Re: South Korean fire sale

2000-04-23 Thread Dennis R Redmond

On Sat, 22 Apr 2000, Louis Proyect crossposted

 New York Times, April 22, 2000
 Renault Agrees to Buy Troubled Samsung Motors 
[text deleted]

Actually, a fine example of the new hegemons at work. Samsung got into the
auto biz way late, I think in 1995 or so, and has pretty limited
industrial facilities, plus debts of $5 billion. You could think of
Renault-Nissan as the mutant product of the Mizuho super-keiretsu (IBJ
plus Fuji plus Dai-ichi Kangyo) and that other keiretsu... oh, what's the
name again.. ah, of course: *France* (Renault is 44% state-owned). R-N
will take a bath, of course, but South Korea's industrial base will remain
largely intact. 

Round 2 of the post-Cold War East Asian-EU slugfest goes to the EU on
points.

-- Dennis




Labor Disputes in China on the Rise

2000-04-23 Thread Stephen E Philion


Chinese Workers Are Showing Disenchantment
Official Statistics Show Number of Labor Disputes Has Soared as Workers 
Complain of Late or No Pay, Layoffs, Corruption
By John Pomfret
Washington Post Foreign Service
Sunday, April 23, 2000; Page A23

BEIJING—The number of labor disputes in China has skyrocketed--to more than 
120,000 in 1999--as workers in unprecedented numbers get laid off, are paid 
late or not at all and feel cheated by corrupt officials who sell state 
property for a pittance to friends, relatives and colleagues.

Official Labor Ministry statistics passed to a Western diplomat and a 
recent article in the journal Legal Research showed 14 times more labor 
disputes--from simple contractual disagreements to work stoppages and 
strikes--last year than in 1992. The article and labor officials' 
willingness to speak about the issue marked a departure for the Communist 
Party, which has struggled to maintain stability in Chinese cities in the 
wrenching transformation from a planned economy to something akin to a 
market economy.

The strains were highlighted in late February when tens of thousands of 
workers erupted in a violent protest at China's biggest nonferrous metal 
mine near the Bohai Sea in the northeast. Workers there burned cars, broke 
windows and kept police and the army at bay for several days as they 
protested what they said was an unfair and corrupt handling of the mine's 
bankruptcy.

Chinese labor conditions have been the subject of increased international 
scrutiny in advance of a vote in the U.S. Congress on granting China 
permanent normal trade relations, a major stepping stone to its accession 
to the World Trade Organization. U.S. labor unions, led by the AFL-CIO, 
have argued that entry into the WTO would result in a deterioration of 
China's already limited labor rights. Chinese law does not provide for the 
right to strike and bans independent unions.

The statistics show a jump from 8,150 labor disputes in 1992 to more than 
120,000 last year, answering a question posed often by China scholars: Is 
the urban labor situation getting tenser, or is it simply that China's 
increasing openness allows for more information about a fixed number of 
disputes?

"This is significant. It shows things are getting more difficult," said 
Anita Chan, an expert on China's labor relations at Australian National 
University in Canberra.

At the same time, the statistics also helped explain why the increased 
unrest has yet to translate into a movement challenging the Communist 
Party's monopoly on power or seeking to establish independent labor unions. 
While collective labor disputes, in which workers seek to bargain in a 
unit, are increasing rapidly, they still make up a minority of the overall 
disputes--7 percent in 1998, the last year available. And no evidence 
exists of workers uniting to strike at several businesses at the same time.

Besides unrest over wages, labor disputes typically involve unpaid pensions 
to laid-off employees, poor working conditions and the sell-off of state 
enterprises that workers believe involved fraud by management.

Andrew Walder, an expert on Chinese urban workers at Stanford University, 
said a key reason the unrest hasn't translated into a broader movement is 
that strikes remain scattered and workers are unwilling or unable to unite 
to pursue broader goals.

"There have been periodic press reports for most of the last 10 to 15 years 
or so that labor disputes are on the rise in China," he said. "It makes a 
great deal of sense that they would be: Wage issues came to the forefront 
in the 1980s and increasing job insecurity and layoffs [became] a big issue 
in the 1990s. Should we get worked up about such reports? Probably not. 
Scattered strikes are politically meaningless. If and when a national or 
regional trade union is organized and survives openly for a while--which is 
very unlikely--we should then begin to read political significance into all 
this."

Some researchers suggested that the 1999 figure for labor disputes, which 
represented a 29 percent increase over 1998, was limited by massive 
government subsidies. Last year during the 50th anniversary of China's 
Communist revolution, party officials were told to stress stability at all 
costs.

"Labor relations in 2000 will deteriorate as special subsidies fade out, 
the economic and labor 'reforms' intensify and more and more workers are 
laid off," said Tak Chuen, an expert on China's labor issues at Hong Kong 
Baptist University.

Chuen said Chinese workers face a difficult situation because accession to 
the WTO will do nothing to improve their livelihood, at least in the short 
run, but failure to do so will not help either.

The Legal Research article, written by retired scholar Shi Tanjing and 
published in November, called on the government to end its ban on strikes. 
The right to strike was removed from China's constitution in 1982.

Shi said labor disputes in China are 

Re: Re: RE: plateaus

2000-04-23 Thread Doug Henwood

Rod Hay wrote:

Doug was stretching it a bit. The downturn in the market hit in 1913, before
the war started.

Here's the real (CPI-deflated) annual average of the Cowles 
Commission index, the SP 500's predecessor:

1900127.27
1901162.27
1902167.47
1903138.19
1904134.96
1905172.36
1906184.96
1907150.43
1908149.14
1909186.37
1910173.02
1911170.92
1912170.24
1913148.28
1914135.36
1915142.40
1916152.42
1917116.46
191888.01
191989.27
192070.01

I don't think Mark has a 20% decline in mind; the 1916-20 slide is 
more like it.

Doug




Globalization by Samir Amin

2000-04-23 Thread Mine Aysen Doyran

Al-Ahram Weekly, 20 - 26 April 2000
Issue No. 478

http://www.ahram.org.eg/weekly/2000/478/in4.htm

Democratising globalisation

 By Samir Amin

   The European Union and the Organisation of African
Unity (OAU) had
   two different agendas prepared for the Africa-Europe
summit held in
   Cairo on 3-4 April. The European agenda was almost
restricted to
   political issues formulated in their usual wording --
"human rights", "good
   governance" -- while the African agenda focused on
conditions for
   relaunching meaningful development in the region --
including, of course,
   the debt issue. The final communiqué shows how some
of the views of
   the weaker partner have been watered down in order to
reach a formal
   consensus.

 The summit was not considered the proper place to deal with the
crucial debt issue since
 the problem involves "other partners" -- the United States, that
is. But Africans were quick
 to point out that this position is hypocritical of Europe, as
Europeans have no less weight in
 the international institutions responsible (the International
Monetary Fund and the World
 Bank) than the US. Instead of ignoring their voting power within
the IMF and the WB,
 Europeans could express views different from those of Washington if
they felt strongly
 enough.

 Nonetheless, Africans were still able to impart some of their views
on the summit -- positive steps that were no doubt achieved thanks to
the fact that Africa, represented through the OAU, could speak with a
single voice. One has to recall here that the major European powers were
not favourable to a summit format focusing on an  "EU-OAU" meeting and
tried, rather, to impose the usual format of "Africa" being represented
by the "head of states and governments of Africa," the existence of the
OAU being forgotten.

The usual rhetoric on "globalisation" (never qualified as it should be)
reads through the final communiqué, but four aspects of globalisation
nevertheless made their way to the table. First, the principle of
differential treatment for developing countries. Second, the need for
Africa to industrialise. Third, the legitimacy of regulatory actions
aimed at stemming the flow of capital out of Africa. Fourth, the
fundamental need to relaunch basic social expenditures (education,
health, infrastructure) -- in itself an indirect critique of the
policies pursued in the frame of so-called structural adjustment.

 More important, perhaps, on political issues the communiqué has
adopted the African point of view that peace and security on the
continent remain the responsibility of the United Nations and the OAU.
This view directly conflicts with the decision adopted by NATO after the
Kosovo war at the end of April 1999, which expanded the
"responsibility" of the Western military alliance beyond Europe to
include Asia and Africa. This conflict in views was  clearly spelled out
by the African contingent.

 Will this document remain simply ink on paper? Or does it announce
the beginning of an evolution toward meaningful  cooperation between
Europe and Africa? The answer depends on how Europe and Africa choose to
move beyond the present neo-liberal concept of globalisation, which in
its turn assumes acceptance of US hegemony. Until now, the EU has not
questioned this pattern of globalisation and seems to accept its
consequences; for example, the double dilution of Europe's political
autonomy into NATO and the European common market into a globalised open
market.

 This choice leaves little room, if any, for meaningful Euro-African
cooperation. The alternative -- pluricentric, regulated globalisation --
makes possible the building of organised regions in Europe, Africa and
elsewhere that  empower economic development and social progress. The
only way forward is to build partnerships in a negotiated process aimed
at regulating globalisation to the benefit of all peoples. We are still
quite far from starting to move in that direction.


--

Mine Aysen Doyran
PhD Student
Department of Political Science
SUNY at Albany
Nelson A. Rockefeller College
135 Western Ave.; Milne 102
Albany, NY 1