Bls: [ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907
dpt brp duit onyxnya bos, kemarin di milis sebelah ada yg jual grs berindo 7.6jt kemahalan yah? [herry] Dari: Ekonom Mbeling ekonombel...@yahoo.com Kepada: Metallic Bull metallic.b...@gmail.com; obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Terkirim: Jum, 27 November, 2009 14:50:16 Judul: [ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Bentar2 sy lg hunting onyx. Hhehehe. Ntr sy nyampe rumah ta baca2 dulu, skalian ni byk rekan2 wrtawan yg jg nanyain. Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone From: Metallic Bull metallic.bull@ gmail.com Date: Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:23:39 +0900 To: Ekonom Mbelingekonombeling@ yahoo.com Subject: Fw: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Pak Ekonom Mbeling, Mohon pencerahannya. .. Salam, Bull - Original Message - From: jsx_consultant To: 'Metallic Bull' Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 4:15 PM Subject: RE: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Dikirim aja ke milis biar yg econmist bisa bantu jawab From: Metallic Bull [mailto:metallic. b...@gmail. com] Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 2:10 PM To: jsx_consultant Subject: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Mbah, what do you think about this? THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2009 Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 These two things are not related except in my own mind. Dubai has rattled the global markets with an admission that Dubai World may need a little more time to pay back some of its debt. This may be the spark to get the next leg down in the stock bear market going. What does this have to do with the Panic of 1907? Nothing, really. However, I like the chart of this old Dow bear market as a crude road map or fractal-type pattern for the current ongoing bear market in U.S. stocks. The exact dimensions and timing are not as interesting to me as the pattern. I don't know why I like this pattern so much, but my hunch is that it's going to play out in a similar manner. Here's a sliver of the chart of interest from that time (Dow Jones Industrial Average chart, credit given below): And here's a 4 year weekly linear candlestick chart of the NASDAQ ($COMPQ) thru yesterday's close: I think the NASDAQ (and other general U.S. stock market indices) is at a similar point in time compared with the 1907 chart pattern shown above. If I'm right, here's what happens next (following and initial Dow chart from thechartstore. com, a great site for historical data): The stock bear market is not over. An event like Dubai World essentially defaulting on billions of dollars of debt would be just the type of thing to get markets into fear mode again. It seems like a fairly random and scary event, and such events are always used as an excuse for why the market went down again. The only people who could have seen something like this coming are those who have remained bearish all along. Bears are no fun to hang around with and they've been wrong for the last several months, but that doesn't mean they're wrong on the longer term big picture. I am not currently positioned to profit significantly from a downdraft in the stock market, but I remain interested in shorting the stock market if a decent opportunity presents itself (I believe it will soon). Gold's initial reaction to the Turkey Day chaos was good. I think people will increasingly flock to Gold once this bear market fires up again. Gold needs a brief rest, but it is the strongest asset class in the world right now and all surprises in Gold should remain to the upside. Happy Thanksgiving! Akses email lebih cepat. Yahoo! menyarankan Anda meng-upgrade browser ke Internet Explorer 8 baru yang dioptimalkan untuk Yahoo! Dapatkan di sini! http://downloads.yahoo.com/id/internetexplorer
Re: Bls: [ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907
Check this out (dr milis id-bb): Numpang lewat ada titipan dari temen Khusus buat hari ini tinggal 2 pcs Blackberry 9700 onyx bnib garansi distributor Harga 7.050.000 Yg minat silahkan japri CATATAN : hanya untuk HARI INI tgl Fri, Nov 27, 2009 Makasih Pandu|NduBerry YM : eusthakius -Original Message- From: Herry Panatta p_...@yahoo.co.id Date: Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:34:40 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Subject: Bls: [ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 dpt brp duit onyxnya bos, kemarin di milis sebelah ada yg jual grs berindo 7.6jt kemahalan yah? [herry] Dari: Ekonom Mbeling ekonombel...@yahoo.com Kepada: Metallic Bull metallic.b...@gmail.com; obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Terkirim: Jum, 27 November, 2009 14:50:16 Judul: [ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Bentar2 sy lg hunting onyx. Hhehehe. Ntr sy nyampe rumah ta baca2 dulu, skalian ni byk rekan2 wrtawan yg jg nanyain. Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone From: Metallic Bull metallic.bull@ gmail.com Date: Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:23:39 +0900 To: Ekonom Mbelingekonombeling@ yahoo.com Subject: Fw: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Pak Ekonom Mbeling, Mohon pencerahannya. .. Salam, Bull - Original Message - From: jsx_consultant To: 'Metallic Bull' Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 4:15 PM Subject: RE: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Dikirim aja ke milis biar yg econmist bisa bantu jawab From: Metallic Bull [mailto:metallic. b...@gmail. com] Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 2:10 PM To: jsx_consultant Subject: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Mbah, what do you think about this? THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2009 Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 These two things are not related except in my own mind. Dubai has rattled the global markets with an admission that Dubai World may need a little more time to pay back some of its debt. This may be the spark to get the next leg down in the stock bear market going. What does this have to do with the Panic of 1907? Nothing, really. However, I like the chart of this old Dow bear market as a crude road map or fractal-type pattern for the current ongoing bear market in U.S. stocks. The exact dimensions and timing are not as interesting to me as the pattern. I don't know why I like this pattern so much, but my hunch is that it's going to play out in a similar manner. Here's a sliver of the chart of interest from that time (Dow Jones Industrial Average chart, credit given below): And here's a 4 year weekly linear candlestick chart of the NASDAQ ($COMPQ) thru yesterday's close: I think the NASDAQ (and other general U.S. stock market indices) is at a similar point in time compared with the 1907 chart pattern shown above. If I'm right, here's what happens next (following and initial Dow chart from thechartstore. com, a great site for historical data): The stock bear market is not over. An event like Dubai World essentially defaulting on billions of dollars of debt would be just the type of thing to get markets into fear mode again. It seems like a fairly random and scary event, and such events are always used as an excuse for why the market went down again. The only people who could have seen something like this coming are those who have remained bearish all along. Bears are no fun to hang around with and they've been wrong for the last several months, but that doesn't mean they're wrong on the longer term big picture. I am not currently positioned to profit significantly from a downdraft in the stock market, but I remain interested in shorting the stock market if a decent opportunity presents itself (I believe it will soon). Gold's initial reaction to the Turkey Day chaos was good. I think people will increasingly flock to Gold once this bear market fires up again. Gold needs a brief rest, but it is the strongest asset class in the world right now and all surprises in Gold should remain to the upside. Happy Thanksgiving! Akses email lebih cepat. Yahoo! menyarankan Anda meng-upgrade browser ke Internet Explorer 8 baru yang dioptimalkan untuk Yahoo! Dapatkan di sini! http://downloads.yahoo.com/id/internetexplorer
[ob] Re: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907
Bentar2 sy lg hunting onyx. Hhehehe. Ntr sy nyampe rumah ta baca2 dulu, skalian ni byk rekan2 wrtawan yg jg nanyain. Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone -Original Message- From: Metallic Bull metallic.b...@gmail.com Date: Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:23:39 To: Ekonom Mbelingekonombel...@yahoo.com Subject: Fw: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Pak Ekonom Mbeling, Mohon pencerahannya... Salam, Bull - Original Message - From: jsx_consultant To: 'Metallic Bull' Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 4:15 PM Subject: RE: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Dikirim aja ke milis biar yg econmist bisa bantu jawab From: Metallic Bull [mailto:metallic.b...@gmail.com] Sent: Friday, November 27, 2009 2:10 PM To: jsx_consultant Subject: Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 Mbah, what do you think about this? THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2009 Dubai's Turkey Day Surprise and the Panic of 1907 These two things are not related except in my own mind. Dubai has rattled the global markets with an admission that Dubai World may need a little more time to pay back some of its debt. This may be the spark to get the next leg down in the stock bear market going. What does this have to do with the Panic of 1907? Nothing, really. However, I like the chart of this old Dow bear market as a crude road map or fractal-type pattern for the current ongoing bear market in U.S. stocks. The exact dimensions and timing are not as interesting to me as the pattern. I don't know why I like this pattern so much, but my hunch is that it's going to play out in a similar manner. Here's a sliver of the chart of interest from that time (Dow Jones Industrial Average chart, credit given below): And here's a 4 year weekly linear candlestick chart of the NASDAQ ($COMPQ) thru yesterday's close: I think the NASDAQ (and other general U.S. stock market indices) is at a similar point in time compared with the 1907 chart pattern shown above. If I'm right, here's what happens next (following and initial Dow chart from thechartstore.com, a great site for historical data): The stock bear market is not over. An event like Dubai World essentially defaulting on billions of dollars of debt would be just the type of thing to get markets into fear mode again. It seems like a fairly random and scary event, and such events are always used as an excuse for why the market went down again. The only people who could have seen something like this coming are those who have remained bearish all along. Bears are no fun to hang around with and they've been wrong for the last several months, but that doesn't mean they're wrong on the longer term big picture. I am not currently positioned to profit significantly from a downdraft in the stock market, but I remain interested in shorting the stock market if a decent opportunity presents itself (I believe it will soon). Gold's initial reaction to the Turkey Day chaos was good. I think people will increasingly flock to Gold once this bear market fires up again. Gold needs a brief rest, but it is the strongest asset class in the world right now and all surprises in Gold should remain to the upside. Happy Thanksgiving!
