Re: [obrolan-bandar] Trs: New Year Longer Term Specific Views
I follow Elaine. I am sure overall this year bullish.
Re: [obrolan-bandar] Trs: New Year Longer Term Specific Views
*Good call. Man, you'll be lot richer in the near future, I can see that. Congrats! Elaine** * On Sat, Jan 3, 2009 at 4:38 AM, Edi Wijaya er_ed...@yahoo.com wrote: I follow Elaine. I am sure overall this year bullish.
[obrolan-bandar] Trs: New Year Longer Term Specific Views
dear all ini sekedar contekan dr negri sebelah moga2 bergunasilahkan di baca.. Terkirim: Jumat, 2 Januari, 2009 07:10:09 Topik: New Year Longer Term Specific Views Dear Buddies, Frens, Folks and Foes, Why did I say to short all the way in 2009... 1. The SP 500 will re-test the 750 lows in the first half of 2009, and we will close below 700 by the end of 2009. This bear market will not end in 2009. 2. Crude oil will stay below $75/barrel for all of 2009. 3. Gold will break out above $1100/oz. 4. The VIX will hit 100 for the first time ever. 5. Posted unemployment will hit 10.5%. Total Unemployment (U-6) will hit 20%. The Employment Diffusion Index will hit the teens. 6. Commercial real estate values will drop 30-40%. Land development, office space, warehouses, shopping malls, hotels, and resorts will do the worst. Large multi-family properties will do the “best” because they will house all the folks who will lose their homes. 7. 20% of retailers will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. 8. The bailout money will run out and the Fed/Treasury will request an additional package…and be denied. This debate will drag on for weeks and weeks. 9. Numerous local municipalities and/or states will go bankrupt. Many states will be unable to pay out full unemployment benefits. 10. The U.S.will be involved in another war. 11. A major terrorist attack, economic/financial, and/or political crisis will hit the U.S. 12. Martial law will be declared and FEMA’s Executive Orders 10990-11921 will be activated by the President. Military units will be deployed on the streets of America. The UN will continue to ship large numbers of military vehicles to the USmostly via Port of Beaumont, TX. There will be a massive build up of military equipment. Ok, maybe not the last one, but you get the idea. I don’t see how our bear market (in the worst crisis since the Great Depression) can last for only 2 years. The tech bear lasted for more than 2 years and that didn’t even involve a global credit crisis! Bulls should not get too comfortable in 2009. There will be disappointments. I think this will once again be a trader’s market, rewarding those that are nimble. Join me in battle next year and let’s slay this dragon and make some serious money! Follow me then.. and remember, who will give you these information for free. Take Care AND Good Luck!!! TKJoe Make the most of what you can do on your PC and the Web, just the way you want. Windows Live Pemanasan global? Apa sih itu? Temukan jawabannya di Yahoo! Answers! http://id.answers.yahoo.com
Bls: [obrolan-bandar] Trs: New Year Longer Term Specific Views
dear...tolong di translate dunk...singkatnya aja,ok?tq MERRY CHRISTMAS 2008 AND HAPPY NEW YEAR 2009 Dari: Yuliawati tan yuliawati_ta...@yahoo.com Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Terkirim: Jumat, 2 Januari, 2009 11:19:25 Topik: [obrolan-bandar] Trs: New Year Longer Term Specific Views dear all ini sekedar contekan dr negri sebelah moga2 bergunasilahkan di baca.. Terkirim: Jumat, 2 Januari, 2009 07:10:09 Topik: New Year Longer Term Specific Views Dear Buddies, Frens, Folks and Foes, Why did I say to short all the way in 2009 ... 1. The SP 500 will re-test the 750 lows in the first half of 2009, and we will close below 700 by the end of 2009. This bear market will not end in 2009. 2. Crude oil will stay below $75/barrel for all of 2009. 3. Gold will break out above $1100/oz. 4. The VIX will hit 100 for the first time ever. 5. Posted unemployment will hit 10.5%. Total Unemployment (U-6) will hit 20%. The Employment Diffusion Index will hit the teens. 6. Commercial real estate values will drop 30-40%. Land development, office space, warehouses, shopping malls, hotels, and resorts will do the worst. Large multi-family properties will do the “best” because they will house all the folks who will lose their homes. 7. 20% of retailers will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. 8. The bailout money will run out and the Fed/Treasury will request an additional package…and be denied. This debate will drag on for weeks and weeks. 9. Numerous local municipalities and/or states will go bankrupt. Many states will be unable to pay out full unemployment benefits. 10. The U.S.will be involved in another war. 11. A major terrorist attack, economic/financial, and/or political crisis will hit the U.S. 12. Martial law will be declared and FEMA’s Executive Orders 10990-11921 will be activated by the President. Military units will be deployed on the streets of America. The UN will continue to ship large numbers of military vehicles to the USmostly via Port of Beaumont, TX. There will be a massive build up of military equipment. Ok, maybe not the last one, but you get the idea. I don’t see how our bear market (in the worst crisis since the Great Depression) can last for only 2 years. The tech bear lasted for more than 2 years and that didn’t even involve a global credit crisis! Bulls should not get too comfortable in 2009. There will be disappointments. I think this will once again be a trader’s market, rewarding those that are nimble. Join me in battle next year and let’s slay this dragon and make some serious money! Follow me then.. and remember, who will give you these information for free. Take Care AND Good Luck!!! TKJoe Make the most of what you can do on your PC and the Web, just the way you want. Windows Live Lebih bergaul dan terhubung dengan lebih baik. Tambah lebih banyak teman ke Yahoo! Messenger sekarang! Kenapa BBM mesti naik? Apakah tidak ada solusi selain itu? Temukan jawabannya di Yahoo! Answers! http://id.answers.yahoo.com
