[obrolan-bandar] Re: Presenting the case for LSIP and SGRO (20% and 30% upside potentials respectively)

2007-10-30 Terurut Topik laven_28
udah telat infonya, udah terbeng tuh dua saham...




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, James Liem [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Credit Suisse upgraded their CPO price forecast to RM 2700/tonne 
from RM 2500/tonne for 2008 and has resulted in a (positive) 16% 
change of AALI's 08E EPS from previous forecast. Hence, Credit 
Suisse upgraded AALI's target price to Rp 24,000/sh and during 
Friday's trading, AALI reached an all-time high of Rp 23,600/sh. At 
its target price, AALI will be trading at 18.5x of its 08E EPS.

   For this reason, we believe it is appropriate to use Credit 
Suisse's forecasts for other plantation companies like LSIP and SGRO.
   
 If LSIP and SGRO were to trade at par (in terms of valuation) with 
AALI, we could see 45% and 56% upside for both counters. Even, under 
the not-so-good scenario (EPS growth of only 12% and PER of 16x 08E 
EPS), LSIP and SGRO can still provide 20% and 30% upside potentials 
respectively. See attached Excel file for valuation matrix.

   Cheers
 
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Presenting the case for LSIP and SGRO (20% and 30% upside potentials respectively)

2007-10-30 Terurut Topik James Liem
Maaf Bp/Ibu yth  anda terlambat melihat dgn kacamata sbg apa INVESTOR or 
TRADER 
   
  Tjuan sy berbagi informasi2 research yg didapatkan  adalah sbg salah satu 
alat u/ para rekan2 berinvestasi dgn baik  benar , semua yg ada hasil akhirnya 
ada di tangan kita sendir Bp/Ibu yg terhormat  menrut sy u/ saham2 BC atau 
2nd liner yg berfundamental bagus tdk ada kata terlambat dalam berinvestasi , 
yg ada hanya Momentum yang tepat kapan kita harus masuk  keluar dari market 
 hal ini yg s/d sekarang sy harus masih banyak belajar dgn para senior di 
milis2 yg ada , maaf jika pola pikir ini kurang tepat mohon u/ dikoreksi 
  Regards 

laven_28 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  udah telat infonya, udah terbeng tuh dua saham...

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, James Liem [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Credit Suisse upgraded their CPO price forecast to RM 2700/tonne 
from RM 2500/tonne for 2008 and has resulted in a (positive) 16% 
change of AALI's 08E EPS from previous forecast. Hence, Credit 
Suisse upgraded AALI's target price to Rp 24,000/sh and during 
Friday's trading, AALI reached an all-time high of Rp 23,600/sh. At 
its target price, AALI will be trading at 18.5x of its 08E EPS.
 
 For this reason, we believe it is appropriate to use Credit 
Suisse's forecasts for other plantation companies like LSIP and SGRO.
 
 If LSIP and SGRO were to trade at par (in terms of valuation) with 
AALI, we could see 45% and 56% upside for both counters. Even, under 
the not-so-good scenario (EPS growth of only 12% and PER of 16x 08E 
EPS), LSIP and SGRO can still provide 20% and 30% upside potentials 
respectively. See attached Excel file for valuation matrix.
 
 Cheers
 
 __
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Presenting the case for LSIP and SGRO (20% and 30% upside potentials respectively)

2007-10-30 Terurut Topik Lamasi Saksi
Posting anda untuk hasil riset sangat-sangat bermanfaat.
Kita harus menghargai kebaikan orang.
Thanks Pak James.




On 10/30/07, James Liem [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Maaf Bp/Ibu yth  anda terlambat melihat dgn kacamata sbg apa
 INVESTOR or TRADER 

 Tjuan sy berbagi informasi2 research yg didapatkan  adalah sbg salah satu
 alat u/ para rekan2 berinvestasi dgn baik  benar , semua yg ada hasil
 akhirnya ada di tangan kita sendir Bp/Ibu yg terhormat  menrut sy u/
 saham2 BC atau 2nd liner yg berfundamental bagus tdk ada kata terlambat
 dalam berinvestasi , yg ada hanya Momentum yang tepat kapan kita harus masuk
  keluar dari market  hal ini yg s/d sekarang sy harus masih banyak
 belajar dgn para senior di milis2 yg ada , maaf jika pola pikir ini kurang
 tepat mohon u/ dikoreksi
 Regards

 *laven_28 [EMAIL PROTECTED]* wrote:

  udah telat infonya, udah terbeng tuh dua saham...

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com,
 James Liem [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 
  Credit Suisse upgraded their CPO price forecast to RM 2700/tonne
 from RM 2500/tonne for 2008 and has resulted in a (positive) 16%
 change of AALI's 08E EPS from previous forecast. Hence, Credit
 Suisse upgraded AALI's target price to Rp 24,000/sh and during
 Friday's trading, AALI reached an all-time high of Rp 23,600/sh. At
 its target price, AALI will be trading at 18.5x of its 08E EPS.
 
  For this reason, we believe it is appropriate to use Credit
 Suisse's forecasts for other plantation companies like LSIP and SGRO.
 
  If LSIP and SGRO were to trade at par (in terms of valuation) with
 AALI, we could see 45% and 56% upside for both counters. Even, under
 the not-so-good scenario (EPS growth of only 12% and PER of 16x 08E
 EPS), LSIP and SGRO can still provide 20% and 30% upside potentials
 respectively. See attached Excel file for valuation matrix.
 
  Cheers
 
  __
  Do You Yahoo!?
  Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around
  http://mail.yahoo.com
 




 __
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 Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around
 http://mail.yahoo.com

 



Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Presenting the case for LSIP and SGRO (20% and 30% upside potentials respectively)

2007-10-30 Terurut Topik ALX™
Target Price LSIP








 Rel Date Broker TP
Recomm




 07/05/07 DX 7,900
Buy  15/05/07 AK 6,800
Neutral  19/06/07 IF 6,300
Hold  06/07/07 BW 9,000
Buy  31/07/07 BK 8,000
Overweight  31/07/07 Goldman Sachs 7,900
Buy  08/08/07 OD 4,900
Hold  28/08/07 Citigroup 9,450
Buy  21/09/07 RX 8,500
Outperform  25/09/07 YU 8,275
Outperform  03/10/07 DP 6,600
Hold  26/10/07 CS 9,100
Outperform  30/10/07 KZ 13,600
Buy

   Target Price SGRO








 Rel Date Broker TP
Recomm




 21/08/07 CC 2,800
Buy  25/09/07 YU 3,190
Outperform  26/10/07 CS 2,900
Outperform  30/10/07 KZ 3,300
Buy




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 --  Salam  ALX™