Colleagues,

I'm reposting Radoslav's 10 December 2009 report from Copenhagen because it
wasn't picked up by the list archive.  This, I think, is because of the
picture he embedded in his original message.

Sorry for the repost -- sending this to the list is the only way I can get
it into the archive.

Yours,
MM

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Radoslav Dimitrov <radoslav.dimit...@uwo.ca>
Date: Thu, Dec 10, 2009 at 8:53 AM
Subject: Copenhagen highlights
To: Global Environmental Politics Education ListServe <
gep-ed@listserve1.allegheny.edu>





Dear colleagues,

Here are Copenhagen highlights excluding politically sensitive information.
Photo courtesy of The Guardian.

Negotiations came to a complete stalemate two hours ago. A session on KP
emission reductions was cancelled altogether. The biggest fight in
Copenhagen remains whether to negotiate a new single global treaty covering
all nations – or renegotiate the Kyoto Protocol separate from a second
agreement involving everyone. Developing countries favor keeping Kyoto in
order to leave the policy burden primarily on developed countries. Most
Western countries want a single new global agreement involving all major
emitters (read China, India) to replace Kyoto.

Japan, Russia and Canada oppose keeping Kyoto alive and want a single brand
new global accord. Developing countries gave an ultimatum. They stated a
discontinuation of the Kyoto Protocol would be a deal-breaker here, and left
no doubt they will block any Copenhagen agreement without a second
commitment period for Kyoto. Hence the current deadlock.

In a major development, yesterday the developing country coalition split
openly. The Alliance of Small Island States and some Latin American
countries supported Tuvalu’s proposed "Copenhagen Protocol" that imposes
obligations for major developing countries as well as the West. The
ambitious protocol would limit temperature rise to 1.5 degrees (instead of
the 2 degrees supported by others) and carbon concentrations to 350 ppm
(instead of 450). Civil society is ecstatic and staged massive
demonstrations in support that triggered security measures. Tuvalu is their
hero.

Progress on 1990 as the baseline year to measure emission reductions. Global
consensus on 1990, with Canada the only country against.

Security is interfering with the work. On day one, security guards clashed
with government delegates. Yes indeed. During the opening ceremony, security
closed the Plenary Hall doors and would not allow anyone new to enter -
including negotiators with government badges. Some delegates tried to
physically force their way through. Security is tight. Police officers run
16-hour shifts for 14 days in a row. Some warn they are bound to snap when
the real protests begin next week when 100 heads of states arrive.
Regards from Denmark,

Radoslav S. Dimitrov, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Department of Political Science
University of Western Ontario
Social Science Centre
London, Ontario
Canada N6A 5C2
Tel. +1(519) 661-2111 ext. 85023
Fax +1(519) 661-3904
Email: rdimi...@uwo.ca

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