Re: [Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!

2006-06-16 Thread Mario Goveia
--- George Pinto [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 I must disagree with Mario's observation of my
 ability. I have no claim to any fame (intellectual)
 except I once was falsely accused of being
 good-looking at the Anjuna night flea market. Later
 I found out the person was visually-challenged and 
 the darkness may have had something to do with
 it.  Also some adulterated feni.
 
Mario apologises:

George, based on your personal testimony, please
accept my sincere apologies for mistaking you for an
intellectual :-))  I should have figured that out on
my own from your commentary, and vow to be more astute
in future :-))  Regarding your homely looks, I will
leave that up to the homosexuals from Portugal and
Angola whose activities you recently outlined for us,
or any others that may be lurking on Goanet :-))

George writes:

 As to left-wing/right-wing that is for birds and
 airplanes.  
 
Mario replies:

I was really referring to the political wings, but it
is quite customary these days for political
left-wingers to try and cover-up that fact.


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Re: [Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!

2006-06-16 Thread Mario Goveia
 --- Elisabeth Carvalho wrote:

  I am sure as, Dr Khushwant Singh and Chidambaram,
  revel in the headway that India is making, their
  foremost wish is Malthus be gone. Unfortunately,
  the spectre of Maltus will follow both India and 
  China well into the next century.
 
--- George Pinto [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 For those further interested in Malthus (Elisabeth's
 reference above), see link and excerpt below
 http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/profiles/malthus.htm
 
Mario observes:

It isn't often that I have the opportunity to respond
to two worthy left-wing intelletuals at the same time
on Goanet, both of whom seem to find the ideas of
Malthus to be as compelling as I find them to be
pessimistic and misguided.

My advice to Khuswant Singh and Dr. Chidambaram is to
press on with their plans without worrying too much
about Malthus.  After all, he has been wrong for 300
years, so what are the probabilities that he will be
vindicated in future?

As one example from George's post above, Malthus's
hypothesis implied that actual population always has a
tendency to push above the food supply.

Based on this India and China should have been facing
mass starvation by now.  However, because people don't
sit still in the face of problems but develop
solutions, both countries are self-sufficient in their
food supplies, and are even exporting food.

Here is an URL from a major university that rebutts
the pessimistic theories of Malthus: 

http://william-king.www.drexel.edu/top/prin/txt/gro/gro6.html

Some excerpts:

It appears, in retrospect, that Malthus was wrong.
Over the past 200 years, the population has grown in
most countries and worldwide, but (again in most
countries) people by and large have not gotten worse
off, but better off, in material terms. Food is more
plentiful, and many other kinds of goods and services
are available that were not available 200 years ago.
The reason is that technical progress in the
production of food and in other fields has not been
rare and accidental, but rather more or less
continuous and cumulative. And this improvement in
technology has outrun population growth, leaving more
and more people better off.

Looked at in detail, technical progress over this
period has not been so continuous or regular. Before
Malthus, about 1700, Britain had experienced an
agricultural revolution, a major surge of technical
progress in agriculture. In the nineteenth century,
however, agricultural productivity seems to have
remained relatively stagnant, while manufacturing and
transportation surged ahead. But cheap manufactures
made it possible to outfit more farmers more cheaply,
and the improvements of transportation made is
possible to bring food from further away, as new
agricultural land was settled. Once again, in the
twentieth century, agricultural productivity surged
into the lead with large, continuing increases in
agricultural productivity, together with some growth
in manufacturing productivity.

From the Malthusian viewpoint, this looks like a
series of lucky accidents, and a Malthusian might say
that there is no scientific reason to believe that the
luck can continue -- that such a belief is no more
than an act of faith. But from the anti-Malthusian
viewpoint, things look quite different. An
anti-Malthusian might ask how long a trend has to
continue before it stops being a lucky accident and
starts to be a general rule. If three hundred years is
not long enough, how long? And how many times must the
Malthusians be wrong before they realize that their
ideas are flawed? (end of excerpt)





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[Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!

2006-06-15 Thread George Pinto
--- Mario Goveia [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 It isn't often that I have the opportunity to respond
 to two worthy left-wing intelletuals at the same time on Goanet, 


I must disagree with Mario's observation of my ability. I have no claim to any 
fame (intellectual)
except I once was falsely accused of being good-looking at the Anjuna night 
flea market. Later I
found out the person was visually-challenged and the darkness may have had 
something to do with
it.  Also some adulterated feni.

As to left-wing/right-wing that is for birds and airplanes.  

Regards,
George

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Re: [Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!

2006-06-14 Thread cornel

Hi George
On TV we had programmes on child slavery. I watched one on the Democratic 
Republic of the Congo which was simply horrific about very young children 
slaving away in the open, manually extracting copper. Last might, we had one 
on India. It was reckoned that 11 million very young children produce goods 
for the Western consumer market . The scenes recorded clandestinely were 
truly terrible. They earned half a pound sterling doing 15 hours of work a 
day. Sad that sections of Indian capitalism are making progress in leaps and 
bounds by exploiting so many children who have never had a day's schooling.


Tonight there ought to be a programme on child labour in China.  Yet another 
one, on the relentless rush to world economic status.


Need I say more?
Cornel
- Original Message - 
From: George Pinto [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: Goa's premiere mailing list, estb. 1994! goanet@goanet.org
Sent: Wednesday, June 14, 2006 6:38 AM
Subject: [Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!



--- Elisabeth Carvalho [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I am sure as, Dr Khushwant Singh and Chidambaram,
revel in the headway that India is making, their
foremost wish is Malthus be gone. Unfortunately, the
spectre of Maltus will follow both India and China
well into the next century.



For those further interested in Malthus (Elisabeth's reference above), see 
link and excerpt below

http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/profiles/malthus.htm

In this famous work, Malthus posited his hypothesis that (unchecked) 
population growth always
exceeds the growth of means of subsistence.  Actual (checked) population 
growth is kept in line
with food supply growth by positive checks (starvation, disease and the 
like, elevating the
death rate) and preventive checks (i.e. postponement of marriage, etc. 
that keep down the
birthrate), both of which are characterized by misery and vice. 
Malthus's hypothesis implied
that actual population always has a tendency to push above the food 
supply.  Because of this
tendency, any attempt to ameliorate the condition of the lower classes by 
increasing their incomes
or improving agricultural productivity would be fruitless, as the extra 
means of subsistence would
be completely absorbed by an induced boost in population.  As long as this 
tendency remains,
Malthus argued, the perfectibility of society will always be out of 
reach.


Regards,
George

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[Goanet] Re: India gobbling the world - Malthus be gone!

2006-06-14 Thread George Pinto
--- Elisabeth Carvalho [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I am sure as, Dr Khushwant Singh and Chidambaram,
 revel in the headway that India is making, their
 foremost wish is Malthus be gone. Unfortunately, the
 spectre of Maltus will follow both India and China
 well into the next century.


For those further interested in Malthus (Elisabeth's reference above), see link 
and excerpt below
http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/profiles/malthus.htm

In this famous work, Malthus posited his hypothesis that (unchecked) 
population growth always
exceeds the growth of means of subsistence.  Actual (checked) population growth 
is kept in line
with food supply growth by positive checks (starvation, disease and the like, 
elevating the
death rate) and preventive checks (i.e. postponement of marriage, etc. that 
keep down the
birthrate), both of which are characterized by misery and vice.  Malthus's 
hypothesis implied
that actual population always has a tendency to push above the food supply.  
Because of this
tendency, any attempt to ameliorate the condition of the lower classes by 
increasing their incomes
or improving agricultural productivity would be fruitless, as the extra means 
of subsistence would
be completely absorbed by an induced boost in population.  As long as this 
tendency remains,
Malthus argued, the perfectibility of society will always be out of reach.  

Regards,
George

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