Re: Worrying trend

2001-04-18 Thread John Francis

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  Six M-pix true with pro quality glass is that invisible boundary
  where photojournalists will go digital as the primary tool. With
  an anticipated sugg price of $3,000 

Where is this price being mentioned?   So far most of the rumours
I have heard (stemming from the Photokina appearance) suggest that
the price is $7,000.   I'd love it if you were right - I could just
about consider paying $3,000 for a nice digital body - but I'm not
going to start saving just yet.

-- 
John Francis  [EMAIL PROTECTED]   Silicon Graphics, Inc.
(650)933-82952011 N. Shoreline Blvd. MS 43U-991
(650)932-0828 (Fax)  Mountain View, CA   94043-1389
Hello.   My name is Darth Vader.   I am your father.   Prepare to die.
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Worrying trend

2001-04-17 Thread Ralf Engelmann

Alin Flaider wrote:

 (Unconfirmed) rumors are that Minolta is in big trouble with 
 its recently announced digital SLRs Dimage 7 and 5. It seems 
 they have problems with the CCD chips (4 and 5 MPixel) and 
 release is delayed for October (it was expected for May).

I have heard the "after summer" date from beginning on. The 3M Pentax 
EI-3000 is also not available in the next months.

 Besides, Minolta lost 40% of share price in the past 3 months.
 Apparently they grossly overestimated demand for Maxxum 7 to 60,000(!)
 units/month while they only manage to sell 8000, losing 3 millions USD
 each month. Digital SLRs were their life-buoy, now this is sinking as
 well.

This figures are hard to believe, even though I also have heard that 
Minolta is in trouble (since 2 years already). They recently 
reorganized and relocated more business units outside Japan. In fact, 
digital cameras are planned as their main business area for the 
future. Delays in this product area are a problem indeed, but this is 
not unusual. I somehow doubt they had such high expectations in the 
Minolta 7 worldwide, but maybe this refers to the US market and 
Minolta US distributor? The US consumer market in general is not so 
hot any more, and the Elan 7 of course was the winner amongst the 
advanced mid class releases. Canon just celebrated another incredible 
record in lens sales, so interest in system cameras basically is 
still alive.

 Bad management or dying SLR breed? ... Now I'm positive we won't see 
 any film body beyond MZ-S; we are lucky if we get the upgraded MZ-3.

Kodak just announced the cut of 3500 jobs due to the decreasing 
consumer demand. However, I don't know whether this is mainly due to 
the situation in the US or has something to do with interest in 
photography in general.

Pentax is in a special situation with their 5-10% market share. 
Till 1996, they made 4 completely different camera chassis. In 
the last 5 years it was basically only one, and this allowed them to 
survive without large volume. Minoltas range e.g. is a mess regarding 
production efficiency - hence they demand on volume. The MZ-S might 
somehow be a test balloon how far this can go. Here the conventional 
SLR shares parts with a digital sibling they wanted to introduce for 
several reasons. While I'm sure we will see new MZ-derivates in 
future too, I also have doubts that a real solitary SLR design is 
possible any longer.


Ralf
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Re: Worrying trend

2001-04-17 Thread Pål Jensen

Alin wrote:

   Besides, Minolta lost 40% of share price in the past 3 months.
 Apparently they grossly overestimated demand for Maxxum 7 to 60,000(!)
 units/month while they only manage to sell 8000, losing 3 millions USD
 each month. 

If anyone at Minolta expected 60 000 units/months then he must be a certified nutcase. 
The most optimistic figures I've seen for the F100, the class bestseller, is 10 000 
units/month. I guess 60 000 units/month may be in the area of the original 7000 in 
1985 but those days are long gone. I said a few days ago that the Dynaxx 7 must be a 
money drain for Minolta. There is no volume in this class of cameras anymore. Still, 
8000 units/months is impressive. 


   Bad management or dying SLR breed? If it's the first - hope that
 Pentax plays safer. 


Pentax plays safer. The MZ-S is proof of that. Its obviously not made for high 
volume/many features for the bucks. It selling point is an unique market position and 
built quality. This ensure higher profit margins. Same for Limited lenses; they don't 
depend on volume to be profitable.
What you will see in the future are volume product like the current MZ-series and low 
volume/high quality products like the MZ-S and Limited lenses.


As for the latter, this would be tragic. Only the
 major players will survive this trend, and Pentax hasn't made the
 transition to digital yet.
   Now I'm positive we won't see any film body beyond MZ-S; we are
 lucky if we get the upgraded MZ-3.


I'm not so sure. While the big three stop investing in film based slr the market may 
open up for others. I'm certain that film based photography will be around for awhile. 
Although, I too see a stand alone upper level slr as an imposibility. You will see 
digital siblings. 


Pl


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Re[2]: Worrying trend

2001-04-17 Thread Alin Flaider

Pl wrote:

PJ If anyone at Minolta expected 60 000 units/months then he must be
PJ a certified nutcase.

  Hence my exclamation mark and emphasis on unconfirmed source (it's
said to originate from the Wall Street Journal). It's unlikely any SLR
camera sales at this rate. Anyway, the financial figures are in
concordance with Minolta's own predicted loss.

  Servus,Alin


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Re: Worrying trend

2001-04-17 Thread BGosse5961

  Fear not...
Extremely reliable sources are buzzing about the prototype 
 Pentax K-mount body sporting the Phillips 6.0 true M-pixel CCD.
 Six M-pix true with pro quality glass is that invisible boundary
 where photojournalists will go digital as the primary tool. With
 an anticipated sugg price of $3,000 , us poor guys should see
 comparable hardware in the $ 750. range in about 36 months.
 Good times are coming...
  (teaser: how would you like a replacement CCD/screen back 
  for   your Z-body...?.)
   BG
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Re: Worrying trend

2001-04-17 Thread tom

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  With
  an anticipated sugg price of $3,000 , us poor guys should see
  comparable hardware in the $ 750. range in about 36 months.
  Good times are coming...

I wouldn't be surprised if it were within 12 months.

tv
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