Re: Alternative Re: ipv4/25s and above Re: 202211232221.AYC

2022-11-26 Thread Abraham Y. Chen

Hi, Chris:

1) "... public fabric ... private dedicated circuits ... heavily biased 
...":   You brought up an aspect that I have no knowledge about. 
However, you did not clarify how IPv6 and IPv4 are treated differently 
by these considerations which was the key parameter that we are trying 
to sort out. Thanks.


Regards,

Abe (2022-11-24 15:40)


On 2022-11-24 12:23, Chris Welti wrote:

Hi Abe,

the problem is that the AMS-IX data only covers the public fabric, but 
the peering connections between the big CDNs/clouds and the large ISPs 
all happen on private dedicated circuits as it is so much traffic that 
it does not make sense to run it over a public IX fabric (in addition 
to local caches which dillute the stats even more). Thus that data you 
are referring to is heavily biased and should not be used for this 
generalized purpose.


Regards,
Chris

On 24.11.22 18:01, Abraham Y. Chen wrote:

Hi, Eduard:

0) Thanks for sharing your research efforts.

1) Similar as your own experience, we also recognized the granularity 
issue of the data in this particular type of statistics. Any data 
that is based on a limited number of countries, regions, businesses, 
industry segments, etc. will always be rebutted with a counter 
example of some sort. So, we put more trust into those general 
service cases with continuous reports for consistency, such as 
AMS-IX. If you know any better sources, I would like to look into them.


Regards,


Abe (2022-11-24 11:59 EST)


On 2022-11-24 04:43, Vasilenko Eduard wrote:

Hi Abraham,
Let me clarify a little bit on statistics - I did an investigation 
last year.


Google and APNIC report very similar numbers. APNIC permits drilling 
down deep details. Then it is possible to understand that they see 
only 100M Chinese. China itself reports 0.5B IPv6 users. APNIC gives 
Internet population by country - it permits to construct proportion.
Hence, it is possible to conclude that we need to add 8% to Google 
(or APNIC) to get 48% of IPv6 preferred users worldwide. We would 
likely cross 50% this year.


I spent a decent time finding traffic statics. I have found one DPI 
vendor who has it. Unfortunately, they sell it for money.
ARCEP has got it for France and published it in their "Barometer". 
Almost 70% of application requests are possible to serve from IPv6.
Hence, 70%*48%=33.6%. We could claim that 1/3 of the traffic is IPv6 
worldwide because France is typical.
My boss told me "No-No" for this logic. His example is China where 
we had reliable data for only 20% of application requests served on 
IPv6 (China has a very low IPv6 adoption by OTTs).
My response was: But India has a much better IPv6 adoption on the 
web server side. China and a few other countries are not 
representative. The majority are like France.
Unfortunately, we do not have per-country IPv6 adoption on the web 
server side.
OK. We could estimate 60% of the application readiness as a minimum. 
Then 60%*48%=28.8%.
Hence, we could claim that at least 1/4 of the worldwide traffic is 
IPv6.


IX data shows much low IPv6 adoption because the biggest OTTs have 
many caches installed directly on Carriers' sites.


Sorry for not the exact science. But it is all that I have. It is 
better than nothing.


PS: 60% of requests served by web servers does not mean "60% of 
servers". For servers themselves we have statistics - it is just 
20%+. But it is for the biggest web resources.


Eduard
-Original Message-
From: NANOG 
[mailto:nanog-bounces+vasilenko.eduard=huawei@nanog.org] On 
Behalf Of Abraham Y. Chen

Sent: Thursday, November 24, 2022 11:53 AM
To: Joe Maimon
Cc: NANOG;b...@theworld.com
Subject: Re: Alternative Re: ipv4/25s and above Re: 202211232221.AYC

Dear Joe:

0) Allow me to share my understanding of the two topics that you 
brought up.


1) "...https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html, it looks 
like we’ve gone from ~0% to ~40% in 12 years ": Your numbers may 
be deceiving.


    A. The IPv6 was introduced in 1995-12, launched on 2012-06-06 
and ratified on 2017-07-14. So, the IPv6 efforts have been quite a 
few years more than your impression. That is, the IPv6 has been 
around over quarter of a century.


    B. If you read closely, the statement  "The graph shows the 
percentage of users that access Google over IPv6." above the graph 
actually means "equipment readiness". That is, how many Google users 
have IPv6 capable devices. This is similar as the APNIC statistics 
whose title makes this clearer. However, having the capability does 
not mean the owners are actually using it. Also, this is not general 
data, but within the Google environment. Since Google is one of the 
stronger promoters of the IPv6, this graph would be at best the cap 
of such data.


    C. The more meaningful data would be the global IPv6 traffic 
statistics. Interestingly, they do not exist upon our extensive search.
(If you know of any, I would appreciate to receive a lead to such.) 
The closest 

Re: Alternative Re: ipv4/25s and above Re: 202211232221.AYC

2022-11-26 Thread Abraham Y. Chen

Hi, Douglas:

0) Thanks for the feedback.

1)  I do not sort eMail with any tools. Other than important ones that 
do I save a copy off the system as a document for long term reference, I 
only flag those of substance for the keeps and allow the rest to 
"expire" (I do house cleaning every three months or so.). Consequently, 
I have no idea about the terminologies that you mentioned.


2)  My basic understanding is, an eMail in its entirety is the original 
work of its composer / writer / sender. As such, a receiver is free to 
do anything with it, but not to impose certain "rules" back onto the 
writing. Through the years, eMail writing styles have diversified from 
the business letter protocols that I knew so much that I had to develop 
my own conventions of writing that enabled me to organize my eMails for 
retrieval. They seem to be tolerated by most parties that communicated 
with except NANOG. If you have certain clear rules that can pass my 
"logistics" considerations, I will definitely learn and follow.


Regards,


Abe (2022-11-24 16:00 EST)



On 2022-11-24 06:51, Douglas Fischer wrote:

Hello Abraham!

I believe your e-mail client (MUA) is splitting every message on a new 
thread.
I'm not sure if it is happening with everyone, but using Gmail as MUA, 
it isn't aggregating the mails on the same thread.


Cloud you please check the confs of your tool to avoid it?

Thanks in advance.

Em qui., 24 de nov. de 2022 às 05:56, Abraham Y. Chen 
 escreveu:


Dear Joe:

0) Allow me to share my understanding of the two topics that you
brought up.

1) "... https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html, it looks
like we’ve gone from ~0% to ~40% in 12 years ":  Your numbers
may be
deceiving.

   A. The IPv6 was introduced in 1995-12, launched on 2012-06-06 and
ratified on 2017-07-14. So, the IPv6 efforts have been quite a few
years
more than your impression. That is, the IPv6 has been around over
quarter of a century.

   B. If you read closely, the statement  "The graph shows the
percentage of users that access Google over IPv6." above the graph
actually means "equipment readiness". That is, how many Google users
have IPv6 capable devices. This is similar as the APNIC statistics
whose
title makes this clearer. However, having the capability does not
mean
the owners are actually using it. Also, this is not general data, but
within the Google environment. Since Google is one of the stronger
promoters of the IPv6, this graph would be at best the cap of such
data.

   C. The more meaningful data would be the global IPv6 traffic
statistics. Interestingly, they do not exist upon our extensive
search.
(If you know of any, I would appreciate to receive a lead to
such.) The
closest that we could find is % of IPv6 in AMS-IX traffic statistics
(see URL below). It is currently at about 5-6% and has been
tapering off
to a growth of less than 0.1% per month recently, after a ramp-up
period
in the past. (Similar saturation behavior can also be found in the
above
Google graph.)

https://stats.ams-ix.net/sflow/ether_type.html

   D.  One interesting parameter behind the last one is that as an
Inter-eXchange operator, AMS-IX should see very similar percentage
traffic mix between IPv6 and IPv4. The low numbers from AMS-IX
does not
support this viewpoint for matching with your observation. In
addition,
traffic through IX is the overflow among backbone routers. A couple
years ago, there was a report that peering arrangements among
backbone
routers for IPv6 were much less matured then IPv4, which meant that
AMS-IX should be getting more IPv6 traffic than the mix in the
Internet
core. Interpreted in reverse, % of IPv6 in overall Internet traffic
should be less than what AMS-IX handles.

   E. This is a quite convoluted topic that we only scratched the
surface. They should not occupy the attention of colleagues on this
list. However, I am willing to provide more information to you
off-line,
if you care for further discussion.

2)  "...
https://lore.kernel.org/lkml/20080108011057.ga21...@cisco.com/
...":  My basic training was in communication equipment hardware
design.
I knew little about software beyond what I needed for my primary
assignment. Your example, however, reminds me of a programing course
that I took utilizing APL (A Programming Language) for circuit
analysis,
optimization and synthesis. It was such a cryptic symbolic
language that
classmates (mostly majored in EE hardware) were murmuring to express
their displeasure. One day we got a homework assignment to do
something
relatively simple. Everyone struggled to write the code to do the
job.
Although most of us did get working codes, they were pages long. The
shortest one 

Re: Alternative Re: ipv4/25s and above Re: 202211201009.AYC

2022-11-26 Thread Fred Baker


> What's the group's current thought on emergence or prevalence of
> IPv6-only hosts ?

They aren’t needed; dual stack hosts will work just fine in a single stack 
network. When they’re needed, they will be normal but nobody will care.

Fwd: [apops] APRICOT 2023 Call for Presentations

2022-11-26 Thread Mark Tinka

FYI.

Mark.

 Forwarded Message 
Subject:[apops] APRICOT 2023 Call for Presentations
Date:   Sat, 15 Oct 2022 20:03:11 +1000
From:   Philip Smith 
Organization:   Asia Pacific Regional Conference on Operational Technologies
To: ap...@apops.net



Hi everyone,

Forwarding the APRICOT 2023 call for presentations on behalf of the PC 
Chairs.


Best wishes!

philip
--


APRICOT 2023
20th February - 2nd March, Manila, Philippines
https://2023.apricot.net

CALL FOR PRESENTATIONS
==

The APRICOT 2023 Programme Committee is now seeking contributions for
Presentations and Tutorials for the APRICOT 2023 Conference.

We are looking for presenters who would:

- Offer a technical tutorial on an appropriate topic;
- Participate in the technical conference sessions as a speaker;
- Convene and chair panel sessions of relevant topics;
- Lead informal Birds of Feather break out sessions.

Please submit on-line at:

http://papers.apricot.net/user/login.php?event=161

CONFERENCE MILESTONES
-

Call for Papers Opens: Now
Outline Programme Published: As Papers Confirmed
Final Deadline for Submissions: 30th January 2023
Final Program Published: 6th February 2023
Final Slides Received: 20th February 2023

*SLOTS ARE FILLED ON A FIRST COME, FIRST SERVED BASIS, REGARDLESS OF
PUBLISHED DEADLINES*

PROGRAMME CONTENT
-

The APRICOT Conference Programme consists of three parts, these being
Tutorials, the Peering Forum, and Conference Sessions.

Topics proposed must be relevant to Internet Operations and
Technologies, for example:

- IPv4 / IPv6 Routing and Operations
- Routing Security, including RPKI and MANRS
- Internet backbone operations
- Peering, Interconnects and IXPs
- Content Distribution Network technology & operations
- Chip shortages impact on equipment acquisition and operations
- Research on Internet Operations and Deployment
- Pandemic impact on network deployment and operations
- Network Virtualisation
- Network Automation/Programming
- Network Infrastructure security
- IPv6 deployment on fixed and Wireless/Cellular networks
- DNS / DNSSEC and KINDNS
- Access and Transport Technologies
- Technical application of Web 3.0, public blockchains and cryptocurrency
- Content & Service Delivery and "Cloud Computing"


CfP SUBMISSION
--

Draft slides for both tutorials and conference sessions MUST be
provided with CfP submissions otherwise the submission will be
rejected immediately. For work in progress, the most current
information available at time of submission is acceptable.

All draft and complete slides must be submitted in PDF format only.
Slides must be of original work, with all company confidential marks
removed.

Final slides are to be provided by the specified deadline for
publication on the APRICOT website.

Prospective presenters should note that the majority of speaking slots
will be filled well before the final submission deadline. The PC may,
at their discretion, retain a limited number of slots up to the final
submission deadline for presentations that are exceptionally timely,
important, or of critical operational importance. Every year we turn
away submissions, due to filling up all available programme slots
before the deadline. Presenters should endeavour to get material to
the PC sooner rather than later.

Any questions or concerns should be addressed to the Programme
Committee Chairs by e-mail at:

pc-chairs at apricot.net

We look forward to receiving your presentation proposals.

Mark Tinka & Marijana Novakovic
APRICOT 2023 Programme Committee Chairs
--
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