[osint] Terrorized Terrorists Run For Cover

[Beowulf]

http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/india/articles/20101108.aspx


Terrorized Terrorists Run For Cover 

November 8, 2010: The American UAV offensive against Islamic terrorist
leaders in northwest Pakistan has driven some of the enemy to seek safely
just across the border in Afghanistan. So far this year, there have been 97
U.S. missile attacks in Pakistan, compared to 53 in all of 2009 and 35 in
2008. Over 90 percent of this year's attacks have been in North Waziristan,
where many Taliban and al Qaeda have long been based. The Pakistani Army has
refused American requests that the area be cleared of hostile forces. Many
in the Pakistani military and counter-terrorism establishment consider these
Islamic terrorists as a useful tool to maintain some control in Afghanistan,
and as a weapon against India. But the American missile attacks have made
life increasingly risky for the terrorist leadership, and the easiest place
to run to is just across the border. The American UAVs can still strike
there, but the strategy appears to be to get away from the spies and
informers among the tribesmen in North Waziristan. The tribes across the
border are more hostile, and have a ceasefire with the Haqqani Network,
which regularly moves men from North Waziristan to make attacks in
Afghanistan. But the U.S. doesn't just rely on tribal informants for
targeting information. There are also lots of electronic eavesdropping and
sensors (various types of vidcams and special cameras) along with data
mining tools. It will soon become apparent if you can run and hide. There
are other problems for Haqqani, as the tribes just across the border tend to
be Shia. While a minority of Pushtuns are Shia, they do not get along with
Islamic radicals like al Qaeda, Taliban or Haqqani, because all three of
these consider Shia heretics. 

While the Pakistanis refuse to attack in North Waziristan, they are still
chasing down Taliban in nearby areas. Between that, and continued unrest in
the southwest (Baluchistan) there are several hundred casualties a week in
Pakistan, making nearly as violent as Afghanistan. 

Pakistan is making yet another attempt to curb rampant corruption among
government officials. This time, the anti-corruption effort will be
monitored by the intelligence agencies (especially ISI) to prevent
corruption among the anti-corruption officials. While ISI has long harbored
Islamic radical sympathizers, the radicals justify their use of violence as
part of an effort to eliminate corruption. Despite that, many believe that
ISI contains corruption prone Islamic radicals (which exist in large
numbers). Few Pakistanis expect the new anti-corruption drive to be much
more successful than previous efforts. India is also pressuring the United
States, which gives Pakistan billions of dollars a year in economic and
military aid, to put more pressure on the Pakistanis to stop supporting
Islamic terror groups trying to carry out attacks in India. The Pakistanis
deny they are doing so, but the evidence says otherwise. 

In eastern India (Bihar state), Maoists blew up a section of track and
derailed a freight train. The Maoists have called for a nationwide protest
to the visit of the U.S. president, but most Indians are celebrating the
event. So the Maoists will amp up their usual violence to try and compensate
for this lack of hostility. 

India is also pressuring Nepal to investigate claims that Nepalese Maoists
(who are a large political party there, and still have a large militia) have
been providing bases and combat training for Indian Maoists.

November 7, 2010: In North Waziristan, the Taliban publicly executed three
men accused of spying for the United States. These killings are a regular
occurrence in the area, but the Americans continue to find their targets.
The accusations and executions are often off the mark, which just increases
local hatred for the Islamic radicals, who are basically ruling  by fear. 

November 5, 2010: In northwest Pakistan, two mosques used by anti-Taliban
militias were bombed by Islamic terrorists. Over 70 people were killed. The
government supports these militia, which provide local security and make it
difficult for the Taliban to operate in the tribal territories. These terror
attacks, especially at mosques, are one of the things that makes the Taliban
so unpopular. But sometimes the terror works.

November 3, 2010: Two retired Pakistani army generals were accused to taking
$1.5 million in bribes, while they were managing military purchasing
contracts. 

  


 

 



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[osint] Terrorized Terrorists Run For Cover

[gwen831]

http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/india/articles/20101108.aspx


Terrorized Terrorists Run For Cover

November 8, 2010: The American UAV offensive against Islamic
terrorist leaders in northwest Pakistan has driven some
of the enemy to seek safely just across the border in
Afghanistan. So far this year, there have been 97 U.S.
missile attacks in Pakistan, compared to 53 in all of 2009 and
35 in 2008. Over 90 percent of this year's attacks have
been in North Waziristan, where many Taliban and al Qaeda have
long been based. The Pakistani Army has refused American
requests that the area be cleared of hostile forces. Many in the
Pakistani military and counter-terrorism establishment consider
these Islamic terrorists as a useful tool to maintain some
control in Afghanistan, and as a weapon against India.


But the American missile attacks have made life increasingly
risky for the terrorist leadership, and the easiest
place to run to is just across the border. The American
UAVs can still strike there, but the strategy appears to be to
get away from the spies and informers among the tribesmen in
North Waziristan. The tribes across the border are more hostile,
and have a ceasefire with the Haqqani Network, which regularly
moves men from North Waziristan to make attacks in
Afghanistan. But the U.S. doesn't just rely on tribal
informants for targeting information. There are also
lots of electronic eavesdropping and sensors (various types of
vidcams and special cameras) along with data mining tools. It
will soon become apparent if you can run and hide. There
are other problems for Haqqani, as the tribes just
across the border tend to be Shia. While a minority of Pushtuns
are Shia, they do not get along with Islamic radicals like al
Qaeda, Taliban or Haqqani, because all three of these
consider Shia heretics.

While the Pakistanis refuse to attack in North
Waziristan, they are still chasing down Taliban in nearby areas.
Between that, and continued unrest in the southwest
(Baluchistan) there are several hundred casualties a week in
Pakistan, making nearly as violent as Afghanistan.

Pakistan is making yet another attempt to curb rampant
corruption among government officials. This time, the
anti-corruption effort will be monitored by the intelligence
agencies (especially ISI) to prevent corruption among the
anti-corruption officials. While ISI has long harbored
Islamic radical sympathizers, the radicals justify their
use of violence as part of an effort to eliminate corruption.
Despite that, many believe that ISI contains corruption prone
Islamic radicals (which exist in large numbers).


Few Pakistanis expect the new anti-corruption drive to
be much more successful than previous efforts. India is also
pressuring the United States, which gives Pakistan
billions of dollars a year in economic and military aid, to put
more pressure on the Pakistanis to stop supporting Islamic
terror groups trying to carry out attacks in India.
The Pakistanis deny they are doing so, but the evidence says
otherwise.

In eastern India (Bihar state), Maoists blew up a
section of track and derailed a freight train. The
Maoists have called for a nationwide protest to the visit of the
U.S. president, but most Indians are celebrating the event. So
the Maoists will amp up their usual violence to try and
compensate for this lack of hostility.

India is also pressuring Nepal to investigate claims that
Nepalese Maoists (who are a large political party there,
and still have a large militia) have been providing bases and
combat training for Indian Maoists.

November 7, 2010: In North Waziristan, the Taliban
publicly executed three men accused of spying for the United
States. These killings are a regular occurrence in the area, but
the Americans continue to find their targets. The
accusations and executions are often off the mark, which
just increases local hatred for the Islamic radicals, who are
basically ruling  by fear.

November 5, 2010: In northwest Pakistan, two mosques
used by anti-Taliban militias were bombed by Islamic terrorists.
Over 70 people were killed. The government supports these
militia, which provide