[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-09 Terurut Topik troyanese
Yang pasti bear warrior jumat kemaren pasti kesel. Udah nyiapin cash 
karena ngira index pasti drop, eh malah naik. Apalagi kalo senen makin 
naik. kekekekek.

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, SbudianaY [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 Rei,
 Itu sih mo nyoba2 turunin harga aja, siapa tau para traders jadi 
panik, terus pd jualan, kan dpt brg lbh murah lg, yg penting rekan2 
ahli FA aja, apa benar nilai wajar Ptba 3000, tolong diumumkan di 
milis dong.
 
 SB
   
 Sent from my BlackBerry ® wireless device
 
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 15:10:37 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
 
 
 Fun Manager? hehehe
 tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale 
dong?
 dari 17000 ke 2500? wah.
 
 On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager .
 
  salam
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-
bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
  Rei highwaystar91@ wrote:
  
   Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better.
  
  
  
   On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA RATUSIMA@ wrote:
  
Simple Om...
   
If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of 
BUMI  its
sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too
  mention the
falling commodities in years ahead)
   
Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is 
Extremely
Dirty.
   
The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
   
in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
   
Aimee.
   
   
   
   
   
  
 
  
 






Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-09 Terurut Topik SbudianaY

Rei,
Itu sih mo nyoba2 turunin harga aja, siapa tau para traders jadi panik, terus 
pd jualan, kan dpt brg lbh murah lg, yg penting rekan2 ahli FA aja, apa benar 
nilai wajar Ptba 3000, tolong diumumkan di milis dong.

SB
  
Sent from my BlackBerry � wireless device


-Original Message-
From: Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 15:10:37 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


Fun Manager? hehehe
tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale dong?
dari 17000 ke 2500? wah.

On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

   santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager .

 salam

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
 Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better.
 
 
 
  On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
   Simple Om...
  
   If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its
   sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too
 mention the
   falling commodities in years ahead)
  
   Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely
   Dirty.
  
   The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
  
   in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
  
   Aimee.
  
  
  
  
  
 

 




Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-09 Terurut Topik Lindt
Kira2 bei jadi ga di bawah 1000 ?


Sent from my BlackBerry�
powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

-Original Message-
From: Hanif Mantiq [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Date: Sun, 9 Nov 2008 04:13:45 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


*kira-kira 3 tahun dari sekarang bisa gak yah pada naik 3 kali lipat dari harga 
penutupan kemarin? masih mencoba cari terawangan ke masa depan, masih belum 
jelas di bola kaca yang bundar*

Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)  
Posted by:  SbudianaY [EMAIL PROTECTED]sbudianay  
Sun Nov 9, 2008 3:23 am(PST) 
Rei, 
Itu sih mo nyoba2 turunin harga aja, siapa tau para traders jadi panik,
terus pd jualan, kan dpt brg lbh murah lg, yg penting rekan2 ahli FA
aja, apa benar nilai wajar Ptba 3000, tolong diumumkan di milis dong. 

SB 

Sent from my BlackBerry � wireless device 


-Original Message- 
From: Rei highwaystar91@ gmail.com 

Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 15:10:37 
To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima) 


Fun Manager? hehehe 
tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale dong? 
dari 17000 ke 2500? wah. 

On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] com wrote: 

   santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager . 
 
 salam 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com obrolan-bandar% 40yahoogroups. com, 
 Rei highwaystar91@ ... wrote: 
  
  Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better. 
  
  
  
  On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] . wrote: 
  
   Simple Om... 
   
   If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its 
   sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too 
 mention the 
   falling commodities in years ahead) 
   
   Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely 
   Dirty. 
   
   The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term. 
   
   in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur. 
   
   Aimee. 


  




[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-09 Terurut Topik Hanif Mantiq
*kira-kira 3 tahun dari sekarang bisa gak yah pada naik 3 kali lipat dari harga 
penutupan kemarin? masih mencoba cari terawangan ke masa depan, masih belum 
jelas di bola kaca yang bundar*

Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)  
Posted by:  SbudianaY [EMAIL PROTECTED]sbudianay  
Sun Nov 9, 2008 3:23 am(PST) 
Rei, 
Itu sih mo nyoba2 turunin harga aja, siapa tau para traders jadi panik,
terus pd jualan, kan dpt brg lbh murah lg, yg penting rekan2 ahli FA
aja, apa benar nilai wajar Ptba 3000, tolong diumumkan di milis dong. 

SB 

Sent from my BlackBerry ® wireless device 


-Original Message- 
From: Rei highwaystar91@ gmail.com 

Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 15:10:37 
To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima) 


Fun Manager? hehehe 
tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale dong? 
dari 17000 ke 2500? wah. 

On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] com wrote: 

   santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager . 
 
 salam 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com obrolan-bandar% 40yahoogroups. com, 
 Rei highwaystar91@ ... wrote: 
  
  Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better. 
  
  
  
  On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] . wrote: 
  
   Simple Om... 
   
   If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its 
   sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too 
 mention the 
   falling commodities in years ahead) 
   
   Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely 
   Dirty. 
   
   The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term. 
   
   in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur. 
   
   Aimee. 


  



[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik pemainedan
Aimee, by 30-40% increase in 2010, do you mean commodities only or 
world stock markets in general? 

But if you talk general world market, I seriously doubt US is going to 
recover by that time. DJ bottom at 6000, it will be a miracle (fairly 
it's way lower). IMO, it's well on its way to have its lost decade just 
like Japan, if you know what I'm talking about.

Credit bubble orgy of 25 yrs cannot be solved in 6 months or 1 year, or 
2 yrs even. 

BTW, next year Japan's lost decade will become lost 2 decades.

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Simple Om...
 
 If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its
 sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too mention 
the
 falling commodities in years ahead)
 
 Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely 
Dirty.
 
 The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
 
 in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
 
 Aimee.





Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik RATU SIMA
Yaaah, Om... The thread is PTBA. How can U divert to world stock market?
I guarantee until 2010 30-40% of coal supply demand will increase.
But NOW, circumstances are enableing it to reach the lowest.

Aimee


Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik Rei
Fun Manager? hehehe
tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale dong?
dari 17000 ke 2500? wah.

On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

   santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager .

 salam

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
 Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better.
 
 
 
  On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
   Simple Om...
  
   If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its
   sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too
 mention the
   falling commodities in years ahead)
  
   Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely
   Dirty.
  
   The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
  
   in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
  
   Aimee.
  
  
  
  
  
 

 



[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik kangduren
kalo mas yg itu saya engga komentar, soalnya saya banyak belajar dari
beliau, paling yah komentar guyon aja.

kabur ahhh

salam


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Fun Manager? hehehe
 tp ada yg ngasih target 2500 lagi tuh ke depan buat ptba, great sale
dong?
 dari 17000 ke 2500? wah.
 
 On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:46 PM, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager .
 
  salam
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
  Rei highwaystar91@ wrote:
  
   Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better.
  
  
  
   On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA RATUSIMA@ wrote:
  
Simple Om...
   
If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of
BUMI  its
sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too
  mention the
falling commodities in years ahead)
   
Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is
Extremely
Dirty.
   
The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
   
in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
   
Aimee.
   
   
   
   
   
  
 
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik pemainedan
hehe... sorry Aimee (and others) for the diversion. Didn't mean to 
divert the discussion, but you brought it up, long-term 
investor, keep for 2-3 years, etc.

Remember that buy-hold strategy (even 5 yrs) dont always work. Try 
tracing it back with historic DJ index. It only works when severe 
bear markets are absent. But unfortunately, that is precisely the one 
that shows up.

Most people just dont get how dire the problem is. FED  other 
central banks efforts to stall/slowdown the crash will bring many 
many unintended consequences, worse than just letting things crash  
start over. The Law of Unintended Consequences will always work its 
way through the system.

I just personally think this time is way too early for any long-term 
investors to get in. So yes, I'm saying Buffett was early as well (as 
proven by his present significant losses on the duo big G's, others). 
But who am I to say that, I'm not a legendary investor after all. 

Perhaps I'm just more bearish than you in regard of this matter.


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Yaaah, Om... The thread is PTBA. How can U divert to world stock 
market?
 I guarantee until 2010 30-40% of coal supply demand will increase.
 But NOW, circumstances are enableing it to reach the lowest.
 
 Aimee





Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik hidayat . ardiansyah
Just Remainder, that invest in stock beside we can get return from capital
gain also get return from deviden...

Several stock can give deviden yield from 10%-20% and if the company can
doing outperform from their business and maintain their deviden payout,
hopefully YoY can growth their deviden in bear season, I think 4-7 years our
money will be back =) this beside capital gain lho ya.hehe =)

So screen your stock carefully

Good Blast All

-HA-

On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 3:52 PM, pemainedan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

   hehe... sorry Aimee (and others) for the diversion. Didn't mean to
 divert the discussion, but you brought it up, long-term
 investor, keep for 2-3 years, etc.

 Remember that buy-hold strategy (even 5 yrs) dont always work. Try
 tracing it back with historic DJ index. It only works when severe
 bear markets are absent. But unfortunately, that is precisely the one
 that shows up.

 Most people just dont get how dire the problem is. FED  other
 central banks efforts to stall/slowdown the crash will bring many
 many unintended consequences, worse than just letting things crash 
 start over. The Law of Unintended Consequences will always work its
 way through the system.

 I just personally think this time is way too early for any long-term
 investors to get in. So yes, I'm saying Buffett was early as well (as
 proven by his present significant losses on the duo big G's, others).
 But who am I to say that, I'm not a legendary investor after all.

 Perhaps I'm just more bearish than you in regard of this matter.

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
 RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:

 
  Yaaah, Om... The thread is PTBA. How can U divert to world stock
 market?
  I guarantee until 2010 30-40% of coal supply demand will increase.
  But NOW, circumstances are enableing it to reach the lowest.
 
  Aimee
 

  



[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik jsx_consultant
Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Forever Apprentice 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract on 
its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa 
kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of fresh 
cash :)
 
 masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of BUMI's 
coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
 




Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik Forever Apprentice
ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to us.
cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena situasi Glencore.




From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?

--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
apprentice. [EMAIL PROTECTED] .. wrote:

 in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract on 
its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa 
kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of fresh 
cash :)
 
 masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of BUMI's 
coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
 

 


  

[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik jsx_consultant
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Forever Apprentice
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to
us.
 cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena situasi
Glencore.


Tolong DIJELASKAN soal A LOT OF SENSE yg mendasari SPECULATIVE
PREDICTION anda karena masalah BUMI ini sangat luas efeknya.

Agar masalah PELIK ini tidak BERTAMBAH PELIK ...

Please 



 
 From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


 Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice
 apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
 
  in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract
on
 its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa
 kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of
fresh
 cash :)
 
  masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of
BUMI's
 coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
 





Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik Forever Apprentice
ini dibikin singkat dan bahasa sederhana aja ya mbah, soalnya structure BUMI 
very complicated. and I can not get into very much detail mbah for some 
reasons. tq for understanding.

(1) pemilik saham perlu cash utk bayar utang pribadi
(2) world coal masih under-supply s/d a few years to the future (gak kaya CPO, 
nickel dll) -- this is our stand
(3) BUMI coalnya banyak dan bagus
(4) pemilik saham suruh manajemen ijonkan dgn harga diskon (pasti laku lah), 
cash bayar didepan atau sesuai dgn jadwal hutang jatuh tempo
(5) tarik cash dari BUMI buat bayar dividen, lalu bayar utang pribadi, urusan 
pribadi beres (at least sebagian lah dari total utang), kepemilikan di BUMI gak 
berkurang
(6) what about BUMI as an entity? BUMI performance suffer for a few years. but 
it will come back with glory

kembali, nr. 4 gak akan semudah itu karena terkait Glencore. kelihatannya 
gampang, padahal susah.

scenario lengkapnya lebih panjang dari ini mbah, cuma gak bisa saya paparkan. 
sorry banget.





From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:50:13 AM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
apprentice. [EMAIL PROTECTED] .. wrote:

 ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to 
us.
 cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena situasi 
Glencore.
 

Tolong DIJELASKAN soal A LOT OF SENSE yg mendasari SPECULATIVE
PREDICTION anda karena masalah BUMI ini sangat luas efeknya.

Agar masalah PELIK ini tidak BERTAMBAH PELIK ...

Please  

 
 
  _ _ __
 From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
 To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
 
 
 Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
 apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
 
  in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract 
on 
 its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa 
 kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of 
fresh 
 cash :)
  
  masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of 
BUMI's 
 coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
 


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[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik jsx_consultant
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Forever Apprentice
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 ini dibikin singkat dan bahasa sederhana aja ya mbah, soalnya
structure BUMI very complicated. and I can not get into very much
detail mbah for some reasons. tq for understanding.

 (1) pemilik saham perlu cash utk bayar utang pribadi
 (2) world coal masih under-supply s/d a few years to the future
(gak kaya CPO, nickel dll) -- this is our stand
 (3) BUMI coalnya banyak dan bagus
 (4) pemilik saham suruh manajemen ijonkan dgn harga diskon (pasti
laku lah), cash bayar didepan atau sesuai dgn jadwal hutang jatuh
tempo

Kembali lagi kemasalah SEMULA yaitu adakah SUMBER BERITA BUMI jadi
pengijon ?. Berapa discount harga IJON ?. Berada persen harga
IJON dibawah harga estimasi analis atau harga jual yg dikatakan
management BUMI para public expose terakhir ?.

Apakah harga IJON ini TERLALU murah dan membuat VALUASI yg
dibuat para analis menjadi OVESTATED ?


 (5) tarik cash dari BUMI buat bayar dividen, lalu bayar utang
pribadi, urusan pribadi beres (at least sebagian lah dari total
utang), kepemilikan di BUMI gak berkurang
 (6) what about BUMI as an entity? BUMI performance suffer for a few
years. but it will come back with glory

 kembali, nr. 4 gak akan semudah itu karena terkait Glencore.
kelihatannya gampang, padahal susah.

 scenario lengkapnya lebih panjang dari ini mbah, cuma gak bisa saya
paparkan. sorry banget.




 
 From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:50:13 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice
 apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
 
  ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to
 us.
  cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena
situasi
 Glencore.
 

 Tolong DIJELASKAN soal A LOT OF SENSE yg mendasari SPECULATIVE
 PREDICTION anda karena masalah BUMI ini sangat luas efeknya.

 Agar masalah PELIK ini tidak BERTAMBAH PELIK ...

 Please 

 
 
   _ _ __
  From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
  To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
  Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
 
 
  Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice
  apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
  
   in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract
 on
  its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa
  kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of
 fresh
  cash :)
  
   masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of
 BUMI's
  coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
  
 

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik Forever Apprentice
lupa bilang. DISC ON.

cuma scenario dari a bunch of newbie LT investor yang gak pernah minat beli 
BUMI sebelumnya. but this time at a certain price range we will take it.





From: Forever Apprentice [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 9:04:38 AM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


ini dibikin singkat dan bahasa sederhana aja ya mbah, soalnya structure BUMI 
very complicated. and I can not get into very much detail mbah for some 
reasons. tq for understanding.

(1) pemilik saham perlu cash utk bayar utang pribadi
(2) world coal masih under-supply s/d a few years to the future (gak kaya CPO, 
nickel dll) -- this is our stand
(3) BUMI coalnya banyak dan bagus
(4) pemilik saham suruh manajemen ijonkan dgn harga diskon (pasti laku lah), 
cash bayar didepan atau sesuai dgn jadwal hutang jatuh tempo
(5) tarik cash dari BUMI buat bayar dividen, lalu bayar utang pribadi, urusan 
pribadi beres (at least sebagian lah dari total utang), kepemilikan di BUMI gak 
berkurang
(6) what about BUMI as an entity? BUMI performance suffer for a few years. but 
it will come back with glory

kembali, nr. 4 gak akan semudah itu karena terkait Glencore. kelihatannya 
gampang, padahal susah.

scenario lengkapnya lebih panjang dari ini mbah, cuma gak bisa saya paparkan. 
sorry banget.





From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ centrin.net. id
To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:50:13 AM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
apprentice. [EMAIL PROTECTED] .. wrote:

 ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to 
us.
 cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena situasi 
Glencore.
 

Tolong DIJELASKAN soal A LOT OF SENSE yg mendasari SPECULATIVE
PREDICTION anda karena masalah BUMI ini sangat luas efeknya.

Agar masalah PELIK ini tidak BERTAMBAH PELIK ...

Please  

 
 
  _ _ __
 From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
 To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
 
 
 Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
 apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
 
  in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract 
on 
 its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa 
 kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of 
fresh 
 cash :)
  
  masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of 
BUMI's 
 coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
 



 


  

Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-06 Terurut Topik Forever Apprentice
Perlu saya luruskan mbah, TIDAK ADA SUMBER BERITA, dan TIDAK ADA BERITA BAHWA 
BUMI MENG-IJONKAN COAL-NYA.

Analisa/prediksi kita ini SPEKULATIF belaka. We try to put ourself into their 
shoes, what will we do if we face this situation where we are in nedd of huge 
amount of fresh cash. Gitu loh mbah.

Sekali lagi, TIDAK ADA BERITA SOAL IJON, ini cuma prediksi a bunch of newbie 
investor. Kalau dianggap skenario ini gak masuk ya so be it. Tapi kayanya masuk 
akal kan :D hehe




From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 9:13:28 AM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)


--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
apprentice. [EMAIL PROTECTED] .. wrote:

 ini dibikin singkat dan bahasa sederhana aja ya mbah, soalnya 
structure BUMI very complicated. and I can not get into very much 
detail mbah for some reasons. tq for understanding.
 
 (1) pemilik saham perlu cash utk bayar utang pribadi
 (2) world coal masih under-supply s/d a few years to the future 
(gak kaya CPO, nickel dll) -- this is our stand
 (3) BUMI coalnya banyak dan bagus
 (4) pemilik saham suruh manajemen ijonkan dgn harga diskon (pasti 
laku lah), cash bayar didepan atau sesuai dgn jadwal hutang jatuh 
tempo

Kembali lagi kemasalah SEMULA yaitu adakah SUMBER BERITA BUMI jadi
pengijon ?. Berapa discount harga IJON ?. Berada persen harga
IJON dibawah harga estimasi analis atau harga jual yg dikatakan
management BUMI para public expose terakhir ?. 

Apakah harga IJON ini TERLALU murah dan membuat VALUASI yg 
dibuat para analis menjadi OVESTATED ?

 (5) tarik cash dari BUMI buat bayar dividen, lalu bayar utang 
pribadi, urusan pribadi beres (at least sebagian lah dari total 
utang), kepemilikan di BUMI gak berkurang
 (6) what about BUMI as an entity? BUMI performance suffer for a few 
years. but it will come back with glory
 
 kembali, nr. 4 gak akan semudah itu karena terkait Glencore. 
kelihatannya gampang, padahal susah.
 
 scenario lengkapnya lebih panjang dari ini mbah, cuma gak bisa saya 
paparkan. sorry banget.
 
 
 
 
  _ _ __
 From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
 To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:50:13 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
 apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
 
  ini cuma prediksi kita mbah :) soalnya it makes a lot of sense to 
 us.
  cuma ya itu, technically eksekusinya akan agak susah karena 
situasi 
 Glencore.
  
 
 Tolong DIJELASKAN soal A LOT OF SENSE yg mendasari SPECULATIVE
 PREDICTION anda karena masalah BUMI ini sangat luas efeknya.
 
 Agar masalah PELIK ini tidak BERTAMBAH PELIK ...
 
 Please  
 
  
  
   _ _ __
  From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
  To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
  Sent: Friday, November 7, 2008 8:31:53 AM
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)
  
  
  Please share SUMBER BERITANYA bahwa BUMI ngijon ?
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Forever Apprentice 
  apprentice. forever@ .. wrote:
  
   in BUMI case, IMHO the most likely scenario is forward contract 
 on 
  its coal production on a highly discounted price (bahasa 
  kerennya ijon). we know there are people in desperate need of 
 fresh 
  cash :)
   
   masalahnya, kalo gak salah Glencore holds marketing rights of 
 BUMI's 
  coal. and Glencore themselves is in a bad position.
  
 
 
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 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
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 + + 
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 Recent Activity
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 Guides, news,
 advice  more..
 New web site?
 Drive traffic now.
 Get your business
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 .


 


  

[obrolan-bandar] Re: PTBA 3rb??? (To Ratu Shima)

2008-11-05 Terurut Topik kangduren
santai mas Rei, begitulah Fun Manager .

salam


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Rei [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Ok it's good news for me neng...the lower they get the better.
 
 
 
 On Thu, Nov 6, 2008 at 2:33 PM, RATU SIMA [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 Simple Om...
 
  If index proves true going down, added by the sentiment of BUMI  its
  sicking sting, FOR A WHILE, coal will be affected. (Not too
mention the
  falling commodities in years ahead)
 
  Someone is REALLY ABOVE THE LAW. Trust me, it's scenario is Extremely
  Dirty.
 
  The good news is if U' re investor, keep it for long term.
 
  in 2010, about 30 - 40% supply demand increase WILL occur.
 
  Aimee.