[ob] Re: To Mbah : Kenapa ITMG turun terus?

2009-08-10 Terurut Topik billy_budiman92
ITMG masih kena pengaruh downgrade TP, 25,400 akan jadi resist kuat di ITMG, 
chart belum oversold banget, masih ada kemungkinan ke 23,700 untuk pullback

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Pingin Untung pinginunt...@... wrote:

 
 Mbah, kenapa ITMG susah sekali naiknya?  Malah turun terus sementara yang 
 lainnya pada naik. Stock ITMG saya nyangkut di level 26ribua-an. Apakah ITMG 
 boleh hajar kanan pada kondisi ini Mbah? Pada level berapa?
 
 Banyak terima kasih untuk saran Embah.





Re: [ob] Re: To Mbah : Kenapa ITMG turun terus?

2009-08-10 Terurut Topik calon trader hebat
Bill, Downgrade-nya bukan ke 22 rb ?

kalo ga salah sih 25400 level cut loss  

*
*

*
*

*Credit Suisse - Indo Tambangraya Megah - Pricing in the acquisition?*

● ITMG’s share prices have risen and outperformed its peers with

the recent news that the company is bidding for a 51% stake in

the non-listed Berau Coal.

● Assets of Berau Coal should be a good complement to Banpu’s

given their location, size and quality. However, in our view, it is too

early to start pricing the deal in ITMG’s share price. The bidding is

reported to be competitive.

● Next data point is 2Q09’s results announcement on 11 August.

We expect net profit to fall from US$102 mn to US$52 mn as

mark-to-market swap gain in 1Q09 turned to loss in 2Q09 as spot

prices rise. We expect core net profit to fall QoQ from US$78 mn

to US$61 mn due to lower prices. ITMG should be on track to

reach our profit forecast for FY09.

● We see the acquisition as a potential catalyst but we prefer to

price in more conservatively. *Short-term upside may be limited as*

*the market may be pricing in a successful acquisition too early*.

Maintain OUTPERFORM with target price at Rp22,000.._,_.




2009/8/10 billy_budiman92 billybudima...@yahoo.com



 ITMG masih kena pengaruh downgrade TP, 25,400 akan jadi resist kuat di
 ITMG, chart belum oversold banget, masih ada kemungkinan ke 23,700 untuk
 pullback


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
 Pingin Untung pinginunt...@... wrote:
 
 
  Mbah, kenapa ITMG susah sekali naiknya? Malah turun terus sementara yang
 lainnya pada naik. Stock ITMG saya nyangkut di level 26ribua-an. Apakah ITMG
 boleh hajar kanan pada kondisi ini Mbah? Pada level berapa?
 
  Banyak terima kasih untuk saran Embah.
 

  



[ob] Re: To Mbah : Kenapa ITMG turun terus?

2009-08-10 Terurut Topik billy_budiman92
lha iye,, emang betul ke 22 rb, mungkin tadi koma I gak keliatan kali ya, 
maksud I di 25,400 itu resist baru skrg, wakakkakaaa

GBU

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, calon trader hebat trader.he...@... 
wrote:

 Bill, Downgrade-nya bukan ke 22 rb ?
 
 kalo ga salah sih 25400 level cut loss  
 
 *
 *
 
 *
 *
 
 *Credit Suisse - Indo Tambangraya Megah - Pricing in the acquisition?*
 
 ● ITMG’s share prices have risen and outperformed its peers with
 
 the recent news that the company is bidding for a 51% stake in
 
 the non-listed Berau Coal.
 
 ● Assets of Berau Coal should be a good complement to Banpu’s
 
 given their location, size and quality. However, in our view, it is too
 
 early to start pricing the deal in ITMG’s share price. The bidding is
 
 reported to be competitive.
 
 ● Next data point is 2Q09’s results announcement on 11 August.
 
 We expect net profit to fall from US$102 mn to US$52 mn as
 
 mark-to-market swap gain in 1Q09 turned to loss in 2Q09 as spot
 
 prices rise. We expect core net profit to fall QoQ from US$78 mn
 
 to US$61 mn due to lower prices. ITMG should be on track to
 
 reach our profit forecast for FY09.
 
 ● We see the acquisition as a potential catalyst but we prefer to
 
 price in more conservatively. *Short-term upside may be limited as*
 
 *the market may be pricing in a successful acquisition too early*.
 
 Maintain OUTPERFORM with target price at Rp22,000.._,_.
 
 
 
 
 2009/8/10 billy_budiman92 billybudima...@...
 
 
 
  ITMG masih kena pengaruh downgrade TP, 25,400 akan jadi resist kuat di
  ITMG, chart belum oversold banget, masih ada kemungkinan ke 23,700 untuk
  pullback
 
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
  Pingin Untung pinginuntung@ wrote:
  
  
   Mbah, kenapa ITMG susah sekali naiknya? Malah turun terus sementara yang
  lainnya pada naik. Stock ITMG saya nyangkut di level 26ribua-an. Apakah ITMG
  boleh hajar kanan pada kondisi ini Mbah? Pada level berapa?
  
   Banyak terima kasih untuk saran Embah.
  
 
   
 





Re: [ob] Re: To Mbah : Kenapa ITMG turun terus?

2009-08-10 Terurut Topik vividtrader
Thank you Billy

2009/8/10 billy_budiman92 billybudima...@yahoo.com

 lha iye,, emang betul ke 22 rb, mungkin tadi koma I gak keliatan kali ya,
 maksud I di 25,400 itu resist baru skrg, wakakkakaaa

 GBU

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, calon trader hebat trader.he...@...
 wrote:
 
  Bill, Downgrade-nya bukan ke 22 rb ?
 
  kalo ga salah sih 25400 level cut loss  
 
  *
  *
 
  *
  *
 
  *Credit Suisse - Indo Tambangraya Megah - Pricing in the acquisition?*
 
  ◠ ITMG’s share prices have risen and outperformed its peers with
 
  the recent news that the company is bidding for a 51% stake in
 
  the non-listed Berau Coal.
 
  ◠ Assets of Berau Coal should be a good complement to Banpu’s
 
  given their location, size and quality. However, in our view, it is too
 
  early to start pricing the deal in ITMG’s share price. The bidding is
 
  reported to be competitive.
 
  ◠ Next data point is 2Q09’s results announcement on 11 August.
 
  We expect net profit to fall from US$102 mn to US$52 mn as
 
  mark-to-market swap gain in 1Q09 turned to loss in 2Q09 as spot
 
  prices rise. We expect core net profit to fall QoQ from US$78 mn
 
  to US$61 mn due to lower prices. ITMG should be on track to
 
  reach our profit forecast for FY09.
 
  â—  We see the acquisition as a potential catalyst but we prefer to
 
  price in more conservatively. *Short-term upside may be limited as*
 
  *the market may be pricing in a successful acquisition too early*.
 
  Maintain OUTPERFORM with target price at Rp22,000.._,_.
 
 
 
 
  2009/8/10 billy_budiman92 billybudima...@...
 
  
  
   ITMG masih kena pengaruh downgrade TP, 25,400 akan jadi resist kuat di
   ITMG, chart belum oversold banget, masih ada kemungkinan ke 23,700
 untuk
   pullback
  
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%
 40yahoogroups.com,
   Pingin Untung pinginuntung@ wrote:
   
   
Mbah, kenapa ITMG susah sekali naiknya? Malah turun terus sementara
 yang
   lainnya pada naik. Stock ITMG saya nyangkut di level 26ribua-an. Apakah
 ITMG
   boleh hajar kanan pada kondisi ini Mbah? Pada level berapa?
   
Banyak terima kasih untuk saran Embah.
   
  
  
  
 




 

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