I think Barkley is quite correct about the relative success of the
Slovenian economy.  The unemployment rate peaked at 9.1 % (ILO
definition) in 1993 and had fallen to 7.4 % by 1995, well below the
German rate.  GDP had recoved to about 97 % of the
pre-breakup maximum by 1995 and real wages stood about 5% higher than
the were in 1990 before the war.  Inflation in 1996 was estimated at 10
% and the real growth rate at 3 %.  Much of this is detailed in
my article with Bogomil Ferfila  in *Slovenija*, "The Slovene Economy:
the First Five Years", Summer 1996.  I am in the process of updating
this article but existing trends seem to be being followed.

Re the property/ownership situation, the majority of the economy is
now privatized but the privatization scheme has left control largely
still in the hands of the workers/unions -- so much so that the
managers have been complaining that nothing has changed.  I hope to
get to Slovenia next year to do a survey of managers to find out if
that is still the case.  Barkley is also correct about FDI.  Of the
more than 1500 privatization programs received by the Slovene Agency
for Restructuring and Privatization by April 1995, only three
involved foreign participation.

Re the analysis of Yugoslavia outlined by Louis, it certainly doesn't
appear much like what I saw in Yugoslavia over the last 10 or so
years.  Ferfila and I give a much different interpretation in our
book *The Rise and Fall of the Third Way: Yugoslavia 1945-1991*.  In
fact, one of the causes we cite for the collapse of the country was
the imposition of utopian schemes by the top theoreticians (e.g.
Kardelj in particular) rather than working through praxis to modify
the system.  However, the whole argument is too long to present here.

In short, I would agree with Barkley that both its success and its
failure makes Slovenia a useful (though flawed) model for a feasible
socialist alternative.

Nasvidinje
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba


Reply via email to