Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-19 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 6/19/18 8:26 AM, Michael Marking via Marxism wrote:

Oscar-René Vargas


You can read more from Vargas in the ISO newspaper, including an article 
dated May 3 that stipulates:


27. The most important demands are: the formation of a provisional 
government with representation of the youth, honest academics, and other 
sectors of civil society (women, peasants fighting against the canal, 
miners).


28. The establishment of a Truth Commission to investigate and punish 
those responsible for the crimes and murders of 30 citizens, as well as 
the corruption of officials.


29. Call on the honest sectors of the Army and Police to support a 
Provisional Government.


30. The objective of an Interim Government would be, among other things, 
to change the logic of the "plunder state" (Estado-Botín), to abolish 
the current authoritarian system, to eliminate the political class's 
pervasive impunity, to defend natural resources (forests, water, 
biodiversity) and to fight to reduce social inequality.


---

An Interim Government? What does that mean in the context of Nicaraguan 
politics today? The government will almost certainly be headed by a 
politician that garnered the largest vote in the last election, or a 
proxy for the party that ruled Nicaragua before Ortega's election in 2007.


Unless this movement defines its political goals and challenges both 
Ortega/Murillo and the Liberal Party of Aleman and Montealegre, it will 
be a return to real Somoza-type policies, not the populism of the FSLN.


Even Vargas understands this:

6. Without an existing leadership that is representative and visible, 
there is a fear that the social movement will move towards dispersion or 
anarchy.


7. An immediate meeting of youth leaders is necessary to establish a 
strategy and to lay out tactical steps to be taken.


8. It has to be noted that the social movement cannot be sustained 
without a recognized leadership.

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Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-19 Thread Michael Marking via Marxism
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On Mon, Jun 18, 2018 at 04:09:35PM -0400, Richard Fidler via Marxism wrote:
> 
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> 
>[...]
> 
> See the recent report by Nicaraguan sociologist Oscar-René Vargas,
> "Perspectivas tras la masiva Huelga General," in Viento Sur. A French
> translation is available in À l'Encontre. I am unaware of any English
> translation.
> 
>[...]
>

(My Spanish isn't so good, but hopefully better than that of the
robots... caveat lector)

Perspectives/views after the massive general strike

15/06/2018 | Oscar-René Vargas 

1. From 18 April to 13 June, 2018, Nicaragua endured 58 days of citizen
protests, in which the people demanded the immediate departure of
Ortega-Murillo from power. These demonstrations have been repressed by
the state, at a cost of at least 168 deaths.

2. The Police, upon orders of Daniel Ortega, have been leading an
offensive against the citizen insurrection, let by mercenaries, hit men,
and riot squads that have caused terror among the Nicaraguan population.
This strategy is said to be justified because the number of people in
the civil rebellion, in different parts of the country, exceeds the
number of regular police; for that reason the official strategy is to
attack a different city each day. The Police have taken to the streets
together with the hit men to intimidate the population and they destroy
the barricades that the citizens have raised for their safety at the
entrances to their neighbourhoods or cities.  

3. The political action shows that the Ortega-Murillo Government doesn’t
have the capability to confront all the situation at a national level.
According to the 2016 annual report of the National Police, the most
recent published, the country then had 15,139 on active duty to cover
121,428 square kilometers; that is, the republic had an average of 24
policemen for each 10,000 inhabitants in 2016, a figure which has not
changed in April 2018, according to the 2018 General Budget of the
Republic.   

4. The government repression in various cities of the country, is a
“strategy of terror” before the inability that the Police and the hit
men have to stop the many marches and protests that have happened all
over the country. Despite the brute force utilized by these para-police
groups, the strategy of terror has produced no results for Ortega. 

5. Ortega-Murillo have created, in two months, a criminal organization,
because upon involving these marginalized groups into gangs, organizing
them, arming them, and giving them a mantle of impunity, they are
converted into the future criminal organization of the country, into the
future gangs of Nicaragua. 

6. It is necessary to be clear that Ortega-Murillo are not of the left,
as many progressives at the international level think. Ortega-ism is a
broken, corrupt, and backward system that discredits the left and
progressive sectors of the world. 

7. The Army has had a minimally passive complicity. There are various
bad signs that point to partial Army participation, lending troops and
military skills. According to the Political Constitution of Nicaragua,
the Army is the only institution authorized to have a monopoly of force
and of arms, in such a way that, at/upon not disarming the para-police,
hit men, and thugs, it is placed at the side of Daniel Ortega. [I’m not
sure what is said or implied here. The Constitution appears to allow the
President to use the Army for internal purposes in case of major
internal disorders, but immediately above the author says that
para-police etc are being used by the President, so this seems
contradictory. Maybe I just don’t apprehend the meaning. -translator]

8. Wednesday, 13 June, Ortega-ist paramilitary attacked, at night,
people who maintained barricades at various points in the city of León.
There was an attack in Masatepe by paramilitary and riot police, leaving
at least four dead. 
People from different neighbourhoods in Managua reported gunfire at
night. Furthermore, agents of the National Police captured every citizen
who moved about at night.
In the city of Diriamba, some 40 police that were stationed there, left
their uniforms behind and went to observe the popular insurrections.
 
9. On Thursday, 14 June, all Nicaragua awoke to a national
shutdown/strike, completely paralyzed by stoppages, empty streets and
closed businesses. The stoppages remained without giving w

Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-18 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 6/18/18 8:03 PM, DW via Marxism wrote:

This has never been about
day-to-day police actions...it started with the pension reform.


I understand that. I was just trying to go slow on comparisons with Syria.
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Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-18 Thread DW via Marxism
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I'd also use caution with the validity of Nexus as well...not overly
reliable with regards to the Nicaraguan press. This has never been about
day-to-day police actions...it started with the pension reform. There
hasn't been that much political activity in the streets whatsoever for
quite a long time, something the gov't there is quite content with.
Demonstrations are daily occurrence now or so say my family there,
spreading about different cities of the interior.

David
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Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-18 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 6/18/18 4:09 PM, Richard Fidler wrote:

As she notes, the mass protests in Nicaragua resemble some of the popular
uprisings in the Arab Spring. She mentions Tahrir Square in 2011, but the
Nicaraguan protests, which are country-wide, more closely parallel the
"decentralized, social network-based, and horizontal social movements calling
for justice and democracy" in the initial anti-Assad uprisings in Syria. In
Nicaragua, however, the reaction has closed ranks and enlisted US and OAS
support in an effort to reach some accommodation with their erstwhile ally
Daniel Ortega.


You know, a little caution is necessary when making such comparisons. I 
just did a search in Nexis for Nicaragua and "police brutality" between 
Jan. 1, 2016 and Dec. 31, 2017 and not a single article turned up except 
one that referred to legislation sponsored by a Republican and a 
Cuban-American Democrat who was from a district in New Jersey with a 
heavy concentration of Cuban-Americans.

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Re: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-18 Thread Richard Fidler via Marxism
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As she notes, the mass protests in Nicaragua resemble some of the popular
uprisings in the Arab Spring. She mentions Tahrir Square in 2011, but the
Nicaraguan protests, which are country-wide, more closely parallel the
"decentralized, social network-based, and horizontal social movements calling
for justice and democracy" in the initial anti-Assad uprisings in Syria. In
Nicaragua, however, the reaction has closed ranks and enlisted US and OAS
support in an effort to reach some accommodation with their erstwhile ally
Daniel Ortega.

Lacking a clear political program as an alternative to the authoritarian and
repressive Ortega-Murillo regime, the student leaders were vulnerable to
manipulation by pro-imperialist class forces, including those such as the COSEP
business interests, the Church, etc. that until recently were close allies of
Ortega. Some went to Miami where they supported threats by right-wing
Republicans to apply the Magnitsky law to Nicaragua, as the US and Canada have
already done to Venezuela.

Following a massive country-wide general strike last Thursday, June 14, in which
the business interests collaborated in an effort to regain some popular
legitimacy, the US ambassador Laura Dogu and Caleb McCarry, a representative of
the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, presented a proposal from Ortega to
the Nicaraguan Episcopal Conference (CEN) and the Civic Alliance, which were
participating in an OAS-sponsored national dialogue operation. He had told the
US government he was prepared to have early elections in the first quarter of
2019, but insisted on remaining in office until then. He is also proposing
changes in Nicaragua's supreme electoral council, its Supreme Court and in some
other state institutions. 

However, even if an agreement on these or similar terms is reached, it is
unclear whether it would put an end to the popular uprising, the common demand
of which is for the removal now of Ortega-Murillo. The death toll, mainly as a
result of regime police action, is now above 175, with thousands of injured,
some of them denied public hospital access because of a directive issued by
Ortega's minister of health. Unfortunately, there is no real organized left
political opposition in Nicaragua, Sandinista dissident currents having long
been marginalized and often manifesting their own political disorientation in a
variety of relatively right-wing positions.

See the recent report by Nicaraguan sociologist Oscar-René Vargas, "Perspectivas
tras la masiva Huelga General," in Viento Sur. A French translation is available
in À l'Encontre. I am unaware of any English translation.

Richard



-Original Message-
From: Marxism [mailto:marxism-boun...@lists.csbs.utah.edu] On Behalf Of Louis
Proyect via Marxism
Sent: Monday, June 18, 2018 11:03 AM
To: rfid...@ncf.ca
Subject: [Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

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Lori Hanson, who co-authored this article, was one of the first 
"experts" to breathlessly hail the student protests in Nicaragua. 
Therefor her growing wariness must be taken into account.

https://nacla.org/news/2018/06/15/deciphering-nicaraguan-student-uprising
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[Marxism] Deciphering the Nicaraguan Student Uprising | NACLA

2018-06-18 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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Lori Hanson, who co-authored this article, was one of the first 
"experts" to breathlessly hail the student protests in Nicaragua. 
Therefor her growing wariness must be taken into account.


https://nacla.org/news/2018/06/15/deciphering-nicaraguan-student-uprising
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