nettime Doug Henwood: Review of Thomas Piketty's Capital of the Twenty-First Century

2014-04-27 Thread nettime's avid review reader

(See also, James K. Galbraith's review of the same book:
http://www.dissentmagazine.org/article/kapital-for-the-twenty-first-century)


The Top of the World
An ambitious study documents the long-term reign of the 1 percent

Doug Henwood

http://www.bookforum.com/inprint/021_01/12987

The core message of this enormous and enormously important book can be
delivered in a few lines: Left to its own devices, wealth inevitably
tends to concentrate in capitalist economies. There is no “natural”
mechanism inherent in the structure of such economies for inhibiting,
much less reversing, that tendency. Only crises like war and depression,
or political interventions like taxation (which, to the upper classes,
would be a crisis), can do the trick. And Thomas Piketty has two
centuries of data to prove his point.

In more technical terms, the central argument of Capital in the
Twenty-First Century is that as long as the rate of return on capital,
r, exceeds the rate of broad growth in national income, g—that is, r 
g—capital will concentrate. It is an empirical fact that the rate of
return on capital—income in the form of profits, dividends, rents, and
the like, divided by the value of the assets that produce the income—has
averaged 4–5 percent over the last two centuries or so. It is also an
empirical fact that the growth rate in GDP per capita has averaged 1–2
percent. There are periods and places where growth is faster, of course:
the United States in younger days, Japan from the 1950s through the
1980s, China over the last thirty years. But these are exceptions—and
the two earlier examples have reverted to the mean. So if that 4–5
percent return is largely saved rather than being bombed, taxed, or
dissipated away, it will accumulate into an ever-greater mass relative
to average incomes. That may seem like common sense to anyone who’s
lived through the last few decades, but it’s always nice to have
evidence back up common sense, which isn’t always reliable.

There’s another trend that intensifies the upward concentration of
wealth: Fortunes themselves are ratcheting upward; within the proverbial
1 percent, the 0.1 percent are doing better than the remaining 0.9
percent, and the 0.01 percent are doing better than the remaining 0.09
percent, and so on. The bigger the fortune, the higher the return.
Piketty makes this point by looking not only at individual portfolios
but also (and ingeniously) at US university endowments, for which
decades of good data exist. The average American university endowment
enjoyed an average real return—after accounting for management costs—of
8.2 percent a year between 1980 and 2010. Harvard, Yale, and Princeton,
in a class by themselves (with endowments in the $15–$30 billion range),
got a return of 10.2 percent a year. From that lofty peak, the average
return descends with every size class, from 8.8 percent for endowments
of more than $1 billion down to 6.2 percent for those under $100
million. In short: Money breeds money, and the more money there is, the
more prolific the breeding.

It was once believed, during the decades immediately following the Great
Depression and World War II, that vast disparities in wealth were
features of youthful capitalism that had been left behind now that the
thing was reaching maturity. This theory was first enunciated formally
in a 1955 paper by the economist Simon Kuznets, who plotted a curve
representing the historical course of inequality that looked like an
upside-down U: Kuznets’s chart showed that disparities in wealth rose
dramatically during the early years of growth and then reversed once a
mature capitalist economy reached a certain (though none-too-specific)
stage of development.

Kuznets’s curve fit nicely with the actual experiences of the rich
economies in what the French call the Trente Glorieuses, the “thirty
glorious years” between 1945 and 1975, when economic growth was broadly
shared and income differentials narrowed. In the United States,
according to the Census Bureau’s numbers (which have their problems—more
on that in a moment), the share of income claimed by the top 20
percent—and within that group, the top 5 percent—declined during the
glorious years. At the same time, the income of the remaining 80 percent
gained.

But in the United States, the thirty glorious years were actually
twenty-odd years; depending on how you measure it, the equalization
process ended sometime between 1968 and 1974, again according to the
census figures. Still, quibbles aside, the process of relative
equalization went on for long enough that it felt like Kuznets was on to
something with his curve. I say “relative” because these are still not
small numbers: The richest 5 percent of families had incomes about
eleven times those of the poorest 20 percent in 1974, the most equal
year by this measure since the census figures started in 1947. But that
number looks small now compared with the most recent ratio, almost
twenty-three times in 2012.

While those 

nettime Here's what's trending on Twitter this week.

2014-04-27 Thread nettime's_little_birdie
Here's what's trending on Twitter this week.


Tweeted by

monoskop @monoskop
10GB English language archive of @marxists_org happens to contain the
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Download Marxists.org - full English language archive torrent or any
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Tweeted by

An uncertain commons @uncertaincommon
Miranda Joseph, Theorizing Debt for Social Change, review of
@davidgraeber *Debt* http://t.co/B8y4TFrubM
http://www.ephemerajournal.org/contribution/theorizing-debt-social-change

Theorizing debt for social change - ephemerajournal.org
Graeber, D. (2011) Debt: The first 5000 years. Melville House
Publishing: New York. (HB, pp.534, US$22.00, ISBN 9781933633862) David
Graeber's 2011 book, Debt: The first 5000 years, has received a great
deal of...


Tweeted by David Graeber

David Graeber @davidgraeber
here's me debating Piketty back in the fall: 
http://cadtm.org/Un-dialogue-Piketty-Graeber

Un dialogue Piketty-Graeber : comment sortir de la dette - cadtm.org
A l'occasion de la sortie de deux livres importants, Dette 5000 ans
d'histoire et Le Capital au XXI??me si??cle, Mediapart a eu l'heureuse
idée (...)


Tweeted by

monoskop @monoskop
The monumental 5,000-pp History of Cartography is freely available
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http://www.press.uchicago.edu/books/HOC/index.html
https://twitter.com/monoskop/status/458721733483044864/photo/1

History of Cartography: Volumes One, Two, and Three - press.uchicago.edu
A website for free access to the History of Cartography, Volumes One,
Two, and Three, in PDF format.


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Stop The Wars @sickjew
Jury explicitly ruled out terrorism in the case, but the judge brought
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Absolutely inexcusable for Lawrence amp; Wishart to force Marxist
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@RebelCapitalist @OccupyChicago @rummanahussain Meanwhile war criminal 
#NATO is free to bomb and invade countries at will


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nettime Philosophy of the Internet of Things

2014-04-27 Thread Rob van Kranenburg
dear all,

It would be good to get some nettime views.

The Internet of Things (IoT) is an umbrella term used to describe a next step 
in the evolution of the Internet. While the first phase of the web can be 
thought of as a combination of an internet of hyper-text documents and an 
internet of applications (think blogs, online email, social sites, etc.), one 
of the next steps is an Internet of augmented ?smart? objects ? or ?things? ? 
being accessible to human beings and each other over network connections. This 
is the internet of Things.

Underpinning the development of the Internet of Things is the ever increasing 
proliferation of networked devices in everyday usage. Such devices include 
laptops, smart phones, fridges, smart meters, RFIDs, etc. The number of devices 
in common usage is set to increase worldwide from the current level of 4.5 
billion to 50 billion by 2050 and may even include human implants.

By dint of the above, life as we know it on the planet will undergo a multitude 
of minuscule but incredibly significant changes that will alter not only how we 
relate to each other and the world, but also how we conceive of ourselves as 
beings within it. This situation proposes a pressing question: do we want to 
simply leave market forces to shape our reality? Or is there a deeper need, 
given the significance of this technology, to consider its ramifications within 
a philosophical context? For as computational devices become ever more central 
to how we relate to and interface with each other, so too do they begin to 
create new systems of power relations between people. To create a system of 
power is to impose a social dynamic. The design and deployment of the Internet 
of Things is thus not simply a matter of software/hardware architecture but 
also of politics; ethics; belief; citizenship; and social and civic relations. 
It is to this end of examining these issues more deeply that we 
 are convening this conference.

Justin McKeown (York St John University), Rob Van Kranenburg and Joachim 
Walewski are proud to present the 1st conference on the Philosophy of the 
Internet of Things. This conference is organised in response to the growing 
debate surrounding the Internet of Things and its potential impact upon 
society. The conference seeks to open up dialogue regarding the impact of the 
Internet of Things upon everyday life and provides a space for thinkers and 
innovators to critically examine, theorise, and debate the social, political, 
ethical, epistemic, ontological and civic ramifications of these new 
technologies. 

Dates are 3rd - 5th July 2014
York St John University, Lord Mayors Walk, York, UK, YO31 7EX,

Greetings, Rob


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Re: nettime In Art we Trust

2014-04-27 Thread d.garcia
Many thanks Saul, I have a real admiration for Kunst Reserve Bank project 
but despite your spirited and thought provoking defence I still can't shake 
of my sense of there being a serious flaw.

Saul wrote 
Thats true however my argument with the Peperkamp's presentation 
is that in the context of a project with such radical potential it is 
unfortunate that he depends on a mystical narrative of traditional 
connoisseurship (i.e. artistic quality I know it when I see it!).

Am I right that you're pointing out the weakness of the currency component 
without the conceptual framing of the KRB project? That the intrinsic value, 
like a gold-backed-currency, depends on antiquated but persistent value 
attributions? Yes thats my objection.

artist-object / conceptual author-discourse dichotomy of the project and the 
somewhat exploitative/naive relationship between them implied in the way you 
quote Peperkamp's capricious selection criteria - taken together - seem 
consistent enough with the trick they're pulling off to make Warhol proud.

My Reply
The persistence of this unproblematised 'quality' narrative lies at the heart 
of the overuse of the word 'creative' these days and particularly the way it 
being deployed in today's employment landscape to legitimise of soften the 
varieties of exploitation and self exploitation. Warhol (though he was himself 
a ruthless and notoriously stingy exploiter of the affective labor of his 
super 
stars) was radical in the ways in which he saw right though this narrative 
and consistently subverted it.

Take his interview with Gene Swenson, in the 1963 edition of Art News where 
he famously declared that the reason he was painting in this way is because 
I want to be a machine,? At the time people took it as a Warhol ?put on?. as 
they used to say in the 60s. But I would argue that he was deadly serious. In 
the same interview he goes on to lament how Everybody's always being creative. 
And it's so funny when you say things aren't, like the shoe I would draw for 
an advertisement was called a ?creation?...Everybody is too good now, 
really. Like, how many actors are there? There are millions of actors. 
They're all pretty good. And how many painters are there? Millions of 
painters and all pretty good. How can you say one style is better than 
another?

Its weird hearing this interview now at the height of the creative 
industries hype when everyone (sorry Beuys) are required to be artists. It was 
his marvelous literal mindedness that 50 years ago enabled Warhol to repudiate 
these expectations emphasising machine like repetition and to cutting to the 
chase by screen printing dollar bills and then watch from the sidelines as
the appreciated in fiduciary value.  Laughing (or rather smiling Cheshire Cat 
like) all the way to a real bank!

Unlike Peperkamp he never made the error of claiming the works were either 
'good or bad art'. They were commodities that operating like cattle prods 
talking back to the media.without recourse to conoirseurship or special 
pleading for arts special status as a super commodity.

So my admiration for KRB notwithstanding I still feel its a pity that the 
project did not like Warhol find a way to go beyond its dependence on an 
unreconstructed humanist anthropology.

Saul
What would this project do/be if it were going to do/be more than 'just 
art'?

Reply
Well hmm not sure.. Possibly the source of the project should have been 
anonymous like bitcoin or (excuse the very bad pun) banksy. The individual 
releases of the coins could have been unattributed and aspired to a drier 
more neutral less arty form of charisma. All a bit vague I know.. As I said 
I admire this work it is thought provoking so the fact that I have some 
issues does not mean that I have any answers. I may even want it to exist in 
its present form and continue to provoke questions 

Best

David 

On 26 Apr 2014, at 10:34, Saul Albert wrote:

Hi David,

On 25 April 2014 16:01, d.garcia d.gar...@new-tactical-research.co.uk 
wrote:

In Art We Trust

The trick KRB seem to be pulling off (whether Peperkamp knows it or not) is 
to subordinate the ostensible artistic value of the coins as 
artwork/commodities to the conceptual artistic value of the KRB enterprise. 
As you point out, the success of that enterprise is premised on (and in some 
ways subordinate to) its successful relationship with a broader art market. 
Warhol would have been into that.
 ...




d a v i d  g a r c i a
new-tactical-research.co.uk


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Re: nettime Philosophy of the Internet of Things

2014-04-27 Thread Florian Cramer
Hello Rob,

There seem to be a few problematic assumptions in the text:

 The Internet of Things (IoT) is an umbrella term used to describe a next
 step in the evolution of the Internet. While the first phase of the web can
 be thought of as a combination of an internet of hyper-text documents and
 an internet of applications (think blogs, online email, social sites,
 etc.), one of the next steps is an Internet of augmented ?smart? objects ?
 or ?things? ? being accessible to human beings and each other over network
 connections. This is the internet of Things.

This paragraph is mixing up the World Wide Web (http) with the Internet
(TCP/IP and UDP). The Internet as such is nothing but a global open
standard and infrastructure for networking computers with each other.

When the term Internet of Things was coined in the late 1990s, there was
still a strong divide between a computer and other sorts of electronic
devices. Nowadays, many if not most electronic devices (from phones to
cameras to traffic sensors)  are factually Internet-enabled micro
computers.

This is, on the one hand, a proof that the 1990s Internet of Things
prediction was correct. On the other hand, one could argue that the term
has become obsolete because computers take the shape of all kinds of
expected and unexpected things. If one can no longer differentiate between
an Internet of computers and an Internet of devices, then the question
is what Internet of Things can still meaningfully signify.

Another question is that of future scenarios:

 Underpinning the development of the Internet of Things is the ever
 increasing proliferation of networked devices in everyday usage. Such
 devices include laptops, smart phones, fridges, smart meters, RFIDs, etc.
 The number of devices in common usage is set to increase worldwide from the
 current level of 4.5 billion to 50 billion by 2050 and may even include
 human implants.

Isn't that, still, a view of the future as it has been imagined in the
1990s and 2000s? For sure, an expansion of Internet-connected devices
underway especially in industrial applications. On the other hand, aren't
events such as the disclosures about NSA's Prism program or the recent
Heartbleed OpenSSL security nightmare indicative of a trend against blind
Internet-ification of all kinds of devices and technologies?

To name an example: I learned that the Dutch levee system is nowadays
consisting of a network of Internet-controlled sensors and pumps. The
sensor broadcast their measuring data via an encrypted VPN connection to a
nation-wide data center which in turn sends back control instructions to
the pumps. If this VPN had been run on OpenSSL (and it's quite possible
that it is), anyone could have hacked it and literally flooded the country.

These risks have been known for a long time, but now even non-experts -
including policymakers and industry CEOs - are likely to understand them.
The logical conclusion is to not expose critical infrastructures to the
Internet by hardware design. The same is true for industrial
infrastructures, both for the sake of operational security and safety from
industrial espionage.

The question is whether this will eventually lead to correction of
optimistic Internet of Things predictions.

 For as computational devices become ever more central to how we relate to
 and interface with each other,

That is really the question. Will the growth of computational technologies
remain to be primitive quantitative growth, or will it turn into a
qualitative growth where computerization and Internetworking of devices,
and areas of life, will be carefully evaluated for each case and
application?

A good example, again from the Netherlands, how computer experts can
soundly turn against computerization as such was Rop Gonggrijp's campaign
against voting machines. Its radical philosophical implications - that
computers, with today's computer architecture, are by definition machines
whose information isn't manipulation-proof and thus can never be trusted -
still doesn't seem to have sunk in.

 The design and deployment of the Internet of Things is thus not simply a
 matter of software/hardware architecture but also of politics; ethics;
 belief; citizenship; and social and civic relations.

Indeed! -

Bests,
Florian


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Re: nettime In Art we Trust

2014-04-27 Thread Saul Albert
On 27 April 2014 16:34, d.garcia d.gar...@new-tactical-research.co.ukwrote:

 Possibly the source of the project should have been
 anonymous like bitcoin or (excuse the very bad pun) banksy. The individual
 releases of the coins could have been unattributed and aspired to a drier
 more neutral less arty form of charisma.


Ha! I like this idea David, and I am very fond of bad puns. Especially this
one because it reminds me of an experience that I think bears out your
argument that the KRB project could be more critical/ambitious in this
respect:

I recently watched one of Banksy's auction-house satires sell at auction in
London. I took a picture of the auction podium as it happened:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bh9hR9aCAAALR6_.jpg:large

In the moment the projection of the painting (which reads: I can't believe
you morons actually buy this shit) came up on the screen, the auctioneer,
the dramatically lit row of phone bid operatives and the entire auction
house audience all got swallowed up by the piece. We all had a moment of
bathos-induced laughter, the (very skilled and entertaining) auctioneer
addressed us as morons, and I could see everyone looking around the room,
taking in the scene anew. I think an Internet bidder bought it for about
5000 pounds.

So this was very clever on one level (for those immediately present), but
also interesting in relation to your argument about KRB because of where
the money from this auction was going. I was there to watch a Banksy being
sold that had been anonymously donated to a brilliantly successful
fund-raising campaign by volunteers in Bristol to buy the building housing
the wonderful Cube Microplex:
http://www.cubecinema.com/cgi-bin/freehold/freehold.pl . The sale of their
Banksy contributed a significant proportion to the funding total.

Whatever you think about Banksy, the cultural arbitrage those pieces
performed was not only 'good value' entertainment for the crowd at the
auction, it was also using the secondary market appreciation of the piece
to invest in a differently geared form of cultural value generated by the
Cube (an unfunded, volunteer-run cultural centre).

So if KRB was to pick up on your critique - which I think would be
worthwhile and a lot of fun - I wonder if this kind of situation might be a
possible outcome... Where the stakes are raised by SWAG asset class
investments and the founders get to proxy capital gains to their favourite
punk arts venue.

I suspect it would feel less flawed in the ways you point out, but that by
'better business being better art', the project at scale would then become
problematic in lots of interesting and different ways.

Cheers,

Saul.


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Re: nettime Philosophy of the Internet of Things

2014-04-27 Thread dan
 It would be good to get some nettime views.
 
 The Internet of Things (IoT) is an umbrella term used...

For me, the rising interdependence of all players on the Internet
is a setting for common-mode failure both of technology and of
governance, and the IoT is central to that rising interdependence.
I applaud you for having the gumption to stand athwart these
developments yelling Wait a minute at a time when few are inclined
to do so, or to have much patience with those who so urge.

I gave this speech at NSA on 26 March.  As the nettime moderators
prefer we do here, http://geer.tinho.net/geer.nsa.26iii14.txt follows
below in full.  I bring to your attention the parts about embedded
systems in particular, about which there is much other material.

--dan

-8cut-here8-

APT in a World of Rising Interdependence
Dan Geer, 26 March 14, NSA

Thank you for the invitation and to the preceding speakers for their
viewpoints and for the shared experience.  With respect to this
elephant, each of us is one of those twelve blind men.

We are at the knee of the curve for deployment of a different model
of computation.  We've had two decades where, in round numbers,
laboratories gave us twice the computing for constant dollars every
18 months, twice the disk drive storage capacity for constant dollars
every 12 months, and twice the network speed for constant dollars
every 9 months.  That is two orders of magnitude in computes per
decade, three for storage, and four for transmission.  In constant
dollar terms, we have massively enlarged the stored data available
per compute cycle, yet that data is more mobile in the aggregate
than when there was less of it.

It is thus no wonder that cybercrime is data crime.  It is thus no
wonder that the advanced persistent threat is the targeted effort
to obtain, change, or deny information by means that are difficult
to discover, difficult to remove, and difficult to attribute.[DG]

Yet, as we all know, laboratory results filter out into commercial
off the shelf products at rates controlled by the market power of
existing players -- just because it can be done in the laboratory
doesn't mean that you can buy it today.  So it has been with that
triad of computation, storage, and transmission capacities.  As
Martin Hilbert's studies describe, in 1986 you could fill the world's
total storage using the world's total bandwidth in two days.  Today,
it would take 150 days of the world's total bandwidth to fill the
world's total storage, and the measured curve between 1986 and today
is all but perfectly exponential.[MH]

Meanwhile, Moore's Law has begun slowing.  There are two reasons
for this.  Reason number one is physics: We can't cool chips at
clock rates much beyond what we have now.  Reason number two is
economics: The cost of new fabrication facilities doubles every two
years, which is Moore's lesser-known Second Law.  Intel canceled
its Fab42 in January of this year because the capital cost per gate
is now rising.  By 2018 one new fab will be just as expensive in
inflation adjusted terms as was the entire Manhattan Project.[GN]
The big players will have to get bigger still, or Moore's First Law
is over because of Moore's Second Law.

And hardware replacement cycles are no longer driven by customer
upgrade lust -- by which I mean the need to buy new hardware just
because you need new hardware to run new software.  Good enough
for everything I need to do now dominates computing excepting,
perhaps, in mobile, but that, too, is a curve that will soon flatten.
Only graphics cards are not yet good enough for everything I need
to do, but every curve has its asymptote.  In sum, the commercial
off the shelf market is not going to keep allowing us to dream big
without regard to the underlying performance costs.  We are not
going to grow ourselves out of performance troubles of our own
making.  We were able to do that for a good long run, but that party
is over.

We can see that now in cryptography.  I will certainly not lecture
this audience on that subject.  What I can do is to bring word from
the commercial world that cryptographic performance is now a
front-and-center topic of discussion both in individual firms,
amongst expert discussion groups, and within standards bodies.  The
commercial world has evidently decided that the time has come to
add cryptographic protections to an expanded range of products and
services.  The question being unevenly debated is whether, on the
one hand, to achieve cryptographic performance with ever more adroit
algorithm design, especially design that can make full use of
parallelization, or to trend more towards hardware implementations.
As you well know, going to hardware yields really substantial gains
in performance not otherwise possible, but at the cost of zero post
installation flexibility.  This is not hypothetical; AES performance
improvements have of late been because software has been put aside