[PEN-L:5858] Re: A Non-Linear FROP Cycle

1995-07-15 Thread Paul Cockshott

Alan,

It is surely not hard to produce models that have
some form of oscilatory behaviour?

But what does this tell us?

I have found that the more details that I put
into a model the more chaotic and unstable it
becomes. The real problem is to produce a model
that even succeeds in physical reproduction over
a substantial period.

I find that what tends to happen in disaggregated
models is that a key industry - say coal eventually
suffers bankrupty of a majority of firms so that
coal production falls below the level necessary to
sustain reproduction. This mode of collapse - Brownian -
had not occured to me before, as it is not in the
standard Marxian literature. But on thought it
occured to me that this type of crisis - the bankruptcy
of a majority of firms in a basic industry - has in the
past prompted nationalisations in the UK.



[PEN-L:5860] Re: FW: BLS Daily Report

1995-07-15 Thread Walter Daum

On Fri, 14 Jul 1995 10:39:38 -0700 Richardson_D said:
[among other things]

Business Week's cover story (July l7) is "Wages:  They're Stagnant, While
Profits Are Soaring.  Are We Headed for Trouble?"  The accompanying article
(page 54) says that weak wage growth is sapping demand:  Corporate profits
are at a 45-year high, unemployment is low, and productivity continues to
climb.  Wages, however, are not keeping pace, holding down income growth,
consumer spending, and the overall economy.  Does this seeming defiance of
the laws of supply and demand signal a structural change in the economy?


The Business Week article is useful, warning that "it could spell trouble for
corporations and politicians alike" if workers got together. Also, that "the
burden is likely to fall on the political system to educate and contain an
increasingly distressed workforce." If only the left understood as much as the
bourgeoisie!

Question: the article (p.56) states that the "healthy" productivity gains since
1991 are due to "those stiff measures" like layoffs, lower wages, etc. But the
related editorial says that it's time for the Fed to stimulate more growth
because with productivity so high, there's little risk in economic stimulus;
implication being that unless this is done there'll be unrest in the "middle
class" -- i.e., that same distressed workforce.

Is this assessment of the productivity gains accurate? And if so, isn't it
something of a contradiction to propose that productivity achieved by screwing
the workers will be maintained if the bourgeoisie eases up on them?

Walter Daum
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:5859] Re: (Fwd) RE: extended reproduction question

1995-07-15 Thread Paul Cockshott

John Ernst asked:

Are you not assuming that exchanges take place at prices of production?
Note that in your quote Marx talks about increases in productivity
cheapening the elements of constant and variable capital. And, note as
well, in the previous part of CAPITAL he has just introduced market 
values
and market prices.  The question becomes in considering FROP -- Do we
measure the elements of variable and constant capital in terms of market
values and market prices or in terms of prices of producition?   Given 
the
structure of the work, the anwwer seems obvious.

Paul Cockshott replies
--
Has John or anyone else done any empirical work with time-series
of i/o tables to establish whether one actually gets different results
whether prices of production or values are used? If not,
it seems useless speculation.
Hic Rhodus Hic Saltus!



[PEN-L:5861] Re: (Fwd) RE: extended reproduction question

1995-07-15 Thread John R. Ernst

On Sat, 15 Jul 1995 [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Paul Cockshott) said: 
 
 
John Ernst asked: 
 
Are you not assuming that exchanges take place at prices of production?
Note  
that in your quote Marx talks about increases in productivity cheapening
the  
elements of constant and variable capital. And, note as well, in the
previous  
part of CAPITAL he has just introduced market values 
and market prices.  The question becomes in considering FROP -- Do we
measure  
the elements of variable and constant capital in terms of market values
and  
market prices or in terms of prices of producition?   Given the 
structure of the work, the anwwer seems obvious. 
 
Paul Cockshott replies 
-- 
Has John or anyone else done any empirical work with time-series of i/o
tables  
to establish whether one actually gets different results whether prices of
 
production or values are used? If not, it seems useless speculation. 
Hic Rhodus Hic Saltus! 
 
 
It seems to me one might want to at least define what one means by
"different results" prior to gathering data and carrying out such work. 
There are several possibilities and all could perhaps  be tested.  However,
 in this endeavor we would likely encounter data collection problems.  Do
we get data from one country, several, all?  For what period of time do we
collect data?   More important, definitions of  "value", "market value",
"price of production", etc. should be clear prior to diving for data.   
 
One might indeed say "Hic Rhodus, Hic Saltus."  But, with thought, why not
"Look before you leap."? 
 
Cheers, 
 
John R. Ernst 



[PEN-L:5863] productivity

1995-07-15 Thread Doug Henwood

At 5:11 AM 7/15/95, Walter Daum wrote [about BizWeek]:

Is this assessment of the productivity gains accurate? And if so, isn't it
something of a contradiction to propose that productivity achieved by screwing
the workers will be maintained if the bourgeoisie eases up on them?

I don't know about the source of overall productivity gains, but the
productivity gains from leveraged buyouts came from the closure and
liquidation of weak plants or units and reduction of overhead expenditures
rather than sustained improvements at continuing operations.

They have no intention of easing up on the workers. I've been reading one
of my favorite publications, the BIS annual report. It records a great
determination to keep the squeeze on - European monetary policy is likely
to follow the Fed's model of tightening early and hard. They're worried
about wage inflation despite high unemployment in Europe. Fiscal policy
*everywhere* is tight and getting tighter.

Wasn't growth once, for like centuries, the greatest good of capitalist life?

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
[[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
Left Business Observer
250 W 85 St
New York NY 10024-3217
USA
+1-212-874-4020 voice
+1-212-874-3137 fax




[PEN-L:5864] Re: Again, help requested

1995-07-15 Thread Paul Cockshott

I would suggest that the classification of heterodox economics
should contain sections covering non-capitalist economies.

At the very least there is a literature on Tribal economies
Meillassoux etc, Slave economies ancient and modern and
on feudal economies. At the other end there is an extensive
literature on socialist economies.



[PEN-L:5865] Mondragon

1995-07-15 Thread PHILLPS

Someone ase
ked (Let us try this again)  Someone asked about critiques of
Mondragon.  Someone else responded with the two best sources in
book form on the Mondragon experitment  ( Whyte and Whte, Thomas and
Logan)  -- both of which I would agree.
  However, both sources are now dated. Not that there is any major
change.  The impact of global comptetion has to be taken into account.
I did some evaluation: _Candian Dimension_ "Is Industrial Democracy
Feasible?" (March 1991).  this was a conc
condensation of an article I wrote fro _Worders' Coops_ arond the
same time.
  To the best of my knowledge, the Mondragon co-ops are still
operating successfully, though how close they have come to
mimicking the private sectror, I don't know.

The person who could perhaps best answer this question is David
Ellerman.  I don"t know if He is on line.

 One a more general plane, We did an evalution of the Mondragon
model vis-a-vis the Yugoslav model in " _Ther Rise and Fall of the
Third Way: Yugoslavia 1945:1991_ (Halifax, Frernwood, 1992).

Paul Phillips



[PEN-L:5862] Re: query

1995-07-15 Thread Jim Jaszewski


On Fri, 14 Jul 1995, Teresa Amott wrote:

 The 1990 Census has detailed race data in the Social and Economic
 Characteristics: United States volunme (1990-CP-2-1).  You can get
 occupational and industry data by gender and by race and ethnicity.

I don't know how useful or accurate this information is, but
apparently, 'Project Gutenberg' has U.S. census data online (etext ascii
form) well back into the last century -- even into the 1600's. 

You can get to it by either ftp or www at Walnut Creek CDROM:

ftp://ftp.cdrom.com/pub/gutenberg
   or   http://www.cdrom.com/pub/gutenberg


With a little searching you can find the files in directories 
just below 'gutenberg'. Be forewarned tho': They're BIG files...

There's also price data over many years, I believe. No telling
what gems there are there... 

The Walnut Creek site is also an _excellent_ source of other
files... 




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