Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

2009-10-15 Terurut Topik arisugiarto . santoso
Kalo TBLA gimana Kang?any fundamental insight that can be shared with us?

Thx

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-Original Message-
From: Bagus Putra Perdana disclosure@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2009 23:26:35 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

IMHO pak, BW plantation (Superior CPO Player) barangnya sedikit banget
didapet, saya dapet konfirmasi tadi siang institusi saya aja cuman dapet 1/3
dr pesanan, itu udah mentok. jd kalo menurut logika pak DE., SpillOver Hype
nya dari segi size akan mampir ke UNSP dan SGRO, dimana size nya relatif
comparable (SGRO agak sedikit lebih identik krn sebagian estatenya ada di
kalimantan dengan rasio Nukleus yg lebih tinggi, FFB Yield BW sekitar 22
Ton/Ha, UNSP sekitar 8 Ton/Ha dan SGRO 10.5 Ton/Ha sementara dr segi
struktur gearing posisi SGRO net cash smntra UNSP rada Geared-Up Balance
nya...) smntra dari segi kualitas Plantation dan Margin maka BW komparasinya
dengan AALI dan LSIP...

hanya saya pikir appetite pasar akan cenderung ke size kecil krn nature
inheren BW adalah growth sehingga pasar akan favor perusahaan yg size nya
kecil dan cenderung lebih mungkin untuk double-triple sizing scr lebih cepat
(di bawah 10 tahun, logisnya ketika Size sudah 1000 maka peningkatan 100
hanya ekuivalen prestasi 10% (tidak impresif) sementara untuk barang yg size
nya 300 improvement 100 sudah 33 % prestasi dan bisa double sizing hanya
dalam waktu dibawah 5 tahun..)

2009/10/14 boyz® m457...@gmail.com



 Hehehe... AALI, LSIP  SGRO kemarin kan udah pak :P
 Saat ini masih oke2 aja chart-nya.
 I mean, kalo udah punya barang, masih aman dan nyaman lah posisinya.
 Kalo belum punya, walaupun masih ada potensi naik, sebagai late comer
 baiknya jangan main tabrak. Tunggu jemputan (weakness) di intraday.

 Nanti deh bentar lagi ane update AALI, LSIP  SGRO nya.

 Salam,



 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 11:07 PM, Marcello Djunaidy 
 mdjuna...@gmail.comwrote:



 Pak Boyz, minta terowongan AALI vs SGRO vs LSIP dong :-D

 MD


 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 8:13 PM, boyz® m457...@gmail.com wrote:



 *UNSP (UNSP)
 Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 *By Bill Williams, Ph.D. C.T.A.
 Profitunity Trading Group
 (409) 945-8880 - p...@phoenix.net*

Alligator:  Price is ABOVE the alligator
Zone:  Green Zone
Awesome Oscillator (AO):  Increasing
Accelerator (AC):  Increasing

 Open:  840.00
 High:  880.00
 Low:   840.00
 Close: 880.00
 Alligator Jaw: 868.96
 Alligator Teeth:   866.76
 Alligator Lips:857.03

 Close is above the Alligator which means we are only interested in a long
 position.
 The AO is Increasing (Green AO bar) which means that the momentum is up.
 The AC is Increasing (Green AC bar) which means that the upward momentum
 is accelerating.  With both the AO and the AC increasing the Price Bar
 should also be Green.
 If not already long this is a good place to look for a Fractal or other
 signal to buy.*

 

 Komen dari Bill W. sih OK.
 Parabolic SAR OK (*kalo ada yg perhatiin, P SAR di Metastock and di
 Amibroker kasih sinyal beda. Padahal dua-dua-nya ane pake parameter standar.
 Ada yg bisa jelasin?*)
 MACD kelihatannya batal mo cross down centerline. Mau golden cross malah.
 +DI udah cross up -DI, tapi masih dibawah 25.

 *Kesimpulan ane: *
 Kalo mo ikutin pakem trend follower, sinyal udah ada, tinggal tunggu
 konfirmasi.
 Kalo mau curi start, jangan lupa siapin 'panic button' alias exit
 strategy kalo ternyata kenyataan tidak sesuai harapan. Jgn ragu cutloss.
 Risk vs Reward sesuai lah.

 Salam,






  




-- 
Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to the
complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In fact,
everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because we know that
we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things must be learned only
to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be corrected...The test of all
knowledge is experiment. Experiment is the sole judge of scientific “truth”.
- Richard Feynman



Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

2009-10-14 Terurut Topik Marcello Djunaidy
Pak Boyz, minta terowongan AALI vs SGRO vs LSIP dong :-D

MD

On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 8:13 PM, boyz® m457...@gmail.com wrote:



 *UNSP (UNSP)
 Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 *By Bill Williams, Ph.D. C.T.A.
 Profitunity Trading Group
 (409) 945-8880 - p...@phoenix.net*

Alligator:  Price is ABOVE the alligator
Zone:  Green Zone
Awesome Oscillator (AO):  Increasing
Accelerator (AC):  Increasing

 Open:  840.00
 High:  880.00
 Low:   840.00
 Close: 880.00
 Alligator Jaw: 868.96
 Alligator Teeth:   866.76
 Alligator Lips:857.03

 Close is above the Alligator which means we are only interested in a long
 position.
 The AO is Increasing (Green AO bar) which means that the momentum is up.
 The AC is Increasing (Green AC bar) which means that the upward momentum
 is accelerating.  With both the AO and the AC increasing the Price Bar
 should also be Green.
 If not already long this is a good place to look for a Fractal or other
 signal to buy.*

 

 Komen dari Bill W. sih OK.
 Parabolic SAR OK (*kalo ada yg perhatiin, P SAR di Metastock and di
 Amibroker kasih sinyal beda. Padahal dua-dua-nya ane pake parameter standar.
 Ada yg bisa jelasin?*)
 MACD kelihatannya batal mo cross down centerline. Mau golden cross malah.
 +DI udah cross up -DI, tapi masih dibawah 25.

 *Kesimpulan ane: *
 Kalo mo ikutin pakem trend follower, sinyal udah ada, tinggal tunggu
 konfirmasi.
 Kalo mau curi start, jangan lupa siapin 'panic button' alias exit strategy
 kalo ternyata kenyataan tidak sesuai harapan. Jgn ragu cutloss.
 Risk vs Reward sesuai lah.

 Salam,


  



Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

2009-10-14 Terurut Topik boyz®
Hehehe... AALI, LSIP  SGRO kemarin kan udah pak :P
Saat ini masih oke2 aja chart-nya.
I mean, kalo udah punya barang, masih aman dan nyaman lah posisinya.
Kalo belum punya, walaupun masih ada potensi naik, sebagai late comer
baiknya jangan main tabrak. Tunggu jemputan (weakness) di intraday.

Nanti deh bentar lagi ane update AALI, LSIP  SGRO nya.

Salam,


On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 11:07 PM, Marcello Djunaidy mdjuna...@gmail.comwrote:



 Pak Boyz, minta terowongan AALI vs SGRO vs LSIP dong :-D

 MD


 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 8:13 PM, boyz® m457...@gmail.com wrote:



 *UNSP (UNSP)
 Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 *By Bill Williams, Ph.D. C.T.A.
 Profitunity Trading Group
 (409) 945-8880 - p...@phoenix.net*

Alligator:  Price is ABOVE the alligator
Zone:  Green Zone
Awesome Oscillator (AO):  Increasing
Accelerator (AC):  Increasing

 Open:  840.00
 High:  880.00
 Low:   840.00
 Close: 880.00
 Alligator Jaw: 868.96
 Alligator Teeth:   866.76
 Alligator Lips:857.03

 Close is above the Alligator which means we are only interested in a long
 position.
 The AO is Increasing (Green AO bar) which means that the momentum is up.
 The AC is Increasing (Green AC bar) which means that the upward momentum
 is accelerating.  With both the AO and the AC increasing the Price Bar
 should also be Green.
 If not already long this is a good place to look for a Fractal or other
 signal to buy.*

 

 Komen dari Bill W. sih OK.
 Parabolic SAR OK (*kalo ada yg perhatiin, P SAR di Metastock and di
 Amibroker kasih sinyal beda. Padahal dua-dua-nya ane pake parameter standar.
 Ada yg bisa jelasin?*)
 MACD kelihatannya batal mo cross down centerline. Mau golden cross malah.
 +DI udah cross up -DI, tapi masih dibawah 25.

 *Kesimpulan ane: *
 Kalo mo ikutin pakem trend follower, sinyal udah ada, tinggal tunggu
 konfirmasi.
 Kalo mau curi start, jangan lupa siapin 'panic button' alias exit strategy
 kalo ternyata kenyataan tidak sesuai harapan. Jgn ragu cutloss.
 Risk vs Reward sesuai lah.

 Salam,





 


Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

2009-10-14 Terurut Topik Bagus Putra Perdana
IMHO pak, BW plantation (Superior CPO Player) barangnya sedikit banget
didapet, saya dapet konfirmasi tadi siang institusi saya aja cuman dapet 1/3
dr pesanan, itu udah mentok. jd kalo menurut logika pak DE., SpillOver Hype
nya dari segi size akan mampir ke UNSP dan SGRO, dimana size nya relatif
comparable (SGRO agak sedikit lebih identik krn sebagian estatenya ada di
kalimantan dengan rasio Nukleus yg lebih tinggi, FFB Yield BW sekitar 22
Ton/Ha, UNSP sekitar 8 Ton/Ha dan SGRO 10.5 Ton/Ha sementara dr segi
struktur gearing posisi SGRO net cash smntra UNSP rada Geared-Up Balance
nya...) smntra dari segi kualitas Plantation dan Margin maka BW komparasinya
dengan AALI dan LSIP...

hanya saya pikir appetite pasar akan cenderung ke size kecil krn nature
inheren BW adalah growth sehingga pasar akan favor perusahaan yg size nya
kecil dan cenderung lebih mungkin untuk double-triple sizing scr lebih cepat
(di bawah 10 tahun, logisnya ketika Size sudah 1000 maka peningkatan 100
hanya ekuivalen prestasi 10% (tidak impresif) sementara untuk barang yg size
nya 300 improvement 100 sudah 33 % prestasi dan bisa double sizing hanya
dalam waktu dibawah 5 tahun..)

2009/10/14 boyz® m457...@gmail.com



 Hehehe... AALI, LSIP  SGRO kemarin kan udah pak :P
 Saat ini masih oke2 aja chart-nya.
 I mean, kalo udah punya barang, masih aman dan nyaman lah posisinya.
 Kalo belum punya, walaupun masih ada potensi naik, sebagai late comer
 baiknya jangan main tabrak. Tunggu jemputan (weakness) di intraday.

 Nanti deh bentar lagi ane update AALI, LSIP  SGRO nya.

 Salam,



 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 11:07 PM, Marcello Djunaidy 
 mdjuna...@gmail.comwrote:



 Pak Boyz, minta terowongan AALI vs SGRO vs LSIP dong :-D

 MD


 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 8:13 PM, boyz® m457...@gmail.com wrote:



 *UNSP (UNSP)
 Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 *By Bill Williams, Ph.D. C.T.A.
 Profitunity Trading Group
 (409) 945-8880 - p...@phoenix.net*

Alligator:  Price is ABOVE the alligator
Zone:  Green Zone
Awesome Oscillator (AO):  Increasing
Accelerator (AC):  Increasing

 Open:  840.00
 High:  880.00
 Low:   840.00
 Close: 880.00
 Alligator Jaw: 868.96
 Alligator Teeth:   866.76
 Alligator Lips:857.03

 Close is above the Alligator which means we are only interested in a long
 position.
 The AO is Increasing (Green AO bar) which means that the momentum is up.
 The AC is Increasing (Green AC bar) which means that the upward momentum
 is accelerating.  With both the AO and the AC increasing the Price Bar
 should also be Green.
 If not already long this is a good place to look for a Fractal or other
 signal to buy.*

 

 Komen dari Bill W. sih OK.
 Parabolic SAR OK (*kalo ada yg perhatiin, P SAR di Metastock and di
 Amibroker kasih sinyal beda. Padahal dua-dua-nya ane pake parameter standar.
 Ada yg bisa jelasin?*)
 MACD kelihatannya batal mo cross down centerline. Mau golden cross malah.
 +DI udah cross up -DI, tapi masih dibawah 25.

 *Kesimpulan ane: *
 Kalo mo ikutin pakem trend follower, sinyal udah ada, tinggal tunggu
 konfirmasi.
 Kalo mau curi start, jangan lupa siapin 'panic button' alias exit
 strategy kalo ternyata kenyataan tidak sesuai harapan. Jgn ragu cutloss.
 Risk vs Reward sesuai lah.

 Salam,






  




-- 
Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to the
complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In fact,
everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because we know that
we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things must be learned only
to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be corrected...The test of all
knowledge is experiment. Experiment is the sole judge of scientific “truth”.
- Richard Feynman


Re: [ob] UNSP : Bill William's comment

2009-10-14 Terurut Topik boyz®
Thx inputnya, kang Bagus...
Sementara lagi ada momentum, timing pas untuk trader, hehehe...
Kalo yg investor apa lagi yg institusi, kan udah ane komporin untuk BOW
semenjak bulan puasa kemarin.

http://www.mail-archive.com/obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com/msg166485.html

Salam,


2009/10/14 Bagus Putra Perdana disclosure@gmail.com



 IMHO pak, BW plantation (Superior CPO Player) barangnya sedikit banget
 didapet, saya dapet konfirmasi tadi siang institusi saya aja cuman dapet 1/3
 dr pesanan, itu udah mentok. jd kalo menurut logika pak DE., SpillOver Hype
 nya dari segi size akan mampir ke UNSP dan SGRO, dimana size nya relatif
 comparable (SGRO agak sedikit lebih identik krn sebagian estatenya ada di
 kalimantan dengan rasio Nukleus yg lebih tinggi, FFB Yield BW sekitar 22
 Ton/Ha, UNSP sekitar 8 Ton/Ha dan SGRO 10.5 Ton/Ha sementara dr segi
 struktur gearing posisi SGRO net cash smntra UNSP rada Geared-Up Balance
 nya...) smntra dari segi kualitas Plantation dan Margin maka BW komparasinya
 dengan AALI dan LSIP...

 hanya saya pikir appetite pasar akan cenderung ke size kecil krn nature
 inheren BW adalah growth sehingga pasar akan favor perusahaan yg size nya
 kecil dan cenderung lebih mungkin untuk double-triple sizing scr lebih cepat
 (di bawah 10 tahun, logisnya ketika Size sudah 1000 maka peningkatan 100
 hanya ekuivalen prestasi 10% (tidak impresif) sementara untuk barang yg size
 nya 300 improvement 100 sudah 33 % prestasi dan bisa double sizing hanya
 dalam waktu dibawah 5 tahun..)

 2009/10/14 boyz® m457...@gmail.com



 Hehehe... AALI, LSIP  SGRO kemarin kan udah pak :P
 Saat ini masih oke2 aja chart-nya.
 I mean, kalo udah punya barang, masih aman dan nyaman lah posisinya.
 Kalo belum punya, walaupun masih ada potensi naik, sebagai late comer
 baiknya jangan main tabrak. Tunggu jemputan (weakness) di intraday.

 Nanti deh bentar lagi ane update AALI, LSIP  SGRO nya.

 Salam,



 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 11:07 PM, Marcello Djunaidy 
 mdjuna...@gmail.comwrote:



 Pak Boyz, minta terowongan AALI vs SGRO vs LSIP dong :-D

 MD


 On Wed, Oct 14, 2009 at 8:13 PM, boyz® m457...@gmail.com wrote:



 *UNSP (UNSP)
 Wednesday, October 14, 2009

 *By Bill Williams, Ph.D. C.T.A.
 Profitunity Trading Group
 (409) 945-8880 - p...@phoenix.net*

Alligator:  Price is ABOVE the alligator
Zone:  Green Zone
Awesome Oscillator (AO):  Increasing
Accelerator (AC):  Increasing

 Open:  840.00
 High:  880.00
 Low:   840.00
 Close: 880.00
 Alligator Jaw: 868.96
 Alligator Teeth:   866.76
 Alligator Lips:857.03

 Close is above the Alligator which means we are only interested in a
 long position.
 The AO is Increasing (Green AO bar) which means that the momentum is
 up.
 The AC is Increasing (Green AC bar) which means that the upward
 momentum is accelerating.  With both the AO and the AC increasing the Price
 Bar should also be Green.
 If not already long this is a good place to look for a Fractal or other
 signal to buy.*

 

 Komen dari Bill W. sih OK.
 Parabolic SAR OK (*kalo ada yg perhatiin, P SAR di Metastock and di
 Amibroker kasih sinyal beda. Padahal dua-dua-nya ane pake parameter 
 standar.
 Ada yg bisa jelasin?*)
 MACD kelihatannya batal mo cross down centerline. Mau golden cross
 malah.
 +DI udah cross up -DI, tapi masih dibawah 25.

 *Kesimpulan ane: *
 Kalo mo ikutin pakem trend follower, sinyal udah ada, tinggal tunggu
 konfirmasi.
 Kalo mau curi start, jangan lupa siapin 'panic button' alias exit
 strategy kalo ternyata kenyataan tidak sesuai harapan. Jgn ragu cutloss.
 Risk vs Reward sesuai lah.

 Salam,









 --
 Each piece, or part, of the whole nature is always an approximation to the
 complete truth, or the complete truth so far as we know it. In fact,
 everything we know is only some kind of approximation, because we know that
 we do not know all the laws as yet. Therefore, things must be learned only
 to be unlearned again or, more likely, to be corrected...The test of all
 knowledge is experiment. Experiment is the sole judge of scientific “truth”.
 - Richard Feynman