Free love? What have I been missing?

2003-11-19 Thread Phil Payne
http://www.infoworld.com/article/03/11/19/HNgplthreatens_1.html

"McBride likened the notion of free software to a variety of movements including file 
sharing,
the dot-com bubble, and even free love. He predicted that the proprietary and 
open-source
worlds were on a "collision course," that would ultimately result in the end of the GPL
license."

I've lain in the bath a few times over the last few months (no smart remarks - usually 
I
shower) and contemplated the idea of free software.

I've come to the conclusion that it's inevitable and unavoidable, and the main reason 
is the
proliferation of development platorms.

When I first started in IT, there were about 10,000 systems on this planet capable of 
running
a compiler.  And most of those were under such tight audit control that running an
unauthorised batch job was a dismissable offence.  Machine time was charged out at 
hundreds or
even thousands of pounds per CPU hour, and unauthorised use was theft.

Now, there are literally hundreds of millions of systems capable of running a compiler.

Payne's Fourth Law (mine) expounded in 1989 was - "If it's free on the network 
anywhere, it's
free on the network everywhere."

The same is becoming true of software.  Probably lots of people in lots of places have 
written
exactly what you need.  It only takes one of them not to charge and that software is 
free.
You will, for example, never be able to charge for search engine services ever again.

The same is true of software.  Apart from pretty highly specialised stuff, free 
software is
inevitable.

--
  Phil Payne
  http://www.isham-research.com
  +44 7785 302 803


Re: Free love? What have I been missing?

2003-11-20 Thread Colin Walls
> -Original Message-
> From: Phil Payne [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> I've lain in the bath a few times over the last few months
> (no smart remarks - usually I
> shower) and contemplated the idea of free software.
>
> I've come to the conclusion that it's inevitable and
> unavoidable, and the main reason is the
> proliferation of development platorms.

Its inevitable as the abstraction gets further away from the machine. In the
days when the OS was essentially a re-entrant program loader and CPU power
was limited there was money to be had down at this level.

Now that CPU power and the OS have dropped down the food chain and are
essentially commodity items it isn't possible the same kind of profit on
them.

I used to work at the University in Manchester, in which there is a
Whitworth building. Before Whitworth came along people made nuts and bolts
by hand, a high cost operation, proprietary occupation. Once he introduced a
machine to automate the cutting of threads in a repeatable, high quality,
way the hand cutting industry was doomed. The open, standard way of
producing displaced the proprietary. I see the software industry in the same
way.

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Re: Free love? What have I been missing?

2003-11-20 Thread Paul Hanrahan
Phil,

My grandfather on my father's side started a second family at 61 and lived
to be 90. My father stared his family in his 30's. Family tradition has is
that my grandfather was a blacksmith who became a car mechanic. I'm not sure
how accurate the family story is but it is a good story. One has to adapt in
our profession as my grandfather did in his.

Programmer's should get out of the technical end of thing by the time the
are 30 if they want to follow the path the statistics say the more
successful of us follow.

Paul Hanrahan


Re: Free love? What have I been missing?

2003-11-20 Thread Peter Webb, Toronto Transit Commission
A more recent example is in the model railroading field. Not many years ago,
command control systems for model trains were all proprietary, with several
manufacturers offering their own systems. Then an open standard system was
introduced, and now the proprietary systems have disappeared from the market
in North America. There are now many more businesses supplying open standard
command control systems and accessories, with lower prices than before, and
a much bigger market as a result.

> -Original Message-
> From: Colin Walls [SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Thursday, November 20, 2003 3:37 AM
> To:   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject:  Re: Free love?  What have I been missing?
>
> > -Original Message-
> > From: Phil Payne [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > I've lain in the bath a few times over the last few months
> > (no smart remarks - usually I
> > shower) and contemplated the idea of free software.
> >
> > I've come to the conclusion that it's inevitable and
> > unavoidable, and the main reason is the
> > proliferation of development platorms.
>
> Its inevitable as the abstraction gets further away from the machine. In
> the
> days when the OS was essentially a re-entrant program loader and CPU power
> was limited there was money to be had down at this level.
>
> Now that CPU power and the OS have dropped down the food chain and are
> essentially commodity items it isn't possible the same kind of profit on
> them.
>
> I used to work at the University in Manchester, in which there is a
> Whitworth building. Before Whitworth came along people made nuts and bolts
> by hand, a high cost operation, proprietary occupation. Once he introduced
> a
> machine to automate the cutting of threads in a repeatable, high quality,
> way the hand cutting industry was doomed. The open, standard way of
> producing displaced the proprietary. I see the software industry in the
> same
> way.
>
> Internet communications are not secure and therefore the Barclays Group
> does not accept legal responsibility for the contents of this message.
> Although the Barclays Group operates anti-virus programmes, it does not
> accept responsibility for any damage whatsoever that is caused by
> viruses being passed.  Any views or opinions presented are solely those
> of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the Barclays
> Group.  Replies to this email may be monitored by the Barclays Group
> for operational or business reasons.


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