Technology will Improve Rural Economies?

2000-04-29 Thread Chris Burford

Do we believe the below?

The centripetal effects of capitalism have become extremely powerful.

It is apparent on a world scale.

In England the economy around London is seriously overheated while the 
periphery struggles. A house in London costs three times that of a 
comparable house in the Midlands of England.

Will the free market address these discrepancies in any socially rational 
way? Probably not.

If reforms are needed for social foresight in planning economies, how about

1) a differential tax on petrol on a sliding scale so that it is 
progressively cheaper in rural areas. (eg making the tax a inverse function 
of the distance from the nearest next filling station)

2) the socialisation of land so that the licence to use land for any 
purpose is open to competitive bidding but within a socially controlled 
development plan?

Chris Burford
London.

The technology boom that has left many rural communities behind in recent 
years also has the power to rapidly improve the economic conditions in 
rural America, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said in a speech 
Thursday.

"Although dislocations are bound to accompany economic growth, we should 
not shrink from accepting the changes that technology will bring but 
rather should rise to its challenges and look forward to the great 
benefits that it can provide over time to all our people, whether they 
live in congested urban areas or in the still-open spaces of rural 
America," Greenspan said in prepared remarks.

Speaking via video link to a conference on rural America in Kansas City, 
Greenspan trumpeted the value of the Internet in linking rural citizens 
with companies eager to tap new sources of workers.

"With communications linkages tightening, businesses that are seeking a 
location in which a supply of dependable workers is readily available can 
more easily gather information about distant rural locations than in the 
past, and energetic rural communities with access to the Internet should 
find it easier to make themselves known to firms that are seeking a 
place," he said.

In addition to bringing new job and economic opportunities to rural 
America, the Internet and other telecommunications advances are also 
helping to raise the basic quality of life in those communities, Greenspan 
contended.

"The standard of living in rural places also is being enhanced by 
technological changes that are expanding the menu of consumption 
possibilities," Greenspan said. "Rural citizens are gaining access to a 
broader range of goods and services, and the already existing goods and 
services are available more expeditiously and at lower cost."

Greenspan's comments follow close on the heels of President Clinton's 
cross-country digital divide junket during which the president visited 
both rural and inner-city communities to call attention to the so-called 
"digital divide" between information technology haves and have-nots.




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: Not a Happy Ending

2000-04-29 Thread Dennis R Redmond

On Fri, 28 Apr 2000, M A Jones wrote:

 Hey, Russia posted a whacking bal of payments surplus last year and has done
 almost every year since 1991. Is it also a no-brainer to buy up some roubles
 right now?

That sounds like a challenge to me. Only trouble is I'm not a Malt Man.
But I'm willing to stake a case of 1995 Wehlener Sonnenuhr Auslese (JJ
Pruem) on an appreciating euro. The spread is a EUR/USD rate of 1.00 or
higher by May 2001. Since I'm going to be in hiding next year, running 
from Sallie Mae's creditors, my broker will be in contact with your
broker.

-- Dennis




The reality of German involvement in central Europe [was Re: Samir Amin: Not a Happy Ending (fwd)

2000-04-29 Thread M A Jones

Dennis R Redmond wrote:

The
 Opposing Team is Daimler, Sony, Mitsubishi, Nokia, etc. and not just
 Microsoft and Intel. We've got to think *past* the Wall Street Bubble, not
 just against it.


Germans flock East for cheap sex and petrol

FROM ALLAN HALL IN CHEB, CZECH REPUBLIC
AS a boom town Cheb has little to say for itself. Years of communist neglect
coupled with the birthing pains of rampant capitalism have left buildings
and streets in a decrepit state. Neglect hangs in the air like noxious gases
from the defunct chemical plants that once spewed poison into the atmosphere
with abandon.
Yet this Czech Republic town and others like it are El Dorados for wealthy
Germans who break for the border each day to carpetbag the spoils of
consumerism with a vengeance. Berlin is painfully aware that billions of
marks that should be heading into its cash-strapped exchequer are being lost
annually in the bazaars of its not-so exotic eastern neighbour.

Everything is cheaper in these frontier towns. Petrol costs 70 pfennigs
(about 22p) a litre less; excellent Czech beer is 28p a half-litre in bars
or £4 for a takeaway case of 24 bottles. Entire outfits of brand-name
Neoprene sportswear, training shoes and counterfeit fashion wear - Versace,
Calvin Klein, Louis Vuitton to name a few - are available for a pittance.

They are hawked, curiously, by Vietnamese traders; once fighters for North
Vietnam's liberation, welcomed as heroes by the commisars of the former
communist Czechoslovakia and now exiles from their homeland. They have found
a new life and, relatively speaking, new riches in the Czech Republic.

Other items they sell in sprawling market stalls housed beneath plastic
sheets are cartons of Western cigarettes, at £10 less per 200 than their
retail price in Germany, bottles of high-grade spirit for £3 each, and
neo-Nazi "white power" CDs that are forbidden across the border.

Authorities refer to the hordes of visitors - an estimated 750,000 a month
to Cheb alone - as the "TBZ Touristen"; T for tanken, or filling up the car;
B for bümsen, a coarse German word for sex; and Z for zigaretten.

This week saw the German equivalent of the CBI arguing against drawing the
Czech Republic and its other eastern neighbour, Poland, into the European
Union club too quickly. While the official line is that they are not "ready"
to play at capitalism on a level field, the fear of German businesses,
particularly small ones, is that manufacturing will be contracted out to
them at bargain-basement rates.

Besides the loss of revenue, German authorities are also deeply concerned
about the B-word. Prostitutes line the boulevards in these seedy, border
towns, wearing little more than scraps of clothing and offering cheap sex -
mostly without condoms.

"Mother comes here to get her hair done and father goes off to the brothel,"
Brigitte Valoweka, a waitress in a Cheb restaurant, said. "A lot of these
girls are Roma, Gypsies. They are dirty and have no idea of staying healthy.
They just want a few marks to take home. It seems that everyone is on the
game. But they only want to do it with rich Schnitzels - Germans."

On the outskirts of Karlovy Vary - the Sudeten spa town of Karlsbad to
Germans - there is the undignified sight each day of hundreds of scantily
clad prostitutes lining the pavement near Theresienstadt, the former Nazi
concentration camp that is now a memorial to Holocaust victims.

Every day 25,000 German cars pour into Cheb, with a similar number of
vehicles crossing into Varnsdorf, heading for the sights and the bargains of
such former Sudeten German towns as Liberec and Brux. Czech authorities like
the hard currency - an industrial wage in the Czech Republic is a fraction
of what it is in Germany - but bemoan the proliferation of the mafia that
has muscled in to control the sex, booze, drugs and illegal weapons sold in
the markets.

Russian Makarov pistols and Kalashnikov rifles can be purchased for a few
marks. A deranged imam, who killed his family of six before turning the gun
on himself in Bielefeld last year, bought his KAL Czech pistol for £10 in a
bazaar on the border.

"They may be old but they are in good condition and you certainly can't get
them as easily in Germany," Dieter Brandl, a civilian employee with the
German Army, said. He travels twice a month from Hof, Bavaria, to practise
shooting at a club outside Cheb.

"The ammunition is half price and the weapons I am able to use much better.
Everyone comes here looking for a bargain and this is mine."

Although the locals deride the Germans and are contemptuous of their big
cars, big waistlines and swaggering manner, they cannot allow personal
feelings to get in the way of commerce. They are dependent on the hard
currency as their jobless queues get longer and the economic outlook remains
bleak.

Max Sommerer, German customs chief at one of the border crossings, said:
"There would be more crossing each day were it not for the traffic jams.
It's like the 

Re: Regulation Theory

2000-04-29 Thread Michael Hoover

 There's an article in the Braudel Center journal I referred to yesterday
 (in reference to Frank and his critics )dealing with Maori capitalism in
 New Zealand, which is apparently influenced by regulation theory.
 Wallerstein also refers to it in his article as one of among different
 contending interpretations of why capitalism arose in the west. (As opposed
 to Marxism, world systems theory and one or two others.) With all the
 brilliant people on PEN-L, can somebody provide a 2 or 3 paragraph
 explanation? I am just not motivated to read a whole book with everything
 else I am involved with right now.
 Louis Proyect

my less than brilliant two cents...

So-called 'Regulation School' grew out of attempts by French theorists 
such as Michel Aglietta (_A Theory of Capitalist Regulation_ is 
probably best known in US), Robert Boyer, Alain Lipeitz to explain 
capitalist restructuring that accompanied end of post-WW2 boom.  These, 
and other, writers have tried to identify forms of competititon, 
capital-labor relations, technical production, money, state intervention, 
international arrangements that contributed to *specific* periods of 
long-term capitalist grow.  Differing forms of above are 'regulatory' 
mechanisms that constitute 'regimes of accumulation.'  Regulationists 
focus their attention on 'Fordism' (David Harvey's _The Condition of 
Postmodernity_ is regulationist work offering good summary of theory, 
Fordism, flexible accumulation, transition from one to other, see Part 
2 of book).

One theorist I'm familiar with who attempted larger historical 
regulation analysis relevant is Michel Beaud whose _History of 
Capitalism_ asserts that 'long journey' toward capitalism's initial 
'accumulation regime' was predicated on conquest and pillage of 
western hemisphere's resources and various structural changes brought 
about by rising bourgeoisie.  Specifically, Beaud cites creation of 
mills as point of departure for capitalist production mode (Excellent 
work but I don't think one has to be regulationist to arrive at B's
conclusions).  

Analysis similar to regulation,, associated with Sam Bowles, late 
David Gordon, Tom Weisskopf, among others, and known as 'social 
structure of accumulation' (SSA) school has existed in US.  

Stavros Mavroudeas has interesting critique of regulation theory in 
Fall 1999 issue of *Science and Society* entitled 'Regulation Theory: 
Creative Marxism to Postmodern Disintegration.'Michael Hoover




The music has stopped but people are still dancing

2000-04-29 Thread Louis Proyect

New York Times, April 29, 2000

Huge Losses Move Soros to Revamp Empire

By DANNY HAKIM

After absorbing huge losses in recent weeks, the financier George Soros
said yesterday that he was reorganizing his investment empire and would
abandon many of the high-risk investment techniques that made him a
billionaire many times over and rewarded his wealthy investors handsomely.
He also warned investors who stick with him to expect lower returns. 

With bets that went sour on technology stocks and on Europe's new currency,
the five funds run by Soros Fund Management have suffered a 20 percent
decline this year and, at $14.4 billion, are down roughly a third from a
peak of $22 billion in August 1998. 

In a letter sent yesterday to shareholders and at a news conference, Mr.
Soros said that his two top money managers would leave their posts shortly.
Stanley F. Druckenmiller, the manager of Mr. Soros's flagship $8.2 billion
Quantum Fund since 1989, will retire, as will S. Nicholas Roditi, manager
of the $1.3 billion Quota Fund. Mr. Soros, who is 69, also said he would
reorganize Quantum into a group of smaller funds and change his investment
style to eliminate some of the risk and reduce the potential for reward. 

"Maybe I don't understand the market," Mr. Soros said at the news
conference. "Maybe the music has stopped but people are still dancing." 

For his own part, he said: "I am anxious to reduce my market exposure and
be more conservative. We will accept lower returns because we will cut the
risk profile." 

The moves were further signs of the turmoil affecting financial markets and
the inability of once-storied money managers to prosper amid the
volatility. At the end of March, Julian H. Robertson Jr., 67, chairman of
the Tiger Management investment company, railed that "we are in a market
where reason does not prevail" and announced that he was dismantling his
fund group after eschewing technology stocks and sustaining significant
losses. 

Unlike Mr. Robertson, Mr. Druckenmiller, 46, made an aggressive move into
technology stocks in mid-1999 after facing a decline of about 20 percent
early last year. But in the sharp slide of the technology-heavy Nasdaq
composite index this month, Mr. Druckenmiller still had many of those bets
in place. 

"I screwed up; I overplayed my hand," said Mr. Druckenmiller, whose Quantum
Fund has fallen 22 percent this year, through Wednesday. "I should have
sold in February." 

In addition to the damage from technology bets, which included Microsoft,
Sun Microsystems and Qualcomm among others, the Quantum Fund was wounded by
currency bets, Mr. Druckenmiller said. The bets, according to one expert,
essentially took the view that the euro would perform well against the
dollar, an assumption that proved wrong. Mr. Druckenmiller said he had been
jettisoning his positions over the last three to four weeks, and one top
money manager, Lawrence A. Bowman, who runs the $5 billion Bowman Capital
Management, said that such selling of Quantum's technology positions
contributed to the recent slide of technology stocks. 

"You can't sell a couple billion dollars' worth of tech stocks without
impacting the market," Mr. Bowman said. "We've heard that they have
liquidated 80 percent of their positions." 

(clip)

Yesterday, Mr. Soros was questioning whether the vicissitudes of the modern
market were transforming the hedge fund industry in ways that made it less
practical to run a so-called macro fund, which is free to use a wide
variety of financial instruments in any area of the world. 

"A large hedge fund like Quantum Fund is no longer the best way to manage
money," Mr. Soros wrote in his letter to shareholders. "Quantum is far too
big and its activities too closely watched by the market to be able to
operate successfully." 

Still, do not expect Mr. Soros's Quantum Endowment to be a so-called
widows-and-orphans fund that caters to risk-averse investors. One reporter
at the news conference asked if the tamer Quantum Endowment would function
more like an annuity, a low-risk investment sold by the insurance industry.
The idea elicited a laugh from the otherwise sober Mr. Druckenmiller. 

"For God's sake," he said, pointing to his boss. "This is George Soros."  


Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: Not a Happy Ending

2000-04-29 Thread M A Jones

Jim Devine wrote:


 Eventually (in 1985-7), the dollar fell (in
 inflation-adjusted terms, using the trade-weighted measure), due to the
 large trade deficits (which had not yet turned into current-account
 deficits) and due to a convergence of US interest rates with those of the
 rest of the world.

This is helpful but the real point is that previous dollar crashes (even
Nixon taking it off the gold standard) have not affecetd the fundamentals of
US hegemony. Why will it be any different now? If Wall Street goes, so will
the world's other bourses; and when the world recovers, other things being
eual, the US will lead the take-off. Plus ca change.

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList




RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Max B. Sawicky

. . .
 Among them was William Appleman Williams who contributed an article to the
 July 1957 American Socialist titled "The Choice Before Us". The article
 stakes out a position which breaks definitively with the FDR as friend of
 peace and democracy paradigm promoted by Earl Browder during the
 war years. . . .


Rutgers history department from '65-'75 was a hotbed of
these types.  Included Eugene Genovese, Lloyd Gardner,
and Warren Susman, who provided a foundation of
intellectual authority for the campus anti-war
left, not to mention the wider audience for their
writings.  I only raise this to point out that
their criticism was almost entirely on foreign
policy, not neglecting its domestic economic
roots, but seldom expanding to the wide range
of issues on the 'domestic' front.  They had
little of special note to say about race or
poverty, the two other big concerns of the time.
As such, they reflected an anti-chauvinist strain
of what could be called isolationism.  Susman
was more or less an ADA-type liberal, while
Gardner could have been mistaken for a Taft-
type isolationist(albeit a very enlightened
and cosmopolitan one).  Genovese's subsequent
erratic path is well known.

mbs




Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Max B. Sawicky wrote:

  Genovese's subsequent
erratic path is well known.

I have a dim childhood memory of Genovese becoming an issue in the NJ 
gubernatorial campaign, after he said he would welcome a Vietcong 
victory. As I recall, the issue was whether he should be fired or not.

Back in '92, though, a friend of mine had dinner with him and he 
sounded off about how he was going to vote for Bush, his only regret 
being that Bush stopped Powell  Schwarzkopf from going onto Baghdad. 
He also denounced the abortion clinic defenses that were big at the 
time. A couple of years ago, Genovese had offered some effusive 
remarks to the neo-confederate journal Southern Partisan on the death 
of the reactionary literary scholar M.E. Bradford. Is that "erratic"?

Doug




RE: Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Max B. Sawicky

 Max B. Sawicky wrote:
   Genovese's subsequent erratic path is well known.
 
 I have a dim childhood memory of Genovese becoming an issue in the NJ 
 gubernatorial campaign, after he said he would welcome a Vietcong 
 victory. As I recall, the issue was whether he should be fired or not.

Right.  He gave a speech where he said that,
tho he had said as much before, but it became
a media event.  His last year at Rutgers was
66-67, right before I arrived, so all my info
on him is second hand from radical grad students
in the history dept.  I was told he
was not fired outright, just made to feel
extremely unwanted.  I believe his next
stop was Yale, so one could imagine worse
forms of punishment.

 Back in '92, though, a friend of mine had dinner with him and he 
 sounded off about how he was going to vote for Bush, his only regret 
 being that Bush stopped Powell  Schwarzkopf from going onto Baghdad. 
 He also denounced the abortion clinic defenses that were big at the 
 time. A couple of years ago, Genovese had offered some effusive 
 remarks to the neo-confederate journal Southern Partisan on the death 
 of the reactionary literary scholar M.E. Bradford. Is that "erratic"?
 Doug

Seeing as how he had been a CPer, then a PLer, then an
independent Stalinist who started and crashed a number
of projects, yes I would say erratic is a reasonable
summary of his trajectory.  His wife -- Elizabeth Fox
Genovese -- has had an equally fascinating intellectual
journey.On the plus side, I am told
he was very generous and non-elitist with young profs.

I met him briefly after a talk he gave at the American
Enterprise Institute.  Told him I knew some marxists
he had nurtured back in the day.  He was amiable enough
and seemed to balance the positives of his own brand
of marxism and conservatism more or less equally.  How
he rationalized it is beyond my powers of comprehension.
The best I can say is that there were some things he
hated so much about some or maybe most of the left
that it drove him all the way to the other side.

My best  only Genovese story.  After he had launched
and then blew up another organizing project of some sort,
his wife was quoted as saying, "Well, Gene wrapped
up another one."

mbs




Re: RE: Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Jim Devine

you wrote that Eugene Genovese
... was amiable enough and seemed to balance the positives of his own 
brand of marxism and conservatism more or less equally.  How he 
rationalized it is beyond my powers of comprehension. The best I can say 
is that there were some things he hated so much about some or maybe most 
of the left that it drove him all the way to the other side.

this is a problem. Sometimes when people start "falling away" from the 
left, the rest of the Left start calling them names, while shunning them 
socially. (This is worse if they belonged to sectarian organizations.) For 
many, that encourages them to surge farther to the right. Right-wingers 
sometimes welcome them with open arms, encouraging that trend.

Of course, it's not just the Left's fault. There's at least one case of 
someone who took this trajectory (e.g., David Horowitz of RAMPARTS 
fame)  where the individual in question should have never been part of the 
Left. And there are jerks distributed randomly across the political 
spectrum, so there's no reason for the Left to beat itself up about this 
phenomenon. But I think we can at least try to avoid pushing people to the 
right.

In the specific case of Genovese, there's more than just pressure from 
fellow leftists or hatred of sectarians. He also became attached to the 
notion that the antebellum South presented a certain kind of natural order 
without all the chaos and individualism that characterizes capitalism. That 
weird idea helped him along.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~JDevine




Re: Re: RE: Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Jim Devine wrote:

In the specific case of Genovese, there's more than just pressure 
from fellow leftists or hatred of sectarians. He also became 
attached to the notion that the antebellum South presented a certain 
kind of natural order without all the chaos and individualism that 
characterizes capitalism. That weird idea helped him along.

He's hardly alone in that, or a version of that. There are plenty of 
leftish folks who revere "traditional" societies, either in our own 
past or somewhere else in space, as being more organic and gentle 
than the USA in the year 2000. I think this is a kind of exoticism, 
but I don't feel like having that fight right now.

Doug




Eugene Genovese and traditional societies

2000-04-29 Thread Louis Proyect

One of these days, when I have the time, I'd like to delve into the
question of Genovese's intellectual evolution. You should remember that in
his Marxist prime, he was linked with Robert Brenner as adhering to a
hard-nosed vision of Marxism that ran counter to the mushy "third worldism"
of the Monthly Review. While Brenner's focus was on rural England of the
16th century, Genovese sought to explain the rise of modern capitalism in
the United States as a class struggle against the feudal south. Since the
system was "feudal", it obviously incorporated aspects of an organic
society based on noblesse oblige mixed with outright repression. This led
Genovese to the controversial conclusion that resistance to slavery was
fairly minimal. At some point, he lost interest in the underclass
apparently and became much more interested in the life-style and values of
the ruling class.

I tend to agree with Jim Blaut that the slavocracy was based on capitalist
rather than feudal property relations, just as I believe contra Brenner
that capitalism describes the class relations that existed in 16th and 17th
century Latin America.

As to the suggestion that the ante-bellum south had anything in common with
the ways in which the Arawak, Hawaiians or Inuit lived because they are all
"precapitalist" or "traditional", I can only suggest that PEN-L'ers read
"Origins of the Family, Private Property and the State" where Engels writes
of the constitution that governed the Iroquois confederacy:

"And a wonderful constitution it is, this gentile constitution, in all its
childlike simplicity! No soldiers, no gendarmes or police, no nobles,
kings, regents, prefects, or judges, no prisons, no lawsuits-and everything
takes its orderly course. All quarrels and disputes are settled by the
whole of the community affected, by the gens or the tribe, or by the gentes
among themselves; only as an extreme and exceptional measure is blood
revenge threatened-and our capital punishment is nothing but blood revenge
in a civilized form, with all the advantages and drawbacks of civilization.
Although there were many more matters to be settled in common than
today-the household is maintained by a number of families in common, and is
communistic, the land belongs to the tribe, only the small gardens are
allotted provisionally to the households -- yet there is no need for even a
trace of our complicated administrative apparatus with all its
ramifications. The decisions are taken by those concerned, and in most
cases everything has been already settled by the custom of centuries. There
cannot be any poor or needy-the communal household and the gens know their
responsibilities towards the old, the sick, and those disabled in war. All
are equal and free-the women included. There is no place yet for slaves,
nor, as a rule, for the subjugation of other tribes."

If you want to know what Marx and Engels thought of the plantation system
in the south by contrast, I refer PEN-L'ers to Marx's Herald Tribune
articles that called for smashing the system into the ground. As far as I
know, Engels agreed with him. Neither really called for smashing the
American Indians into the ground as far as I know. That's the position of
dogmatic Marxists like Bob Avakian who don't really understand Marx.

The last time I heard American Indian society and the slavocracy conflated
on PEN-L was the time Jim Heartfield was around. Not only do Marx and
Engels' writings militate against that view, it should be obvious from the
vast evidence of anthropological research from Franz Boas to Marshall
Sahlins that communal societies, despite their sometimes desperate
connections to available resources, were a lot freer than any society that
has followed them in the "evolutionary chain", which of course has nothing
to do with Marxism to begin with.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread JKSCHW

In a message dated 00-04-29 13:33:05 EDT, you write:

 Rutgers history department from '65-'75 was a hotbed of
 these types.  Included Eugene Genovese, Lloyd Gardner,
 and Warren Susman, . . . . They had
 little of special note to say about race or
 poverty, the two other big concerns of the time.. . .   Genovese's subsequent
 erratic path is well known. 

Genovese had little to say about race? What planet are you from? Never mind 
hsi subsequenr path; he's a major analyst of the roots of race relations in 
this country, and hsi work through the late 70s or early 80s is of lasting 
value.

--jks




RE: Re: RE: William Appleman Williams

2000-04-29 Thread Max B. Sawicky

  Rutgers history department from '65-'75 was a hotbed of
  these types.  Included Eugene Genovese, Lloyd Gardner,
  and Warren Susman, . . . . They had
  little of special note to say about race or
  poverty, the two other big concerns of the time.. . .   
 Genovese's subsequent
  erratic path is well known. 
 
 Genovese had little to say about race? What planet are you from? 


Klendathu, but let me qualify.  I was speaking from my
personal experience w/the profs, and EG had left by
the time I arrived, as I noted.  Of course EG had a
lot to say about race.  My point was those remaining
did not, as I recollect.  Their main contribution was
in re: the war.

mbs