THE COMING WARS by SEYMOUR M. HERSH 
What the Pentagon can now do in secret. 
The New Yorker - Issue of 2005-01-24 and 31 
Posted 2005-01-17

http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?050124fa_fact

George W. Bush's reelection was not his only victory
last fall. The President and his national-security
advisers have consolidated control over the military
and intelligence communities' strategic analyses and
covert operations to a degree unmatched since the rise
of the post-Second World War national-security state.
Bush has an aggressive and ambitious agenda for using
that control--against the mullahs in Iran and against
targets in the ongoing war on terrorism--during his
second term. The C.I.A. will continue to be downgraded,
and the agency will increasingly serve, as one
government consultant with close ties to the Pentagon
put it, as "facilitators" of policy emanating from
President Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney. This
process is well under way.

Despite the deteriorating security situation in Iraq,
the Bush Administration has not reconsidered its basic long-range policy goal 
in the Middle East: the establishment of democracy throughout the region. 
Bush's reelection is regarded within the Administration as evidence of 
America's support for his decision to go to war. It has reaffirmed the position 
of the neoconservatives in the Pentagon's civilian leadership who advocated the 
invasion, including Paul Wolfowitz, the Deputy Secretary of Defense, and 
Douglas Feith, the Under-secretary for Policy. According to a former high-level 
intelligence official, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld met with the Joint 
Chiefs of Staff shortly after the election and told them, in essence, that the 
naysayers had been heard and the American people did not accept their message. 
Rumsfeld added that America was committed to staying in Iraq and that there 
would be no second-guessing.

"This is a war against terrorism, and Iraq is just one campaign. The Bush 
Administration is looking at this as a huge war zone," the former high-level 
intelligence official told me. "Next, we're going to have the Iranian campaign. 
We've declared war and the bad guys, wherever they are, are the enemy. This is 
the last hurrah--we've got four years, and want to come out of this saying we 
won the war on terrorism."

Bush and Cheney may have set the policy, but it is
Rumsfeld who has directed its implementation and has
absorbed much of the public criticism when things went wrong--whether it was 
prisoner abuse in Abu Ghraib or lack of sufficient armor plating for G.I.s' 
vehicles in Iraq. Both Democratic and Republican lawmakers have called for 
Rumsfeld's dismissal, and he is not widely admired inside the military. 
Nonetheless, his reappointment as Defense Secretary was never in doubt.

Rumsfeld will become even more important during the
second term. In interviews with past and present
intelligence and military officials, I was told that
the agenda had been determined before the Presidential election, and much of it 
would be Rumsfeld's responsibility. The war on terrorism would be expanded, and 
effectively placed under the Pentagon's control. The President has signed a 
series of findings and executive orders authorizing secret commando groups and 
other Special Forces units to conduct covert operations against suspected 
terrorist targets in as many as ten nations in the Middle East and South Asia.

The President's decision enables Rumsfeld to run the
operations off the books--free from legal restrictions
imposed on the C.I.A. Under current law, all C.I.A.
covert activities overseas must be authorized by a
Presidential finding and reported to the Senate and
House intelligence committees. (The laws were enacted
after a series of scandals in the nineteen-seventies
involving C.I.A. domestic spying and attempted
assassinations of foreign leaders.) "The Pentagon
doesn't feel obligated to report any of this to
Congress," the former high-level intelligence official
said. "They don't even call it 'covert ops'--it's too
close to the C.I.A. phrase. In their view, it's 'black reconnaissance.' They're 
not even going to tell the cincs"--the regional American military 
commanders-in-chief. (The Defense Department and the White House did not 
respond to requests for comment on this story.)

In my interviews, I was repeatedly told that the next
strategic target was Iran. "Everyone is saying, 'You
can't be serious about targeting Iran. Look at Iraq,'"
the former intelligence official told me. "But they
say, 'We've got some lessons learned--not militarily,
but how we did it politically. We're not going to rely
on agency pissants.' No loose ends, and that's why the
C.I.A. is out of there."

For more than a year, France, Germany, Britain, and
other countries in the European Union have seen
preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon as a race
against time--and against the Bush Administration. They
have been negotiating with the Iranian leadership to
give up its nuclear-weapons ambitions in exchange for
economic aid and trade benefits. Iran has agreed to
temporarily halt its enrichment programs, which
generate fuel for nuclear power plants but also could
produce weapons-grade fissile material. (Iran claims
that such facilities are legal under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, or 
N.P.T., to which it is a signator, and that it has no intention of building a
bomb.) But the goal of the current round of talks,
which began in December in Brussels, is to persuade
Tehran to go further, and dismantle its machinery. Iran insists, in return, 
that it needs to see some concrete benefits from the Europeans--oil-production 
technology, heavy-industrial equipment, and perhaps even permission to purchase 
a fleet of Airbuses. (Iran has been denied access to technology and many goods 
owing to
sanctions.)

The Europeans have been urging the Bush Administration
to join in these negotiations. The Administration has
refused to do so. The civilian leadership in the
Pentagon has argued that no diplomatic progress on the
Iranian nuclear threat will take place unless there is
a credible threat of military action. "The neocons say negotiations are a bad 
deal," a senior official of the International Atomic Energy Agency (I.A.E.A.) 
told me. "And the only thing the Iranians understand is pressure. And that they 
also need to be whacked."

The core problem is that Iran has successfully hidden
the extent of its nuclear program, and its progress.
Many Western intelligence agencies, including those of
the United States, believe that Iran is at least three
to five years away from a capability to independently
produce nuclear warheads--although its work on a missile-delivery system is far 
more advanced. Iran is also widely believed by Western intelligence agencies 
and the I.A.E.A. to have serious technical problems with its weapons system, 
most notably in the production of the hexafluoride gas needed to fabricate 
nuclear warheads.

A retired senior C.I.A. official, one of many who left
the agency recently, told me that he was familiar with
the assessments, and confirmed that Iran is known to be
having major difficulties in its weapons work. He also acknowledged that the 
agency's timetable for a nuclear Iran matches the European estimates--assuming 
that Iran gets no outside help. "The big wild card for us is that you don't 
know who is capable of filling in the missing parts for them," the recently 
retired official said. "North Korea? Pakistan? We don't know what parts are 
missing."

One Western diplomat told me that the Europeans
believed they were in what he called a "lose-lose
position" as long as the United States refuses to get
involved. "France, Germany, and the U.K. cannot succeed
alone, and everybody knows it," the diplomat said. "If
the U.S. stays outside, we don't have enough leverage,
and our effort will collapse." The alternative would be
to go to the Security Council, but any resolution
imposing sanctions would likely be vetoed by China or
Russia, and then "the United Nations will be blamed and
the Americans will say, 'The only solution is to
bomb.'"

A European Ambassador noted that President Bush is
scheduled to visit Europe in February, and that there
has been public talk from the White House about
improving the President's relationship with America's
E.U. allies. In that context, the Ambassador told me,
"I'm puzzled by the fact that the United States is not
helping us in our program. How can Washington maintain
its stance without seriously taking into account the
weapons issue?"

The Israeli government is, not surprisingly, skeptical
of the European approach. Silvan Shalom, the Foreign
Minister, said in an interview last week in
Jerusalem,with another New Yorker journalist, "I don't
like what's happening. We were encouraged at first when
the Europeans got involved. For a long time, they
thought it was just Israel's problem. But then they saw
that the [Iranian] missiles themselves were longer
range and could reach all of Europe, and they became
very concerned. Their attitude has been to use the
carrot and the stick--but all we see so far is the
carrot." He added, "If they can't comply, Israel cannot
live with Iran having a nuclear bomb."

In a recent essay, Patrick Clawson, an Iran expert who
is the deputy director of the Washington Institute for
Near East Policy (and a supporter of the
Administration), articulated the view that force, or
the threat of it, was a vital bargaining tool with
Iran. Clawson wrote that if Europe wanted cooeperation
with the Bush Administration it "would do well to
remind Iran that the military option remains on the
table." He added that the argument that the European negotiations hinged on 
Washington looked like "a preemptive excuse for the likely breakdown of the 
E.U.-Iranian talks." In a subsequent conversation with me, Clawson suggested 
that, if some kind of military action was inevitable, "it would be much more in 
Israel's interest--and Washington's--to take covert action. The style of this 
Administration is to use overwhelming force--'shock and awe.' But we get only 
one bite of the apple."

There are many military and diplomatic experts who
dispute the notion that military action, on whatever
scale, is the right approach. Shahram Chubin, an
Iranian scholar who is the director of research at the
Geneva Centre for Security Policy, told me, "It's a
fantasy to think that there's a good American or
Israeli military option in Iran." He went on, "The
Israeli view is that this is an international problem.
'You do it,' they say to the West. 'Otherwise, our Air
Force will take care of it.'" In 1981, the Israeli Air
Force destroyed Iraq's Osirak reactor, setting its
nuclear program back several years. But the situation
now is both more complex and more dangerous, Chubin
said. The Osirak bombing "drove the Iranian
nuclear-weapons program underground, to hardened,
dispersed sites," he said. "You can't be sure after an
attack that you'll get away with it. The U.S. and
Israel would not be certain whether all the sites had
been hit, or how quickly they'd be rebuilt. Meanwhile,
they'd be waiting for an Iranian counter-attack that
could be military or terrorist or diplomatic. Iran has long-range missiles and 
ties to Hezbollah, which has drones--you can't begin to think of what they'd do 
in response."

Chubin added that Iran could also renounce the Nuclear Non-Proliferation 
Treaty. "It's better to have them cheating within the system," he said. 
"Otherwise, as victims, Iran will walk away from the treaty and inspections 
while the rest of the world watches the N.P.T. unravel before their eyes."

The Administration has been conducting secret
reconnaissance missions inside Iran at least since last
summer. Much of the focus is on the accumulation of intelligence and targeting 
information on Iranian nuclear, chemical, and missile sites, both declared and 
suspected. The goal is to identify and isolate three dozen, and perhaps more, 
such targets that could be destroyed by precision strikes and short-term 
commando raids. "The civilians in the Pentagon want to go into Iran and destroy 
as much of the military infrastructure as possible," the government consultant 
with close ties to the Pentagon told me.

Some of the missions involve extraordinary cooeperation.
For example, the former high-level intelligence
official told me that an American commando task force
has been set up in South Asia and is now working
closely with a group of Pakistani scientists and
technicians who had dealt with Iranian counterparts.
(In 2003, the I.A.E.A. disclosed that Iran had been
secretly receiving nuclear technology from Pakistan for
more than a decade, and had withheld that information
from inspectors.) The American task force, aided by the information from 
Pakistan, has been penetrating eastern Iran from Afghanistan in a hunt for 
underground installations. The task-force members, or their locally recruited 
agents, secreted remote detection devices--known as sniffers--capable of 
sampling the atmosphere for radioactive emissions and other evidence of 
nuclear-enrichment programs.

Getting such evidence is a pressing concern for the
Bush Administration. The former high-level intelligence official told me, "They 
don't want to make any W.M.D. intelligence mistakes, as in Iraq. The 
Republicans can't have two of those. There's no education in the second kick of 
a mule." The official added that the government of Pervez Musharraf, the 
Pakistani President, has won a high price for its cooeperation--American 
assurance that Pakistan will not have to hand over A. Q. Khan, known as the 
father of Pakistan's nuclear bomb, to the I.A.E.A. or to any other 
international authorities for questioning. For two decades, Khan has been 
linked to a vast consortium of nuclear-black-market activities. Last year, 
Musharraf professed to be shocked when Khan, in the face of overwhelming 
evidence, "confessed" to his activities. A few days later, Musharraf pardoned 
him, and so far he has refused to allow the I.A.E.A. or American intelligence 
to interview him. Khan is now said to be living under house arrest in a villa 
in Islamabad. "It's a deal--a trade-off," the former high-level intelligence 
official explained. "'Tell us what you know about Iran and we will let your A. 
Q. Khan guys go.' It's the neoconservatives' version of short-term gain at 
long-term cost. They want to prove that Bush is the anti-terrorism guy who can 
handle Iran and the nuclear threat, against the long-term goal of eliminating 
the black market for nuclear proliferation."

The agreement comes at a time when Musharraf, according
to a former high-level Pakistani diplomat, has
authorized the expansion of Pakistan's nuclear-weapons
arsenal. "Pakistan still needs parts and supplies, and
needs to buy them in the clandestine market," the
former diplomat said. "The U.S. has done nothing to
stop it."

There has also been close, and largely unacknowledged, cooeperation with 
Israel. The government consultant with ties to the Pentagon said that the 
Defense Department civilians, under the leadership of Douglas Feith, have been 
working with Israeli planners and consultants to develop and refine potential 
nuclear, chemical-weapons, and missile targets inside Iran. (After Osirak, Iran 
situated many of its nuclear sites in remote areas of the east, in an attempt 
to keep them out of striking range of other countries, especially Israel. 
Distance no longer lends such protection, however: Israel has acquired three 
submarines capable of launching cruise missiles and has equipped some of its 
aircraft with additional fuel tanks, putting Israeli F-16I fighters within the 
range of most Iranian targets.)

"They believe that about three-quarters of the
potential targets can be destroyed from the air, and a
quarter are too close to population centers, or buried
too deep, to be targeted," the consultant said.
Inevitably, he added, some suspicious sites need to be
checked out by American or Israeli commando teams--in on-the-ground 
surveillance--before being targeted.

The Pentagon's contingency plans for a broader invasion
of Iran are also being updated. Strategists at the
headquarters of the U.S. Central Command, in Tampa,
Florida, have been asked to revise the military's war
plan, providing for a maximum ground and air invasion
of Iran. Updating the plan makes sense, whether or not
the Administration intends to act, because the
geopolitics of the region have changed dramatically in
the last three years. Previously, an American invasion
force would have had to enter Iran by sea, by way of
the Persian Gulf or the Gulf of Oman; now troops could
move in on the ground, from Afghanistan or Iraq.
Commando units and other assets could be introduced
through new bases in the Central Asian republics.

It is possible that some of the American officials who
talk about the need to eliminate Iran's nuclear
infrastructure are doing so as part of a propaganda
campaign aimed at pressuring Iran to give up its
weapons planning. If so, the signals are not always
clear. President Bush, who after 9/11 famously depicted
Iran as a member of the "axis of evil," is now publicly emphasizing the need 
for diplomacy to run its course. "We don't have much leverage with the Iranians 
right now," the President said at a news conference late last year. "Diplomacy 
must be the first choice, and always the first choice of an administration 
trying to solve an issue of . . . nuclear armament. And we'll continue to press 
on diplomacy."

In my interviews over the past two months, I was given
a much harsher view. The hawks in the Administration
believe that it will soon become clear that the
Europeans' negotiated approach cannot succeed, and that
at that time the Administration will act. "We're not
dealing with a set of National Security Council option
papers here," the former high-level intelligence
official told me. "They've already passed that wicket.
It's not if we're going to do anything against Iran.
They're doing it."

The immediate goals of the attacks would be to destroy,
or at least temporarily derail, Iran's ability to go
nuclear. But there are other, equally purposeful,
motives at work. The government consultant told me that
the hawks in the Pentagon, in private discussions, have
been urging a limited attack on Iran because they
believe it could lead to a toppling of the religious leadership. "Within the 
soul of Iran there is a struggle between secular nationalists and reformers, on 
the one hand, and, on the other hand, the fundamentalist Islamic movement," the 
consultant told me. "The minute the aura of invincibility which the mullahs 
enjoy is shattered, and with it the ability to hoodwink the West, the Iranian 
regime will collapse"--like the former Communist regimes in Romania, East 
Germany, and the Soviet Union. Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz share that belief, he 
said.

"The idea that an American attack on Iran's nuclear
facilities would produce a popular uprising is
extremely illinformed," said Flynt Leverett, a Middle
East scholar who worked on the National Security
Council in the Bush Administration. "You have to
understand that the nuclear ambition in Iran is
supported across the political spectrum, and Iranians
will perceive attacks on these sites as attacks on
their ambitions to be a major regional player and a
modern nation that's technologically sophisticated."
Leverett, who is now a senior fellow at the Saban
Center for Middle East Policy, at the Brookings
Institution, warned that an American attack, if it
takes place, "will produce an Iranian backlash against
the United States and a rallying around the regime."

Rumsfeld planned and lobbied for more than two years
before getting Presidential authority, in a series of
findings and executive orders, to use military
commandos for covert operations. One of his first steps
was bureaucratic: to shift control of an undercover
unit, known then as the Gray Fox (it has recently been
given a new code name), from the Army to the Special
Operations Command (socom), in Tampa. Gray Fox was
formally assigned to socom in July, 2002, at the
instigation of Rumsfeld's office, which meant that the undercover unit would 
have a single commander for administration and operational deployment. Then, 
last fall, Rumsfeld's ability to deploy the commandos expanded. According to a 
Pentagon consultant, an Execute Order on the Global War on Terrorism (referred 
to throughout the government as gwot) was issued at Rumsfeld's direction. The 
order specifically authorized the military "to find and finish" terrorist 
targets, the consultant said. It included a target list that cited Al Qaeda 
network members, Al Qaeda senior leadership, and other high-value targets. The 
consultant said that the order had been cleared throughout the 
national-security bureaucracy in Washington.

In late November, 2004, the Times reported that Bush
had set up an interagency group to study whether it
"would best serve the nation" to give the Pentagon
complete control over the C.I.A.'s own elite
paramilitary unit, which has operated covertly in
trouble spots around the world for decades. The panel's conclusions, due in 
February, are foregone, in the view of many former C.I.A. officers. "It seems 
like it's going to happen," Howard Hart, who was chief of the C.I.A.'s 
Paramilitary Operations Division before retiring in 1991, told me.

There was other evidence of Pentagon encroachment. Two
former C.I.A. clandestine officers, Vince Cannistraro
and Philip Giraldi, who publish Intelligence Brief, a newsletter for their 
business clients, reported last month on the existence of a broad 
counter-terrorism Presidential finding that permitted the Pentagon "to operate 
unilaterally in a number of countries where there is a perception of a clear 
and evident terrorist threat. . . . A number of the countries are friendly to 
the U.S. and are major trading partners. Most have been cooperating in the war 
on terrorism." The two former officers listed some of the countries--Algeria, 
Sudan, Yemen, Syria, and Malaysia. (I was subsequently told by the former 
high-level intelligence official that Tunisia is also on the list.)

Giraldi, who served three years in military
intelligence before joining the C.I.A., said that he
was troubled by the military's expanded covert
assignment. "I don't think they can handle the cover,"
he told me. "They've got to have a different mind-set.
They've got to handle new roles and get into foreign
cultures and learn how other people think. If you're
going into a village and shooting people, it doesn't
matter," Giraldi added. "But if you're running
operations that involve finesse and sensitivity, the
military can't do it. Which is why these kind of
operations were always run out of the agency." I was
told that many Special Operations officers also have
serious misgivings.

Rumsfeld and two of his key deputies, Stephen Cambone,
the Under-secretary of Defense for Intelligence, and
Army Lieutenant General William G. (Jerry) Boykin, will
be part of the chain of command for the new commando operations. Relevant 
members of the House and Senate intelligence committees have been briefed on 
the Defense Department's expanded role in covert affairs, a Pentagon adviser 
assured me, but he did not know how extensive the briefings had been.

"I'm conflicted about the idea of operating without congressional oversight," 
the Pentagon adviser said. "But I've been told that there will be oversight 
down to the specific operation." A second Pentagon adviser agreed, with a 
significant caveat. "There are reporting requirements," he said. "But to 
execute the finding we don't have to go back and say, 'We're going here and 
there.' No nitty-gritty detail and no micromanagement."

The legal questions about the Pentagon's right to
conduct covert operations without informing Congress
have not been resolved. "It's a very, very gray area,"
said Jeffrey H. Smith, a West Point graduate who served
as the C.I.A.'s general counsel in the
mid-nineteen-nineties. "Congress believes it voted to
include all such covert activities carried out by the
armed forces. The military says, 'No, the things we're
doing are not intelligence actions under the statute
but necessary military steps authorized by the
President, as Commander-in-Chief, to "prepare the battlefield."'" Referring to 
his days at the C.I.A., Smith added, "We were always careful not to use the 
armed forces in a covert action without a Presidential finding. The Bush 
Administration has taken a much more aggressive stance."

In his conversation with me, Smith emphasized that he
was unaware of the military's current plans for
expanding covert action. But he said, "Congress has
always worried that the Pentagon is going to get us
involved in some military misadventure that nobody
knows about."

Under Rumsfeld's new approach, I was told, U.S.
military operatives would be permitted to pose abroad
as corrupt foreign businessmen seeking to buy
contraband items that could be used in nuclear-weapons
systems. In some cases, according to the Pentagon
advisers, local citizens could be recruited and asked
to join up with guerrillas or terrorists. This could potentially involve 
organizing and carrying out combat operations, or even terrorist activities. 
Some operations will likely take place in nations in which there is an American 
diplomatic mission, with an Ambassador and a C.I.A. station chief, the Pentagon 
consultant said. The Ambassador and the station chief would not necessarily 
have a need to know, under the Pentagon's current interpretation of its 
reporting requirement.

The new rules will enable the Special Forces community
to set up what it calls "action teams" in the target
countries overseas which can be used to find and
eliminate terrorist organizations. "Do you remember the right-wing execution 
squads in El Salvador?" the former high-level intelligence official asked me, 
referring to the military-led gangs that committed atrocities in the early 
nineteen-eighties. "We founded them and we financed them," he said. "The 
objective now is to recruit locals in any area we want. And we aren't going to 
tell Congress about it." A former military officer, who has knowledge of the 
Pentagon's commando capabilities, said, "We're going to be riding with the bad 
boys."

One of the rationales for such tactics was spelled out
in a series of articles by John Arquilla, a professor
of defense analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School,
in Monterey, California, and a consultant on terrorism
for the rand corporation. "It takes a network to fight
a network," Arquilla wrote in a recent article in the
San Francisco Chronicle:

When conventional military operations and bombing
failed to defeat the Mau Mau insurgency in Kenya in the
1950s, the British formed teams of friendly Kikuyu
tribesmen who went about pretending to be terrorists.
These "pseudo gangs," as they were called, swiftly
threw the Mau Mau on the defensive, either by
befriending and then ambushing bands of fighters or by
guiding bombers to the terrorists' camps. What worked
in Kenya a half-century ago has a wonderful chance of undermining trust and 
recruitment among today's terror networks. Forming new pseudo gangs should not 
be difficult.

"If a confused young man from Marin County can join up
with Al Qaeda," Arquilla wrote, referring to John
Walker Lindh, the twenty-year-old Californian who was
seized in Afghanistan, "think what professional
operatives might do."

A few pilot covert operations were conducted last year,
one Pentagon adviser told me, and a terrorist cell in
Algeria was "rolled up" with American help. The adviser
was referring, apparently, to the capture of Ammari
Saifi, known as Abderrezak le Para, the head of a North
African terrorist network affiliated with Al Qaeda. But
at the end of the year there was no agreement within
the Defense Department about the rules of engagement.
"The issue is approval for the final authority," the
former high-level intelligence official said. "Who gets
to say 'Get this' or 'Do this'?"

A retired four-star general said, "The basic concept
has always been solid, but how do you insure that the
people doing it operate within the concept of the law?
This is pushing the edge of the envelope." The general
added, "It's the oversight. And you're not going to get Warner"--John Warner, 
of Virginia, the chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee--"and those 
guys to exercise oversight. This whole thing goes to the Fourth Deck." He was 
referring to the floor in the Pentagon where Rumsfeld and Cambone have their 
offices.

"It's a finesse to give power to Rumsfeld--giving him
the right to act swiftly, decisively, and lethally,"
the first Pentagon adviser told me. "It's a global
free-fire zone."

The Pentagon has tried to work around the limits on
covert activities before. In the early
nineteen-eighties, a covert Army unit was set up and
authorized to operate overseas with minimal oversight.
The results were disastrous. The Special Operations
program was initially known as Intelligence Support
Activity, or I.S.A., and was administered from a base
near Washington (as was, later, Gray Fox). It was
established soon after the failed rescue, in April,
1980, of the American hostages in Iran, who were being
held by revolutionary students after the Islamic
overthrow of the Shah's regime. At first, the unit was
kept secret from many of the senior generals and
civilian leaders in the Pentagon, as well as from many
members of Congress. It was eventually deployed in the
Reagan Administration's war against the Sandinista
government, in Nicaragua. It was heavily committed to supporting the Contras. 
By the mid-eighties, however, the I.S.A.'s operations had been curtailed, and 
several of its senior officers were courtmartialled following a series of 
financial scandals, some involving arms deals. The affair was known as "the 
Yellow Fruit scandal," after the code name given to one of the I.S.A.'s cover 
organizations--and in many ways the group's procedures laid the groundwork for 
the Iran-Contra scandal.

Despite the controversy surrounding Yellow Fruit, the
I.S.A. was kept intact as an undercover unit by the
Army. "But we put so many restrictions on it," the
second Pentagon adviser said. "In I.S.A., if you wanted
to travel fifty miles you had to get a special order.
And there were certain areas, such as Lebanon, where
they could not go." The adviser acknowledged that the
current operations are similar to those two decades
earlier, with similar risks--and, as he saw it, similar
reasons for taking the risks. "What drove them then, in
terms of Yellow Fruit, was that they had no
intelligence on Iran," the adviser told me. "They had
no knowledge of Tehran and no people on the ground who
could prepare the battle space."

Rumsfeld's decision to revive this approach stemmed,
once again, from a failure of intelligence in the
Middle East, the adviser said. The Administration
believed that the C.I.A. was unable, or unwilling, to
provide the military with the information it needed to effectively challenge 
stateless terrorism. "One of the big challenges was that we didn't have 
Humint"--human intelligence--"collection capabilities in areas where terrorists 
existed," the adviser told me. "Because the C.I.A. claimed to have such a hold 
on Humint, the way to get around them, rather than take them on, was to claim 
that the agency didn't do Humint to support Special Forces operations overseas. 
The C.I.A. fought it." Referring to Rumsfeld's new authority for covert 
operations, the first Pentagon adviser told me, "It's not empowering military 
intelligence. It's emasculating the C.I.A."

A former senior C.I.A. officer depicted the agency's
eclipse as predictable. "For years, the agency bent
over backward to integrate and cooerdinate with the
Pentagon," the former officer said. "We just caved and
caved and got what we deserved. It is a fact of life
today that the Pentagon is a five-hundred-pound gorilla
and the C.I.A. director is a chimpanzee."

There was pressure from the White House, too. A former
C.I.A. clandestine-services officer told me that, in
the months after the resignation of the agency's
director George Tenet, in June, 2004, the White House
began "coming down critically" on analysts in the
C.I.A.'s Directorate of Intelligence (D.I.) and
demanded "to see more support for the Administration's political position." 
Porter Goss, Tenet's successor, engaged in what the recently retired C.I.A. 
official described as a "political purge" in the D.I. Among the targets were a 
few senior analysts who were known to write dissenting papers that had been 
forwarded to the White House. The recently retired C.I.A. official said, "The 
White House carefully reviewed the political analyses of the D.I. so they could 
sort out the apostates from the true believers." Some senior analysts in the 
D.I. have turned in their resignations--quietly, and without revealing the 
extent of the disarray.

The White House solidified its control over
intelligence last month, when it forced last-minute
changes in the intelligence-reform bill. The
legislation, based substantially on recommendations of
the 9/11 Commission, originally gave broad powers,
including authority over intelligence spending, to a
new national-intelligence director. (The Pentagon
controls roughly eighty per cent of the intelligence
budget.) A reform bill passed in the Senate by a vote
of 96-2. Before the House voted, however, Bush, Cheney,
and Rumsfeld balked. The White House publicly supported
the legislation, but House Speaker Dennis Hastert
refused to bring a House version of the bill to the
floor for a vote--ostensibly in defiance of the
President, though it was widely understood in Congress
that Hastert had been delegated to stall the bill.
After intense White House and Pentagon lobbying, the legislation was rewritten. 
The bill that Congress approved sharply reduced the new director's power, in 
the name of permitting the Secretary of Defense to maintain his "statutory 
responsibilities." Fred Kaplan, in the online magazine Slate, described the 
real issues behind Hastert's action, quoting a congressional aide who expressed 
amazement as White House lobbyists bashed the Senate bill and came up "with all 
sorts of ludicrous reasons why it was unacceptable."

"Rummy's plan was to get a compromise in the bill in
which the Pentagon keeps its marbles and the C.I.A.
loses theirs," the former high-level intelligence
official told me. "Then all the pieces of the puzzle
fall in place. He gets authority for covert action that
is not attributable, the ability to directly task national-intelligence 
assets"--including the many intelligence satellites that constantly orbit the 
world.

"Rumsfeld will no longer have to refer anything through
the government's intelligence wringer," the former
official went on. "The intelligence system was designed
to put competing agencies in competition. What's
missing will be the dynamic tension that insures
everyone's priorities--in the C.I.A., the D.O.D., the
F.B.I., and even the Department of Homeland
Security--are discussed. The most insidious implication
of the new system is that Rumsfeld no longer has to
tell people what he's doing so they can ask, 'Why are
you doing this?' or 'What are your priorities?' Now he
can keep all of the mattress mice out of it."

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]






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