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https://divinity.uchicago.edu/sightings/how-not-understand-isis-alireza-doostdar

October 2, 2014

The group known as the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant or simply the
Islamic State (ISIL, ISIS, or IS) has attracted much attention in the past
few months with its dramatic military gains in Syria and Iraq and with the
recent U.S. decision to wage war against it.

As analysts are called to explain ISIS’ ambitions, its appeal, and its
brutality, they often turn to an examination of what they consider to be
its religious worldview—a combination of cosmological doctrines,
eschatological beliefs, and civilizational notions—usually thought to be
rooted in Salafi Islam.

The Salafi tradition is a modern reformist movement critical of what it
considers to be misguided accretions to Islam—such as grave visitations,
saint veneration, and dreaming practices. It calls for abolishing these and
returning to the ways of the original followers of Prophet Muhammad,
the “salaf” or predecessors. Critics of Salafism accuse its followers of
“literalism,” “puritanism,” or of practicing a “harsh” or “rigid” form of
Islam, but none of these terms is particularly accurate, especially given
the diverse range of Salafi views and the different ways in which people
adhere to them [1].

Salafism entered American consciousness after September 11, 2001, as
Al-Qaeda leaders claim to follow this school. Ever since, it has become
commonplace to demonize Salafism as the primary cause of Muslim violence,
even though most Salafi Muslims show no enthusiasm for jihad and often
eschew political involvement [2], and even though many Muslims who do
engage in armed struggles are not Salafi.

ISIS is only the most recent group whose behavior is explained in terms of
Salafism. What makes it unique is its aspiration to form immediately a
caliphate or pan-Islamic state. Even so, analysts’ emphasis on Salafi
thought and on the formation of a caliphate makes it easy to ignore some
important aspects of the ISIS phenomenon. I would like to draw attention to
some of these neglected issues and to offer a few cautions about attempts
to understand ISIS purely in terms of doctrines. My argument is not that
studying doctrines is useless; only that such study is limited in what it
can explain.

I should begin by emphasizing that our knowledge of ISIS is extremely
scant. We know close to nothing about ISIS’ social base. We know little
about how it made its military gains, and even less about the nature of the
coalitions into which it has entered with various groups—from other
Islamist rebels in Syria to secular Ba‘athists in Iraq.

Sensationalist accounts of “shari‘a justice” notwithstanding, we do not
have much information about how ISIS administers the lives of millions of
people who reside in the territories it now controls.

Information about the militants who fight for ISIS is likewise scarce. Most
of what we know is gleaned from recruitment videos and propaganda, not the
most reliable sources. There is little on the backgrounds and motives of
those who choose to join the group, least of all the non-Western recruits
who form the bulk of ISIS’ fighting force. In the absence of this
information, it is difficult to even say what ISIS is if we are to rely on
anything beyond the group’s self-representations.

Let me emphasize this last point. What we call ISIS is more than just a
militant cult. At present, ISIS controls a network of large population
centers with millions of residents, in addition to oil resources, military
bases, and roads [3]. It has to administer the affairs of the populations
over whom it rules, and this has required compromise and
coalition-building, not just brute force.

In Iraq, the group has had to work with secular Ba‘athists, former army
officers, tribal councils, and various Sunni opposition groups, many of
whose members are in administrative positions [4]. In Syria, it has
likewise had to negotiate with other rebel factions as well as tribes, and
relies on local (non-ISIS) technical expertise to manage services such as
water, electricity, public health, and bakeries [5].

The vast majority of ISIS’ estimated 20,000-31,500 fighters are recent
recruits and it is not clear whether and how its leadership maintains
ideological consistency among them. All told, our sense of ISIS’ coherence
as a caliphate with a clear chain of command, a solid organizational
structure, and an all-encompassing ideology is a direct product of ISIS’
propaganda apparatus.

We see ISIS as a unitary entity because ISIS propagandists want us to see
it that way. This is why it is problematic to rely on doctrines espoused in
propaganda to explain ISIS’ behavior. Absent more evidence, we simply
cannot know if the behaviors of the different parts of ISIS are expressions
of these doctrines.

And yet, much of the analysis that we have available relies precisely on
ISIS’ propaganda and doctrinal statements. What does this emphasis obscure?
Here I will point out several of the issues I consider most important.

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