[obrolan-bandar] BLTA - Q1 2008 Result Astounding

2008-05-15 Terurut Topik antonius martono salim
hello i'm a young player in stock, has been long as OB member yet not so 
active. but really learn a lot from the seniors over here.
just received from this milist a forward daily from kim eng securities about 
BLTA q1 result which is very interesting and today hike +10% is just the 
beginning. still very cheap according to me. 
 since BLTA reports 515% increase on Net Income. new EPS Q1 = Rp 208,- which if 
we annualized = Rp 832,- or PER 2.58x at current price 2150. this makes BLTA 
the cheapest shipping company in the world since it peers trade at 8 -12x, FYI 
BLTA 2007 trade at 10 - 15x.
if we take the lowest PE 8x then we will have Rp 6656 as the target price.since 
BLTA has high gearing ratio and volatilty to oil price to half of it ships 
(since almost 50% operational ship are contract base) we will be pesimistic and 
drop the PE to 4 or 5x then we will still have 3328 or 4160 as the target 
price. 
please comment i'm affraid i'm wrong. thanks


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Re: [obrolan-bandar] BLTA - Q1 2008 Result Astounding

2008-05-15 Terurut Topik Bangbang K W
Ada one time charge sebesar Rp917milyar, kalau cuman dari operating profit,
paling 2x Q1 07 sekitaran Rp80,- kalau disetahunkan cuman Rp320,- jadi MRQ
PER mestinya cuman 6.8x

On Thu, May 15, 2008 at 3:51 PM, antonius martono salim 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 hello i'm a young player in stock, has been long as OB member yet not
 so active. but really learn a lot from the seniors over here.

 just received from this milist a forward daily from kim eng securities
 about BLTA q1 result which is very interesting and today hike +10% is just
 the beginning. still very cheap according to me.

  since BLTA reports 515% increase on Net Income. new EPS Q1 = Rp 208,-
 which if we annualized = Rp 832,- or PER 2.58x at current price 2150. this
 makes BLTA the cheapest shipping company in the world since it peers trade
 at 8 -12x, FYI BLTA 2007 trade at 10 - 15x.

 if we take the lowest PE 8x then we will have Rp 6656 as the target
 price.since BLTA has high gearing ratio and volatilty to oil price to half
 of it ships (since almost 50% operational ship are contract base) we will be
 pesimistic and drop the PE to 4 or 5x then we will still have 3328 or 4160
 as the target price.



 please comment i'm affraid i'm wrong. thanks



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Re: [obrolan-bandar] BLTA - Q1 2008 Result Astounding

2008-05-15 Terurut Topik antonius martono salim
yup itu dia... karena belum dapat laporan keuangan aslinya baru dapat dari 
daily research. ada yang punya bisa tolong dibagi, btw one time charge itu 
maksudnya pendapatan yang berasal dari mana?


- Original Message 
From: Bangbang K W [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Thursday, 15 May, 2008 4:21:51 PM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] BLTA - Q1 2008 Result Astounding


Ada one time charge sebesar Rp917milyar, kalau cuman dari operating profit, 
paling 2x Q1 07 sekitaran Rp80,- kalau disetahunkan cuman Rp320,- jadi MRQ PER 
mestinya cuman 6.8x


On Thu, May 15, 2008 at 3:51 PM, antonius martono salim martonosalim@ 
yahoo.co. uk wrote:

hello i'm a young player in stock, has been long as OB member yet not so 
active. but really learn a lot from the seniors over here.
just received from this milist a forward daily from kim eng securities about 
BLTA q1 result which is very interesting and today hike +10% is just the 
beginning. still very cheap according to me. 
 since BLTA reports 515% increase on Net Income. new EPS Q1 = Rp 208,- which if 
we annualized = Rp 832,- or PER 2.58x at current price 2150. this makes BLTA 
the cheapest shipping company in the world since it peers trade at 8 -12x, FYI 
BLTA 2007 trade at 10 - 15x.
if we take the lowest PE 8x then we will have Rp 6656 as the target price.since 
BLTA has high gearing ratio and volatilty to oil price to half of it ships 
(since almost 50% operational ship are contract base) we will be pesimistic and 
drop the PE to 4 or 5x then we will still have 3328 or 4160 as the target 
price. 
 
please comment i'm affraid i'm wrong. thanks
 

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