[Marxism] Looming Danger of Abrupt Climate Change

2013-12-28 Thread ehrbar
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Here is another quote from chapter 7   of Capital:

 Though a use-value, in the form of a product, issues from the
 labor-process, yet other use-values, products of previous labor, enter
 into it as means of production.  The same-use-value is both the
 product of a previous process, and a means of production in a later
 process.  Products are therefore not only results, but also conditions
 of labor.

 Since Marx overlooked earlier that every production process
 not only produces products but at the same time also
 produces waste streams, it is not surprising that he
 overlooks here the important fact that not only the
 intended products but also the waste streams of one
 production process can be used as inputs into different
 production processes.  The earth is not a closed system but
 it receives a steady flow of high-grade energy from the
 sun.  Because of this it is possible to design systems of
 production processes which do not irreversibly degrade the
 environment but which clean each other up.  Biological
 systems do this all the time, but the possibility and
 necessity to apply similar principles to production has not
 been recognized until very recently.  In some of his
 writings, Marx seems aware of this, but in chapter 7, in
 his general analysis of the production process, he
 overlooks it.  If we read Marx today we must be aware of
 the things he overlooked so that we can apply his theory
 correctly to the present time.

 Hans.


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[Marxism] Socialism of retreat

2013-12-28 Thread ehrbar
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The section about Utilization of the Excretions of Production in
chapter 5 of Capital III is very interesting.  Here is a link.

http://marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1894-c3/ch05.htm

Here Marx describes some of the discoveries of his time, how certain
waste materials were unexpectedly found to be useful, and how capitalism
led to production processes unnecessarily wasteful of natural resources,
or how certain potentially useful waste products were not used, or were
used for the production of inferior products.

How should this evidence be integrated in Marx's theory of
the production process developed in chapter 7 of the first
volume?  Environmentalists today know that the use of waste
products in production is not a curiosity but must become
the rule.  Production which uses waste products from other
production processes is not second best.  On the contrary,
today we must consider production which uses certain low
entropy ores as second best and to be phased out.  More
details in the Rockstroem article about planetary
boundaries.  Only production that recycles waste products is
sustainable and we must actively search for such
technologies.  If there is a production process which
generates waste that cannot be integrated in a circular
process then it must be phased out as well (I would consider
nuclear power as one of those).  Production which injects
sequestered carbon into the active carbon cycle must be
phased out very quickly, this is a true emergency.

This gives strict constraints on which technologies can
be used, and it will mean quite different life styles than
those living in the rich nations have come to expect,
although the quality of life can still be quite good.  If
we, i.e., world society with all its diverse class and
national interests, do not manage to make this
transition/retreat deliberately it will come anyway, more
abruptly with more hardship and more injustice.

Although I don't consider this way of looking at things to
be incompatible with Marx, I don't think Marx put the puzzle
pieces together in this way.  To me, the question to what
extent Marx knew all that is not as important as the
question whether the things I tried to summarize from modern
environmentalist knowledge are guidelines which socialists
should adopt.

Hans G Ehrbar



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[Marxism] socialism of retreat

2013-12-28 Thread ehrbar
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Thank you for giving me the last word.  I'll make it brief.
There is no time to make a socialist revolution first and
then tackle climate change.  The world economy must be
decarbonized under capitalism.  The only way this can happen
quickly enough is through the demand side.  A cultural shift
and grassroots movement is needed where those who have more
income than they need (the middle class) everywhere on
this planet voluntarily reduce and decarbonize their own
consumption and force their governments to regulate
capitalist energy production.  If you say this is not likely
to happen I agree, but there is growing consensus that this
is the only way a profound enough change still could happen
at this late time.  I recommend to listen to the radical
emission reduction conference in London Dec 11/12 2013 at

http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/communication/news-archive/2013/radical-emissions-reduction-conference-videos-now-online

Hans.




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[Marxism] Looming Danger of Abrupt Climate Change

2013-12-27 Thread ehrbar
 have given
 humankind more degrees of freedom to organize production sensibly in a
 sustainable way.

 Hans G Ehrbar



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[Marxism] Looming Danger of Abrupt Climate Change

2013-12-27 Thread ehrbar
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Shaun asked me for precice references.

A book with good information about the Soviet Union's efforts to modify
nature for human benefit is Paul Josephson's Industrialized Nature:
Brute Force Technology Island Press 2002, Amazon
http://www.amazon.com/Industrialized-Nature-Technology-Transformation-Natural/dp/1559637773/


My first Marx quote is the second paragraph in chapter 3, section 2 a
 http://marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1867-c1/ch03.htm#S2a

 In so far as the process of exchange transfers commodities from hands
 in which they are non-use-values to hands in which they are
 use-values, it is a process of social metabolism.  The product of one
 kind of useful labor replaces that of another.  Once a commodity has
 arrived at a place where it can serve as use-value, it falls out of
 the sphere of exchange into that of consumption.  Only the sphere of
 exchange is of interest to us here.

The translation used by marxists.org says social circulation of matter.
The German says gesellschaftlicher Stoffwechsel and I think
whenever Marx uses the word Stoffwechsel one should translate
it with the same word metabolism.


My second quote is in the 7th paragraph of chapter 7, section 1
http://marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1867-c1/ch07.htm#S1


Here is what I quoted in the earlier email:

  That which in the laborer appeared as movement, now appears in the
  product as a fixed quality without motion. The blacksmith forges and
  the product is a forging.

Here is the entire paragraph:

 In the labour-process, therefore, man's activity, with the help of the
 instruments of labour, effects an alteration, designed from the
 commencement, in the material worked upon. The process disappears in
 the product, the latter is a use-value, Nature's material adapted by a
 change of form to the wants of man. Labour has incorporated itself
 with its subject: the former is materialised, the latter
 transformed. That which in the labourer appeared as movement, now
 appears in the product as a fixed quality without motion. The
 blacksmith forges and the product is a forging. 

I think it is wrong to say that the process disappears in
the product.  Along with the product, every production
process also generates a stream of waste.  This waste stream
is as essential for production as the materials entering the
production process.  Marx talks about the material object of
the labor process but not about the waste stream.  It is
exactly this stream of waste which makes us sick today and
which suffocates us.  We are overusing the planet's
capability to absorb our waste products, especially our
greenhouse gases.

My next quote is at the same URL, search for rusts:


  A machine which does not serve the purposes of labor, is useless.  In
  addition, it falls prey to the destructive influence of natural
  forces.  Iron rusts and wood rots.  Yarn with which we neither weave
  nor knit, is cotton wasted.  Living labor must seize upon these
  things and rouse them from their death-sleep, change them from mere
  possible use-values into actual and effective ones.  Bathed in the
  fire of labor, appropriated as part and parcel of labor's organism,
  and, as it were, made alive for the performance of their functions in
  the process, they are consumed but consumed with a purpose, as
  constitutive elements of new use-values, of new products, ever ready
  as means of subsistence for individual consumption, or as means of
  production for some new labor-process.


Marx's systemic and relational view of society is exactly what is needed
to understand today's paralysis in front of climate change etc, it is
much more fruitful than modern methodological individualism.  Marx has
already seen at his time the beginnings of the contradictions that
engulf us today.  Therefore we can learn a lot from him.  But he was
only human, he did not get everything completely right.

Hans


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[Marxism] Textbook example how damaging bogus solutions can be

2013-09-15 Thread ehrbar
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On Sep 12, German TV had a 7-minute segment about the
increased use of the very dirty bituminous coal (Braunkohle)
in Germany.  The story told there to a broad German audience
shows clearly how damaging bogus solutions can be.  Higher
energy prices associated with the German Feed-In Tariffs
have caused some mothballed extremely dirty coal power
plants to start up again.  In theory, cap and trade should
prevent this, but the carbon price on the EU ETS is
extremely low right now due to an over-issue of permits, and
politicians catering to the coal industry block reforms
which would raise the price again.

Germany does many things right and in may respect their
energy policy must be upheld as shining example for other
nations, but here they are as bad as the Koch Brothers in
the US -- with the difference that the German Politicians
supporting their local dirty coal pretend to be green since
they are supporting the EU ETS as a market-based clean
energy policy.  This TV segment exposes one such bogus
solution as a Trojan horse designed to roll back the advances
made by the Feed-In Tariff system and the switch away from
nuclear energy in Germany.  The late Herrman Scheer had it
right when he said such a cap and trade system turns the
minimum into a maximum.

For a week after its broadcast, all German TV transmissions
are available on line.  I.e., for the next few days
you can watch this segment (in German) at

http://www.ardmediathek.de/das-erste/panorama/energiewende-rueckkehr-der-schmutzigen-kohle?documentId=17077424

Hans G Ehrbar



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[Marxism] World's tallest dam approved by Chinese environmental officials | Environment | guardian.co.uk

2013-05-17 Thread ehrbar
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Lou Proyect forwarded a link with the comment:

 We are doomed as a species. Time to make your bucket list.

There have indeed been many news items recently describing
from various angles how precarious the situation is and how
urgent it is to take action now if we want our children and
grandchildren to have a future.  A common thread of most
of these environmental disaster stories is that humankind
has the knowledge and technology to avert this disaster,
the only obstacle is our social relations.

Social relations exist only in our actions and are
reproduced by our actions.  The byline should therefore be
that we must learn to act in ways which do not reproduce the
social relations dooming our species, but foster the needed
change -- and maybe a discussion of those initiatives which
most deserve our support (such as Bill McKibben's
international power shift).  Instead, Lou's joke conjures
the inevitability of the destructive path which our present
social relations have in store for us.  Marx calls this
commodity fetishism, the view that our own social
relations are inevitable natural forces.

Hans G Ehrbar


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[Marxism] EU conference in Durban Framework: Informative Video Stream

2013-05-12 Thread ehrbar
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An important result of the 2011 Climate Change Conference
in Durban

   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_United_Nations_Climate_Change_Conference

is the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action.  This
framework for international climate negotiations eliminates
the distinction between Annex I and Non-Annex I countries.
Instead, its goal is to draft an international climate
agreement by the year 2015, to go into effect in 2020, which
ensures the highest possible mitigation efforts by *all
parties*.

I always thought the Durban framework has two shortcomings:

(a) 2020 is too late.

(b) by ignoring the historical debt of the rich countries
it places too much burden on the poor countries.

But I'd like to start a discussion here whether activists
world wide, environmentalists, socialists, and
ecosocialists, should support the Durban framework anyway.

As part of its preparations for this climate agreement, the
European Union organized a so-called stakeholder
conference on April 17, 2013.  The Conference Web site

   http://ec.europa.eu/clima/events/0073/index_en.htm

has a link to the videos and slides of all talks.  The first
speaker is John Schellnhuber, giving an overview of the
latest science and a preview of what is going to come in the
5th Assessment Report of the IPCC which is due next year.


Climate deniers try to make a big deal from the empirical
fact that world-wide atmospheric mean temperatures have not
risen much since 1996.  This does not mean global warming
has stopped.  But right now all the excess heat goes into
the oceans.  Schellnhuber said that this pause in
atmospheric warming may last another decade.  Although the
heating of the oceans is dangerous itself, I have the
impression this gives us a little more time.

This is relevant for my objection (a) to the Durban process.
Perhaps it is not too late but has some chance of success.
I try to be realistic.  Being realistic not only means
seeing the dangers but also seeing the opportunities.

Regarding point (b), Schellnhuber says here, but in much
more detail in a teaching video

   http://www.wbgu.de/en/trafoseminar/1-interview/

that soon, the majority of the affluent people, whose
consumption of meat and cars wrecks the climate, will live
in the global South.  Therefore it is no longer going to be
OECD countries against poor countries, but affluent
consumers everywhere against poor people everywhere.  If
this is the real issue, then ignoring the historical debt of
the OECD countries does not do terminal harm to
international negotiations.

The second speaker, Connie Hedegaard, the EU Commissioner
for Climate Action, gives an overview of the political
issues.  Then there is a panel discussion and also audience
questions.

A young person in the audience asked whether the Durban
framework was going to represent the interests of the youth.
Schellnhuber answered that, in order to have their interests
heard, the youth has to organize.  Although the majority of
the youth affected by climate change are still in diapers or
are not yet born, those who are old enough should indeed
organize.


I think this video shows that there are people in
responsible positions who see the danger and are trying to
save the climate.  They need support from a world wide mass
movement.  Due to the internet, such a mass movement is
possible.

The elephant in the room which nobody really could talk
about was of course the US.  Criticizing the US would have
been counterproductive, because it would have given the US
an excuse not to cooperate.  Therefore the US was mentioned
very little.  If the younger Bush wrecked the UNFCCC
process, Obama may become known in history as the president
who wrecked the Durban process.  The pressure is on us,
citizens and activists in the United States, that this is
not going to happen.

This video stream is several hours long but very
informative, I can recommend it highly.

Hans G. Ehrbar


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[Marxism] Geoengineering

2013-04-02 Thread ehrbar
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The Australian philosopher Clive Hamilton, who has written
*Affluenca* and *Requiem for a Species*, just published a
book about Geoengineering, called *Earthmasters*.  I haven't
seen it yet.  In *Requiem for a Species* Hamilton says:
since it is becoming increasingly clear that climate change
is going to accelerate out of control, geoengineering is
going to come.  Preparations are made behind closed doors,
and a public discussion about it is necessary.  (Ptrdumsbly
this is why the book about geoengineering is his next book
after *Requiem*).

Hamilton makes a striking comparison:

climate mitigation is expensive, has long lead times
to show effects, and needs international cooperation.

geoengineering is cheap, has immediate effects, and can be
done by one nation or even one wealthy individual.

In Hamilton's view, an international treaty regulating
geoengineering is urgently needed.  Assume hot and dry
Australia starts spraying sulfates in the stratosphere and
causes the monsoon rains in India to stop, so that many more
people in India die than are saved in Australia.  Or some
billionaire nut case is trying to save the world.  Many
other conflict scenarios are possible.

Hamilton's book is at

http://amzn.com/1364913866

My view is that of course, in the long run, geoengineering
is not cheap.  Instead of the human race coming to
understand their place as part of the biosphere, it is the
ultimate effort of humans to dominate nature.  This will
necessarily fail because at this point we don't know enough
about the earth and neither have the economic resources nor
the global governance for the kind of intervention necessary
to regulate the planet.  The capitalist system, which is
threatened by climate change, tries to reassert itself in
its ugliest form by geoengineering.  The question is: do we
want a comparatively slow (decades) and possibly more
egalitarian death for most of our children and
grandchildren, or do we want to try to maintain the illusion
of normality for another decade or so and then, when
geoengineering hits its necessary limits, have a much faster
breakdown (years or months) in which those with money will
survive longer than others, since they have built fortified
communities in Alaska and Antarctica?  I vote for the slow
way, because it has better chances for us to get rid of the
capitalist system in the process, for the human race not to
go entirely extinct, and perhaps even to learn from the
experience.

Hans Ehrbar

P.S. here is the book blurb for Hamilton's book:

This book goes to the heart of the unfolding reality of the
twenty-first century: international efforts to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions have all failed and before the end
of the century Earth is projected to be warmer than it has
been for 15 million years. The question, can the crisis be
avoided? has been superseded by a more frightening one,
what can be done to prevent the devastation of the living
world?. And the disturbing answer, now under wide
discussion both within and outside the scientific community,
is to seize control of the very climate of the Earth itself.
Clive Hamilton begins by exploring the range of technologies
now being developed in the field of geoengineering - the
intentional, enduring, large-scale manipulation of Earth's
climate system. He lays out the arguments for and against
climate engineering, and reveals the extent of vested
interests linking researchers, venture capitalists, and
corporations. He then examines what it means for human
beings to be making plans to control the planet's
atmosphere, probes the uneasiness we feel with the notion of
exercising technological mastery over nature, and challenges
the ways we think about ourselves and our place in the
natural world.



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[Marxism] Global Warming Projections by Climate Scientists

2013-02-14 Thread ehrbar
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Correction: when Russia's carbon emissions declined by 5%
per year for ten years, its GNP *fell* by half.
(My previous email said grew.)

Hans


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[Marxism] Re. Question

2013-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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 what is the *specific* mechanism for the imperative on the
 part of capitalists to accumulate, i.e. consume productively, (some
 of) their surplus-value as new capital

I don't think you should look for a specific mechanism, you
should look for the underlying systemic necessity which will
be realized in many different ways.

According to my understanding of Marx, the real definition
of capital cannot be that it generates surplus-value,
because then you have a false distinction between capital
and surplus-value.  The real definition of capital is value
in motion, value that generates more value out of itself,
not just once but indefinitely.

I think modern systems theory calls this an autopoietic
system or an auto-catalytic system but I am not well versed
in this, I just throw it out there if you want to look up
these terms.  Capitalism can only function if it expands,
and its functioning promotes its expansion (at least until
it hits the planet's resource constraints which Marx did not
consider enough).  If you look at the Accumulation chapter
you find several such autocatalytic causal chains, such as:
capital accumulation leads to bigger firms leads to more
economics of scale and therefore faster capital
accumulation.

Interestingly, there is no competitive mechanism prescribing
how much of surplus-value should be converted into capital.
Marx says in chapter 24 that this is the decision of the
capitalist.  I think this should be read to mean the
decision of the capitalist class.  If wages are too high,
they can collectively decide to accumulate more slowly to
make wages lower again.

Here is one example how this plays out in practice: in the
1950s faced with strong UAW demanding higher wages, the
Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep the interest
rate high, forcing the auto companies to grow faster and
therefore forcing them to collectively deny the wage request
of their workers which they easily could have paid for, the
profits were high enough.

Hans G Ehrbar



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[Marxism] Is Growth Over?

2013-01-18 Thread ehrbar
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Shane made an eloquent case that we can continue to grow if
we switch to renewable energies.  I reproduce his essay
below because he sent it three days ago.  My answer is:
energy is *the only* resource where our planet receives a
new supply every day.  In every other respect, the earth is
a closed system.  Therefore only that production is
sustainable in which every waste of one production process
is the raw material for a different production process or
can be used as food by some life forms, and for
sustainability it can only use inputs which are waste
materials from other production processes or living
organisms instead of depleting the finite store of
low-entropy ores.  Modern industrial production does not
meet this test, on the contrary, it literally makes a mess
of our planet.  Modern industrial production is like an
elephant in a porcelain store which gets bigger every day
and smashes more and more porcelain every day and is about
to drown in a sea of porcelain chards.  For instance the
nanofibers which Shane wants to introduce into the
environment on a large scale cannot be broken down by living
beings; they form long microscopic needles which destroy
life on a cellular level similar to asbestos crystals or
alpha radiation.  Most of our technology fixes one problem
by creating a different problem.  We are far away from
technology which integrates into the earth system in a
sustainable way.  In this respect I am a technological
pessimist: we are not gods who can make nature subservient
to us, we are part of nature and we must learn to live in
harmony with nature.  The fossil fuel bonanza has given us
the illusion that we are omnipotent, it is time to wake up
from this dream.

Hans



On Jan 16, 2013, at 2:40 PM, ehr...@greenhouse.economics.utah.edu wrote:

 The times of cheap and abundant energy are over and climate
 change is starting to make everything more difficult and
 expensive...

  But are they?  I say not.  Far from over, the times of cheap  
(virtually free) energy have yet to begin.  But they are literally in  
the process of beginning.  The sun, powered by an absolutely  
inexhaustible energy source, delivers to our planet much more energy  
than a world population twice our size could conceivably utilize. It  
is merely a matter of capturing that energy and restoring it to its  
original form, electricity.  That is what solar photovoltaics and  
aeolian turbines are all about,  And far from everything being more  
difficult and expensive we are seeing rapid and accelerating declines  
in the cost of energy captured by these techniques and of the  
necessary equipment itself.  This without the many more advanced  
technologies now being developed and disclosed constantly all over the  
world. And without any of the conceivable and likely scientific/ 
technological advances yet to be made.

Now more than ever in history scientific/technological pessimism is  
utterly stupid.  Raw materials are absolutely no constraint when  
carbon nanofibers can be made into substitutes for every metal that  
are superior to the original in every respect.  Scientific progress  
(based on information technology) will obviously go on accelerating as  
long as Moore's Law applies (doubling the information-processing  
ability of a single computer chip every three years or less).  Three-D  
printing is already widespread, even in homes. Robotic technologies  
are displacing labor all but entirely when applied. If growth is  
conceived as continual increase in humanity's material abundance there  
is no constraint to its indefinite continuation.

The utopian socialists, Fourier and Saint-Simon most notably, really  
did anticipate this evolution. Their great successor, Marx,  
demonstrated the social conditions for its realization.  But also how  
a social order based on private profit and the preservation of capital  
values stifles and ultimately destroys the very possibility of not  
only progress but even survival itself.  A century ago the Great War  
demonstrated, in Trotsky's words (in War and the Second  
International) the revolt of modern productive forces against the  
narrow bounds of national sovereignty and capitalist social  
relations.  This contradiction has now reached
its breaking point in the form of global heating.  That means the only  
politics worth anything is the struggle, *within political  
institutions tied to the capitalist social order*, to abolish all use  
of fossil fuels and to replace them with solar-derived electricity at  
as close to breakneck speed as can be imposed. The primary political  
demand has to be the imposition of a really big carbon tax to be  
substantially increased every year until the world's coal, oil, and  
gas industries have been totally 

[Marxism] Is Growth Over?

2013-01-16 Thread ehrbar
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I wrote:

 Even the mainstream is coming to the conclusion that there
 are conditions making growth possible that we do not
 understand very well.

Ralph asked me to elaborate and to explain better why I
thought this was a summary of Lou's blog post.

Textbook economics has growth models with capital and labor,
with technology determining the growth rate.  This is what I
call a model which takes growth for granted.  All we need is
living labor and past labor (capital) and somehow increases
in technology will fall like mannah from heaven and the
economy will grow.  Technology does not create unemployment
but, since it leads to growth, increase overall labor
demand.

Marx attacked the so-called theory of compensation, which
was the version of this theory in classical economics, and
more recently Hermann Daly attacked the version of this in
neoclassical economics (Solow's growth models and
derivatives).  Daly says there is a third condition for
growth, namely natural resources, which puts increasing
constraints on growth, and much of what is mistaken as the
effects of technology is really the effect of cheap energy
and increased extraction of natural resources.  There has
been a trickle of papers about this, but recently more and
more mainstream papers and books discuss this issue.  They
look in detail at periods of growth in the past in order to
understand what drove these spurts of growth and when and
why they petered out again. There are also papers about
growth and energy etc.

The times of cheap and abundant energy are over and climate
change is starting to make everything more difficult and
expensive.  I think Lou's blog addresses some of the
symptoms of it without probing the underlying conditions
causing these changes.  This requires a rethinking of
economic theories which only worked during the exceptional
times of the fossil fuel bonanza.  It also requires
different tactics for the class struggle.

Hans


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[Marxism] Is Growth Over?

2013-01-16 Thread ehrbar
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Ralph gave a succinct and helpful summary of a couple of the
many Marxist theories of an impending doom of capitalism and
asked me

 what (I) counter-pose specifically from (my) reading in
 the economic literature.

Thank you for asking, here is my answer:

Doomsday theories are a long tradition in Marxism, we all
are in some ways inured to them.  Therefore it may be
difficult to appreciate the importance of the recent fact
that since about 2004 there has been a rising chorus of
mainstream theorists, first earth systems theorists and then
also economists, promulgating doomsday theories too.

I am enclosing one of these warnings by non-Marixsts at the
end of this message, just as illustration of what I am
talking about.  The difference between these warnings and
the familiar warnings of Marxists is that the new mainstream
doom theories are based on far more specific data and a huge
body of literature from the natural sciences.  The approach
or the catastrophe can be measured, with the verdict that we
are much aurther ahead on the way to catastrophe than it may
seem.

The reason for this catastrophe is the overuse of the
planet's resources by human production and consumption.
More and more of the systems theorists concerned about the
limits of growth and climate change are also coming to the
conclusion that capitalism plays a role in this and we need
a different system.

This is a big movement not led by Marxists.  There should be
discussions among Marxists to better understand this
movement and to make a positive contribution to it.  By
writing a blog post titled Limits to Growth which does not
mention the finiteness of the planet's resources, Lou did
not promote the kind of discussion I think is necessary.


Hans.



Here is an example of a recent prediction of doom, one of
many.  I found it odd that nobody on the Marxism list
brought it up:


http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/01/experts-fear-collapse-of-global-civilisation/

Inter Press Service January 14, 2013

Experts Fear Collapse of Global Civilisation

By Stephen Leahy

UXBRIDGE, Canada, Jan 11 2013 (IPS) - Experts on the health of our planet 
are terrified of the future. They can clearly see the coming collapse of 
global civilisation from an array of interconnected environmental problems.

We're all scared, said Paul Ehrlich, president of the Center for 
Conservation Biology at Stanford University.

But we must tell the truth about what's happening and challenge people to 
do something to prevent it, Ehrlich told IPS.

Global collapse of human civilisation seems likely, write Ehrlich and his 
partner Anne Ehrlich in the prestigious science journal, Proceedings of the 
Royal Society.

This collapse will take the form of a gradual breakdown because famines, 
epidemics and resource shortages cause a disintegration of central control 
within nations, in concert with disruptions of trade and conflicts over 
increasingly scarce necessities, they write.

Already two billion people are hungry today. Food production is humanity's 
biggest industry and is already being affected by climate and other 
environmental problems. No civilisation can avoid collapse if it fails to 
feed its population, the authors say.

Escalating climate disruption, ocean acidification, oceanic dead zones, 
depletion of groundwater and extinctions of plants and animals are the main 
drivers of the coming collapse, they write in their peer-reviewed article 
Can a collapse of global civilisation be avoided? published this week.

Dozens of earth systems experts were consulted in writing the 10-page paper 
that contains over 160 references.

We talked to many of the world's leading experts to reflect what is really 
happening, said Ehrlich, who is an eminent biologist and winner of many 
scientific awards.

Our reality is that current overconsumption of natural resources and the 
resulting damage to life-sustaining services nature provides means we need 
another half of a planet to keeping going. And that's if all seven billion 
remain at their current living standards, the Ehrlichs write.

If everyone lived like a U.S. citizen, another four or five planets would be 
needed.

Global population is projected to increase by 2.5 billion by 2050. It doesn't 
take an expert to conclude that collapse of civilisation will be unavoidable 
without major changes.

We're facing a future where billions will likely die, and yet little is 
being done to avoid certain disaster, he said.

Policy makers and the public aren't terrified about this because they don't 
have the information or the knowledge about how our planet functions, he 
said.

Last March, the world's scientific community provided the first-ever state 
of the planet assessment at the Planet Under Pressure conference  

[Marxism] Is Growth Over?

2013-01-16 Thread ehrbar
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Charlie asks:

 Which overused resource do we know to be irreplaceable now and forever?

Here is an article about those resources which humanity is
overusing:

By Rockstroem and many other authors: Planetary Boundaries:
Exploring the Safe Operating Space for Humanity Ecology and
Society 14(2) 2009,
http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss2/art32

They say: climate change, chemical pollution, atmospheric
aerosol loading, biodiversity loss, land system change,
global freshwater use, phosphorus cycle, nitrogen cycle,
stratospheric ozone depletion, ocean acidification.


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[Marxism] Is Growth Over?

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Shane writes:

 Fossil fuels are not at all overused--the reserves of all
 of them would outlast the human race even if we go on
 using them at present rates for another century.

I agree, they will not run out soon.  We have to stop using
them long before they run out.

Bill McKibben in his Do the Math tour said: Proven oil and
gas reserves, if burned, will produce 2,795 gigatons of CO2
while our carbon budget (if we want to stay below 2 degrees
celsius warming) is 565 gigatons.  I.e., 80% of the proven
oil and gas reserves must stay in the ground.  More at
http://math.350.org

Hans


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[Marxism] Immanuel Wallerstein on US Elections

2012-11-19 Thread ehrbar
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I am sending this to the list because of the following
paragraph, which I consider a plausible explanation of
Obama's failure to push environmental issues.

 Obama has been a big disappointment to that large group of
 his supporters who are motivated by environmental and
 ecological concerns.  He has talked a good line but has done
 rather little.  One reason is that another group of
 supporters - the trade-unions - have been arguing in the
 other direction because of the risk to jobs.  Obama has
 waffled, and he will probably continue to waffle.

I must say I have never heard this before; have I been deaf
or is this issue being hushed up, or is it so wrong that
nobody discusses it, or is it so obvious that everybody
knows and it does not need discussion?  This analysis, if
correct, underscores the necessity for the environmental
movement to build alliances with the labor movement.

Hans.

==

http://www.binghamton.edu/fbc/commentaries/

Permanent URL:

http://www2.binghamton.edu/fbc/commentaries/archive-2012/341en.htm

Commentary No.  341, Nov. 15, 2012

Obama Won: What Will Happen Now?

Obama won the U.S. elections with a significant margin both
in the popular vote and in the Electoral College.  The
Democrats won every closely contested seat for the Senate
except one.  This relieved the Democrats, who had been
worried, and astonished the Republicans, who had felt
certain of victory.  Now the whole world wants to know what
this means for the immediate future of the United States and
the world.  The answer is not simple.

Let me start with foreign policy.  The U.S. government still
wishes to pursue an imperial policy throughout the world.
The problem it faces is very simple.  Its ability to do this
has drastically declined, but the elites (including Obama)
don't wish to acknowledge this.  They still speak of the
United States as the indispensable nation and the
greatest country ever known.  This is a contradiction that
they don't know how to handle.  As for the ordinary
U.S. citizen, an exit poll that asked what motivated the
votes of those polled found that only 4% said foreign
policy.  Nonetheless, most ordinary citizens still believe
the mantra that the United States is the world's golden
example.

We can therefore expect that Obama will continue to do what
he has been doing: talking tough, but acting in fact
prudently vis-a-vis Iran, Syria, Israel, Egypt, Pakistan,
China, Mexico, and indeed most countries.  This of course
exasperates most other countries and all sorts of political
actors across the world.  Whether he can continue to walk
this narrow tightrope without falling off is not at all
assured, especially since the United States can no longer
really control what most other actors will do.

Obama is almost as helpless regarding the economy - the
U.S. economy and the world-economy.  I doubt that he can
seriously reduce U.S. unemployment, and in 2014 and 2016,
this will help the Republicans rebound.  The crucial issue
at the moment is the so-called (and misnamed) fiscal cliff.
The real issue here is who is going to bear the largest
burden of U.S. economic decline.

On these issues, Obama was elected on populist promises but
actually is pursuing a right-of-center position.  He is
offering the Republicans a deal: higher taxes for the
wealthy along with significant cuts in health and maybe
pension expenditures for the majority of the population.
This is the U.S. version of austerity.

This is a bad deal for the vast majority of Americans, but
Obama will pursue it vigorously.  The deal may nonetheless
fall through, if the Republican right wing stupidly refuses
to go along with it.  The business elites of the United
States are putting pressure on the Republicans to accept the
deal.  The trade-unions and the liberals (inside and outside
the Democratic Party) are pushing against the deal.  But
thus far, the liberal anti-deal push has been far weaker
than the business elite pro-deal push.  This is essentially
a class struggle of a very traditional kind, and the 99% do
not always win these struggles.

On so-called social issues, which were a true divider
between the Republicans and Democrats in this election, the
U.S. voting population defeated the troglodytes hands down.
Gay marriage won on the ballot in four states, and the shift
in public opinion indicates this trend will continue.

Even more important was the absolutely lopsided vote for
Obama and the Democrats by African-Americans and by Latinos.
It seems that the ferocious attempts by Republican governors
to impede voting by these groups stirred a backlash, in
which even more of them voted than previously.  For Latinos,
the key issue was immigration reform.  And major figures in
the 

[Marxism] NYT sponsoring reactionary bs from Germany

2012-06-14 Thread ehrbar
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The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung has just published an
article based on a conversation with Hans Werner Sinn which
gives as analysis of the Greek situation which is very
convincing to the lay person but from a Marxist or
progressive point of view is completely wrong.  It is
written for non-experts and published in the famous cultural
section of the paper not in the business section.  I only
have found it in German, it is

http://www.faz.net/aktuell/feuilleton/debatten/hans-werner-sinn-renoviert-das-bad-und-werdet-muendige-buerger-11783018.html

If someone finds it in English, please let us know.

He says that the Greeks bought German cars with the money
borrowed from Germany instead of making their economy more
efficient.  Therefore Germans are financing the lazy Greeks,
instead of consuming so much they must save more and
increase their productivity.  He also says having a trade
surplus is bad for Germany because more wealth flows out
than flows in.

Even from a mainstream economics point of view it is
wrong because he assumes full employment and he assumes
that a nation as a whole can save.

From a Marxist point of view it is doubly wrong because he
starts with the opposition Germany versus Greece instead of
the opposition capitalists versus workers.

I think one can also criticize it from the point of view of
unequal exchange.  The high-use-value German cars are the
bait which extracts exchange-value out of Greece, and the
German workers are given a few crumbs from this booty.  This
is only visible if you distinguish use-value and
exchange-value.

Most reader's comments are completely taken in by Sinn.
Only about 1 in 20 or so have something intelligent to say,
for instance Paul Rabe's contribution on 2012-06-13 17:48.
Maybe there are one or two others, I did not go through all
of them, but sometimes you find gems.  If someone could
write a convincing counter-argument from a Marxist point of
view, this would be great.

The fate of Greece and maybe even the Euro depends very much
on how flexible Germany can be, and this article probably
makes a big contribution towards making public sentiment in
Germany more inflexible.  I think we are observing here the
blowback from the fact that mainstream economics is an
ideology posing as science: the ideological dimension makes
it very difficult for the capitalists to manage this crisis,
it induces them to make the crisis worse instead of better.

Hans.


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[Marxism] Glow in the dark sushi

2012-05-30 Thread ehrbar
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Thank you DCQ, this is well written and well reasoned!  I'd
like to point out some of the things science did not know
sufficiently when it was generally thought that small
amounts of pollution are ok:

(a) bio-accumulation.  If the water has barely measurable or
unmeasurable levels of pollution, fish living in it can
still be highly polluted.  Once the radioactivity is in the
ocean, its effect on humans is determined by a race between
how quickly it decays and how quickly it bio-accumulates.
Some of the more long-lived isotopes, whose effects are
right now masked by the more short-lived isotopes, may
cumulatively be the more damaging ones for humans.

(b) effects on unborns.  Today's babies are born
pre-polluted by the pollution ingested by their mothers.
There are timeseries showing a correlation between nuclear
testing in the USA and lowered IQ levels of babies born at
that time.

(c) Time lag of regulation.  The gravity of the effects of
air pollution have only be discovered in the last 15 years
or so.  Regulation is years or decades behind the quickly
advancing science.

There is so much we don't know that it is prudent to avoid
levels of pollution which are safe according to the
regulations.


Hans.


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[Marxism] Germany: Left Party and Energy Turnaround

2012-05-27 Thread ehrbar
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Germany has been in the News mainly because of Greece, but
other interesting things are happening there too.  At the
bottom of this email is an informative email about the Left
Party.  I can recommend the link to the Victor Grossman
article in MRZine

But in my view, the most important thing happening in
Germany right now is the Energy Turnaround (Energiewende),
i.e., the switch away from nuclear and later also fossil
fuels to renewable energy.  No other country, with the
possible exception of Japan, is doing this.  Germany is the
world pioneer, and the success or failure of its ambitious
program means a lot for what what will happen in other
countries.  Interestingly the energy turnaround happens
under CDU/FDP leadership.  Angela Merkel is somewhat
an outsider in her own party, and there are many in CDU
and FDP who wish it would fail.

The former German minister of the environment, Norbert
Roettgen, has just been fired by Merkel.  Roettgen tried to
pretty much dismantle the German Feed-In tariffs, but he did
not succeed because of opposition of the states in the
former GDR for whom renewable energy is the lifeline.  There
was speculation whether Merkel thought Roettgen did not push
the Energiewende vigorously enough.  It is hard for me to
see from afar, others even say she fired him because he
pushed it too vigorously.

The new minister of the environment is a close ally of
Merkel but not an expert on the environment.  This weekend
it became clear that Merkel herself wants to take leadership
for the energy turnaround (she used to be minister of the
environment before becoming chancellor).  I like what she
is doing:

(a) There will be regular bi-annual meetings with the
Ministerpraesidenten of the states (what in the USA would be
the governors).  Merkel says that some states pursue a
policy of energy autarky which is out of place.

(b) Merkel is introducing legislation which gives the
Federal Government more authority to build an electric
transmission grid.  There are not enough transmission lines
to bring the wind power from the North to the industrial
regions in the South.  Transmission lines are always
difficult, nobody wants them in their backyard.

(c) Merkel is working on a tariff structure so that the
owners of fossil fuel power plants can make money for just
keeping their capacity available in case the sun does not
shine or the wind does not blow.  Renewable energy has
priority, they will be used first.  But at the beginning, as
long as energy storage has not yet been developed
sufficiently, fossil fuel power plants must be used as
backup.  The owners of these plants however threaten to shut
down their plants if they are not allowed to run at full
capacity.  It remains to be seen if they are satisfied with
this temporary bridge-role as long as they are paid for it.
I see these profit guarantees as a gambit by Merkel which
forces them to show whether they are willing to cooperate or
whether they will more openly fight to keep their own
dominance.

Hans


Here is the email which was orginnaly forwarded by Sid Sniad to
Rad-Green:

--- forwarded email ---
From: Ingo Schmidt
Date: Sat, May 26, 2012 at 12:36 PM
Subject: Germany's Left Party in Crisis

Dear friends,

you may have heard about the crisis of The Left Party in Germany.
Mainstream media presents it mostly as an cabal among power-hungry
individuals struggling over leadership positions. Frustrating as these
struggles are, the crisis developed over quite some time. More precisely:
It started to unfold when the Great Recession hit. Contrary to hopes and
expectations on the left, and not only among Left Party folks, increasing
unemployment, wage pressure, and austerity policies did not trigger the
kind of fight back that we have seen in Greece and Spain. And, so far at
least, no electoral left turn, as recently in France, happened either.
Instead, approval rates for The Left Party nose-dived while politically
indeterminate discontent helped another new party, The Pirate Party, to
establish themselves as a player in electoral politics. One of the reasons
for this new German 'Sonderweg' is the capacity of Germany's ruling class
to unload the burden of the economic crisis on other countries, namely the
deficit and debtor countries on the European periphery. Aggressive
beggar-thy-neighbour policies buy, for the time being at least, social
peace at home and make The Left Party look as something not really needed
in a country priding itself as world champion of exports. Under these
conditions tensions that existed in The Left Party from its beginnings in
2007 unfolded slowly until they erupted in the current heated leadership
debate. The bitter irony may be that The Left Party ruins itself just
before the austerity policy the German 

[Marxism] The Art Justifying Unconventional Fuels

2012-05-16 Thread ehrbar
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Yesterday I attended the unconventional fuels conference
organized by the Institute of Clean and Secure Energy (ICSE)
of the University of Utah.  This Institute should better be
named Institute of Dirty and Dangerous Energy because it
researches clean ways of mining and burning fossil fuels.

Utah is the epicenter of tar sands and oil shale development
in the USA.  (I wish they would try to be the epicenter for
solar and geothermal, but they have found a different area
where to excel.)  The State of Utah has an employee with the
title manager of unconventional energy development, whose
job is to help everyone working in unconventional energy in
Utah.  He is joking that his job could be called the most
unconventional state job in the USA because no other state
has such a position.

One of my research goals when attending the conference was
to understand better what the scientists, business people,
and state employees promoting tar sands and oil shale do so
that they can sleep at night.  Because these people are of
course smart enough to know that what they are doing is
making the planet inhospitable for future generations.  Here
are 5 strategies:

(1) The main strategy was not to talk about it, leave it out
as the big elephant in the room.  For instance geochemist
David Pershing, a member of the ICSE who just recently has
become President of the University of Utah, expressed how
happy he was about the ICSE.  He did mention the
environment, he said it was one of their core concerns,
namely

(a) contamination of aquifers
(b) seismic issues

Obviously he was referring to the well known issues of
fracking.  When asked about the main environmental issue,
global warming, he said that natural gas has a lower
carbon footprint than coal.  He ignored recent literature
according to which this is far from certain due to fugitive
emissions of methane, and he also did not mention that tar
sands and oil shale have much higher carbon footprint than
coal.  One firm which does oil shale says that the carbon
footprint of their method has a lower carbon footprint than
other methods.  This is the second denial strategy, namely

(2) find someone who is even worse.

(3) The entire conference was part of their denial strategy.
The conference had the explicit purpose to open the work of
the ICSE to public discussion.  They said they welcomed the
comments of people concerned about what they are doing, and
I believe that they meant it.  In this way they can redefine
the global warming issue as a matter of debate and tell
themselves they are open to debate.

(4) They even used the argument that Utah is too little to
matter.  Responding to the question whether they were afraid
that Utah would experience similar social and environmental
disruptions as Alberta, the answer was that Utah tar sands
is only 1% of the extent of the Alberta tar sands.  This
person conveniently forgot to say that the energy content of
Utah Oil shale is about 100 times that of Utah tar sands.
Oil shale is the big price businesses are lusting for in
Utah, not tar sands.  Tar sands is basically a playground
for small businesses, with those who manage to develop a
viable procedure hoping to be snapped up by one of the big
oil companies.

(5) In a personal conversation with someone at the ICSE I
said: the problem is that you get all the money, much more
than the institutes for renewable energy which also exist at
the U.  His answer was that all the good researchers were
going to the renewable energy research, and a good
researcher is worth much more than money.  I.e., the pariah
status itself of this kind of research is now used as an
argument so that they don't have to see themselves as
prostitutes of destructive economic interests.

These are the thought processes so that people can justify
making big sums of money or accepting big grants for doing
something which is destructive of our future.  Nobody wants
to say no when offered such an opportunity.  It is
fairly universal, they all think and say pretty much the
same thing, i.e., they have learned from each other how to
navigate this dilemma.  When someone comes up with an
especially eloquent excuse there is general applause.

Hans


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[Marxism] The Art Justifying Unconventional Fuels

2012-05-16 Thread ehrbar
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Here is literature about fugitive and migratory emissions
from unburned methane.

Here is a blog post from the National Geographic which gives
a good survey of the issue with the basic message that
thanks to new regulation it is going to be fixed:

http://www.greatenergychallengeblog.com/2011/07/28/a-move-to-capture-fugitive-natural-gas-emissions/

Here is a study by Deutsche Bank and Worldwatch Institute
(which cites an important EPA study):

http://www.dbcca.com/dbcca/EN/_media/Comparing_Life_Cycle_Greenhouse_Gas.pdf

Here is another recent recent study not regarding
fracking but coal seam gas in Australia:

http://beyondzeroemissions.org/media/releases/worley-base-case-baseless-coal-seam-gas-still-worse-coal-120328

I do not doubt that they are trying to fix it, or at least
pretend that they will fix it, just to silence the bad
publicity.  But nobody knows how much is leaking from all
the pipelines etc.  Industry insiders must have known about
this issue ever since it became known how powerful methane
is as a greenhouse gas, but they haven't done anything about
it until some researchers and the press picked up on it.

Hans


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[Marxism] Nukes? Who needs nukes?

2012-04-30 Thread ehrbar
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Lou writes:

 I imagine that Die Linke has to have an energy policy but
 Marxmail is not an electoral formation. We are a forum for
 advanced theoretical and political debate, not a
 think-tank to help prepare white papers for social
 democratic parties.

Die Linke was one of the inspirations of Melenchon,
other inspirations were Latin America and Tunisia.
Here is the energy policy platform of Die Linke.

http://www.linksfraktion.de/themen/energiepolitik/

It is amazingly good, but since it is German I won't comment
on it.  But I'd like to say a few things about Rocky
Anderson's energy policy, which I also like a lot:

http://www.voterocky.org/clean_energy_economy

o The government should stop subsidizing research into CCS.
Rocky writes if the coal industry wants to remain part of
America's energy future, it can pay for this research on its
own.  I love that.  Fossil fuels are the problem, not the
solution.

o the government should stop subsidizing nuclear energy

o Rocky wants to reform national transportation policy to
stop favoring highways over mass transit and other clean
transportation options.  This is big.  He is telling US
Americans to get out of their cars.

o Make the US the most energy efficient industrial economy
in the world within 20 years.  This is perhaps too
ambitious, given how energy inefficient the US economy is,
but the intention is right.

This is not a social democractic white paper.  These are
transitional demands.  This is a collision course with
capitalism.  But Rocky does not rely on the working class to
get there.  Rocky is appealing to the most far-sighted wing
of the capitalists, with his first point:

o he wants to take back international leadership in the
research, development and commercialization of low-carbon
energy technologies.

By this he makes it possible to discuss something which few
politicians in the US dare to discuss, namely, global
warming, the most pressing issue of our time.  His selling
point is to offer himself as a leader in a situation where
leadership is necessary but missing.  Here we must be clear
what this leadership is for.  The US capitalists need
leadership so that they can regain a leading position in the
clean technology race.  But on the other hand, global
leadership is also needed by humanity to implement the
decarbonization of the world economy.  Anderson's leadership
can therefore be progressive, and if you look at his
formulations his proposals have a similar practical radical
logic as Melenchon's.  Anderson makes it clear he is not
going to tiptoe around capitalist interests.  In order to
ever get to a point where Anderson actually has an
influence, he needs a mass movement to back him.
Socialists can make a big difference here, and I think
marxmail is the right place to discuss this.


Hans


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[Marxism] Rocky Anderson videos

2012-04-17 Thread ehrbar
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I agree with Eli Stephens that Rocky Anderson is not a
socialist candidate.  He does not run for president in order
to promote socialism.  Why is he running for president?  I
think Eli and others on this list misunderstand Rocky if
they think Rocky is trying to promote a more liberal
capitalism.  This is not the only alternative to running
for socialism at this time.  What I am writing now is my
interpretation of Rocky's actions and speeches and
trajectory, together with how we in SLC got to know Rocky as
our major.  Perhaps it is wishful thinking, because I must
confess I think Rocky is doing the right thing.

As I see it, Rocky's main motivation is climate change.  He
sees that humankind today are in an almost hopeless
situation, that our children and grandchildren will witness
a major breakdown of civilization.  Since he is a successful
politician and good campaigner he thinks his best
contribution to trying to mitigate this coming disaster is
his election campaign.  He wants to make a respectable
showing in 2012 and get elected in 2016.  He knows the
chances are slim, but they are not zero, and they will
increase if the mass movement remains strong.

Of course climate change cannot be his primary campaign
issue.  In the USA 2012 nobody can get elected because of
climate change.  Therefore he wraps climate change together
with a number of other human rights issues which are
relevant to the voters and which he has been working on all
his life: income disparity, immigration, health care,
foreign policy (Iran).  But he always has climate change or
a clean energy economy on his list.  He tells the public:
we need these things, and we are not getting them because of
the power of money.  He is campaigning on a platform of
restoring the USA as the shining city on the hill by taking
away the power of money, he wants to end plutocracy.  He
wants the USA to be the hegemonic power on earth and use
this hegemony to de-carbonize the world economy.

Socialists know this is basically a ultra-imperialist
platform.  Ultra-imperialism is not possible as long as
capitalism is firmly in power.  I wonder perhaps it is
thinkable as a transitional form towards a world-socialist
system?  Rocky is smart enough to know that even if he got
elected he would not be able to do much about climate change
without revolutionary support from the masses.  But
establishing deep roots in the mass movement is a necessity
for him anyway, in order to get elected.

To get elected, he not only needs support from the left
but from all political identifications.  That's why he must
wage his campaign as a red-blooded American who loves his
country and wants it to be special in the world, and that is
why he cannot promote and end to capitalism but an end to
plutocracy.  And he cannot be successful if he does not
believe in what he says.  I do not know whether Rocky is
aware that his primary goal, preventing climate change, is
utterly incompatible with capitalism.  But I think if Rocky
is in a situation where he has to choose between capitalism
and effective climate policies, he will choose effective
climate policies.  Rocky is not going to give up.

Rocky is really a candidate without a party.  The Justice
Party is only a formality.  Therefore the ball is in your
court, political activists and organizations everywhere in
the US!  Rocky is basically offering his candidacy to be
incorported as part of your strategy.  If your strategy is
to use public concern about climate change to push
capitalism as far as it will go on a clean energy path, and
make the push for socialism itself after all possibilities
in the system have been exhausted and everyone realizes that
this is not enough, then you will not get a more effective
ally on the campaign trail and perhaps in the White House.


Hans.


Eli wrote:

 On Saturday night I heard him and three other candidates ...



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[Marxism] Nuclear Power: Be Careful what you wish for!,

2012-04-13 Thread ehrbar
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David, you say the studies I quoted are a-historical.  I
think you mean they do not consider enough what happened in
the past.  In some sense the authors might even agree: they
warn against extrapolating the past into the future.

 The reason for all this is because no country uses
 civilian power plants to produce nuclear WMD. They use
 dedicated, and cheaper, RD reactors to achieve this and
 specialized enrichment facilities.

Even if other ways are cheaper, the transition from nuclear
power plants to nuclear weapons is possible, and with power
plants come also the experts to do it.  The difference
between weapons-grade uranium and fuel for power plants is
only the time it spent in the centrifuge.  And once you have
the fuel, building the bomb is relatively easy.  The
firewall which you see between nuclear power and nuclear
weapons has many holes.  Nuclear power and nuclear weapons
feed on each other, and you cannot kill one without killing
the other.

You also write

 A *campaign* for nuclear disarmament has to be created.

One historical development both studies point to is that the
US will no longer be in the middle of future nuclear
proliferation.  Syria may react to Iran, and it may get the
nuclear resources from Pakistan, etc.  This is the nightmare
US politicians are talking about.  You cannot control that
with campaigns.  Even the US government may be unable to
control this if they wanted.

Hans


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[Marxism] Nuclear Power: Be Careful what you wish for!

2012-04-12 Thread ehrbar
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Oops, I meant to say:
His policy proposal is to stop subsidizing nuclear ENERGY
(I wrote nuclear WEAPONS).


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[Marxism] Rocky Anderson about Climate Change

2012-04-09 Thread ehrbar
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Gar Lipow said on Pen-L:

 Yes you are right - first that we should not give up
 regardless of the odds - expecially since we don't really
 know them. And secondly that there are always degrees of
 catastrophe.

Rocky Anderson said this too:

 My view is, as long as we are breathing air, as long as we
 are able to stand up and go out and fight, however we can,
 we got a responsibility to do it, responsibility to
 ourselves, responsibility to our nation, responsibility to
 later generations.

He said this on April 1 during a 45 minute interview
conducted by Vietnam Vet and activist Don Anderson.  Don
asked Rocky which topic Rocky found most important, and
Rocky, after establishing his credentials and his general
principles, started out with climate change.  I made a
transcript of this interview from 13:42 until 19:00.  I
didn't find a link to this interview on the voterocky.org
web site, it is
http://www.blogtalkradio.com/themaryandsallieshow/2012/04/02/the-mary-and-sallie-show-sundays-at-six



ROCKY: One area in particular I['d like to] talk about that
is climate protection.  The need for our country to lead out
on energy independence, a clean energy economy, and
combating climate change and providing international
leadership, because if we don't there is going to be
catastrophic consequences world wide and many of these
consequences certainly are going to be felt in our country
by our children and later generations.  We are already
seeing a lot of those consequences now, but now the
important thing is, now is the only time we can act to have
any real impact because if we wait much longer it's going to
be irreversible.

DON: I have friends up in Alaska, they are native Americans,
and they live right on the shore, and they are losing their
land.  They just had to, fortunately congress allowed them
to move their tribal lands into BLM forest area, higher
ground so that they can maintain their traditions their
families and villiage there.  I know that is happening in
some of the island nations that might only be two or three
feet above sea level, they are already seeing the effects of
water in their yards and having to live basically on decks
up above the water and in their boats.  They are not getting
the help they need from the United Nations and the other
nations around the world.

ROCKY: That is just the tip of the iceberg, to use perhaps
an apt metaphor.  It is happening in Tuvalu, and we are
going to see it more and more along coastal areas, and
eventially there are going to be hundreds of millions
environmental refugees who displaced from their lands, we
are going to see droughts, we are going to see torrential
rainfalls wiping out places, we are going to see the
destruction, we are already seeing the destruction but it is
going to get to the point where because of the melting of
glaciers there is not going to be the year-round water
resources that people rely upon coming from these glaciers.
So the impacts are going to be unbelievable.  Something life
which we have never seen during human history.  People
[will] look back and say, wait a minute they knew about this
and they didn't do anything about it? And the United States
being the biggest polluter didn't step forward taking the
necessary measures to provide that international leadership?
So we need that, but we also need the kind of leadership
that will say no longer do we allow ourselves or anyone
else to engage in wars of aggression.  We tried people and
convicted them during the Nurenberg tribunal for wars of
aggression, yet we are doing these exact things right now,
and again with disastrous long-term impact, and it is all
contrary to our own nation's security let alone the security
of literally billions of people around the world.

DON: They don't have the resources which we have in the States
to even consider combating what they are up against.

ROCKY: It all comes down to leadership, Don.  We cannot rely
on just any one person, or on congress, it really takes
people organizing at the grassroots.  Every major social
movement where we saw progress in this country came about
because people at the grassroots organized, they were
tenacious about it, they didn't sit back and wait for
others to take action, they took on the responsibility, they
felt an accountability.  As a result, we saw an end to
slavery in this coutnry, we saw women's suffrage -- the
woman's right to vote, we saw the civil rights movement
succeed, we saw the labor movement succeed -- and they were
up against a lot of money!  These people who were so cynical
and resigned and said, oh we don't have any faith in the
electoral system any more, we are just not going to vote, we
are not going to take part in it any more, they are a huge
part of the problem because they 

[Marxism] [Ecosocialist] Mass psychology explanations of global warming denial

2012-03-18 Thread ehrbar
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Kamran wrote on the ecosocialism list:

 People lived for 95% of our history as gatherer-hunters
 where there was no product as such.

Good point.  I guess my one-sentence characterization of
historical materialism must be corrected to read, as you
suggest, individuals must live in class societies because
they need products.  (Of course we socialists want to
create an alternative, production without a class society.)

This gives me another idea: maybe the need to manage
emotions arises not together with society as such, as I said
in my earlier post, but with private property?  With private
property comes envy, jealousy, you better not fall in love
with a woman who is someone else's property, etc.  It is a
long time since I read Engels's Origin of the Family, and I
don't have the time to get into this, but perhaps this is
something which Engels overlooked when he wrote this
path-breaking work?  I think this would be an intriguing
idea: with private property arises the need to control
emotions, which requires self-deception and opens the door
to false consciousness.  This would be a different entry
into false consciousness than Marx's two pillars of false
consciousness, the fetish-like character of the commodity
and the wage form.

Hans.


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[Marxism] [Ecosocialist] Mass psychology explanations of global warming denial

2012-03-18 Thread ehrbar
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 If any of you can figure out how any of us can opt out of
 class society, please share it with the rest of the class.
 :-)

Of course, we all (with the possible exception of Jon
Elster) know that we cannot opt out of class society.  The
question is why?  Because we need products to survive, and
production can only be done in society.  Marx said in the
Introduction to Grundrisse

 Production by a solitary individual outside society---a
 rare event, which might occur when a civilized person who
 has already absorbed the dynamic social forces is
 accidentally cast into the wilderness---is just as
 preposterous as the development of speech without
 individuals who live *together* and talk to one another.

That is why the relations which individuals have with nature
and with each other in the production process are the most
basic social relations.  This is how I understand historical
materialism, and if you disagree with this I would be curious
to hear you but this is not the main point I am pursuing here.


Class society is something which people are forced into by
economic necessity, and for the majority it is certainly no
idyllic place.  The next question, which Marx or Engels
never asked, is therefore, how can people manage to work
together and live together if society is an institution in
which a small elite rips off the rest?  Will they not get so
envious about each other and angry at each other that they
openly fight with each other, and a civilized living
together is impossible?  Again, we all know that class
societies are possible, we live in one which elicits at
least a semblance of mass consensus.  But it is still worth
while understanding what makes this possible.  The answer
given by the modern sociology of emotions is that people
have learned to manage or control their emotions.  This is a
tricky affair, emotions are automatic, and in order to
manage them, you need to learn the art of self-deception and
of denial.

Let me repeat.  People can only live together in a civilized
way in a modern class society because they have learned to
keep their emotions in check, to the extent that they do not
even feel them any more or that they displace them.  This is
necessary for the social order to function despite its
antagonisms.  I think such a theory would still fall in the
purview of Marxism although to my knowledge neither Marx or
Engels said anything like that.

The main point of this exercise is: this ability to banish
unpleasant realities from our consciousness has suddenly
become a great liability.  It has become suicidal, because
it hinders mass mobilization to prevent climate catastrophe.
We know that many of our childen and grandchildren are going
to die prematurely because of natural disasters, epidemics,
resource wars, lack of food or water.  At least this
knowledge is available socially even if many individuals in
the US at this point still have shielded themselves from it.
Yet we are not running around tearing our hair out, because
such a generalized panic would prevent society from
functioning and therefore would doom us today instead of in
a few dozen years.  This is of course not all the reasons
but it is possibly one of them.

Does this understanding help us to overcome climate change
denial?  Of course it does.  You always know better how to
change things if you understand why things are the way they
are.

Here is one idea how this theory of false consciousness
might inform our strategy.  This is just brainstorming.
Perhaps we must offer a believable organizational framework
that promises to channel all that upset and rage into a
productive direction before the groundswell mass movement
necessary to save a liveable future will arise.  While we
are waiting that the masses get their act together, maybe
the masses are waiting that we are getting our act together.
Right now such a believable framework does not exist.  Even
if climate hawks came into power, they would disagree on
almost everything: nuclear power or not, centralized
electricity generation with lots of transmission lines
versus decentralized generation, the role of natural gas,
how to overcome the competition between national economies,
what a green development path would look like.  These issues
are so difficult that we activists ourselves cannot resolve
them in detail before we come to power, but we must at least
have some overall guidelines how we want to resolve all
this.

I have some ideas about this, but I know that many of you
will disagree.

(1) I think we can and should declare already now that
nuclear power is not one of the options which we are
considering as a solution to the problem.

(2) We also could declare already now that in the rich
countries we are aiming for a lifestyle with less material

[Marxism] Mass psychology explanations of global warming denial

2012-03-17 Thread ehrbar
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timgli sent the following URL to the ecosocialism list,
but I am sending my reply also to the marxism list:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/03/08/1072330/-Mass-psychology-explanations-of-global-warming-denial

This blog seems ignorant of an extensive literature about
the sociology of emotions which is very relevant here.  The
article which was for me personally the most concise and
striking introduction into this literature is the book
chapter Self-Processes and Emotional Experiences, by
Morris Rosenberg, pages 123-142 in the book _The
Self-Society Dynamic: Cognition, Emotion, and Action_,
edited by Judith Howard and Peter Callero, Cambridge
University Press 1991.

A more recent collection about these issues is the book
_Theorizing Emotions: Sociological Explorations and
Applications_, edited by D. Hopkins, J. Kleres, H. Flam, and
H. Kuzmics, Campus Verlag, Frankfurt and New York, 2009.
Look especially at the contribution by Helena Flam, Extreme
Feelings and Feelings at Extremes.

None of these articles speak about climate change denial in
particular, for this you should read the monograph _Living
in Denial: Climate Change, Emotions, and Everyday Life_, by
Kari Marie Norgaard, MIT Press 2011,
http://www.amazon.com/Living-Denial-Climate-Emotions-Everyday/dp/0262515857

It is amazing that capitalism, the home of alienation, has
developed such deep knowledge about emotions.  I think the
original impulse for this research was to better manipulate
people through advertising, and the system-transcending
potential of this knowledge is an unexpected byproduct of
this research.

But this is definitely valid and useful knowledge, and if we
want to soften up the public's climate change denial in
order to promote a mass movement which is rational and not
driven by panic and not derailed by all the other unresolved
resentments of capitalism, we need to be familiar with this
literature.

These are not explicitly Marxist theories, but I think the
theory of emotions as social glue can be and needs to be
integrated with historical materialism.  I am thinking of it
this way: historical materialism explains why individuals
*must* live in society, and the sociology of emotions
explains how people *can* live in society.

(a) Individuals must live in societies because they need
products to survive, and products can only be produced in
society.

(b) Individuals can only then live in society if they keep
their raw emotions in check.  This requires self-deception
and the ability to keep unpleasant emotions at bay.

In the view of Siegmund Freud, denial was always bad and had
to be overcome.  By contrast, modern sociologists have known
for some time that a moderate amount of self-deception is
normally a good thing.  But in the present truly dangerous
situation, denial has become suicidal, and creative ways are
needed to break out of this denial without giving up the
civilized ways of living with each other which are
facilitated by this denial.


Hans G Ehrbar


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[Marxism] C. Wright Mills and Marx

2012-03-05 Thread ehrbar
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  working on Mills and Marx right now.

Adam,

In my efforts to understand Climate Change Denial I bumped
into the book The Managed Heart: Commercialization of Human
Feeling by Arlie Russell Hochschild, 1983.  Arlie takes off
from Mills and goes into the direction of Marx, dealing with
work place issues which were overlooked by Bravermann and Studs
Terkel.  It concentrates on the emotional labor which
flight attendants, bill collectors, hotel receptionists and
many other service professions have to perform.  It is an
amazing book, and I keep thinking: how come I haven't known
about it?  Do others know this book, and what is your take
on it?


Hans



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[Marxism] Conference about Climate Change and Global Governance

2012-03-01 Thread ehrbar
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This coming Sunday in London UK, organised by the Occupy
London Energy, Equity  Environment Working Group
Interesting conference topics, relevant not only for
capitalism but also for any socialist alternatives.

If you are interested in the first topic, look at the paper
http://planetaryboundariesinitiative.org/planetar/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/stockholm-Rockstrom-2009-research-paper.pdf
Planetary Boundaries: Exploring the Safe Operating Space for
Humanity.  It identifies 9 boundaries: climate change, ocean
acidification, stratospheric ozone, global P and N cycles,
atmospheric aerosol loading, fresh water use, land use
change, biodiversity loss, and chemical pollution.



--- Start of forwarded message ---
Please join us and forward to your networks :)

Rio+20 Earth Summit - Global Governance or Corporate Cop Out?

Sunday 4th March, 2-4pm
at Toynbee Hall, 28 Commercial Street (nr Liverpool St tube)

This panel event aims to highlight the corporate-friendly nature of  
the draft agenda for the Rio+20 Earth Summit in June and to look at  
some of the legal proposals put forward by civil society groups that  
could be effective in achieving the environmental protection that is a  
prerequisite for genuine development.

Featuring:

Peter Roderick - Recognising Planetary Boundaries
Joe Hall - Making Ecocide a Crime
Ian Mason - Recognising the Rights of Nature
Halina Ward - Appointing a Guardian for Future Generations
Kate Raworth - Defining a Safe  Just Space for Humanity
Amancay Colque - Lessons from Bolivia - Bolivia Solidarity Campaign
Melanie Strickland - Chair (Occupy Law)

The UK's Chief Scientist Bob Watson and other award-winning scientists  
have said the draft agenda for Rio+20 means it is doomed to fail. The   
voluntary approach of the first Earth Summit in 1992 is being repeated  
and the agenda is full of more empty promises with no means to fulfill  
them. This panel brings together some of the leading civil society  
group proposals for legal frameworks that could address the multiple  
environmental crises that the current poorly regulated system is  
driving us towards.

All welcome!  This is a free event. Just turn up!

Facebook event page: http://www.facebook.com/events/328744843842479/
http://www.toynbeehall.org.uk/
Organised by the Occupy London Energy, Equity  Environment Working  
Group. Join us on Facebook: 
http://www.facebook.com/pages/LSX-Occupy-Energy-Equity-and-Environment-Group/283451725018389
 
  and follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/occupylsxenvtgp
--- End of forwarded message ---


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[Marxism] help needed - pretty please

2012-02-13 Thread ehrbar
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Gary, if you are working on consumption, here is a
non-marxist book which I consider very insightful.  You
probably already know about it, just making sure you are not
missing it:

Gill Seyfang, The New Economics of Sustainable Consumption:
Seeds of Change, Palgrave MacMillan 2009.

Hans


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[Marxism] Obama's Natural Gas Strategy

2012-02-11 Thread ehrbar
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The environmental movement in the US has been fairly
successful in preventing the construction of many coal-fired
power plants and perhaps also the Keystone Pipeline.  The
argument which carried the day was not global climate
catastrophe but the pollution caused by coal and the tar
sands operations.  Energy matters also put the ruling class
under pressure because of a prolonged recession: whenever
business picks up, oil prices shoot up and suffocate demand.

Obama's support of fracking announced in his State of the
Union address is a cunning response to this predicament.
Obama is promoting fracking not only in the US but
everywhere in the world (Poland).  The idea is to loosen the
world wide dependence on oil from the Middle East or
Venezuela and the dirty oil from Canadian tar sands, taking
full advantage of the large supplies of cheap and plentiful
Natural Gas which have become available due to the fracking
technology.  US electricity will come from clean natural gas
instead of dirty coal, silencing the environmentalists, and
many US trucks will run on natural gas.  The US will become
a net exporter of coal and natural gas and will have to
import less oil, which helps the dollar and undermines the
power of countries like Russia, Iran, Venezuela.

I am indebted for this outlook to Richard J Pierce's
presentation at a conference called Electric Power in a
Carbon-Constrained World at the University of Utah Law
School last Thursday, Feb 9.  Pierce is on the faculty of
the law school of the George Washington University in
Washington DC.  Pierce estimates that gas from fracking will
last 100 years, and then gas from methane hydrates will take
over which last another 300 years.  With so much energy
available, Pierce thinks adaptation to climate change is
possible, and he thinks that carbon capture and
sequestration is easier for natural gas than for coal.


Pierce is clearly wrong about adaptation.  I am not sure
whether Pierce has read up on tipping points, or whether he
is aware that the greenhouse effect is not the only aspect
where modern industrial production bumps against the limits
of planetary resources.  But in the time frame of the next
5-10 years, the only possible hole I see in Obama's strategy
is the question whether the extraction of natural gas can be
sustained or whether the yield of the shale gas fields
suddenly collapses.  Other than this, such a strategy will
get Obama re-elected, and the inexorable descent into
climate catastrophe will be even more difficult to stop
because now it is not based on oil from our enemies or
extremely dirty oil from our friends in Canada or Utah, but
on clean domestic natural gas and a booming economy in the
US.

Our response to Obama's strategy must be to oppose fossil
fuels not based on the Clean Air Act or too high costs but
based on the world wide need to leave all fossil fuels in
the ground.  The conference was misnamed; our problem is not
too little carbon but too much of it.  In view of this
abundance, market forces cannot steer us away from fossil
fuels.  Therefore we must be much more vocal about it that a
response to the climate crisis is not possible within the
capitalist system.

Hans


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[Marxism] Big wind's inconvenient truth

2012-02-10 Thread ehrbar
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Traffic noise = good, windmill noise = bad

The CounterPunch article Big Wind’s Inconvenient Truth
posted by Lou basically asks: if you are so much for
the environment, how can you be for windmills?

The answer is: the switch to renewable energy is not an
environmental issue, it is a survival issue.  I you hear a
slight swooshing sound sometimes at night when the wind is
right, think of it as elves cleaning up our mess so that it
won't poison us.


Hans


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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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I said:

 The best way to store energy right now is to store heat
 energy instead of electricity.  You can have heat
 exchangers pump heat out of the ground in winter in order
 to have an iceball that provides air conditioning all
 summer.

Rod replied that due to the 2nd law of thermodynamics, heat
can be converted into work only under severe restrictions.
This is correct.  I am teaching this to my students.
If you want to see an introduction into exergy for dummies
(economists), use Firefox to visit

http://greenhouse.economics.utah.edu/readings/Entropy.xhtml

Firefox is needed because of the mathml on this web site.
The main point of this website is: if you use natural gas to
heat water for a shower, you are wasting 95% of the exergy,
i.e., available energy.  You should use the gas to generate
electricity and the waste heat from this electricity
generation for your shower.

But what I meant to say with the paragraph quoted above:
if the ultimate purpose of the electricity is to run an
air conditioner, given the state of energy storage
technology it is better to save the energy in form of ice
than in form of electricity.

See http://www.ksl.com/?nid=148sid=10631239
video about Kent Udell's project to capture cold in the
winter to use if for air conditioning in summer.
This is the kind of technology we should be promoting,
not nuclear power.

Hans



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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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David  wrote:

 First, the issue is still over ownership and re-regulation.

This is the fundamental Marxian fallacy, that today's
environmental and energy crisis can be fixed by a change in
property relations.  As long as Marxists stay as clueless as
they are right now about the real issues, they will not play
a role in whatever social transformations are coming down
the road.

Hans


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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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Mark wrote:

 Regardless of what part of the economy we're discussing, the question's not
 one of ownership but control.

That's a valid consideration, but it doesn't resolve the
Fundamental Marxian Fallacy.  It is a fallacy to think that,
if only the working class gains control or ownership of the
means of production, everything will be fine because this is
the end of capitalist surplus-value.

Egypt is an example for this fallacy.  People thought if
only the corrupt regime of Mubarak is deposed, everything
will be fine.  The revolutionaries did not realize that one
of the most important reasons why people rebelled was the
rise in food prices due to the biofuel programs in the EU
and US.  This was not Mubarak's fault and any successor
regime will have this problem too.

The successor regime should have tried to aggressively
de-link the Egyptian economy from the international energy
and fossil fuel dependence, by promoting the solar breeder
program which uses Sahara sand for silicon for solar cells
so that they can grow their own food.  Otherwise it is only
a matter of time until the new regime fails too and power
reverts to the old guard.  I made the proposal at the time
on the marxism list and all I got back was astonishment.

How to deal with the present world wide crisis is a highly
nontrivial matter.  Marxists have the advantage to know a
solution must be found outside the capitalist framework.  If
they were to develop good programs this would make them a
very desirable political force because nobody else has a
viable international program.  But Marxists are too much
stuck in the fear to sound like Malthus.  And Marxists are
afraid to tell people that they have to consume less because
they think this makes them the tools of the capitalists.  We
have to get over this!  We should study what Bolivia,
Ecuador, Cuba are doing to deal with the environmental
crisis.

Hans


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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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 Your point about the workers of Egypt would only inform the point I made
 about control if we think the workers in Egypt are somehow demonstrating
 what control of the energy grid means.  As a materialist, I have no
 evidence that they do.

You mean people don't notice the environmental crisis?  They
do, although they may not be aware that this is what they
are up against.  In Egypt, they notice it by not being able
to afford food for their families any more.  In the US, they
notice it by their own consumerism and the destruction of
nature and their being cut off from nature and their lack of
time.  Of course they are not saying we need a smart grid
but gardening and tending chickens has become very
fashionable here in SLC.  We Marxists can not only tell them
that they ought to have control over the means of
production, but also that the destruction of the environment
is the largest expropriation in history, and it is going on
as we speak.

Hans


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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-04 Thread ehrbar
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I agree that municipally owned utilities should not be
privatized, but this is only a small part of the changes
necessary in the electricity infrastructure.  Right now,
this infrastructure is geared towards large centralized
generators (coal or nuclear).  It must be replaced by an
infrastructure able to accommodate small distributed
producers and storers of energy. What does this entail?

(1) Even though transmission is an essential facility,
historically in the U.S.A. it has not had common carrier
status.  This must change.  The use of transmission lines
must be opened up, and a smart grid must be built.
Regulators must allow the owners of this transmission,
usually regulated utilities, to recover the costs associated
with this more sophisticated technology and more open access.

(2) Utilities must become full service energy providers,
intermediaries between

o distributed producers of intermittent solar and wind
who need access to the grid to sell their electricity
and need the grid for backup,

o energy storage providers, etc.

o consumers who are willing and able to shift electricity
consumption to those times when electricity is available,
i.e., when the sun shines or the wind blows.

o industrial facilities whose waste heat can be recycled

Utilities should not be limited to one energy carrier
(electricity or gas or district heat) but should be selling
a variety of energy products and services, including the
services presently provided by Energy Service Companies
(ESCOs).


Much of the above comes from Joseph P Tomain, see his books
Ending Dirty Energy Policy, CUP 2011, or Energy Law in a
Nutshell (together with Richard D Cudahy), West Publishing
2011, or the 2008 article Building the iUtility
http://www.fortnightly.com/display_pdf.cfm?id=08012008_BuildingiUtility.pdf


In my judgment this is the best thinking within the
capitalist system.  The big issue avoided by Tomain and most
others making similar proposals is the impossibility to
maintain economic growth which is the impossibility to
maintain a capitalist system.  But even after capitalism,
the regulatory and planning principles developed by these
authors will be useful.


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[Marxism] privatizing the grid--a local perspective

2012-02-04 Thread ehrbar
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David writes:

 There is nothing in the grid sructure that is geared
 toward the 'centralized generators'. I'm not sure why you
 write this or what evidence there is of this.

The grid is organized like a tree for a one-way distribution
of electricity, with the big generation station at the root,
and voltage falling and wire diameters falling as it reaches
the users.  When electricity consumers become prosumers ie
producers and consumers of electricity, the network needs a
different structure.  Here is a paragraph from

http://www.fortnightly.com/article.cfm?p_id=728


At high levels of penetration, distributed generation can
exceed load at the substation level, causing unusual
distribution flow patterns.  These can produce high voltage
swings, which can be detrimental to customer equipment.
High levels of penetration can also add to the stress on
electrical equipment, such as circuit breakers, and
complicate the ability to operate the distribution system,
particularly during emergencies and planned outages.
Additional monitoring and new standards for operation,
protection, and control will be necessary to enable
significant penetration of distributed generation.

Of course, circuit breakers etc can be designed for
distributed generation, but right now they are not,
therefore the utilities say they can only have 10% of their
load delivered by intermittent generators.  Danmark right
now has over 20% and their goal is to reach 50%.

 Large centralized power stations (undefined by the writer)
 are efficient because they cost less to run as the
 technology allows for better conversion of thermal energy
 into the mechanical energy needed to spin a turbine
 generator. That his is somehow 'bad' makes no sense except
 if you are into the small, local is beautiful.

The advantages of smaller, cleaner (perhaps gas or
geothermal) power plants closer to the cities is fewer
transmission losses and the ability to use the waste heat
for district heating, greenhouses, etc.  The highly
efficient large coal-fired power plants in the USA are so
far away from the cities that most of their heat is
discarded unused.  Average efficiency has stagnated at 33%
for many years, and theoretically a Rankine cycle cannot go
much beyond that because superheated steam at high
temperatures is too aggressive for the materials in use
nowadays.  Nuclear plants are the worst in efficiency,
because using the high temperatures they are generating
would be too dangerous.

David writes:

 As far back as the late 1990s, transmission lines DO have
 common carrier status

I thought so too but the 2011 edition of *Energy policy
in a nutshell* says on p. 274/5:

Transmission owners have no obligation to serve all
customers.  Even though transmission is an essential
facility, historically it has not had common carrier status.
In other words, absent regulation to the contrary, owners of
transmission facilities can price discriminate; they can
also favor themselves and their affiliates.

What is commonly called deregulation is apparently
leaving many goodies for the utility companies intact.

David says

 A smart grid already exists in many parts of the country.

The degree of integration of information theory with the
grid which is needed for distributed generation, plug-in
vehicles, a closer coordination between consumers and
producers of electricity, etc., is not yet achieved, there
are still obstacles to overcome.  Even the standards have not
yet been decided in the US (they were decided just last year
in Europe).  Some utilities have started to install smart
meters with the capability to measure electricity at
real-time rates, but many others (such as my own) are
installing meters that are too dumb for this, and nowhere
are real-time rates made available to households.

David wanted examples for energy storage providers.

Of course pumped storage is one example, but this requires
a lake at the top and a lake at the bottom of the turbine,
not many opportunities.

Another possibility would be compressed air storage, which
is best considered as a compressor for a gas turbine
whose activity is separated in time from the turbine itself.
Windmills have been designed which run pumps rather than
generators for electricity.

Other energy storage, flywheels, are for stabilizing the
phase of the grid.

The best way to store energy right now is to store heat
energy instead of electricity.  You can have heat exchangers
pump heat out of the ground in winter in order to have an
iceball that provides air conditioning all summer.

Energy storage is one of the most exciting areas of
innovation right now.  It requires big capital investments,
but at times of unemployment big investments into clean
energy are a win-win situation.  The US does not have an

[Marxism] Wolff and Resnick analysis of the current economic crisis

2011-12-25 Thread ehrbar
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To me, Wolff and Resnick's calculations seem entirely in
accord with Marx.  If you define real wages as use-value
received by the workers per hour worked, and productivity as
use-value produced per hour worked, then the rate of
surplus-value is constant if and only if real wages rise at
the same rate as productivity.

Also their description how every part of the surplus-value
aids in further accumulation goes together well with Marx
Capital I.  In chapter 23 about Simple Reproduction, Marx
shows how the reproduction of the worker has become a part
of the reproduction of capital (it is the reproduction of
capital's most valuable piece of machinery), and chapter 25
shows how reproduction of capital is what nowadays would be
called an autocatalytic system: more accumulation gives
higher productivity gives more surplus-value gives more
accumulation.

If anything, Wolff and Resnick are too much into Marx and
overlook one basic weakness of Marx.  Marx did not realize
how much the Industrial Revolution was sustained by what
Heinberg calls the fossil fuel bonanza.  For instance Marx
studied the railroad boom and the formation of joint stock
companies necessary to amass enough capital for building
railroads, but he overlooked the simple fact that without
coal England's forests would have been cut down to the last
stump before a fraction of the rail network necessary for a
modern transportation system could have been laid.  Look at
E A Wrigley's book *Energy and the English Industrial
Revolution*, Cambridge University Press 2010.

Marx's oversight is forgiveable, but Wolff and Resnicks's is
not.  I am flabbergasted how someone as progressive and
conscientious as Wolff and Resnick can talk about the critis
of capitalist growth today without mentioning the end of
cheap energy and the limits of planetary resources.

Hans G Ehrbar


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[Marxism] former Salt Lake mayor Rocky Anderson launches presidential campaign

2011-12-17 Thread ehrbar
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Hi Jon Flanders and others:

If the Wikipedia article says that Rocky got physically
assaulted by a city developer, if he got harrassed for
hosting guests of the city, etc., this the reaction to
Rocky's uncompromising stance in favor of the public
interest against business interests.  When he was Mayor the
city was abuzz with did you hear the latest impossible
thing Rocky said or did?  And it was always his defense of
the public interest and refusal to play nice with business.

He could have easily won a third term, he did not want to,
because of all the harrassment.  But instead of making a
national career move he stayed in town and founded his
Nonprofit High Roads for Human Rights. HRHR was an attempt
to convince the big funders of Human Rights issues that
Climate Change is a Human Rights issue and should get their
funding too, with no success.

This leads me to the other issue why I think Rocky deserves
support.  Almost every part of the media understates the
importance and urgency of the climate issue, and the
Wikipedia article on Rocky Anderson is no exception: it does
not give full justice to the centrality of climate change in
Rocky's politics.

Rocky was a member of governor Huntsman's Blue Ribbon
Advisory Council on Climate Change.  One of the impossible
Rocky horror stories circulating in SLC was that in the
first meeting he protested that the Coal Industry should not
be represented on this panel and then left, never to return
again.  After this he always sent staff to take his place.
I haven't witnessed it, this is only hearsay, but I can
believe that he did this; this was not the only time where
he was the enfant terrible telling the truth which nobody
wanted to hear.

Right after Tim DeChristopher's disruption of an oil and gas
auction he was speaking at the Unitarian Chuch in an event
that spearheaded Tim's support network.  There he said that
we need a revolution.  I have never heard say it again,
before or after, but there he said it, and the context was
climate change.

Therefore I don't think it's an accident that he announced
his candidacy in the wake of the Occupy Movements.

Later he had a falling out with Tim because in his view Tim
was elitist and did not recognize the continuous patient
behind-the-scenes work many others did on the climate front.

Last time I talked to him on the phone, it was about a year
ago, I asked him to join a coalition against Rio Tinto whose
giant copper mine is poisoning the Salt Lake City air and
water shed and the Great Lalt Lake.  He declined saying that
he had to concentrate his energies on a narrower set of
goals, one of which was climate change.

He has to make allies, this is simply necessary if you want
to do politics, and we should not second-guess him on that.

We all know that change is under way.  This change is not
going to come from nowhere but it will come from what
already exists.  It is not going to come from us, the system
has antigens against us.  In the sixties when I was part of
the new movement, I remember the lack of respect we had
for the old communist organizers on whose shoulders we
were standing without knowing it.  Now I am part of the old
guard, and the best we can do is recognize the promising
new forces and support them and lend them our experience.

Hans


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[Marxism] Link between financial and enviromental crisis

2011-08-14 Thread ehrbar
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At the end of this email is a description of the present
financial crisis by a documentary film maker, David Malone,
author of the book Debt Generation.  This is a very clear
picture, and as an economist I see nothing wrong with it as
far as it goes.  But it leaves unanswered the question why
the ruling class went from productive profit-making to
speculation and theft.  Marx said that they resort to
speculation when their profits in productive capital are
squeezed due to overproduction.  I think the reason is
deeper.  The ruling class is resorting to theft because the
prospects of productive growth are exhausted due to
pollution and resource exhaustion.  These two factors are
suffocating not only China's growth but the growth of the
entire planetary economy.

As Herman Daly says, the planet is full, there is no space
left for the economy to expand into.  In such a situation a
one-dimensional market system, which single-mindedly focuses
on efficiency, can no longer be a rational or even feasible
guide for the economy.  The binding constraint for the
economy is not efficiency but the limited planetary
resources.  This is not a situation a market-driven economy
can cope with.  In the past, whenever the economy ran into a
problem, more growth was the answer.  This is the market
answer which is no longer possible.  The turn from
productive capital to speculation and dispossession is one
phase in the spontaneous process of markets abolishing
themselves because they can no longer serve the economy.
Instead of waiting for the system to come tumbling down
around us, we should be consciously minimizing the roles of
markets by reversing the securitisation of everything,
re-introducing command and control regulation, carbon
RATIONING, abolishing the fractional reserve system,
introduction of minimum AND MAXIMUM incomes, etc.  Any
attempts at systemic variation, as in Cuba, Venezuela,
Bolivia should be welcomed instead of undermined.


Hans G Ehrbar



http://golemxiv-credo.blogspot.com/2011/05/new-normal.html

The New Normal 

There seem to be to be two broad narratives of our present
situation. The dominant, official narrative, is that there
was a technical crisis of money flow, precipitated by a
bolus of bad debts which then caused a collapse of
confidence in the value of several large asset classes. What
was required was to show that such assets would always
retain their ability to find a buyer and thus their value,
even if the buyer had to be, in the immediate term, the
public purse. The public purse was duly opened to steady
nerves and sales, and massive purchases of whatever could
not find any other buyer were duly made. The plan was and is
that the purchased assets would be sold by our governments,
back to the market once other buyers returned.

The dissident narrative is that this was never a technical
crisis of money flow - liquidity - but one of insolvency due
to the troubled asset classes being, in fact, vastly over
valued. The collapse in value and the lack of buyers was not
a temporary lack of confidence in an otherwise sound
financial system, but a rational shunning of paper assets
whose previous value was almost entirely due to the press of
gullible buyers who were keen to partake in the buy, flip
and buy some more ponzi scheme of speculation.

As long as the paper value was never questioned by all the
players then no one feared reality intruding. Even those
holding the worthless paper were happy as long as everybody
else was signed up to the same grand fiction. Banks held the
paper assets and used them as cheap 'capital assets' just so
long as the lies they were based on remained wholly
accepted. But of course as soon as someone defected from the
grand lie, then the rational thing for everyone to do was to
defect as quickly as possible. This is what every insider
tried to do as quickly as they could and why the collapse
was as fast as it was and was led by the banks themselves.

The end game of such a scenario would have been the
ruination of those left holding the worthless paper. And if
those holding the paper had been you and me then this is
what Wall Street and The City of London would have been
happy to see happen. But in this case the collapse was so
shockingly rapid and in the preceding euphoria of the bubble
so much of the paper had been retained by the banks and
super-wealthy that this was NOT going to be permitted to
happen. Instead actions were taken to ensure that the
worthless paper assets were transferred to the public
purse. Should they recover their value they would be
re-purchased, but if not then they would be left where the
loss would fall on people who were more accustomed to being
poor and whose prior poverty has often been seen by the
wealthy as an indication

Re: [Marxism] What do Marxists do when labor is no longer the limiting factor of production?

2011-07-13 Thread ehrbar
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The person whom I quoted, call him Anonymous, wrote:

 Yes, we need disciplined cooperation, but not to
 produce as much as possible. We need to maximize
 our wealth by minimizing our waste and consumption.

David replies:

 Minimising waste is a good notion. Minimising consumption is a
 ridiculous call for a world where hundreds of millions of people
 experience privation in their basic needs. rest of paragraph
 omitted

This is a red herring.  Obviously Anonymous meant minimizing
consumption beyond the needs of a dignified survival,
i.e. beyond say $20 a day a person.

 Also, this has embedded the assumption that human use of resources is
 always a bad thing, so we have to minimise this necessary evil,

Leave out the always.  Right now, at this historical
juncture, human use of resources is bad because we have
grown so numerous that we are triggering a response in the
host (the planet) to shake us off which will change
everything for us.

 and that human purposes are somehow less moral than those of nature.

It's not a matter of morality, it is a matter of dignified
survival.  If the human race is too greedy to be content
with dignified survival they will lose dignified survival
itself.  If this sounds like a moralistic fable, it is
because the planet is moralistic with us.  Mother Earth is
telling us: you are so smart, you better learn some
moderation, otherwise you are making me sneeze.

 Protecting our environment is a requirement to survive and thrive,

Instrumentalizing the environment to human purposes is
something which we will perhaps be able to do in 10,000
years.  If we have to consciously steer the ecosystem which
right now gives us almost everything for free, this will be
very expensive.  Right now we neither have the skills nor
the produced wealth to do that.  Right now, it is better to
consider humans as just one link in a highly interdependent
planetary system.  Yes, we do need to preserve species
diversity.  We will want to do this even if we have become
the masters of the ecosystem.

Anonymous:

 Labor shortage is a quaint theory. Today, we take the
 wealth of nature with machines, and that makes us all
 freeriders. Resources and pollution limits are now the
 limiting factors, the weak links in the chain of production.

David:

 This is pretty obviously misguided. I'd have to recommend a review of
 the notions of living and dead labour.

Regretfully you found this too obvious to elaborate.  Had
you thought a little more about this I am sure you would have
discovered yourself that you are confusing value and use-value.

 This notion of being freeriders on nature ... is rather peculiar.

Nature gives us many things for free.  Think ecosystem
services, low entropy ores, fossil fuels.  But it comes with
a caveat.  Mother nature is telling us not to get too greedy
because otherwise the freebies will disappear.  Anonymous's
provocative term freeriding on nature is fruitful because
it draws attention to this.

 Planet parasites unite! Don't kill the host.

Instead of don't kill the host Anonymous should have said:
don't give the host a fever or don't make the host sneeze.
David still can't get over it that his beloved humans have
turned into parasites:

 Parasitism is a relation between at least two entities, whereby one of
 them benefits and the other suffers harm, in terms of fitness. How is
 the planet a potential parasite host, what is a function of planetary
 fitness, and how can such a thing even be computed when planets, to my
 knowledge, do not reproduce?

Yep, Gaia theory is involved in this, and I think Marxists
should take Gaia theory seriously.  Lovelock says that right
now Gaia has a digestive system, it does not yet have a
brain.  Some time in the far future humans will be the
brain, but right now we are just a bunch of parasites at the
moment of our expulsion from paradise.

 Being a bit less strict with the metaphor, and assuming it refers to the
 ecosphere, I still don't see how it is applicable. We're doing what all
 the other lifeforms are doing: trying to survive and thrive. This is
 never free from conflict: even plants must compete for sunlight and
 minerals. Nor is homeostasis ever assured, even without evil humans in
 the picture.

Humans are not evil but they are so smart that they managed
to break out of this natural equilibrium.  But we are not
yet smart or rich enough to consciously steer the ecosystem.
This is why we need to be modest.

 After all, cyanobacteria introduced, merely as a byproduct,
 but to their benefit (and ours), high concentrations of oxygen in the
 environment, which at the time, to most life forms, was a metabolic
 poison. These things happen.

Good metaphor.  Humans are as poisonous to today's
environment as oxygen was to the 

[Marxism] What do Marxists do when labor is no longer the limiting factor of production?

2011-07-12 Thread ehrbar
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In response to my are we too nice posting, someone wrote
me something I think I agree with (still have to think about
it more):

 Yes, we need disciplined cooperation, but not to
 produce as much as possible. We need to maximize
 our wealth by minimizing our waste and consumption.

 Labor shortage is a quaint theory. Today, we take the
 wealth of nature with machines, and that makes us all
 freeriders. Resources and pollution limits are now the
 limiting factors, the weak links in the chain of production.

 Planet parasites unite! Don't kill the host.
 The freerider concept is the problem and it
 drives the need to produce as much as possible,
 even though that is way too much.

I hope the author of the above doesn't mind me forwarding
his text anonymously.  I leave it up to him to identify
himself if he so wishes.

I usually don't send the same posting to several mailing
lists at once--I consider it rude--but this time I did.  I
sent my are we too nice thing also to a mailing list for
Utah environmental activists.  From them I got a response to
which I then responded as follows.  I probably risk my
reputation as Marxist or even progressive if I show you
this, but I got good responses from the Utah enviros and
wonder what you in the marxism list say about it.  The rest
here is my [E1250] posted to the energy list:

Date: Sun, 10 Jul 2011 22:10:42 -0600
To: Renewable Energy Policies for Utah ene...@greenhouse.economics.utah.edu
Subject: [E2150]  Re: Perhaps we are too nice?


 So what should we do to help the starving people now?

Forget about helping others.  The emphasis must be on
co-operation.  This is different than helping.  Here are some
examples:

If you have a job in fossil fuel dependent industries we
expect you to re-train for something that does not destroy
us all.  This is co-operation.  We will also fight like hell
for a social safety net for those who lose their jobs.  If
we were in power, such a safety net would exist.  But we are
not in power.  Don't blame us for the class struggles you
lost in the past.

Co-operation also means: if you have a green technology, we
expect you to give it to those in need, in Africa etc.  We
will not ask those in Africa to pay for it, but we may ask
them to introduce birth control--while again fighting like
hell for an old age insurance system so that they don't need
so many children to secure their old age.  Again don't
make us responsible if it does not exist.

Anyone who wants to take private advantage of the calamity
for all is a free-rider or worse.  If you co-operate with me
then your damage is my damage, not my gain.  I don't need to
be altruistic to want to minimize damage to you.  It is in
my interest because it gives me a stronger ally.

Even if we co-operate this does not mean we can solve all
the problems of the world or can afford paying reparations
to everyone harmed by a system not of our making.
Co-operation also means: get over what was done to you in
the past.  Don't think that being exploited made you
a better person.


Hans


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[Marxism] Perhaps we are too nice?

2011-07-10 Thread ehrbar
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Here is a posting from another list which was not only an ah
ha moment for Joanna but also for me.  People flock to the
right not because they believe in their growth fantasies,
but because they do not want to have to give their stuff
away when things turn rough.  What does this mean for us?
The alternative to selfish competition is not sharing with
everybody who is in need, but the alternative to selfish
competition is disciplined cooperation, where everyone has
to pull their weight and freeriders are weeded out.


--- Start of forwarded message ---
Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2011 02:59:19 + (UTC)
From: 123...@comcast.net
To: lbo-t...@lbo-talk.org
Subject: Re: [lbo-talk] Krugman: The question then is why.


Andy Szasz calls it the politics of inverted quarantine - walling oneself 
off from as many risks as possible and thus learning and doing nothing about 
the roots of any or all problems... it's neoliberal consumerism, whatever 
the valence. 

___ 


I was hanging out with a friend from Paris. He mentioned
that the hard right in France is growing stronger and more
numerous, and that it is now 25% of the electorate. And I
said, why, why is there no reciprocal consolidation and
growth on the left. His reply was interesting and I think
very close to the mark. He said that what everyone is being
told is that there's not enough to go around, that we live
in a world of increasing scarcity and that the general
population of the West is convinced that sharing with the
developing world is not feasable, and that if it were, it
would certainly mean less for the rest of us. So the swing
to the right is a vote for that party which looks more
consistent and more willing to fight the encroaching hoards.

This made a lot of sense to me. And maybe I'm the only one
on the block who didn't see it, or maybe I just naively
think that the feeling of human brotherhood is stronger than
it actually is. Anyway. I had an ah ha moment, and I'm
passing it on.

Joanna

___

-- End of forwarded message ---


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[Marxism] Scheduled Downtime

2011-05-19 Thread ehrbar
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There will be a scheduled downtime at the mailing list server
starting in 5 minutes.  Don't know how long.

Hans


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[Marxism] Bread riots?

2011-04-03 Thread ehrbar
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I wrote:
 Yes Iran is important, and so is Turkey.  But both have been
 in motion for a long time.

Mina replied:
 Thanks for your answer. But there is a movement going on in Iran.
...  So, no, it's not just a motion, it's a revolutionary movement ...

My answer:
Oops, I must have used the wrong word.  I meant movement, not motion :)

Mina seems to think strongly that my raising biofuels is
somehow out of place, that it makes me a racist or someone
too green to recognize how red Iranian blood is.  I am glad I
haven't been called a reformist yet, or a Stalinist who is
trying to tell the exploited farmers in the US and EU what
to do with their land.  Therefore let me try to justify my
bringing up biofuels on a Marxism list in the following way:

Marx says that under capitalism, value is created by
abstract labor.  It does not matter which kind the concrete
labor is, as long as it is the expenditure of human
labor-power it creates value.  A society must be quite rich
so that they can count all labors the same in this way, so
that wealth is augmented equally whether you grow food or
fuel or opium.  It seems to me that we are exiting this age
of plentitude.  The era of cheap fossil fuels led to an
overshoot of population and now we have to be careful that
the world produces enough food for everyone.  This is not
possible in a market system which only looks at abstract
labor.  We need some kind of socialism, but it is not going
to be the socialism of plentitude, but more a socialism of
having a good life under scarcity, as they have had it in
Cuba now for a long time.  OK, shoot away, call me a
Malthusian now too :) BTW the binding constraint does not
seem to be availability or fertility of land, but the
binding constraint is the water needed to grow crops.


Hans




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[Marxism] Bread riots?

2011-04-02 Thread ehrbar
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What is the role of rising food prices in the
revolutionary upsurge in the Arab countries?

What is the role of subsidies for biofuels and of
regulations requiring biofuels to be used for gasoline in
the rise of world food prices?

Is it our revolutionary responsibility in the US and EU
to oppose such biofuel subsidies?

These are not rhetorical questions.  What do comrades
think about this?

Hans G Ehrbar



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[Marxism] Bread riots?

2011-04-02 Thread ehrbar
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Yes Iran is important, and so is Turkey.  But both have been
in motion for a long time.  I was more interested in the
movements which sprang up recently, exactly at the time when
food prices skyrocketed.  I think I have seen articles
claiming that in Tunesia and Egypt the rising food prices
played a big role.  Are these reports reliable, and is this
also a factor in Libya, Bahrain, Jordan, etc?

Hans


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[Marxism] linux for resilience

2011-03-18 Thread ehrbar
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If the authorities shut down the internet or it fails for
other reasons, neighborhoods and even entire cities still
have the ability to communicate with each other using a
mesh network whose nodes are everybody's wireless
adapters.  But building such a mesh network requires a
skilled network programmer.  If I understand it right (and
the computer gurus on this list please correct me), the
integration of the BATMAN software into the latest linux
kernel has made such an ad-hoc mesh network much more
feasible in the years to come.  It will not be immediate, I
assume there will be a few years until such a mesh network
will be an option which a lay person can select with a mouse
click.  Just in time for the next climate-change disaster.

We can prepare for it already now by switching to linux.  I
have experiences with the recent Ubuntu Desktop releases,
which are really user friendly and easy to install.  If you
want to make your neighborhood more resilient in a disaster,
convince your neighbors now to switch to linux (or at least
double-boot their computers), so that their computers can
become nodes in such a mesh network when this kernel has
entered the main linux distros and the applications for it
have been built.



Links:


http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9214686/New_Linux_kernel_goes_faster

http://kernelnewbies.org/Linux_2_6_38

http://www.open-mesh.org/wiki/2011-03-17-batman-adv-and-the-penguin


Hans G. Ehrbar



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Re: [Marxism] [17391] Re: Today's equivalent of the Aswan Dam

2011-02-05 Thread ehrbar
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Nestor asked:

 I guess we are talking of residential use, perhaps street lights, not
 of industrial energy, are we not?

Europeans use the word prosumer, somebody who produces and
consumes electricity at the same time.  Residences can be constructed
easily which have solar panels integrated in roofs, walls, even
windows and which are well enough insulated that year round they
produce more electricity than they consume.  (If they are
superinsulated they need ventilation, which should be done with heat
exchange ventilators, etc.)  They are best produced as pre-fab
modules, and an industry producing pre-fab energy efficient residences
seems to be something they could do in Egypt.  Everyone with a farm
could put windmills up on their farm without interfering with farm
operations.  Local utilities, maybe co-ops, would buy the excess
energy, store it, or co-operate with production facilities to recycle
energy.  Energy storage is a big industry and we haven't even
scratched the surface, there are lots of options.  One of the
professors at the U of U has a project of pumping the heat into the
ground during Summer and extracting it in Winter.  Silicone smelting
needs lot of heat, and the waste heat can be used for generating
electricity, and then the low temperature heat expelled from the steam
turbine could be used for area heating or even area cooling.  This
requires direct cooperation between different production facilities
which can be done much better in a socialist system than in an
arms-length monetary relation.

The obvious third-world applications would be to have solar panels on
your home so that you can recharge your cellphone, and also recharge
the battery of your electric bicycle (lots of those in China).  If
every peasant has a laptop they can take telecourses and you can build
up a highly skilled workforce over time.  But if you live in the
Sahara energy is so cheap that you can use it for desalinization of
water and agriculture.  I could imagine that in the longer run
energy-intensive production facilities such as aluminum smelters might
relocate into the deserts too where the sun shines.

It's a lot of upfront capital investment, but after the initial
capital is put in, energy is abundant and cheap.  And the options what
to do are endless.

Hans


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Re: [Marxism] Today's equivalent of the Aswan Dam

2011-02-04 Thread ehrbar
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David wrote:

 The EU-inspired idea of solar plants in the Sahara is meeting opposition
 from groups that don't like the idea of their energy sovereignty being
 mortgaged to European NGOs and energy companies.

You are talking about the Desertec project.  THe one I am talking
about is different, and much less well known.  It is inspired by
Japan, not the EU, and it does not intend to export the solar
electricity but use it locally.  Their plan is to do the research in
the Sahara with local engineers how to get solar-grade silocon out of
the sand and develop all the technologies locally.  They want to start
with 2 MW generating capacity from solar panels and double this every
2 years until they have 2GW after 20 years.  The web site of their
foundation is

http://www.ssb-foundation.com/

Maybe this particular project won't fly, I just wanted to throw it out
there to show that the possibilities of renewable-energy based
development are endless.  Such possibilities are not promoted much by
the industrial centers because they are saddled with an obsolete
centralized energy infrastructure and promoting the alternative would
show how outdated their own structure is.  Desertec is exactly the
attempt of the big utilities in Europe to funnel even renewable energy
through their centralized transmission systems.  Herman Scheer says:
consumption of energy is decentralized, and production of renewable
energy is decentralized, therefore you should simply produce locally
what you need instead of first combining it, then shipping it all over
the continent, and then distributing it again.

Scheer's latest book has not yet been translated into English,

http://www.hermannscheer.de/de/index.php?option=com_contenttask=viewid=727Itemid=103



Hans.


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