

> From AR6 WG 1 full report ch 7 page 926..........
>
> An assessment of the low-altitude cloud feedback over the subtropical
> oceans, which was previously the major source of uncertainty in the
> net cloud feedback, is improved owing to a combined use of climate
> model simulations, satellite observations, and explicit simulations
> of clouds, altogether leading to strong evidence that this type of
> cloud amplifies global warming. 
>
> How does this square will the modelling of MCB which predicts a cooling 
> effect from increasing this type of cloud cover ?
>
> Best Wishes,  Colin Forrest
>
> PS the reference for my previous post on SSPs and climate forcing was 
> wrong. It's om page 926, not 928
>

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