The Cidr Report

2008-02-01 Thread cidr-report

This report has been generated at Fri Feb  1 21:10:05 2008 AEST.
The report analyses the BGP Routing Table of AS2.0 router
and generates a report on aggregation potential within the table.

Check http://www.cidr-report.org for a current version of this report.

Recent Table History
Date  PrefixesCIDR Agg
25-01-08247660  162166
26-01-08248051  151070
27-01-08241439  156427
28-01-08248360  155966
29-01-08248310  156462
30-01-08248257  156462
31-01-08 0  156462
01-02-08  -1077941796  156462


AS Summary
 0  Number of ASes in routing system
 0  Number of ASes announcing only one prefix
  1554  Largest number of prefixes announced by an AS
AS4755 : VSNL-AS Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd. Autonomous System
 0  Largest address span announced by an AS (/32s)
  : MIT-GATEWAYS - Massachusetts Institute of Technology


Aggregation Summary
The algorithm used in this report proposes aggregation only
when there is a precise match using the AS path, so as 
to preserve traffic transit policies. Aggregation is also
proposed across non-advertised address space ('holes').

 --- 01Feb08 ---
ASnumNetsNow NetsAggr  NetGain   % Gain   Description

Table 248256   1564629179437.0%   All ASes

AS9498  1112   66 104694.1%   BBIL-AP BHARTI BT INTERNET
   LTD.
AS4323  1383  371 101273.2%   TWTC - Time Warner Telecom,
   Inc.
AS18566 1041   60  98194.2%   COVAD - Covad Communications
   Co.
AS4755  1554  668  88657.0%   VSNL-AS Videsh Sanchar Nigam
   Ltd. Autonomous System
AS11492 1210  431  77964.4%   CABLEONE - CABLE ONE
AS22773  847   80  76790.6%   CCINET-2 - Cox Communications
   Inc.
AS19262  877  151  72682.8%   VZGNI-TRANSIT - Verizon
   Internet Services Inc.
AS6478  1101  396  70564.0%   ATT-INTERNET3 - ATT WorldNet
   Services
AS8151  1149  458  69160.1%   Uninet S.A. de C.V.
AS17488  961  316  64567.1%   HATHWAY-NET-AP Hathway IP Over
   Cable Internet
AS15270  655   99  55684.9%   AS-PAETEC-NET - PaeTec
   Communications, Inc.
AS18101  610   78  53287.2%   RIL-IDC Reliance Infocom Ltd
   Internet Data Centre,
AS6197  1035  518  51750.0%   BATI-ATL - BellSouth Network
   Solutions, Inc
AS4780   597   81  51686.4%   SEEDNET Digital United Inc.
AS2386  1353  844  50937.6%   INS-AS - ATT Data
   Communications Services
AS4134   863  357  50658.6%   CHINANET-BACKBONE
   No.31,Jin-rong Street
AS7018  1482 1009  47331.9%   ATT-INTERNET4 - ATT WorldNet
   Services
AS19916  563  100  46382.2%   ASTRUM-0001 - OLM LLC
AS4766   842  387  45554.0%   KIXS-AS-KR Korea Telecom
AS4812   546   94  45282.8%   CHINANET-SH-AP China Telecom
   (Group)
AS855557  113  44479.7%   CANET-ASN-4 - Bell Aliant
AS17676  506   64  44287.4%   GIGAINFRA BB TECHNOLOGY Corp.
AS7011  1032  595  43742.3%   FRONTIER-AND-CITIZENS -
   Frontier Communications of
   America, Inc.
AS3356   839  415  42450.5%   LEVEL3 Level 3 Communications
AS4808   515  128  38775.1%   CHINA169-BJ CNCGROUP IP
   network China169 Beijing
   Province Network
AS5668   668  289  37956.7%   AS-5668 - CenturyTel Internet
   Holdings, Inc.
AS9443   450   75  37583.3%   INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus
   Telecommunications
AS6140   609  235  37461.4%   IMPSAT-USA - ImpSat USA, Inc.
AS7545   505  136  36973.1%   TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Internet
   Pty Ltd
AS4668   523  173  35066.9%   LGNET-AS-KR LG CNS

Total  25985 878717198

BGP Update Report

2008-02-01 Thread cidr-report

BGP Update Report
Interval: 31-Dec-07 -to- 29-Jan-08 (30 days)
Observation Point: BGP Peering with AS2.0

TOP 20 Unstable Origin AS
Rank ASNUpds %  Upds/PfxAS-Name
 1 - AS17421  154079  2.2%4054.7 -- EMOME-TW Long Distance  Mobile 
Business Group,
 2 - AS815188363  1.3%  76.4 -- Uninet S.A. de C.V.
 3 - AS23563   78359  1.1%1205.5 -- VITSSEN-SUWON-AS-KR Tbroad 
Suwon Broadcating Corporati
 4 - AS949875888  1.1%  66.2 -- BBIL-AP BHARTI BT INTERNET LTD.
 5 - AS346261642  0.9% 373.6 -- HINET Data Communication 
Business Group
 6 - AS478252734  0.8%3766.7 -- GSNET Data Communication 
Business Group
 7 - AS24731   52624  0.8%1031.8 -- ASN-NESMA National Engineering 
Services and Marketing Company Ltd. (NESMA)
 8 - AS462146410  0.7% 303.3 -- UNSPECIFIED UNINET-TH
 9 - AS730344150  0.6%  29.4 -- Telecom Argentina S.A.
10 - AS22629   43176  0.6%   21588.0 -- NORWORLD - NORTHWESTERN 
CORPORATION
11 - AS480240432  0.6%  80.9 -- ASN-IINET iiNet Limited
12 - AS26829   39332  0.6%   39332.0 -- YKK-USA - YKK USA,INC
13 - AS20214   38779  0.6%   8.4 -- CCCH-AS6 - Comcast Cable 
Communications Holdings, Inc
14 - AS983538600  0.6% 303.9 -- GITS-TH-AS-AP Government 
Information Technology Services
15 - AS702938051  0.5%  95.4 -- WINDSTREAM - Windstream 
Communications Inc
16 - AS40474   37922  0.5%   37922.0 -- ABML-2 - Advantage Business 
Media, LLC
17 - AS958335296  0.5%  30.8 -- SIFY-AS-IN Sify Limited
18 - AS614035019  0.5%  45.7 -- IMPSAT-USA - ImpSat USA, Inc.
19 - AS18422   33826  0.5%1537.5 -- ITRINET-AS-TW Industrial 
Technology Research Institute
20 - AS475032207  0.5% 138.8 -- CSLOXINFO-ISP-AS-AP CSLOXINFO 
Public Company Limited.


TOP 20 Unstable Origin AS (Updates per announced prefix)
Rank ASNUpds %  Upds/PfxAS-Name
 1 - AS26829   39332  0.6%   39332.0 -- YKK-USA - YKK USA,INC
 2 - AS40474   37922  0.5%   37922.0 -- ABML-2 - Advantage Business 
Media, LLC
 3 - AS22629   43176  0.6%   21588.0 -- NORWORLD - NORTHWESTERN 
CORPORATION
 4 - AS19334   18383  0.3%   18383.0 -- SPORTLINE-DBC - SPORTLINE
 5 - AS37021  0.1%7021.0 -- BUSINESSUNITY-AS Business Unity 
Ltd.
 6 - AS828220309  0.3%6769.7 -- FIDONET FidoNet Registration 
Services Ltd
 7 - AS917919765  0.3%6588.3 -- KNOWTION-LONDON Knowtion Ltd.
 8 - AS8276 6340  0.1%6340.0 -- ROGUEPACKET Roguepacket Networks
 9 - AS309295697  0.1%5697.0 -- HUTCB Hidrotechnical Faculty - 
Technical University
10 - AS10229   22881  0.3%4576.2 -- YAHOO-TPE Internet Content 
Provider
11 - AS24506   17786  0.2%4446.5 -- YAHOO-TP2-AP Yahoo! Taiwan Inc.,
12 - AS30297   21368  0.3%4273.6 -- MAGMA-DESIGN-AUTOMATION - Magma 
Design Automation, Inc.
13 - AS241604070  0.1%4070.0 -- CHIMEI-AS Chi Mei Corporation
14 - AS17421  154079  2.2%4054.7 -- EMOME-TW Long Distance  Mobile 
Business Group,
15 - AS237124054  0.1%4054.0 -- ISC-TPE1 Internet Systems 
Consortium, Inc.
16 - AS418803943  0.1%3943.0 -- BOSE-EUROPE-AS Bose European 
Management Services B.V.
17 - AS236753942  0.1%3942.0 -- TSMCGDN-AS-AP Taiwan 
Semiconductor Manufactoring Company, Ltd.
18 - AS478252734  0.8%3766.7 -- GSNET Data Communication 
Business Group
19 - AS12611   10715  0.1%3571.7 -- RKOM R-KOM Regensburger 
Telekommunikations GmbH  Co. KG
20 - AS184103423  0.1%3423.0 -- TW-104IT-AS 104 Information 
Technology Co., Ltd.


TOP 20 Unstable Prefixes
Rank Prefix Upds % Origin AS -- AS Name
 1 - 203.101.87.0/24   57024  0.8%   AS9498  -- BBIL-AP BHARTI BT INTERNET LTD.
 2 - 12.108.254.0/24   39332  0.5%   AS26829 -- YKK-USA - YKK USA,INC
 3 - 65.126.154.0/24   37922  0.5%   AS40474 -- ABML-2 - Advantage Business 
Media, LLC
 4 - 203.55.229.160/2  35918  0.5%   AS4802  -- ASN-IINET iiNet Limited
 5 - 209.163.125.0/24  29925  0.4%   AS14390 -- CORENET - Coretel America, Inc.
 6 - 80.243.64.0/2027252  0.4%   AS21332 -- NTC-AS New Telephone Company
 7 - 64.79.128.0/1925729  0.3%   AS23005 -- SWITCH-COMMUNICATIONS - SWITCH 
Communications Group LLC
 8 - 199.96.16.0/2121588  0.3%   AS22629 -- NORWORLD - NORTHWESTERN 
CORPORATION
 9 - 199.96.24.0/2221588  0.3%   AS22629 -- NORWORLD - NORTHWESTERN 
CORPORATION
10 - 208.70.209.0/24   21341  0.3%   AS30297 -- MAGMA-DESIGN-AUTOMATION - Magma 
Design Automation, Inc.
11 - 207.181.144.0/24  19666  0.3%   AS19750 -- CTI-TX - C2C Fiber, Inc.
 AS32004 -- BIG-ASN - Business Information 
Group, Inc.
12 - 63.169.11.0/2418383  0.2%   

Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Suresh Ramasubramanian

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/third-undersea-cable-reportedly-cut/story.aspx?guid={1AAB2A79-E983-4E0E-BC39-68A120DC16D9}

 We had another cut today between Dubai and Muscat three hours back.
The cable was about 80G capacity, it had telephone, Internet data,
everything, one Flag official, who declined to be named, told Zawya
Dow Jones.
The cable, known as Falcon, delivers services to countries in the
Mediterranean and Gulf region, he added.

etc etc.


On Jan 31, 2008 10:05 PM, Martin Hannigan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 On Jan 31, 2008 11:20 AM, Rod Beck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
  http://www.kisca.org.uk/Web_SWApproaches.pdf
 
   And if you enlarge the map, you can see little dots on the lines
  representing the cables that denote repairs.
 
   Lots and lots of repairs. Treacherous waters.
 
 


 The distances are consistent with repeaters/op amps. And the chart
 legend notates the same.

 Coincidentally, Telecom Egypt announced a new cable to be built by
 Alcatel-Lucent this morning. TE North, which looks like it's going
 from Egypt to France, is an 8 pair system (128 x 10Gb/s x 8).

 Thanks for your input.

 -M




-- 
Suresh Ramasubramanian ([EMAIL PROTECTED])


Re: Blackholing traffic by ASN

2008-02-01 Thread JAKO Andras

 wee! and for some extra fun, just append the bad-guy's ASN to your
 route announcements, force bgp loop-detection to kill the traffic on
 their end (presuming they don't default-route as well)

Even more fun if you are not the only one filtering that ASN. :)

Andras


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Steven M. Bellovin

There's an interesting article at
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/technology/AP-Internet-Outages-Cables.html
on cable chokepoints.


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Martin Hannigan

On Feb 1, 2008 11:43 AM, Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 There's an interesting article at
 http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/technology/AP-Internet-Outages-Cables.html
 on cable chokepoints.



NEW YORK (AP) -- The lines that tie the globe together by carrying
phone calls and Internet traffic are just two-thirds of an inch thick
where they lie on the ocean floor.

This article is somewhat misleading. Semantics, but it set the tone
of the article for me and probably most of the public.

The cables are able to have their physical characteristics changed by
the ability to splice joints into the cable and connect two physically
disparate ends to serve specific purposes related bottom geologies,
depth, and other dangers. Different cable types are deployed to
mitigate different risks such as fishing, quakes, slides, etc. The
lightweight cable may be thinner, but is used in less risky settings
like massive depths. When you get to something like heavy weight
armored on the edge of a fishing ground or winding through a
treacherous bottom geology, your're talking much larger diameters and
much more weight, as Rod Beck had mentioned previously.

There are many variables that go into route selection and cabling
which impact type. Cost is one.

-M


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Sean Donelan



The Submarine Cable Improvement Group

http://www.scig.net/

has plenty of details about trends in submarine cable damage and
improvements in submarine cable protection.



RE: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Martin Hannigan
Sent: Fri 2/1/2008 5:01 PM
To: Steven M. Bellovin
Cc: nanog@merit.edu
Subject: Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea 
cable disruption
 

On Feb 1, 2008 11:43 AM, Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 There's an interesting article at
 http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/technology/AP-Internet-Outages-Cables.html
 on cable chokepoints.



NEW YORK (AP) -- The lines that tie the globe together by carrying
phone calls and Internet traffic are just two-thirds of an inch thick
where they lie on the ocean floor.

This article is somewhat misleading. Semantics, but it set the tone
of the article for me and probably most of the public.

The cables are able to have their physical characteristics changed by
the ability to splice joints into the cable and connect two physically
disparate ends to serve specific purposes related bottom geologies,
depth, and other dangers. Different cable types are deployed to
mitigate different risks such as fishing, quakes, slides, etc. The
lightweight cable may be thinner, but is used in less risky settings
like massive depths. When you get to something like heavy weight
armored on the edge of a fishing ground or winding through a
treacherous bottom geology, your're talking much larger diameters and
much more weight, as Rod Beck had mentioned previously.

There are many variables that go into route selection and cabling
which impact type. Cost is one.

-M

Weight is a bigger issue than most people realize. In order to lift a cable out 
of the water and onto the deck of a Global Marine or Tyco Submarine ship, it 
has be cut and the two segments lifted out of the water, spliced, and then a 
'joint' is placed at the splice point. The weight of even a thin cable is too 
great to be lifted without being cut in two. 



RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
Of course, we all know the Mossad (Israeli secret services) and CIA did it as 
part of the global conspiracy against the Middle East and Third World ...

In recent years I have restrained myself, but from time to time the 'old Rod 
Beck' manages to evade the supervision of the Super Ego (presumably you know 
your Freudian psychology). 

But seriously, double failures occur all the time. TAT-14 went dark for over 24 
hours on December 28, 2003 when one cable was damaged and the switch of traffic 
to the other cable caused the second cable to experience a repeater failure. 

Probability dictates that the improbable will happen given enough time. The 
improbable is unlikely, not impossible. 

Roderick S. Beck
Director of European Sales
Hibernia Atlantic
1, Passage du Chantier, 75012 Paris
http://www.hiberniaatlantic.com
Wireless: 1-212-444-8829. 
Landline: 33-1-4346-3209.
French Wireless: 33-6-14-33-48-97.
AOL Messenger: GlobalBandwidth
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
``Unthinking respect for authority is the greatest enemy of truth.'' Albert 
Einstein. 



-Original Message-
From: Ahmed Maged (amaged) [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Fri 2/1/2008 6:05 PM
To: Steven M. Bellovin; Martin Hannigan
Cc: Rod Beck; Hank Nussbacher; Sean Donelan; nanog@merit.edu
Subject: RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption
 
Doesn't look normal to me that both cables were cut 'accidently'

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of
Steven M. Bellovin
Sent: Thursday, January 31, 2008 6:49 PM
To: Martin Hannigan
Cc: Rod Beck; Hank Nussbacher; Sean Donelan; nanog@merit.edu
Subject: Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption


Today's NY Times reports that the problem was caused by two
near-simultaneous cable failures:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/business/worldbusiness/31cable.html



Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Randy Bush



Weight is a bigger issue than most people realize.


perhaps folk would benefit from [re]reading Neal Stephenson's wonderful 
classic bit of gonzo journalism in Wired, 
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/4.12/ffglass.html.


randy


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Dorn Hetzel
perhaps my favorite magazine article of all time.

On Feb 1, 2008 1:13 PM, Randy Bush [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


  Weight is a bigger issue than most people realize.

 perhaps folk would benefit from [re]reading Neal Stephenson's wonderful
 classic bit of gonzo journalism in Wired,
 http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/4.12/ffglass.html.

 randy



AAAAs in the Root and /48 Filtering

2008-02-01 Thread Scalzo, Frank

All,
 
As you may be aware, the DNS root zone will be updated on Monday,
February 4, with  resource records for six of the root servers.
(Please see http://iana.org/reports/root--announcement.html for
IANA's official announcement.)  In preparation for this change, we have
noticed that some sites seem to be having reachability problems to the
new root server IPv6 addresses that are located in critical
infrastructure Micro-allocations (/47s or /48s), but not to the root
servers located in /32s.  Further testing has shown that we can ping
these sites experiencing reachability problems when sourcing the
provider allocated (PA) space on our links that aggregates up to a /32,
but not when sourcing from the provider independent (PI) /48s of our
root servers.
 
With the  RRs going into the root zone on Monday, now is a good time
to check your IPv6 route filters.  To prevent reachability problems,
network operators should update IPv6 route filters to permit up to at
least /48s from the appropriate RIR Micro-allocation blocks.
 
I tried to gather as many of these blocks as I could find from the RIRs.
Notably, I wasn't able to identify anything from AfriNIC -- hopefully
someone on the list will be able to fill in that gap.  This list is not
meant to be complete nor authoritative, but it does cover all of the
root server IPv6 addresses that are going live on Monday (that we are
aware of) and that are in blocks allocated as /47s or 48s.

That being said, please accept at least /48s from these blocks ASAP, or
your network may experience reachability problems to the IPv6 root
servers.
 
  ARIN (http://www.arin.net/reference/micro_allocations.html, 
http://www.arin.net/policy/nrpm.html#six10)
  2001:0500::/30

  RIPE
  (https://www.ripe.net/ripe/docs/ripe-ncc-managed-address-space.html)
  2001:7F8::/29

  APNIC (http://www.apnic.net/db/min-alloc.html)
  2001:0C00:/23
  2001:07FA:/32

  LACNIC (http://lacnic.net/en/registro/index.html)
  2001:12f8:::/35
  2001:12f8:4000::/35

If you are having IPv6 reachability problems to the V6 IP addresses for
a.root-servers.net and j.root-servers.net (2001:503:BA3e::2:30 and
2001:503:C27::2:30) please feel free to contact us. We may be able to
assist in getting filters updated or working around any connectivity
issues. 

Thank you,

Frank Scalzo
VeriSign


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Randy Bush


Dorn Hetzel wrote:

perhaps my favorite magazine article of all time.

http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/4.12/ffglass.html.


the original came with pictures sigh.  i tried the wayback machine, 
but could not find a version with them. :(


i guess i should wget the great ones with pics before they fade.  but i 
just can't archive everything.  and there are copyright issues anyway.


randy


Re: AAAAs in the Root and /48 Filtering

2008-02-01 Thread Iljitsch van Beijnum


On 1 feb 2008, at 20:22, Scalzo, Frank wrote:

I tried to gather as many of these blocks as I could find from the  
RIRs.

Notably, I wasn't able to identify anything from AfriNIC -- hopefully
someone on the list will be able to fill in that gap.


Hope springs eternal...

According to:

http://www.ripe.net/ripe/maillists/archives/address-policy-wg/2007/msg00542.html

 We have consequently as of today started making /48 PI assignments
 from the following block:

 2001:43f8::/29


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Scott Francis

On Feb 1, 2008 6:37 AM, Suresh Ramasubramanian [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/third-undersea-cable-reportedly-cut/story.aspx?guid={1AAB2A79-E983-4E0E-BC39-68A120DC16D9}

  We had another cut today between Dubai and Muscat three hours back.
 The cable was about 80G capacity, it had telephone, Internet data,
 everything, one Flag official, who declined to be named, told Zawya
 Dow Jones.
 The cable, known as Falcon, delivers services to countries in the
 Mediterranean and Gulf region, he added.

this (3 undersea cables in about a week, serving the same geographic
area, with two of the cuts happening on the same day!) is leaving the
realm of improbability and approaching the realm of conspiracy ...

(either that, or the backhoe operators' union has decided there's
better money to be made on water than on land.)
-- 
[EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
  http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Steven M. Bellovin

On Fri, 1 Feb 2008 14:21:00 -0800
Scott Francis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Feb 1, 2008 6:37 AM, Suresh Ramasubramanian [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 
  http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/third-undersea-cable-reportedly-cut/story.aspx?guid={1AAB2A79-E983-4E0E-BC39-68A120DC16D9}
 
   We had another cut today between Dubai and Muscat three hours
  back. The cable was about 80G capacity, it had telephone, Internet
  data, everything, one Flag official, who declined to be named,
  told Zawya Dow Jones.
  The cable, known as Falcon, delivers services to countries in the
  Mediterranean and Gulf region, he added.
 
 this (3 undersea cables in about a week, serving the same geographic
 area, with two of the cuts happening on the same day!) is leaving the
 realm of improbability and approaching the realm of conspiracy ...
 
 (either that, or the backhoe operators' union has decided there's
 better money to be made on water than on land.)

Yah.  I'm a security guy, and hence suspicious by nature -- our slogan
is Paranoia is our Profession -- and I'm getting very concerned.  The
old saying comes to mind: once is happenstance, twice is coincidence,
but the third time is enemy action.  The alternative some common mode
failure -- perhaps the storm others have noted.


--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb


RE: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
Not at all, there have been cables in the water since 1858 (first TransAtlantic 
cable - telegraph). Right now there are 80 major cables out there. 

Give yourself 170 years of undersea cables and calculate the odds. 

:)

Roderick S. Beck
Director of European Sales
Hibernia Atlantic
1, Passage du Chantier, 75012 Paris
http://www.hiberniaatlantic.com
Wireless: 1-212-444-8829. 
Landline: 33-1-4346-3209.
French Wireless: 33-6-14-33-48-97.
AOL Messenger: GlobalBandwidth
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
``Unthinking respect for authority is the greatest enemy of truth.'' Albert 
Einstein. 





Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Scott Francis

On Feb 1, 2008 2:35 PM, Rod Beck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



 Not at all, there have been cables in the water since 1858 (first
 TransAtlantic cable - telegraph). Right now there are 80 major cables out
 there.

  Give yourself 170 years of undersea cables and calculate the odds.

  :)

hm. I wonder what the odds are (I don't have enough figures to do the
math myself):

80 cables worldwide (first time I'd heard that figure, actually)
X square miles of shipping lanes
Y ships in those lanes
Z square miles of overlap between shipping lanes and cable run
# of times, on average, a ship drops anchor outside of a port

maybe there's a lot more overlap in shipping lanes and cable runs than
I thought ...

(or maybe we just got unlucky, and we'll have a nice long period of no
undersea cuts following these :))
-- 
[EMAIL PROTECTED],darkuncle.net} || 0x5537F527
  http://darkuncle.net/pubkey.asc for public key


RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
Well, when you have all these cables running through narrow straits or 
converging to the same stretch of beach, it does not strike me as at all 
extraordinary.  

An important factor is cooperation. Is there cooperation between the fiber 
optic guys and fishing associations to minimize hits? 

I would wager there is close to zero. 

Roderick S. Beck
Director of European Sales
Hibernia Atlantic
1, Passage du Chantier, 75012 Paris
http://www.hiberniaatlantic.com
Wireless: 1-212-444-8829. 
Landline: 33-1-4346-3209.
French Wireless: 33-6-14-33-48-97.
AOL Messenger: GlobalBandwidth
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
``Unthinking respect for authority is the greatest enemy of truth.'' Albert 
Einstein. 



-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Martin Hannigan
Sent: Fri 2/1/2008 10:33 PM
To: Ahmed Maged (amaged)
Cc: Steven M. Bellovin; nanog@merit.edu
Subject: Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption
 

On Feb 1, 2008 2:25 PM, Ahmed Maged (amaged) [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



 Does look normal to me is far from a global conspiracy theory.


 Thank you for the translation but I think you got it wrong.



I agree, there should be a sanity check as I understand that they are
within close proximity of each other. Two ships slipping anchors and
causing cable breaks in the same area is odd, but if there's a storm
in the area, that would not be that much of a surprise. There should
be some logic to the madness.

I think that the moral of the story is that more operators should
try to better understand what diversity means beyond the metro. The
challenge is getting the information. The Teleography series of
internet/sub maps are interesting.  They don't demonstrate diversity
though, since they show figurative routing. Those nice and straight
lines are a pipe dream.

-M




-M



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Martin Hannigan

On Feb 1, 2008 2:25 PM, Ahmed Maged (amaged) [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



 Does look normal to me is far from a global conspiracy theory.


 Thank you for the translation but I think you got it wrong.



I agree, there should be a sanity check as I understand that they are
within close proximity of each other. Two ships slipping anchors and
causing cable breaks in the same area is odd, but if there's a storm
in the area, that would not be that much of a surprise. There should
be some logic to the madness.

I think that the moral of the story is that more operators should
try to better understand what diversity means beyond the metro. The
challenge is getting the information. The Teleography series of
internet/sub maps are interesting.  They don't demonstrate diversity
though, since they show figurative routing. Those nice and straight
lines are a pipe dream.

-M




-M


Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Steven M. Bellovin

On Fri, 1 Feb 2008 22:42:02 -
Rod Beck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Well, when you have all these cables running through narrow straits
 or converging to the same stretch of beach, it does not strike me as
 at all extraordinary.  
 
But they aren't near each other.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/business/worldbusiness/31cable.html
says that the first two cuts were in the Mediterranean, near Marseille
and Alexandria; the third was in the Persian Gulf, near Dubai
(http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/technology/AP-Internet-Outages.html).


--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb


RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread andrew2

Martin Hannigan wrote:
 On Feb 1, 2008 2:25 PM, Ahmed Maged (amaged) [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
 Does look normal to me is far from a global conspiracy theory.
 
 
 Thank you for the translation but I think you got it wrong.
 
 
 
 I agree, there should be a sanity check as I understand that they are
 within close proximity of each other. Two ships slipping anchors and
 causing cable breaks in the same area is odd, but if there's a storm
 in the area, that would not be that much of a surprise. There should
 be some logic to the madness.
 
 I think that the moral of the story is that more operators should
 try to better understand what diversity means beyond the metro. The
 challenge is getting the information. The Teleography series of
 internet/sub maps are interesting.  They don't demonstrate diversity
 though, since they show figurative routing. Those nice and straight
 lines are a pipe dream.
 
 -M
 
 
 
 
 -M



 Well, when you have all these cables running through narrow straits or
 converging to the same stretch of beach, it does not strike me as at
 all extraordinary.  

 An important factor is cooperation. Is there cooperation between the
 fiber optic guys and fishing associations to minimize hits? 

 I would wager there is close to zero.

 Roderick S. Beck


Wouldn't that be a pretty narrow tightrope to walk from a
security standpoint?  The undersea cable maps are deliberately vague,
specifically to try to avoid making them easy targets of terrorism. 
Which is the bigger threat?  Boat anchors and fishing nets because of
inaccurate maps or deliberate sabotage because of accurate maps?  I
guess you pick your poison.

Andrew

...don't we rehash these same issues every time there's an undersea cable
failure?



RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
Hi Steve, 

TransAtlantic cables average three repairs a year. That's the industry average. 
So given 7 high capacity cable systems, that's 21 repairs a year. 

Now, not all damaged cables go out of service. In fact, most stay in service 
until the repair begins. 

But the public rarely hears about a TransAtlantic cable going dark. Yet it does 
happen quite regularly in the business. 

Why? Because there are seven very high capacity (multi-terabit) systems to 
route traffic across! There is no need to announce to the public that a cable 
been cut. 

That is not the case in the Midterranean or the Persian Gulf. 

You have only a few systems (relatively low capacity) serving a huge 
population. In fact, I suspect Flag is probably the sole provider for many of 
these countries. 

So yes, when the only guy in town falls down, it's going to be noticed. 

That's the real answer. 

Regards, 

Roderick S. Beck
Director of European Sales
Hibernia Atlantic
1, Passage du Chantier, 75012 Paris
http://www.hiberniaatlantic.com
Wireless: 1-212-444-8829. 
Landline: 33-1-4346-3209.
French Wireless: 33-6-14-33-48-97.
AOL Messenger: GlobalBandwidth
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
``Unthinking respect for authority is the greatest enemy of truth.'' Albert 
Einstein. 



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Steven M. Bellovin

On Fri, 1 Feb 2008 23:07:16 -
Rod Beck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Hi Steve, 
 
 TransAtlantic cables average three repairs a year. That's the
 industry average. So given 7 high capacity cable systems, that's 21
 repairs a year. 
 
 Now, not all damaged cables go out of service. In fact, most stay in
 service until the repair begins. 
 
 But the public rarely hears about a TransAtlantic cable going dark.
 Yet it does happen quite regularly in the business. 
 
 Why? Because there are seven very high capacity (multi-terabit)
 systems to route traffic across! There is no need to announce to the
 public that a cable been cut. 
 
 That is not the case in the Midterranean or the Persian Gulf. 
 
 You have only a few systems (relatively low capacity) serving a huge
 population. In fact, I suspect Flag is probably the sole provider for
 many of these countries. 
 
 So yes, when the only guy in town falls down, it's going to be
 noticed. 
 
I hope you're right.  As I noted, by profession I'm paranoid.  I've
even contemplated the uses of deliberate cable cuts; see
http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb/papers/reroute.pdf for some thoughts
from five years ago.

But I hope you're right.


--Steve Bellovin, http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb


RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Rod Beck
Telecommunication facilities have rarely been targets of terrorism. There is 
only one known case - the Tamil Tigers destroyed a central office in Sri Lanka 
some years back. My guess is that terrorists want to kill people, not destroy 
optical muxes, Class 5 switches, and the like. 

And the undersea cable maps are not deliberately vague. There are very accurate 
maps on the Web so that fishing boats can avoid the cables, which every couple 
years cause a small fishing to capsize. 

Boats are the prinicipal threat. The next important threat is oceanic cross 
currents that erode the plastic cladding that protects the fiber and the copper 
rod that carries the power. 

Regards, 

Roderick. 


RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Randy Epstein
RodBeck said:

Telecommunication facilities have rarely been targets of terrorism. There
is only one known case - the Tamil Tigers destroyed a central office in Sri
Lanka some years back. My guess is that terrorists want to kill people, not
destroy optical muxes, Class 5 switches, and the like.

Actually, last year, Scotland Yard claimed Al Qaeda planned on blowing up
one of the Telehouse facilities in the UK:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/garfinkel/17561/

Randy



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Michael Painter


RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption
- Original Message - 
From: Rod Beck

Sent: Friday, February 01, 2008 12:42 PM
Subject: RE: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption


Well, when you have all these cables running through narrow straits or converging to the same stretch of beach, it does 
not strike me as at all extraordinary.


An important factor is cooperation. Is there cooperation between the fiber optic guys and fishing associations to minimize 
hits?


I would wager there is close to zero.

~~
Here's at least one:

http://www.ofcc.com/procedures.htm



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Martin Hannigan

Hi Michael:

On Feb 1, 2008 6:44 PM, Michael Painter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 Here's at least one:

 http://www.ofcc.com/procedures.htm

Yes, this is the idea.

My experience is that fisherman coops, similar to this one for network
operators, are contacted during the desk top study DTS phase so that
the parties can negotiate the best routes insuring that fisheries
aren't disrupted or displaced and that the cable finds an agreed upon
and effective route around risks that the fisherman have unique views
into. There's also public permitting processes that occur and you want
harmony. Groups of people angry at your submarine cable is not a good
way to start a business and a submarine cable is a business (see Rod
Beck ;-P )

-M


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Bill Stewart

On Feb 1, 2008 2:37 PM, Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  (either that, or the backhoe operators' union has decided there's
  better money to be made on water than on land.)

Guys named Bubba can get fishing licenses just as easily as backhoe
drivers' licenses.
One of my customers in the forestry business ran their own cables
along their railroad tracks,
and every year during hunting season they'd have problems with guys named Bubba
shooting at birds on the cables at bridge crossings.

 Yah.  I'm a security guy, and hence suspicious by nature -- our slogan
 is Paranoia is our Profession -- and I'm getting very concerned.  The
 old saying comes to mind: once is happenstance, twice is coincidence,
 but the third time is enemy action.

My business card often says Technical Marketing, which means I'm supposed
to have some wide-grinning explanation about sychronicity of root causes;
obviously this is some problem with ship navigation software not using
the correct GPS datum,
so it's a common-mode operator-interface error that's not the fault of
either the telcos or Vendor C's or J's equipment.   Funny how Iran's
just accidentally fallen off the net, though.

I forget the French and Arabic equivalent names for Bubba, but I still
think it's him and Murphy.

-- 

 Thanks; Bill

Note that this isn't my regular email account - It's still experimental so far.
And Google probably logs and indexes everything you send it.


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Bill Stewart

More productively, there are real concerns with the cable routing
around India and Pakistan.  Connections across Egypt have geographical
constraints that are probably more significant than the political
ones, but having most of the connectivity into western India going
into Mumbai and not Cochin or Bangalore and only having one drop into
Pakistan are risks that ought to be fixed.  In large part they're a
heritage of telecomms monopolies, and are theoretically fixable, but
both countries are at some risk until they do something about it.


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Sean Donelan


On Fri, 1 Feb 2008, Steven M. Bellovin wrote:

Yah.  I'm a security guy, and hence suspicious by nature -- our slogan
is Paranoia is our Profession -- and I'm getting very concerned.  The
old saying comes to mind: once is happenstance, twice is coincidence,
but the third time is enemy action.  The alternative some common mode
failure -- perhaps the storm others have noted.


It may just be the normal growing pains networks go through as they reach
a certain size and those minor problems become major problems.  When
the Internet was sparser in the USA, we had similar concindences.

1997: Backhoes in Concert
   http://www.nanog.org/nanog-tshirts/nanog11.jpg



Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Suresh Ramasubramanian

On Feb 2, 2008 4:07 AM, Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Yah.  I'm a security guy, and hence suspicious by nature -- our slogan
 is Paranoia is our Profession -- and I'm getting very concerned.  The
 old saying comes to mind: once is happenstance, twice is coincidence,
 but the third time is enemy action.  The alternative some common mode
 failure -- perhaps the storm others have noted.

Quite a few other lists I look at (especially those with a critical
infrastructure protection type focus - seem to feel the same as you
do.  And at least one list has already started the maybe al qaeda is
behind this idea running.

The fun part is that quite a lot of these cables are in international
waters, so it just might turn into a high level multiple UN agency
conference, sooner or later with ideas like a bunch of navy or coast
guard cutters tasked to patrol on the borders of cable landing areas
and head off shipping that wants to anchor, trawlers that want to drag
nets across the ocean floor, bubba driving his backhoe ship .. [and
that still doesnt keep away sharks that want to sharpen their teeth on
undersea cables...]

srs


Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Scott Weeks




: bubba driving his backhoe ship

Now that'd make a great NANOG shirt!  :-)

scott



--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

From: Suresh Ramasubramanian [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: Scott Francis [EMAIL PROTECTED], nanog@merit.edu
Subject: Re: Another cablecut - sri lanka to suez Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea 
cable disruption
Date: Sat, 2 Feb 2008 07:09:50 +0530


On Feb 2, 2008 4:07 AM, Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Yah.  I'm a security guy, and hence suspicious by nature -- our slogan
 is Paranoia is our Profession -- and I'm getting very concerned.  The
 old saying comes to mind: once is happenstance, twice is coincidence,
 but the third time is enemy action.  The alternative some common mode
 failure -- perhaps the storm others have noted.

Quite a few other lists I look at (especially those with a critical
infrastructure protection type focus - seem to feel the same as you
do.  And at least one list has already started the maybe al qaeda is
behind this idea running.

The fun part is that quite a lot of these cables are in international
waters, so it just might turn into a high level multiple UN agency
conference, sooner or later with ideas like a bunch of navy or coast
guard cutters tasked to patrol on the borders of cable landing areas
and head off shipping that wants to anchor, trawlers that want to drag
nets across the ocean floor, bubba driving his backhoe ship .. [and
that still doesnt keep away sharks that want to sharpen their teeth on
undersea cables...]

srs




Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread George William Herbert


Actually, last year, Scotland Yard claimed Al Qaeda planned on
blowing up one of the Telehouse facilities in the UK


And, significantly, AQ would benefit from a telecommunications
(and other things) disconnect from the West to the Middle East,
in both tactical and strategic senses.

However, despite the attractive target angle of what got busted,
and the proximity of the breaks to Islamic Terrorist problem spots,
I don't see a statistical or evidentiary case made that these were
anything but the usual occasional strings of normal random problems
spiking up at the same time.

Another one in the region, or evidence from any of the cuts that it
was not an accident, would start yellow lights flashing in my mind,
but we're not there yet.



-george william herbert
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Roland Dobbins



On Feb 2, 2008, at 8:56 AM, George William Herbert wrote:


However, despite the attractive target angle of what got busted,
and the proximity of the breaks to Islamic Terrorist problem spots,
I don't see a statistical or evidentiary case made that these were
anything but the usual occasional strings of normal random problems
spiking up at the same time


My instinctive reaction was to recall the Auric Goldfinger quote as  
smb did - after reflection, however, it's highly unlikely that these  
issues are the result of a terrorist group action simply because, just  
like the economically-driven miscreants, the ideologically-driven  
miscreants have a vested interest in the communications infrastructure  
remaining intact, as they're so heavily dependent upon it.


There are always corner-cases like the Tamil Tiger incident, and  
people don't always act rationally even in the context of their own  
perceived (as opposed to actual) self-interest, but I just don't see  
any terrorist groups nor any governments involved in some kind of  
cable-cutting plot, as it's diametrically opposed to their commonality  
of interests (i.e., the terrorist groups want the comms to stay up so  
that they can make use of them, and the governments want the comms to  
stay up so that they can monitor the terrorist group comms).


---
Roland Dobbins [EMAIL PROTECTED] // 408.527.6376 voice

Culture eats strategy for breakfast.

   -- Ford Motor Company





Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Mike Lewinski


George William Herbert wrote:


And, significantly, AQ would benefit from a telecommunications
(and other things) disconnect from the West to the Middle East,
in both tactical and strategic senses.


Funny, I was thinking the same thing about the Pentagon...


Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Paul Ferguson

-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-
Hash: SHA1

- -- Steven M. Bellovin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I hope you're right.  As I noted, by profession I'm paranoid.  I've
even contemplated the uses of deliberate cable cuts; see
http://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb/papers/reroute.pdf for some thoughts
from five years ago.

But I hope you're right.


Oddly enough, the same sort of discussion is going on over on
Defense Tech:

http://www.defensetech.org/archives/003979.html

FYI,

- - ferg

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--
Fergie, a.k.a. Paul Ferguson
 Engineering Architecture for the Internet
 fergdawg(at)netzero.net
 ferg's tech blog: http://fergdawg.blogspot.com/



Re: Sicily to Egypt undersea cable disruption

2008-02-01 Thread Jim Mercer

On Fri, Feb 01, 2008 at 10:56:26PM +, Steven M. Bellovin wrote:
 On Fri, 1 Feb 2008 22:42:02 -
 Rod Beck [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Well, when you have all these cables running through narrow straits
  or converging to the same stretch of beach, it does not strike me as
  at all extraordinary.  

 But they aren't near each other.
 http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/business/worldbusiness/31cable.html
 says that the first two cuts were in the Mediterranean, near Marseille
 and Alexandria; the third was in the Persian Gulf, near Dubai
 (http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/technology/AP-Internet-Outages.html).

beings as i live in dubai, i can also add that over the last two days there
have been some quite strong winds blowing.  which i supposed could be a factor
in a ship dragging its anchor across a fiber path.

-- 
Jim Mercer[EMAIL PROTECTED]+971 55 410-5633
I'm Prime Minister of Canada, I live here and I'm going to take a leak.
   - Lester Pearson in 1967, during a meeting between himself and
President Lyndon Johnson, whose Secret Service detail had taken over
Pearson's cottage retreat.  At one point, a Johnson guard asked
Pearson, Who are you and where are you going?