Re: [LEAPSECS] time zones and DST

2009-01-06 Thread Tony Finch
On Tue, 6 Jan 2009, Rob Seaman wrote:

 Your April Fool's post on risks may be the most coherent analysis I've
 read on the subject [of DST].

Thanks :-)

 Where I grew up in the U.S. mid-Atlantic states, the most obvious effect of
 DST was to extend the usable hours of daylight for Summer evenings.  (Perhaps
 some other narrative applies at higher or lower latitudes?)

Same everywhere as far as I can tell.

 Since we were off school, the morning issues were meaningless.  And
 workers go to work when their bosses tell them to.  The time they own
 for themselves and their families is after work.

Right. People generally prefer to use their evenings for recreation rather
than socializing in the mornings before work. Hence shifting work closer
to sunrise in the summer to get lighter evenings at the expense of the
less-used mornings. If you read David Prerau's history of DST it becomes
clear that it isn't possible to get bosses to agree on an earlier summer
timetable except by changing the clocks. http://www.seizethedaylight.com/

DST became popular in the 20th century because of the increase in
urbanization and the consequent increase in the time-related coupling of
our activities. This made it harder for individuals and organizations to
set their timetables according to their own preferences. The number of
organizations makes it impossible to get consensus on a co-ordinated
timetable change, so it has to be done by the government dictating when to
change the clocks.

This is why DST is a sensible solution to the problem of the mismatch
between natural human preferences and inflexible timetables based on mean
solar time.

 Recently, all discussions of DST are framed in turns of energy.

As you say, that is a red herring. It's similar in that respect to the
arguments made in Scotland (where winter days are not long enough for
daylight to cover both the morning and evening commute) about the
relationship between accident rates and choice of time zone. Whenever an
English politician suggests switching to CET to match the continent, the
Scots insist they will stay on GMT because they say children will get hurt
on the roads going to school. In truth, being on GMT means the accidents
happen in the evening instead, and the real reason for resisting change is
they prefer the sun to rise before work.

(The efficiency argument may have had some merit for war economies, but
DST would have been discarded in peacetime like other war measures were it
not popular for reasons other than efficiency.)

 If DST were really a mechanism for managing our natural daylight resource,
 rather than a naive attempt at PR regarding petroleum resources, it would be
 applied in the Winter when the daylight is in shortest supply.

Your phrasing there makes it sound like you think DST increases the supply
of daylight. Obviously it doesn't. It just improves the match between our
timetables and sunrise, reducing the amount of wasted light in the early
morning. There's no wasted light in winter mornings, so it doesn't make
sense to have DST then.

Having said that, there is a general tendency for time zones to move so
that they are centred further west than their nominal meridian. The
Central European and North American Central time zones are good examples.
This has the effect of making sunrise later in the winter than it would
otherwise be, in those areas near the edges of the time zones - that is, a
kind of winter DST, though often with even more DST in the summer.

Tony.
-- 
f.anthony.n.finch  d...@dotat.at  http://dotat.at/
ROCKALL MALIN: SOUTHERLY IN SOUTH AT FIRST, AND BECOMING VARIABLE 4 IN NORTH
FOR A TIME, OTHERWISE MAINLY WESTERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY, 4 OR 5, OCCASIONALLY
6. MODERATE OR ROUGH. OCCASIONAL RAIN. MODERATE OR GOOD.
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Re: [LEAPSECS] time zones and DST

2009-01-06 Thread Rob Seaman

Tony Finch wrote:

This is why DST is a sensible solution to the problem of the  
mismatch between natural human preferences and inflexible timetables  
based on mean solar time.


I don't think inflexible is the right choice of words, but I'll let  
it pass to make a more basic point.  DST only offers the opportunity  
for sensible seasonal solutions.  In the absence of coherent  
government oversight (an oxymoron if ever there was), no such solution  
will be sensible.


I continue to question whether DST is the right platform for  
accommodating secular shifts in the underlying worldwide civil  
timescale.  Some sort of longitudinal study would be required to build  
a case for any solution that doesn't stabilize the timescale.


Your phrasing there makes it sound like you think DST increases the  
supply of daylight.


No, just that the pressure to do the job right is greater when the  
resource is in shorter supply.  Since DST is actually applied  
precisely when it spills over both further into the morning and  
further into the evening hours, I question whether your explanation is  
complete or consistent.


Having said that, there is a general tendency for time zones to move  
so that they are centred further west than their nominal meridian.


As with other clock and calendrical issues, there is rather a tendency  
to overgeneralize.  For instance, it would be very interesting to  
contrast DST policies in the southern hemisphere with those in the  
north.  The Earth is very asymmetric north and south and such a study  
would be likely to reveal interesting usage patterns relating to  
underlying human factors.


Rob

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Re: [LEAPSECS] time zones and DST

2009-01-06 Thread Tony Finch
On Tue, 6 Jan 2009, Rob Seaman wrote:
 Tony Finch wrote:

  This is why DST is a sensible solution to the problem of the mismatch
  between natural human preferences and inflexible timetables based on mean
  solar time.

 I don't think inflexible is the right choice of words, but I'll let it pass
 to make a more basic point.

The individual timetables aren't inflexible, but the aggregate of all of
them is.

 DST only offers the opportunity for sensible seasonal solutions.  In the
 absence of coherent government oversight (an oxymoron if ever there
 was), no such solution will be sensible.

Right. Prerau's history provides plenty of examples.

 No, just that the pressure to do the job right is greater when the
 resource is in shorter supply.  Since DST is actually applied precisely
 when it spills over both further into the morning and further into the
 evening hours, I question whether your explanation is complete or
 consistent.

Don't be confused by the name: it isn't about saving daylight. Winter
time already makes best use of daylight when there's less available.
In the summer there's more daylight, but the early morning daylight is
wasted, so we move the clocks so that we can make better use of the extra
light.

DST can be viewed as a version of my sunrise time idea that has been
simplified so that it's acceptable for practical use - i.e. roughly
adjusting clocks to follow sunrise rather than noon, which has the effect
of giving you light later into the evening in the summer.

  Having said that, there is a general tendency for time zones to move
  so that they are centred further west than their nominal meridian.

 As with other clock and calendrical issues, there is rather a tendency to
 overgeneralize.  For instance, it would be very interesting to contrast DST
 policies in the southern hemisphere with those in the north.

Southern timezones are biased westwards for the same reason as northern
ones - the sun rises later in the west there too. It isn't a seasonal
effect so there's no north/south difference. What is different is the
calendar months in which DST is applied.

There seems to be less agreement over DST schedules in the south - they
don't have large co-ordinated blocks following the same schedule like
North America and Europe. Australia doesn't have a federal schedule, for
example. I guess this is because there aren't any similarly large highly
developed and densely poulated areas in the south.

Tony.
-- 
f.anthony.n.finch  d...@dotat.at  http://dotat.at/
ROCKALL MALIN: MAINLY SOUTHWEST 4 OR 5, OCCASIONALLY 6 AT FIRST, BECOMING
VARIABLE 3 FOR A TIME. MODERATE OR ROUGH. OCCASIONAL RAIN. MODERATE OR GOOD.
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