[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-04-01 Thread Ahmad Saeed
Cable (HFC) is the dominant fixed consumer broadband technology in  the USA , 
they have published this chart

https://www.lightreading.com/cable-video/new-dashboard-illustrates-how-us-cable-networks-are-coping-during-covid-19-crisis-/d/d-id/758601?itc=lrnewsletter%5Flrdaily_source=lrnewsletter%5Flrdaily_medium=email_campaign=04012020_number=1

How do we compare ?

[The NCTA's new dashboard, which will add data from more cable ops in the 
coming weeks, lets visitors check cable network performance nationwide and on a 
state-by-state basis.  (Source: NCTA member companies)]


Regards

Ahmad Saeed
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-31 Thread Ahmad Saeed
I believe they are all have passed CIP End_user acceptance   (not sure why it 
was called that name 9 years ago)

In my humble opinion the uplink policing was bad idea but it was required for 
the SLA , my experience tells me that when you have packet it is better to pass 
it on rather than queuing it while you can, this is an opportunistic approach  
as you never know what comes next


Regards

Ahmad Saeed
Wireline Networks Product Manager

Mobile +64 (0) 21 877794


[cid:image002.gif@01CBDF2B.8265D290]
Huawei Technologies (NZ) Co. Ltd.
Level 23, Huawei Centre,
120 Albert Street,
Auckland CBD, New Zealand
Web:www.huawei.com<http://www.huawei.com/>



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From: Brent Marquis [mailto:brent.marq...@chorus.co.nz]
Sent: Wednesday, 1 April 2020 10:22 AM
To: Neil Gardner 
Cc: Jason Orchard ; nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz
Subject: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

There are many nuanced differences in the services, hardware and 
implementations between the LFCs.

We don’t test each others networks, so I cant tell you what they all are. Sorry!

From: Neil Gardner mailto:nz...@neilnz.com>>
Sent: Wednesday, 1 April 2020 10:13 AM
To: Brent Marquis 
mailto:brent.marq...@chorus.co.nz>>
Cc: Peter Lambrechtsen mailto:pe...@crypt.co.nz>>; Jason 
Orchard mailto:jason.orch...@enable.net.nz>>; 
nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz<mailto:nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz>
Subject: Re: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile



On Wed, 1 Apr 2020 at 10:02, Brent Marquis 
mailto:brent.marq...@chorus.co.nz>> wrote:
I agree with the opinion that upstream is unlikely to be an issue.
[snip]

2.Upstream queuing/shaping to get onto the PON segment is actually useful, 
as the 500mbps policer on the other side (required for us to mean SLAs) is not 
TCP friendly, if CPEs aren’t shaping to the actual plan rate
What an interesting comment! I wonder if this would have any real world impact 
on upstream performance on FibreMAX plans - or if one might observe difference 
performance between Chorus and other LFCs?

Cheers- N

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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-31 Thread Brent Marquis
There are many nuanced differences in the services, hardware and 
implementations between the LFCs.

We don’t test each others networks, so I cant tell you what they all are. Sorry!


From: Neil Gardner 
Sent: Wednesday, 1 April 2020 10:13 AM
To: Brent Marquis 
Cc: Peter Lambrechtsen ; Jason Orchard 
; nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz
Subject: Re: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile



On Wed, 1 Apr 2020 at 10:02, Brent Marquis 
mailto:brent.marq...@chorus.co.nz>> wrote:
I agree with the opinion that upstream is unlikely to be an issue.
[snip]

  1.  Upstream queuing/shaping to get onto the PON segment is actually useful, 
as the 500mbps policer on the other side (required for us to mean SLAs) is not 
TCP friendly, if CPEs aren’t shaping to the actual plan rate
What an interesting comment! I wonder if this would have any real world impact 
on upstream performance on FibreMAX plans - or if one might observe difference 
performance between Chorus and other LFCs?

Cheers- N

The content of this email (including any attachments) is intended for the 
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received this email in error, you shouldn’t read it - please contact me 
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mis-transmission or error. This communication does not designate an information 
system for the purposes of Part 4 of the Contract and Commercial Law Act 2017. 
Although we have taken reasonable precautions to ensure no viruses are present 
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-31 Thread Neil Gardner
On Wed, 1 Apr 2020 at 10:02, Brent Marquis 
wrote:

> I agree with the opinion that upstream is unlikely to be an issue.
>
> [snip]
>
>1. Upstream queuing/shaping to get onto the PON segment is actually
>useful, as the 500mbps policer on the other side (required for us to mean
>SLAs) is not TCP friendly, if CPEs aren’t shaping to the actual plan rate
>
> What an interesting comment! I wonder if this would have any real world
impact on upstream performance on FibreMAX plans - or if one might observe
difference performance between Chorus and other LFCs?

Cheers- N
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-31 Thread Brent Marquis
I agree with the opinion that upstream is unlikely to be an issue.

I don’t agree that LFCs should be more concerned, you left out important 
considerations.
GPON is intended to be a shared medium, queuing occurs as required and impact 
will be minimal.
It is not as simple as “available bandwidth divided by users”
The whole point of the MAX (note I don’t call them 1gbps/500mbps) plans *IS* to 
allow the PON capacity to be consumed.  Let customers burst to get things done, 
and move on. Bandwidth is allocated fairly.
This is also why:

  1.  Bandwidth utilisation of the PON ports today - even where there are 
schools, high proportion of MAX plans, etc - is single or, barely double digit 
percentages over a 5min period. Very few (i.e can count on a hand or 3) had 
over 50%.

Sure, this is likely to be changing as we speak, but it is meant to and is 
designed to.

  1.  Upstream queuing/shaping to get onto the PON segment is actually useful, 
as the 500mbps policer on the other side (required for us to mean SLAs) is not 
TCP friendly, if CPEs aren’t shaping to the actual plan rate
  2.  The GPON segment is not part of the CIP link utilisation reporting – it 
is understood across the industry that “congestion” here is actually just 
“using the available bandwidth as designed” and not really congestion at all.

Also of note, is that the high traffic class CIR and CBS is also prioritised 
timeslot allocation on the PON.   If you want to guarantee bandwidth and 
SLAs(Frame Loss, Frame Delay and Frame Delay Variation) then look towards the 
BS3/3a services.

Cheers,
Brent

From: Peter Lambrechtsen 
Sent: Wednesday, 1 April 2020 9:44 AM
To: Jason Orchard 
Cc: nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz
Subject: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

I wouldn't have thought that while upstream would be an issue for most / many 
RSPs unless they are purchasing capacity for each direction which I have not 
heard of and am happy to be wrong here. I would have typically assumed that all 
RSPs would purchase symmetrical capacity between Chorus DSL and LFCs for their 
handovers (as you can't purchase a 10/1GB handover only 10GB or 100GB 
symmetrical) and it would also be symmetrical domestic and international.

So while "the other direction" will be getting more of a workout that shouldn't 
have too much of a tangible impact on the RSPs asides from the bump in peak 
time traffic.

LFCs in my view should/would have far more reason for concern as people move 
from 100/20 plans to GB plans and a 500Mbit upstream could very quickly 
saturate the PON if everyone started uploading large files or streaming video / 
sharing desktop as part of remote learning for schools.

From personal experience 100/20 was more than satisfactory for a house of 5 
when the kids (11/13/15) were mostly consuming CDN data rather than creating it 
being on a Video chat with their peers/school and parents are working from home 
over VPN while on video conferences too.

My bet is those who haven't upgraded to GB will probably do so in 2-3 weeks 
once all the kids go back to school as by that point the schools should 
hopefully be up to speed with remote learning.

I still think CFH regulated plans and thus LFCs are missing a widespread 
adoption of an in between plan to offer to RSPs a 100-200/50-100 plan (I think 
200/100 is the sweet spot right now) and GB. As the ONT would police traffic 
over the upstream rate and only impact the single subscriber vs getting 
congestion on the upstream PON and it is detrimental for everyone on that PON 
port. It also would mean that more splitter visits and resplicing if required 
where certain PON ports that may be getting congested. But I haven't seen any 
anecdotal reports of that.

Or perhaps it is just RSPs keeping their plans simple to reduce FAB complexity 
and CFH/LFCs have no real say as they are already offering those plans and RSPs 
are chosing not to take them up.

But that is just my guess.

Cheers, Peter

On Tue, Mar 31, 2020 at 12:57 PM Jason Orchard 
mailto:jason.orch...@enable.net.nz>> wrote:

Hi All

From where I'm sitting in Enable Network (LFC), I can see a different changes 
to "normal" time of day trends compared to the last 3 week of "normal" 
utilisation.
Once the whole country finally moved into level 4 lockdown, it's my opinion 
that all RSP and LFC network started to be tested,  further to this last Friday 
night (27th) was the biggest peak utilisation Enable networks has every 
recorded.


While everyone is talking about how download utilisation has increased, we 
aren't talking about how the upload utilisation has also increase thought the 
roof and I'm just wonder what point the RSP and LFC will start having 
contention on the uploads?

Its good too see as a country we are all doing what we can to keep the internet 
running, and sharing information on overall performance.

I'm predicting that by about Thursday/Friday this week,  we are all going 

[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-31 Thread Nathan Ward

> On 31/03/2020, at 12:57 PM, Jason Orchard  wrote:
> 
> On the most interesting things I've noticed when the country stop at Dinner 
> Time as the overall utilisation decrease between 5.30pm and 6.30pm, then it 
> ramps up again to the "normal" peaks 8-10.30pm.

Kurt Rodgers said the same on Twitter.

I think the reality is that it’s the 6pm news. I see streaming video services 
drop sharply at 6, while social media stays relatively steady.

You can’t watch Netflix and the news at the same time, but you can certainly 
sit on Facebook and Instagram while mum and dad tune in.

--
Nathan Ward

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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-30 Thread Jason Orchard
Hi All

>From where I'm sitting in Enable Network (LFC), I can see a different changes 
>to "normal" time of day trends compared to the last 3 week of "normal" 
>utilisation.
Once the whole country finally moved into level 4 lockdown, it's my opinion 
that all RSP and LFC network started to be tested,  further to this last Friday 
night (27th) was the biggest peak utilisation Enable networks has every 
recorded.


While everyone is talking about how download utilisation has increased, we 
aren't talking about how the upload utilisation has also increase thought the 
roof and I'm just wonder what point the RSP and LFC will start having 
contention on the uploads?

Its good too see as a country we are all doing what we can to keep the internet 
running, and sharing information on overall performance.

I'm predicting that by about Thursday/Friday this week,  we are all going to 
understand what the new Covid-19 utilisation "normal" looks like and we can 
plan for there.
Forecast models of utilisation growth is interesting to say the least, as there 
really isn't any historic data too looking back predict a patten and so far no 
one day has been the same as the other, we are keeping a very close eye working 
very hard to keep a contention free network, so the end user experience isn't 
impacted

On the most interesting things I've noticed when the country stop at Dinner 
Time as the overall utilisation decrease between 5.30pm and 6.30pm, then it 
ramps up again to the "normal" peaks 8-10.30pm.



Well that my 2 cents.  @Ahmad Saeed 
(ahmad.sa...@huawei.com)<mailto:ahmad.sa...@huawei.com> Give me a call off the 
list and we can talk about your original questions.



Jason Orchard

Senior Network Engineer | Enable Networks Limited

DDI +64 3 741 5283

M+64 27 666 8468

www.enable.net.nz











-Original Message-
From: William Liu 
Sent: Tuesday, 31 March 2020 12:00 PM
To: nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz
Subject: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile



Just an interesting article to taste - "Everyone can contribute to data 
transmission management in a COVID-19 world"

https://www.aei.org/technology-and-innovation/everyone-can-contribute-to-data-transmission-management-in-a-covid-19-world/



Cheers Will



-Original Message-

From: ahmad.sa...@huawei.com<mailto:ahmad.sa...@huawei.com> 
mailto:ahmad.sa...@huawei.com>>

Sent: Tuesday, 31 March 2020 9:35 AM

To: nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz<mailto:nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz>

Subject: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile



I think daytime peak is already close to RWC peak now 
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-30 Thread William Liu
Just an interesting article to taste - "Everyone can contribute to data 
transmission management in a COVID-19 world"
https://www.aei.org/technology-and-innovation/everyone-can-contribute-to-data-transmission-management-in-a-covid-19-world/

Cheers Will 

-Original Message-
From: ahmad.sa...@huawei.com  
Sent: Tuesday, 31 March 2020 9:35 AM
To: nznog@list.waikato.ac.nz
Subject: [nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

I think daytime peak is already close to RWC peak now 
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-30 Thread Brian E Carpenter
Since I'm no longer teaching, I haven't followed the details but I think they 
have advised people to drop the bit rate as much as feasible.

Regards
   Brian

On 30-Mar-20 18:03, ahmad.sa...@huawei.com wrote:
> U of Auckland : Let's say 25% of their 40K students will use Zoom at any tie 
> @1.5Mbps (HD) then that's 15Gbps added to the day time impact on Auckland
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-30 Thread Nathan Ward

> On 30/03/2020, at 6:55 PM, Pieter De Wit  wrote:
> 
> Now if only there was something that could cast to multi’s….

This is NZ. If rugby wasn’t going to do, a university lecture sure isn’t.

--
Nathan Ward
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-30 Thread Pieter De Wit
Now if only there was something that could cast to multi’s.

:)

Sent from my iPhone

> On 30/03/2020, at 18:04, ahmad.sa...@huawei.com wrote:
> 
> U of Auckland : Let's say 25% of their 40K students will use Zoom at any tie 
> @1.5Mbps (HD) then that's 15Gbps added to the day time impact on Auckland
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-29 Thread ahmad . saeed
U of Auckland : Let's say 25% of their 40K students will use Zoom at any tie 
@1.5Mbps (HD) then that's 15Gbps added to the day time impact on Auckland
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-29 Thread Brian E Carpenter
I think you'll see even more this week as teaching via Zoom picks up rapidly. 
At least the U of Auckland is starting that in a big way.

(Worldwide, weekday IPv6 is picking up too, according to the Google stats.)

Regards
   Brian Carpenter

On 30-Mar-20 16:57, ahmad.sa...@huawei.com wrote:
> Are you suggesting changing the thread to "NZ Not Working From Home Traffic 
> Profile"  ... I'm actually concerned about day time peak which is growing
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[nznog] Re: NZ Working From Home Traffic Profile

2020-03-29 Thread Pieter De Wit
Wasn’t those jumps linked to Youtube/Netflix etc ?

I think, in NZ at least, the majority of people are at home, not working from 
home.

Cheers

> On 30/03/2020, at 10:27, ahmad.sa...@huawei.com wrote:
> 
> With lots of New Zealanders and  other countries citizens are working from 
> home and the jump in residential Broadband traffic, I am interested in the NZ 
> operators observations.  There are few published charts in the NZ Herald 
> article from Chorus and UFF showing phenomenal increase in traffic. In my 
> opinion this is an event that we should document and learn from. 
> 
> I have few questions 1) The jump in residential day time peak ~2PM , is it 
> equal to a drop in business daytime peak ? 2) How do you explain the jump in 
> night time peak (probably people are not going out and are now streaming at 
> home?
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