Hmmm, sort of like weather forecasting.... now they're saying:
014-01-10 01:15 UTC Modest Start to Geomagnetic Storm
The coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with
the R3 (Strong) Solar Flare Radio Blackout event
from January 7th is now affecting Earth but the
resulting geomagnetic storm is off to a modest
start, with no substantial storming occurring
thus far. The initial structure of this CME has
been relatively weak in strength, but that said,
it generally takes on the order of 24 hours or
more for the full event to transpire and stronger
storming is certainly still possible. The
ongoing Solar Radiation Storm, still just above
the S2 (Moderate) threshold, continues it slow
decay toward background levels. Additionally,
Region 1944 is showing some signs of decay and no
significant flaring has been observed in the last
48 hours. Stay tuned for updates.
Where's my K=7?
best wishes,
Nick
At 17:35 09-01-14, you wrote:
No sign of it yet, protons and Kp actually down
and Asia conditions the best so far this week
here. Is it just late or did it go somewhere else?
73, Mauno
9.1.2014 7:21, coffee_canuck kirjoitti:
Yup. This x-class has Earth dead in its sites. Strap yourself in people.
Sent from my iPhone
On 2014-01-08, at 8:51 PM, Nick Hall-Patch <n...@ieee.org> wrote:
big aurora on the way?
NOAA is predicting up to K-7 about 5 hours
from now...from http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
2014-01-09 00:03 UTC S3 (Strong) Solar Radiation Storm In Progress
The ongoing S2 (Moderate) Solar Radiation
Storm has intensified to an S3 (Strong) event
as of 2320 UTC (6:20 p.m. EST) today, January
8. Protons should stay at this same
approximate level for the next few hours,
then likely take another jump with the
passage of the shock ahead of the CME,
expected to occur around 0900 UTC (4:00 a.m.
EST) tomorrow, January 9. However, this
increase is not expected to exceed the S3
level. The CME is forecast to set off G3
(Strong) Geomagnetic Storm activity through
January 9 and 10. Aurora watchers should be
ready; updates here as things unfold.
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