[obrolan-bandar] Re: Lompatan Gajah

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik oentoeng_q
Tanda2 paling mudah adalah PNBN saat ini 450-455 kejadian (harganya 
NAIK)
Kalau DILOMPATI kemungkinan harganya hari ini 425 ke bawah
Coba bandingkan dengan BMRI yg hari ini "turun" dengan BNGA yg 
cenderung "sepi."
Dibandingkan dengan minggu lalu?

Tapi latar belakangnya begini…
BIG PICTURE adalah Penurunan Suku Bunga…
Dia akan berdampak langsung kepada BANKING
Artinya para GAJAH akan bergerombol di sana; cuman di saham apa?
Terus eksodusnya ke mana saja?
Ini pemikiran dasarnya.

Bagi saya PNBN cukup MENARIK dibandingkan BMRI dan BNGA.
Yang jelas harga mereka sudah "cukup tinggi" dilihat dari AWAL 
PERJALANAN.
Teori AIR sering digunakan oleh para GAJAH..
Mereka akan terus MENGALIR menuju HARGA yg lebih RENDAH (MENARIK dlm 
konteks ini)

Kelihatannya ke Panin Groups pengamatan saya alasannya;
- RI sudah SELESAI…
- Banyak Gajah menghindari RI karena akan meningkatkan prosentase 
ALOKASI DANA. Namun berbeda kalau dilihat RI PNBN; cukup eksklusif; 
pernah saya bahas…
- Dll
Yang JELAS dilihat dari POTENSI RETURN PNBN dari harga 450 (hari 
ini) ada POTENSI ke 560-an dengan target 25%.

* Angka 20-30% muncul karena BEGITULAH para Gajah memperhitungkan 
return gain utk SHORT/MEDIUM TERM.

Mudahnya kalau kita punya 1 JT lot BNGA masak bisa TERJUAL SEMUANYA 
di harga 700???
Harus average sell ketika JUALAN dan average buy kalau lagi BELI.
Dari sini akan terlihat SPACE yg cukup LUAS buat para TA Trader 
bermain.

Makanya kalau kita punya DANA GAJAH mendapat RETURN 10-20% dalam 
waktu 6-12 bln khan masih MENARIK dibandingkan SBI; deposito; dll.
Padahal pada kenyataannya kalau sudah CONFIRM akan terlaksana dalam 
waktu 10 hari; 30 hari(1 bln); atau KURANG dari 3 bln….
Tidak percaya???
Lihat saja ngejozz-nya BDMN, ASII, BMRI, ISAT…..
Kata Embah hasil kerjaan FUND STRATEGIST katanya…

Semoga anda tidak terlalu bingung; sehingga tdk menutup kemungkinan 
adanya pertanyaan lanjutan.
Hehehe...

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "redyherinantoalb" 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Pertanyaan saya tetap sama pak Oen, tanda2 apa yang bisa membuat 
> anda menunjuk ke Panin Group? Masak karena RI selesai mesti 
ada 
> satu gerakan di market yang anda amati dengan cermat sebelumnya 
> sehingga kesimpulan bisa akurat...
> Would you share the method with us please...
> 
> Redy
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_q"  
> wrote:
> >
> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_q" 
 
> > wrote:
> > >
> > > Contoh mudahnya menurut saya..
> > > Beberapa hari ini khan ada GOYANGAN BERSAMAAN di PANIN GROUPS, 
> BNGA, 
> > > BMRI.
> > > Nah kira2 menurut sampeyan mana yg kategori goyang DOMPET dan 
> mana 
> > > yg goyang DOMBRET betulan?
> > > Kira2 para GAJAH melompat dari mana ke mana???
> > > Nah bagi saya utk konfirmasi perlu NGINTIP..
> > > 
> > Mas redy; masih ingat yg sedang saya amati dengan komentar di 
atas?
> > Dari pengamatan dan hasil INTIPAN...para GAJAH sedang melompat 
ke 
> > PANIN GROUPS
> > Sasaran Tembak adalah SEMUA yg sudah RI saat ini.
> > Hari ini PNBN yg terakhir..
> > 
> > Jadi pilihannya: PNBN, PNBN-W; PNIN, PNIN-W; PNLF,PNLF-W
> > 
> > RI has COMPLETED...so
> > 
> > Disclaimer always ON
> >
>







 
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[obrolan-bandar] ADHI KARYA akan RI

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
http://www.etrading.co.id/newetrading/index.php?ar_id=1336
Adhi akan RI, ZP (Kim Eng) prediksi angka di 330-350... dengan target 
600milyar, saya belum hitung berapa ratio nya... ada yang bisa bantu?

Redy






 
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: UNSP...any info, pls?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Terimakasih atas warningnya sejak ketipu Bumi saya sudah putuskan 
tidak akan maen saham Bakri lagi. perilaku mereka persis dengan 
perilaku Enron wuih dendam banget ya :)

Redy
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, " Marjan Syah" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
>
> Jauhin dulu grup Bakrie Pak untuk sementara waktu karena semua 
corporate
> actionnya kabar kabur.. Tunggu sampai semuanya jelas mulai dari 
merger
> BUMI-ENRG, penjualan Arutmin+KPC, kasus Lapindo dan lain2.
> 
> Regards,
> Marjan
>







 
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] UNSP...any info, pls?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Marjan Syah



Jauhin dulu grup Bakrie Pak untuk sementara waktu karena semua corporate actionnya kabar kabur.. Tunggu sampai semuanya jelas mulai dari merger BUMI-ENRG, penjualan Arutmin+KPC, kasus Lapindo dan lain2.
 
Regards,
Marjan 

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[obrolan-bandar] RE: IHSG Big Picture di EW - Will History Repeat Itself?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Rony Santoso





betul sekali eyang... bisa juga ke 1180 atau retracement 61.8% 
dari wave a.
 
akan tetapi jika ternyata wave c terbentuk di sekitar 1330-1350 
maka itu berarti terjadi failure dari wave a
 
yang artinya menurut aturan ew adalah sbb: It could be shorter in which case it normally is a failure, which 
foretells an acceleration in the opposite direction.
 
jika failure terjadi 
pada wave c, maka berarti akan ada akselerasi kencang ke arah bullish... 
demikian kira2 terjemahannya.
 
salam,
Rony


From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Soeratman 
DoerachmanSent: Monday, August 28, 2006 8:45To: 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]Cc: 
obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.comSubject: [obrolan-bandar] FW: 
[junior_Trader] IHSG Big Picture di EW - Will History Repeat 
Itself?




Dear 
Rony
 
Mohon djelaskan yg saya 
beri tanda high light merah.
Untuk teman-teman yang 
lain untuk diketahui saya kira yang dibuat rony atau boyz adalah buatan robot 
apakah itu alpha omega atau prognosis.
Kembali program apapun 
yg kita pakai “they cannot beat the market”
They only give 
indication. Tinggal kita menentukan the degree of accuracy mereka setelah kita 
coba pakai berkali-kali (melalui system back test)
 
Saran bagi teman di 
J-Club. Pakailah EW dikombinasikan dengan Fibonacci spt yg dilakukan oleh Ronny. 
EW dan Fib kita bisa sebut  sbg “Two in One” ( pada j-Club akan biki 
kongkow2/diskusi ttg EW/Fib utk para membernya)
 

From: Rony 
Santoso [mailto:stockupdate@gmail.com] Sent: Monday, August 28, 2006 7:48 
AM
 




Saya coba bandingkan hasil ew di 
bulan puasa tahun 2004 dengan prediksi ew bulan puasa 
2006

 

Will history repeat 
itself?

 

 

Ataukah jika menurut aturan 
ew:


Targets 
for wave C
Wave 
C has a length of at least 61.8% of wave A 
(apakah bukan tidak 
mungkin disamping ke 1220 dia juga ke sekitar 1180?). It could be 
shorter in which case it normally is a failure, which foretells an acceleration 
in the opposite direction.
Generally wave C is equal to wave A 
or travels a distance of 161.8% of wave A.
Wave C often reaches 161.8% of the 
length of wave A in an Expanded Flat.
In a contracting Triangle wave C 
often is 61.8% of wave A.

 

di mana koreksi wave c harus 
sama/dibawah 61.8% dari wave a maka di dapat target koreksi maksimal di 1220 
(wave a sebelumnya)

 

 

perhatikan juga chart DJIA terlampir 
di mana correction wave a & wave c kurang lebih 
sejajar.

 

 

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[obrolan-bandar] [EBOOK SAHAM] William F Eng - The Day Trader's Manual

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik masih_belajar saham



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 whether to hang on to existing positions, or initiate new ones at bargain prices.Featuring an array of loss-cutting and profit-taking techniques, 'The  Day Trader's Manual' provides the analytical tools you need to  withstand volatile market moves, make better informed investing  decisions, and improve your profitability.  Contents  Part One - the Theory of Day Trading1. Time, Price, and the Day Trader  2. Strategies for Profitable Day Trading  3. Day Trading Approaches Defined by Market Action  4. Chaos Theory and the Day TraderPart Two - The Science of Day Trading5. Tape-Reading Techniques  6. Spread Trading  7. Trading Market Profile  8. Using Chart Patterns  9. Mathematical Approaches to Day Trading  10. Sequential Patterns in Day Trading  11. Elliott Wave Theory and Day TradingPart Three : The Art of Day Trading12 parts 
 http://rapidshare.de/files/30669739/Day_Trad.zip  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669740/Day_Trad.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669741/Day_Trad.z02  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669742/Day_Trad.z03  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669743/Day_Trad.z04  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669744/Day_Trad.z05  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669745/Day_Trad.z06  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669603/Day_Trad.z07  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669604/Day_Trad.z08  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669605/Day_Trad.z09  http://rapidshare.de/files/30669606/Day_Trad.z10-George Angell - Sniper Trading Workbook : Step-by-Step Exercises to Help You Master Sniper Trading  8 parts  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668794/Snip_Trad.zip  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668795/Snip_Trad.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668796/Snip_Trad.z02 
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 http://rapidshare.de/files/30324689/A_to_Z.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30324690/A_to_Z.z02  http://rapidshare.de/files/30324691/A_to_Z.z03Peter Navarro - Big Picture Investing  12 parts   http://rapidshare.de/files/30319756/BigPict_Inv.zip  http://rapidshare.de/files/30319757/BigPict_Inv.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30319758/BigPict_Inv.z02  http://rapidshare.de/files/30319619/BigPict_Inv.z03  http://rapidshare.de/files/30319586/BigPict_Inv.z04  http://rapidshare.de/files/30319646/BigPict_Inv.z05  http://rapidshare.de/files/30320251/BigPict_Inv.z06  http://rapidshare.de/files/30320260/BigPict_Inv.z07  http://rapidshare.de/files/30321624/BigPict_Inv.z08  http://rapidshare.de/files/30324700/BigPict_Inv.z09  http://rapidshare.de/files/30324701/BigPict_Inv.z10  http://rapidshare.de/files/30324702/BigPict_Inv.z11How I Made 2,000,000 in the Stock Market by Nicolas Darvas  5 Parts 
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[obrolan-bandar] UNSP?????

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik amy sungkono



mungkin bener yg kebakaran kmrn itu kebonnya UNSP gt  
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Thank you...
That was usefull information for all
You very generous to share that kind of information to us

Redy

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Ms. banking...what a name...
>   it is a good question and only God knows how to answer it
>   Anyway, if we have good observation over fund flows including 
scheduled of bonds issue and maturity either in domestic and world 
markets you will be the champion in investment...This will lead you 
to know than some hedged funds that were coming in to the jakarta 
market (in example) when the main index hit its three month low of 
1274 on June 14 will have its maturity done by Sep 14, meaning some 
selling pressure could occur by that date... bear in mind that, the 
hedged fund only need a 3% to 6% margin to get out of our 
marketthe percentage margin means hundred of millions dollar...
(amazing, rite..?) so, from now until Sep 14, the main index could 
move up and down by limited range of 5 and 38 points...
>   if you mean short time is daysi must say there should 
n\nothing to worry...but, let's see what market makers can do to 
stay alert ahead of the sep 14
>   a disclaimerthou...
>   cheers
>
> 
> "Ms. Banking" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>   Mr. Frederick, so meaning to say, u think probably there 
will be no BIG correction in JSX in a short time? Thanks for sharing 
with us.
> 
> 
> -
>   Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. 
Great rates starting at 1¢/min.  
> 
>  
> 
>   
> -
> Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! 
Small Business.
>






 
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Ms. Banking



Thanks for sharing Mr Fred. GBUFrederick Schubert <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Ms. banking...what a name...  it is a good question and only God knows how to answer it  Anyway, if we have good observation over fund flows including scheduled of bonds issue and maturity either in domestic and world markets you will be the champion in investment...This will lead you to know than some hedged funds that were coming in to the jakarta market (in example) when the main index hit its three month low of 1274 on June 14 will have its maturity done by Sep 14, meaning some selling pressure could occur by that date... bear in mind that, the hedged fund only need a 3% to 6% margin to get out of our marketthe percentage margin means hundred of millions dollar...(amazing, rite..?) so, from now until Sep 14, the
 main index could move up and down by limited range of 5 and 38 points...  if you mean short time is daysi must say there should n\nothing to worry...but, let's see what market makers can do to stay alert ahead of the sep 14  a disclaimerthou...  cheers  "Ms. Banking" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:  Mr. Frederick, so meaning to say, u think probably there will be no BIG correction in JSX in a short time? Thanks for sharing with us.  Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. Great rates starting at 1¢/min. Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! Small Business.   __Do You Yahoo!?Tired of spam?  Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around http://mail.yahoo.com 
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: Lompatan Gajah

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Pertanyaan saya tetap sama pak Oen, tanda2 apa yang bisa membuat 
anda menunjuk ke Panin Group? Masak karena RI selesai mesti ada 
satu gerakan di market yang anda amati dengan cermat sebelumnya 
sehingga kesimpulan bisa akurat...
Would you share the method with us please...

Redy

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_q" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
>
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_q"  
> wrote:
> >
> > Contoh mudahnya menurut saya..
> > Beberapa hari ini khan ada GOYANGAN BERSAMAAN di PANIN GROUPS, 
BNGA, 
> > BMRI.
> > Nah kira2 menurut sampeyan mana yg kategori goyang DOMPET dan 
mana 
> > yg goyang DOMBRET betulan?
> > Kira2 para GAJAH melompat dari mana ke mana???
> > Nah bagi saya utk konfirmasi perlu NGINTIP..
> > 
> Mas redy; masih ingat yg sedang saya amati dengan komentar di atas?
> Dari pengamatan dan hasil INTIPAN...para GAJAH sedang melompat ke 
> PANIN GROUPS
> Sasaran Tembak adalah SEMUA yg sudah RI saat ini.
> Hari ini PNBN yg terakhir..
> 
> Jadi pilihannya: PNBN, PNBN-W; PNIN, PNIN-W; PNLF,PNLF-W
> 
> RI has COMPLETED...so
> 
> Disclaimer always ON
>







 
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert



Ms. banking...what a name...  it is a good question and only God knows how to answer it  Anyway, if we have good observation over fund flows including scheduled of bonds issue and maturity either in domestic and world markets you will be the champion in investment...This will lead you to know than some hedged funds that were coming in to the jakarta market (in example) when the main index hit its three month low of 1274 on June 14 will have its maturity done by Sep 14, meaning some selling pressure could occur by that date... bear in mind that, the hedged fund only need a 3% to 6% margin to get out of our marketthe percentage margin means hundred of millions dollar...(amazing, rite..?) so, from now until Sep 14, the main index could move up and down by limited range of 5 and 38 points...  if you mean short time is daysi must say there should n\nothing to worry...but, let's see what market makers
 can do to stay alert ahead of the sep 14  a disclaimerthou...  cheers   "Ms. Banking" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:  Mr. Frederick, so meaning to say, u think probably there will be no BIG correction in JSX in a short time? Thanks for sharing with us.  Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. Great rates
 starting at 1¢/min.   
	
		Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! Small Business.

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] UNSP...any info, pls?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik EKA SUWANDANA



Terakhir di Bisnis Indonesia kalo nggak salah baca FIDELITY (mutual fund manager amrik) jualan UNSP 4,6jt lembar saham atau 9200 lot. Alasan switching ke BNBR. Nggak jelas juga kenapa.     Tapi ada baiknya nggak beli sekarang. Takut Right Issue, soalnya opsi pendanaan cuma 2: Right Issue atau Bond. Mudah2an sih BOND! Saya sangat berharap sekali.     Ngomong2 coupn bond rate nya berapa persen yg merek mau ? Harus di bawah 10% ? SBI target desember turun ke berapa yah?Investor Bonex <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Any info why UNSP dibuang ?... pdhal emiten ini termasuk wish listnya Pak EKA.  Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. Great rates starting at 1¢/min.  
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: UNSP...any info, pls?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Yang kebakaran kemaren kebun dia bukan? Info gak terlalu jelas...
Redy
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Investor Bonex 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Any info why UNSP dibuang ?... pdhal emiten ini termasuk wish 
listnya Pak EKA.
> 
>   
> -
> Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls.  
Great rates starting at 1¢/min.
>






 
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[obrolan-bandar] Lompatan Gajah

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik oentoeng_q
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "oentoeng_q" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
>
> Contoh mudahnya menurut saya..
> Beberapa hari ini khan ada GOYANGAN BERSAMAAN di PANIN GROUPS, BNGA, 
> BMRI.
> Nah kira2 menurut sampeyan mana yg kategori goyang DOMPET dan mana 
> yg goyang DOMBRET betulan?
> Kira2 para GAJAH melompat dari mana ke mana???
> Nah bagi saya utk konfirmasi perlu NGINTIP..
> 
Mas redy; masih ingat yg sedang saya amati dengan komentar di atas?
Dari pengamatan dan hasil INTIPAN...para GAJAH sedang melompat ke 
PANIN GROUPS
Sasaran Tembak adalah SEMUA yg sudah RI saat ini.
Hari ini PNBN yg terakhir..

Jadi pilihannya: PNBN, PNBN-W; PNIN, PNIN-W; PNLF,PNLF-W

RI has COMPLETED...so

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Ms. Banking



Mr. Frederick, so meaning to say, u think probably there will be no BIG correction in JSX in a short time? Thanks for sharing with us. 
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[obrolan-bandar] UNSP...any info, pls?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Investor Bonex



Any info why UNSP dibuang ?... pdhal emiten ini termasuk wish listnya Pak EKA. 
		Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls.  Great rates starting at 1¢/min.
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[obrolan-bandar] [EBOOK SAHAM] George Angell - Sniper Trading

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik masih_belajar saham



George Angell - Sniper Trading Workbook : Step-by-Step Exercises to Help You Master Sniper Trading“ Important lessons and key investment strategies for trading stocks,  options, and futures. Sniper Trading helps readers fine-tune their  trading to the point where they know exactly where the market will go  and when it will get there. With thirty years of experience, George  Angell shows readers how to trade successfully on a consistent and  informed basis. Sniper Trading is a complete guide to trading  everything from stocks and options to futures. Readers will discover  how to price trading, identify buy and sell zones, place spread or  seasonal trades, and, most importantly, how to win at trading by  overcoming common pitfalls and mastering common learning curves. Angell  offers the individual trader the inside track on his most successful  investment strategies, so they can profit like the professionals.Provides important lessons and key
 investment strategies for trading  stocks, options, and futures. Helps readers fine-tune their trading to  the point where they know exactly where the market will go and when it  will get there. ” 8 parts  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668794/Snip_Trad.zip  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668795/Snip_Trad.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668796/Snip_Trad.z02  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668797/Snip_Trad.z03  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668798/Snip_Trad.z04  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668799/Snip_Trad.z05  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668800/Snip_Trad.z06  http://rapidshare.de/files/30668801/Snip_Trad.z07Ebook lain : Bill Williams - Trading Chaos - Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits  8 parts  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667759/Trad_Chaos.zip 
 http://rapidshare.de/files/30667760/Trad_Chaos.z01  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667761/Trad_Chaos.z02  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667762/Trad_Chaos.z03  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667763/Trad_Chaos.z04  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667764/Trad_Chaos.z05  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667765/Trad_Chaos.z06  http://rapidshare.de/files/30667766/Trad_Chaos.z07 
		Apakah Anda Yahoo!?Kunjungi halaman depan Yahoo! Indonesia yang baru!
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Make sense so the bottom line here is use right tools on the 
right market environment...
So Mr. FS, can you advice what tools are suited to our JSX market, I 
just use channeling (very simple I think) and some of indicator, so 
far it's worked quite good.
Am I miss something, maybe some tips from you will be highly 
appreciated I just remember the Kiyosaki said about 
investment... KISS... keep it simple...
Please advice...
TIA

Redy

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> the reason is because of that the charting like EW may be 
adaptable to  a stock market which has trading beta of more than 3 
times within 26 day average trade Indonesian stock market had it 
in  May 17 and May 19...but, that was mostly because of the  huge 
redemption in the mutual fund sector due to higher risk from the 
interest rate aversion...
>   so, every time you try to get the EW into the JSX charting you 
will always find amazing low support as well as resistance...which 
possibility is less than 20%...
>   just sharing...i don't have any intention to criticize anyone...
>   and a disclaimer as well, thou...
>   regards
> Soeratman Doerachman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>   Can you tell us the reason Sir? May be it will gives 
us mor clear picture about your statement
>   Cheers too
>
>  
>   From: Frederick Schubert [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Sent: Monday, August 28, 2006 10:07 AM
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG 
menurut Elliot Wave?
> 
>
>   and forgive me if i am wrongI THOUGH ELLIOT WAVE 
charting is only adaptable for markets like in mexico and saudi 
arabiaand for DJIA for the very worst scenario...
> 
> cheers
> 
> redyherinantoalb <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> Interesting. is it because of possibility pause on the 
fed? Me 
> myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY 
> IS RULES!!
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
>  wrote:
> >
> > The support level of the main index for the third quarter is 
> likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the 
> fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT 
based 
> on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against 
> macroeconomic development..
> > just sharing and don't trust me..
> > disclaimer also, thou...
> > cheers
> > 
> > 
> > Rony Santoso  wrote:
> > Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,
> > 
> > TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat 
> yang berbeda-beda.
> > 
> > sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena 
> TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.
> > 
> > Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME 
> FRAME.
> > 
> > Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.
> > 
> > Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF
> > 
> > 
> > Goodluck
> > 
> > Rony
> > 
> > 
> > -
> > From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
> [EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of boyz
> > Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52
> > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut 
> Elliot Wave?
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C 
> terdiri 
> > dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?
> > 
> > kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan 
> > Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan 
> berlangsung 
> > sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?
> > 
> > dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci 
> > Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 
1222 
> > (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut 
> khan ?
> > 
> > Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective 
> Cycle" 
> > kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih 
> Alternative 
> > Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?
> > 
> > - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih 
> rendah 
> > dari a (diatas 1222)
> > -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222
> > -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya 
> lebih lama
> > 
> > pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah 
> > masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)
> > 
> > saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I 
Can 
> Never 
> > Become a Prophet."
> > 
> > Rony Santoso wrote:
> > > 
> > > 
> > > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave 
b 
> di 1441 
> > > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.
> > > 
> > > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda 
> buruk buat 
> > > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.
> > > 
> > > CMIIW.
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > -
> > Get your own web address for just $1.9

Re: FW: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik oentoeng_q
Yang jelas saya mengakui kalau kurang "gape" dlm menggambar...
apalagi dikaitkan dg EllWave.

Namun gambaran dari saya adalah berdasar BANYAK INDICATOR;
Seperti Rating yg dinaikkan, Inflasi yg cenderung turun, suku bunga 
yg akan mengikuti turun,..IDR yg cukup stabil, dll...

Jadi buat yg senang menggambar...saya harapkan yg OPTIMIS dalam 
menarik garis dll...utk LONG TERM 
Sedangkan short/medium kalau bisa dibikin sideways saja...


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "redyherinantoalb" 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Saya setuju kalau pada cuci gudang Bozz akan cenderung narik 
> lebih kencang... muatan ringan dan kita cuma bisa melongo 
> ketinggalan kereta :)
> This is probabilities game kalau saya, saya tunggu sampai 
> trailing stop saya tersentuh... baru deh sell off... mash profit 
> kok... kalau ternyata ditarik... yummmy
> Saya masih ingat tulisan disini tentang roket. semakin tinggi 
> semakin ringan naiknya.
> But that just me
> Mbah, pak Oen ditunggu petunjuknya
> 
> Redy
> www.geocities.com/velocyraptor50
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Soeratman Doerachman" 
>  wrote:
> >
> >  
> > 
> > Dengan minta ijin dari n mr "boyz" saya mencoba mengcopy gambar  
> postingnya
> > ttg E-Wave. Saya melihat gambar yg hampir sempurna dari salah 
satu 
> cycle nya
> > E-Wave kecuali ada sedikit yang mengganjal yaitu wave 3 yang 
lebih 
> pendek
> > dari wave 1 yg "rule"  nya  wave 3 seharusnya adalah wave yg 
> terpanjang dari
> > wave 1,2,3,4,5. Walaupun demikian gambar telah cukup memberikan 
> representasi
> > dari siklus EW.  Di kombinasikan dengan posting Vibby ttg 
> terjadinya "Wedge
> > Pattern" maka keduanya saling memberikan konfirmasi bahwa 
> IHSG "kemungkinan"
> > turun dengan menuju wave "c".
> > 
> > Kalau tidak terjadi? Jawabannya sangat gampang sebagai "escape" 
> yaitu
> > marketlah yang selalu benar. Bandar bisa menjungkir balikan 
> statement "the
> > market is always right"? Tentu saja bisa, but we have to 
remember 
> that
> > "Bandar" is also part of the market. Bukankah market merupakan 
> tempat
> > berkumpulnya penjual dan pembeli dimana termasuk Bandar 
didalamnya?
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Berdasarkan kondisi diatas maka posisi saya saat ini "flat" 
alias 
> cuci
> > gudang dulu saja.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > 
> > 
> >  
> > 
> >  
> > 
> >   _  
> > 
> > From: boyz [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> > Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 2:57 PM
> > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut 
> Elliot
> > Wave?
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > with the fibonacci Retracement ...
> >
>






 
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[obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Mr. FS, please explain about the Mexico and Saudia market, and why 
the EW is applicable for them I trully not understand, I like 
your's rational argument, please seed some light here
New kind of knowledge will always help us in the future.
TIA

Redy Herinanto
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> and forgive me if i am wrongI THOUGH ELLIOT WAVE charting is 
only adaptable for markets like in mexico and saudi arabiaand 
for DJIA for the very worst scenario...
>   cheers
> 
> redyherinantoalb <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>   Interesting. is it because of possibility pause on the 
fed? Me 
> myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY 
> IS RULES!!
> 
> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
>  wrote:
> >
> > The support level of the main index for the third quarter is 
> likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the 
> fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT 
based 
> on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against 
> macroeconomic development..
> > just sharing and don't trust me..
> > disclaimer also, thou...
> > cheers
> > 
> > 
> > Rony Santoso  wrote:
> > Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,
> > 
> > TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat 
> yang berbeda-beda.
> > 
> > sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena 
> TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.
> > 
> > Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME 
> FRAME.
> > 
> > Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.
> > 
> > Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF
> > 
> > 
> > Goodluck
> > 
> > Rony
> > 
> > 
> > -
> > From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
> [EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of boyz
> > Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52
> > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut 
> Elliot Wave?
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C 
> terdiri 
> > dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?
> > 
> > kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan 
> > Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan 
> berlangsung 
> > sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?
> > 
> > dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci 
> > Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 
1222 
> > (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut 
> khan ?
> > 
> > Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective 
> Cycle" 
> > kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih 
> Alternative 
> > Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?
> > 
> > - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih 
> rendah 
> > dari a (diatas 1222)
> > -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222
> > -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya 
> lebih lama
> > 
> > pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah 
> > masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)
> > 
> > saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I 
Can 
> Never 
> > Become a Prophet."
> > 
> > Rony Santoso wrote:
> > > 
> > > 
> > > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave 
b 
> di 1441 
> > > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.
> > > 
> > > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda 
> buruk buat 
> > > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.
> > > 
> > > CMIIW.
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > -
> > Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. 
Yahoo! 
> Small Business.
> >
> 
> 
> 
>  
> 
>   
> -
> Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls.  
Great rates starting at 1¢/min.
>






 
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RE: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert



the reason is because of that the charting like EW may be adaptable to  a stock market which has trading beta of more than 3 times within 26 day average trade Indonesian stock market had it in  May 17 and May 19...but, that was mostly because of the  huge redemption in the mutual fund sector due to higher risk from the interest rate aversion...  so, every time you try to get the EW into the JSX charting you will always find amazing low support as well as resistance...which possibility is less than 20%...  just sharing...i don't have any intention to criticize anyone...  and a disclaimer as well, thou...  regardsSoeratman Doerachman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:  Can you tell us the reason Sir? May be it will gives us mor clear picture about your statement  Cheers too      From: Frederick Schubert [mailto:pemainbesar@yahoo.com] Sent: Monday, August 28, 2006 10:07 AMTo: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.comSubject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?     and forgive me if i am wrongI THOUGH ELLIOT WAVE charting is only adaptable for markets like in mexico and saudi arabiaand for DJIA for the very worst
 scenario...cheersredyherinantoalb yahoo.com> wrote:Interesting. is it because of possibility pause on the fed? Me myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY IS RULES!!--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert ...> wrote:>> The support level of the main index for the third quarter is likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the fourth quarter
 it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT based on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against macroeconomic development..> just sharing and don't trust me..> disclaimer also, thou...> cheers> > > Rony Santoso <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,> > TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat yang berbeda-beda.> > sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.> > Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME FRAME.> > Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.> > Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF> > > Goodluck> > Rony> > > -> From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-[EMAIL PROTECTED]com] On Behalf Of boyz> Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?> > > > Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C terdiri > dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?> > kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan > Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan berlangsung > sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?> > dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci > Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 >
 (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut khan ?> > Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective Cycle" > kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih Alternative > Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?> > - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih rendah > dari a (diatas 1222)> -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222> -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya lebih lama> > pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah > masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)> > saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can Never > Become a Prophet."> > Rony Santoso wrote:> > > > > > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz
 berikan wave a di 1250, wave b di 1441 > > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.> > > > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda buruk buat > > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.> > > > CMIIW.> > > > > > > > -> Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! Small Business.>        
   Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls. Great rates starting at 1¢/min. 
	

	
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RE: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Soeratman Doerachman












Can you tell us the reason Sir? May be it
will gives us mor clear picture about your statement

Cheers too

 



 

From: Frederick
Schubert [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Monday, August 28, 2006
10:07 AM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re:
Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?



 









and forgive me if i am wrongI THOUGH ELLIOT WAVE charting is only
adaptable for markets like in mexico and saudi arabiaand for DJIA for the
very worst scenario...





cheers

redyherinantoalb
yahoo.com> wrote:









Interesting. is it because
of possibility pause on the fed? Me 
myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY 
IS RULES!!

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com,
Frederick Schubert 
...> wrote:
>
> The support level of the main index for the third quarter is 
likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the 
fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT based 
on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against 
macroeconomic development..
> just sharing and don't trust me..
> disclaimer also, thou...
> cheers
> 
> 
> Rony Santoso <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,
> 
> TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat 
yang berbeda-beda.
> 
> sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena 
TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.
> 
> Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME 
FRAME.
> 
> Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.
> 
> Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF
> 
> 
> Goodluck
> 
> Rony
> 
> 
> -
> From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:obrolan-
[EMAIL PROTECTED]com] On
Behalf Of boyz
> Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut 
Elliot Wave?
> 
> 
> 
> Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C 
terdiri 
> dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?
> 
> kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan 
> Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan 
berlangsung 
> sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?
> 
> dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci 
> Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 
> (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut 
khan ?
> 
> Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal
Corrective 
Cycle" 
> kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih 
Alternative 
> Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?
> 
> - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih 
rendah 
> dari a (diatas 1222)
> -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222
> -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya 
lebih lama
> 
> pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah 
> masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)
> 
> saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can 
Never 
> Become a Prophet."
> 
> Rony Santoso wrote:
> > 
> > 
> > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave b 
di 1441 
> > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.
> > 
> > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda 
buruk buat 
> > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.
> > 
> > CMIIW.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> -
> Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! 
Small Business.
>







 



  







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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert



and forgive me if i am wrongI THOUGH ELLIOT WAVE charting is only adaptable for markets like in mexico and saudi arabiaand for DJIA for the very worst scenario...  cheersredyherinantoalb <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:  Interesting. is it because of possibility pause on the fed? Me myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY IS RULES!!--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert
 ...> wrote:>> The support level of the main index for the third quarter is likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT based on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against macroeconomic development..> just sharing and don't trust me..> disclaimer also, thou...> cheers> > > Rony Santoso <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,> > TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat yang berbeda-beda.> > sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.> > Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME FRAME.> > Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.> > Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT
 SELF> > > Goodluck> > Rony> > > -> From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-[EMAIL PROTECTED]com] On Behalf Of boyz> Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?> > > > Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C terdiri > dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?> > kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan > Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan berlangsung > sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?> >
 dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci > Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 > (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut khan ?> > Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective Cycle" > kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih Alternative > Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?> > - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih rendah > dari a (diatas 1222)> -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222> -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya lebih lama> > pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah > masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)> > saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can
 Never > Become a Prophet."> > Rony Santoso wrote:> > > > > > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave b di 1441 > > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.> > > > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda buruk buat > > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.> > > > CMIIW.> > > > > > > > -> Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! Small Business.> 
		Talk is cheap. Use Yahoo! Messenger to make PC-to-Phone calls.  Great rates starting at 1¢/min.
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[Fwd: FW: FW: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?]

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Aria Bela Nusa
Setuju sekali dg Mr.Redy...

You'll be right & may the 'market' (i.e. SUPER BOZZ + BOZZ) support in
taking that positions...

* Global DJ + regional masih mendukung/favourables (+) dalam waktu
segera/pendek/menengah
* Inflasi cenderung OK (single digit) + BI rate menjadi 10 - 11 % sampe
akhir taon ini
* Hanya faktor IDR yg sempet melemah sebentar - krn efek ikutan
(temporer) dari asumsi RAJP (angka 9,300 - mungkin saja fakta sebenernya
akan tidak segitu < 9,000, nantinya)
* FX Broker masih dalam posisi net buy atau paling tidak masih
banyak banget beli2...
* Dari data dalam bentuk angka2 utk LQ-45 di bawah (i.e.smoothing
data dari si Indeks - agar spy relatif tersaring 'bersih' shg menjadi
steril/isolasi) - penurunan yg terjadi minggu lalu itu ternyata tidak
diiringi dg vol/val yg membesar/relatif kecil...

:) Btw cuci gudang itu, maskudnya mungkin 'gudangnya' saja yg dibersih2-in
dulu, ya - spy tampak bagus2 terlihat dr luar...

Regards,
Aria



-Original Message-
From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On Behalf Of redyherinantoalb
Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 11:34 PM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: FW: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot
Wave?

Saya setuju kalau pada cuci gudang Bozz akan cenderung narik
lebih kencang... muatan ringan dan kita cuma bisa melongo
ketinggalan kereta :)
This is probabilities game kalau saya, saya tunggu sampai
trailing stop saya tersentuh... baru deh sell off... mash profit
kok... kalau ternyata ditarik... yummmy
Saya masih ingat tulisan disini tentang roket. semakin tinggi
semakin ringan naiknya.
But that just me
Mbah, pak Oen ditunggu petunjuknya

Redy
www.geocities.com/velocyraptor50

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Soeratman Doerachman"
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>
>
> Dengan minta ijin dari n mr "boyz" saya mencoba mengcopy gambar
postingnya
> ttg E-Wave. Saya melihat gambar yg hampir sempurna dari salah satu
cycle nya
> E-Wave kecuali ada sedikit yang mengganjal yaitu wave 3 yang lebih
pendek
> dari wave 1 yg "rule"  nya  wave 3 seharusnya adalah wave yg
terpanjang dari
> wave 1,2,3,4,5. Walaupun demikian gambar telah cukup memberikan
representasi
> dari siklus EW.  Di kombinasikan dengan posting Vibby ttg
terjadinya "Wedge
> Pattern" maka keduanya saling memberikan konfirmasi bahwa
IHSG "kemungkinan"
> turun dengan menuju wave "c".
>
> Kalau tidak terjadi? Jawabannya sangat gampang sebagai "escape"
yaitu
> marketlah yang selalu benar. Bandar bisa menjungkir balikan
statement "the
> market is always right"? Tentu saja bisa, but we have to remember
that
> "Bandar" is also part of the market. Bukankah market merupakan
tempat
> berkumpulnya penjual dan pembeli dimana termasuk Bandar didalamnya?
>
>
>
> Berdasarkan kondisi diatas maka posisi saya saat ini "flat" alias
cuci
> gudang dulu saja.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>   _
>
> From: boyz [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 2:57 PM
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut
Elliot
> Wave?
>
>
>
> with the fibonacci Retracement ...
>








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[obrolan-bandar] [EBOOK] Bill Williams - Trading Chaos - Applying Expert Techniques to Maximize Your Profits

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik masih_belajar saham



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[obrolan-bandar] Re: Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik redyherinantoalb
Interesting. is it because of possibility pause on the fed? Me 
myself is more confidence with those argument, because what? MONEY 
IS RULES!!

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frederick Schubert 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> The support level of the main index for the third quarter is 
likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the 
fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT based 
on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against 
macroeconomic development..
>   just sharing and don't trust me..
>   disclaimer also, thou...
>   cheers
>   
> 
> Rony Santoso <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,
>
>   TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat 
yang berbeda-beda.
>
>   sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena 
TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.
>
>   Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME 
FRAME.
>
>   Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.
>
>   Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF
>
>
>   Goodluck
>
>   Rony
> 
> 
> -
>   From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of boyz
> Sent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52
> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut 
Elliot Wave?
> 
> 
>   
> Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C 
terdiri 
> dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?
> 
> kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan 
> Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan 
berlangsung 
> sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?
> 
> dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci 
> Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 
> (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut 
khan ?
> 
> Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective 
Cycle" 
> kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih 
Alternative 
> Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?
> 
> - kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih 
rendah 
> dari a (diatas 1222)
> -Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222
> -Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya 
lebih lama
> 
> pendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah 
> masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)
> 
> saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can 
Never 
> Become a Prophet."
> 
> Rony Santoso wrote:
> > 
> > 
> > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave b 
di 1441 
> > berarti target wave c harus di bawah 1250.
> > 
> > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda 
buruk buat 
> > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.
> > 
> > CMIIW.
> 
> 
>   
> 
>  
> 
>   
> -
> Get your own web address for just $1.99/1st yr. We'll help. Yahoo! 
Small Business.
>






 
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM : Executive Summary; fundamental fair value : USD 1++/share

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert



thanks pak...  it's always hard to give a fair value for mining companies given to the complexity of between cost of operation and administrative expenses against commodity prices...  anyway, have a safe trading  cheersMarjan Syah <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Agree with you Mr. Fred..     I heard that there is a problem of sampling method of the mineral reserve. Some reserve has been downgraded from proven to probable when the authorities audit
 the mineral reserve report of some mining companies in Indonesia. Added with problems of plants shutdown it will hurt the expected value of the some mining companies. However the high mineral prices has hidden the real problem.      Regards,  Marjan   
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Re: FW: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik boyz
Mr. Soeratman, anda berkesimpulan :
Di kombinasikan dengan posting Vibby ttg terjadinya „Wedge Pattern“ maka 
keduanya saling memberikan konfirmasi bahwa IHSG „kemungkinan“ turun 
dengan menuju wave „c“.

saya kira anda terlalu cepat mengambil keputusan.
coba anda lihat gambar berikut ini, bagaimana kesimpulan anda?

gambar tsb memberi sudut pandang yang lebih optimis, tapi teorinya hal 
itu baru conform apa bila IHSG makes a new high.

only time can answer .


Soeratman Doerachman wrote:
> 
> 
>  
> 
> Dengan minta ijin dari n mr “boyz” saya mencoba mengcopy gambar 
>  postingnya   ttg E-Wave. Saya melihat gambar yg hampir sempurna dari 
> salah satu cycle nya E-Wave kecuali ada sedikit yang mengganjal yaitu 
> wave 3 yang lebih pendek dari wave 1 yg ”rule”  nya  wave 3 seharusnya 
> adalah wave yg terpanjang dari wave 1,2,3,4,5. Walaupun demikian gambar 
> telah cukup memberikan representasi dari siklus EW.  Di kombinasikan 
> dengan posting Vibby ttg terjadinya „Wedge Pattern“ maka keduanya saling 
> memberikan konfirmasi bahwa IHSG „kemungkinan“ turun dengan menuju wave „c“.
> 
> Kalau tidak terjadi? Jawabannya sangat gampang sebagai „escape” yaitu 
> marketlah yang selalu benar. Bandar bisa menjungkir balikan statement 
> “the market is always right”? Tentu saja bisa, but we have to remember 
> that “Bandar” is also part of the market. Bukankah market merupakan 
> tempat berkumpulnya penjual dan pembeli dimana termasuk Bandar didalamnya?
> 
>  
> 
> Berdasarkan kondisi diatas maka posisi saya saat ini “flat” alias cuci 
> gudang dulu saja.



 
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Re: FW: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik boyz
mr. Soeratman, memang di dalam Ideal Complete Market Cycle, siklus 3
terpanjang dari siklus lain. but, don't forget about Extension.

saya kutip pembahasan dari extension ini dari materi Comprehensive
Course on the Wave Principles di www.elliotwave.com:


Extension

Most impulses contain what Elliott called an extension. Extensions are
elongated impulses with exaggerated subdivisions. The vast majority of
impulse waves do contain an extension in one and only one of their three
actionary subwaves. At times, the subdivisions of an extended wave are
nearly the same amplitude and duration as the other four waves of the
larger impulse, giving a total count of nine waves of similar size
rather than the normal count of "five" for the sequence. In a nine-wave
sequence, it is occasionally difficult to say which wave extended.
However, it is usually irrelevant anyway, since under the Elliott
system, a count of nine and a count of five have the same technical
significance. The diagrams in Figure 1-5, illustrating extensions, will
clarify this point.


mudah-mudahan membantu.
salam,



 
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RE: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert



The support level of the main index for the third quarter is likely at 1368, while the resistance at 1489. For the rest of the fourth quarter it may change to 1401-1553. The forecast is NOT based on CHART, but on flow of funds and and average investment against macroeconomic development..  just sharing and don't trust me..  disclaimer also, thou...  cheers  Rony Santoso <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,     TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat yang berbeda-beda.     sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena TIME FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.     Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME FRAME.     Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.     Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF        Goodluck     Rony  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-[EMAIL PROTECTED]ps.com] On Behalf Of boyzSent: Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.comSubject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?  Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C terdiri dari "reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market Cycle" maka berdasarkan Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" diperkirakan akan berlangsung sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember khan?dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci Retracement dan
 Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 (RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut khan ?Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective Cycle" kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih Alternative Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?- kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih rendah dari a (diatas 1222)-Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 1222-Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya lebih lamapendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)saya kutip dari Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can Never Become a Prophet."Rony Santoso wrote:> > > kalau dari gambar yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave b di 1441 > berarti target wave c harus
 di bawah 1250.> > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi di bawah 1200 maka pertanda buruk buat > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti akan bearish.> > CMIIW.   
	
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[obrolan-bandar] IHSG Big Picture di EW - Will History Repeat Itself?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Rony Santoso





Saya coba bandingkan hasil 
ew di bulan puasa tahun 2004 dengan prediksi ew bulan puasa 
2006
 
Will history repeat 
itself?
 
 
Ataukah jika menurut aturan 
ew:


Targets for wave 
C
Wave C has a 
length of at least 61.8% of wave A. It could be shorter in which case it 
normally is a failure, which foretells an acceleration in the opposite 
direction.
Generally wave C 
is equal to wave A or travels a distance of 161.8% of wave A.
Wave C often 
reaches 161.8% of the length of wave A in an Expanded Flat.
In a contracting 
Triangle wave C often is 61.8% of wave A.
 
di mana koreksi wave c 
harus sama/dibawah 61.8% dari wave a maka di dapat target koreksi maksimal di 
1220 (wave a sebelumnya)
 
 
perhatikan juga chart DJIA 
terlampir di mana correction wave a & wave c kurang lebih 
sejajar.
 
 
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ihsg ew 2004 & 2006.png
Description: PNG image


djia wave a & c sejajar.png
Description: PNG image


RE: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?

2006-08-27 Terurut Topik Rony Santoso





Saya setuju dengan bung boyz,
 
TA memang subjective dan masing2 chartist bisa punya pendapat yang 
berbeda-beda.
 
sbg contoh bung boyz dan saya hasil gambarnya berbeda karena TIME 
FRAME yang kita pakai berbeda.
 
Anda menggunakan LARGER TIME FRAME sedangkan saya SHORTER TIME 
FRAME.
 
Benar yang mana? Let the market decides.
 
Yang penting TRUST NO ONE BUT SELF
 
 
Goodluck
 
Rony


From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of boyzSent: 
Saturday, August 26, 2006 21:52To: 
obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.comSubject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Berapa 
target koreksi IHSG menurut Elliot Wave?


Maksud saya, kalau kita sedang memasuki "Siklus C", siklus C terdiri dari 
"reversed 1-2-3-4-5", right?kalau it becomes "ideal Complete Market 
Cycle" maka berdasarkan Fibonacci Time Zone, "the ideal C cycle" 
diperkirakan akan berlangsung sampai Oktober/Nopember/Desember 
khan?dan kalau it will be the "Ideal C cycle", berdasarkan Fibonacci 
Retracement dan Fibonacci Fan maka perkiraan IHSG ada dibawah 1222 
(RANGE 1100 - 1250)Pada bulan Oktober/Nopember/Desember tersebut khan 
?Well, "Ideal Complete Market Cycle" maupun "Ideal Corrective Cycle" 
kayaknya JARANG banget deh terjadi. yang sering terjadi sih Alternative 
Correction (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, Zigzag, ETC), tul gak?- 
kalo Triangle Correction, siklus c dimungkinkan tidak lebih rendah dari a 
(diatas 1222)-Kalo Flat Correction, siklus c maksimal turun sampe 
1222-Expanded Flat Correction sama dengan Flat, tapi jangka waktunya lebih 
lamapendapat saya sih, TA kan subjective. So KESIMPULAN-nya terserah 
masing-2 pribadi. (ini termasuk DISCLAIMER ga nih :p)saya kutip dari 
Darvas : "I Can Become a Diagnostician, But I Can Never Become a 
Prophet."Rony Santoso wrote:> > > kalau dari gambar 
yang bung boyz berikan wave a di 1250, wave b di 1441 > berarti target 
wave c harus di bawah 1250.> > kalau pendapat saya, jika koreksi 
di bawah 1200 maka pertanda buruk buat > IHSG karena tahun depan pasti 
akan bearish.> > CMIIW.
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