RE: Re: Israel as a Client

2002-04-30 Thread Michael Hoover

Michael Perelman writes: 
Doesn't the United States have a poor record in selecting its clients?
Mobutu, Marcos, Somoza, 

comment: don't forget Noriega, Saddam Hussein, Osama bin Laden, etc.
JD

shah pahlavi's iran, intended to check 'radical' iraq, block soviet overland access to 
region, police oil-rich persian gulf...

poor record in selecting clients comes with being hegemon (although i guess even 
neo-realists like robert gilpin might
recognize potential for future hegemon in state-based international system to employ 
different policies/principles than those adhered to by u.s.)...   michael hoover 




Re: Israel as a Client

2002-04-29 Thread Michael Hoover

Is it possible that the United States leaders felt more 
 comfortable around the European Israelis rather than the 
Arab leaders?
Michael Perelman

george kennan called arabs dirty and ignorant...  michael hoover
 




RE: Re: Israel as a Client

2002-04-27 Thread Devine, James

Michael Perelman writes: 
Doesn't the United States have a poor record in selecting its clients?
Mobutu, Marcos, Somoza, 

comment: don't forget Noriega, Saddam Hussein, Osama bin Laden, etc.
JD




Israel as a Client

2002-04-26 Thread Max Sawicky

I've been thinking about this a bit more.
What follows is today's hypothesis.  Next
week, who knows.

If you look at it from one end, there was
little to recommend Israel as a client state,
in and of itself, relative to other states. Why
not make Egypt a military collossus on
behalf of the U.S.?  Why indulge a nation
of six million rather than its far more populous
neighbors?  U.S. public opinion is a factor,
I would acknowledge, but is not sufficient
to explain U.S. policy in support of Israel.

A factor in British thinking around and after
WWI was Palestine's location in re: the Suez
Canal and Britain's connection to India.  But
the Brits were not interested in limiting themselves
to one client.  The more the merrier.  They were
more interested in denying clients to Russia
(and later, the USSR) and Germany.

Similarly, the interests of any would-be imperialism
would logically be to enlist as many clients as possible
in strategic locations.

A key caveat is that the actions of one client should
not be so odious as to drive away other clients.  So
Israel can survive as long as it doesn't get too big
for its britches.  No Nile to Euphrates nonsense.
It is all right for your clients to hate each other,
not all right for them to destroy each other.
Everybody is kept on a leash.

The Oslo process can be explained in this light
as an ambitious effort to recast arrangements
among clients who happen to be mutual enemies
for the sake of regional stabilization.

Islamic and Jewish fundamentalism in the ME have
both pushed this project off the rails.  Fundamentalism
has an autonomous, intransigent, volatile character that
can get away from you -- the proverbial blowback.

This development feeds and is fed by the emergence
of a new strategic orientation in the Son-of-Bush
Administration, as discussed in Lemann's New Yorker
piece.  The adoption of agressive, military projection
to pacify the U.S.'s Islamic clients and destroy the most
recalcitrant ones (Iraq, Iran, Syria).  Naturally in this
scenario Israel's role is paramount.  Not incidentally,
Israel's most vociferous partisans are also those most
committed to U.S. power projection.

In a nutshell, there are two alternative imperialisms in
question here, each with their own cohort of apologists
in the U.S. and associates in the ME, each moving to
make the other untenable.

In this context, pipelines are a small part of the puzzle,
just one stand of trees in the forest of the Great Game
of this century -- control of Central Asia and the ME
in conditions of increasing scarcity of oil.

mbs




Israel as a Client

2002-04-26 Thread Charles Brown

Israel as a Client
by Max Sawicky
26 April 2002 14:55 UTC  


CB: Since Max is taking the responsibility to think out the complexities, let me take 
the privilege of responding  with what popped into my head when I read his post:

 Divide and rule is the old game. The Brits and Yanks get a lot more divisive bangs 
for their bucks out of the heavily armed Israeli presence than trying to somehow  pit 
some of the other countries in the region against each other. Secondly, speaking of 
the Great Game of the century, is there a game theory analysis of all this ?




I've been thinking about this a bit more.
What follows is today's hypothesis.  Next
week, who knows.

If you look at it from one end, there was
little to recommend Israel as a client state,
in and of itself, relative to other states. Why
not make Egypt a military collossus on
behalf of the U.S.?  Why indulge a nation
of six million rather than its far more populous
neighbors?  U.S. public opinion is a factor,
I would acknowledge, but is not sufficient
to explain U.S. policy in support of Israel.

A factor in British thinking around and after
WWI was Palestine's location in re: the Suez
Canal and Britain's connection to India.  But
the Brits were not interested in limiting themselves
to one client.  The more the merrier.  They were
more interested in denying clients to Russia
(and later, the USSR) and Germany.

Similarly, the interests of any would-be imperialism
would logically be to enlist as many clients as possible
in strategic locations.

A key caveat is that the actions of one client should
not be so odious as to drive away other clients.  So
Israel can survive as long as it doesn't get too big
for its britches.  No Nile to Euphrates nonsense.
It is all right for your clients to hate each other,
not all right for them to destroy each other.
Everybody is kept on a leash.

The Oslo process can be explained in this light
as an ambitious effort to recast arrangements
among clients who happen to be mutual enemies
for the sake of regional stabilization.

Islamic and Jewish fundamentalism in the ME have
both pushed this project off the rails.  Fundamentalism
has an autonomous, intransigent, volatile character that
can get away from you -- the proverbial blowback.

This development feeds and is fed by the emergence
of a new strategic orientation in the Son-of-Bush
Administration, as discussed in Lemann's New Yorker
piece.  The adoption of agressive, military projection
to pacify the U.S.'s Islamic clients and destroy the most
recalcitrant ones (Iraq, Iran, Syria).  Naturally in this
scenario Israel's role is paramount.  Not incidentally,
Israel's most vociferous partisans are also those most
committed to U.S. power projection.

In a nutshell, there are two alternative imperialisms in
question here, each with their own cohort of apologists
in the U.S. and associates in the ME, each moving to
make the other untenable.

In this context, pipelines are a small part of the puzzle,
just one stand of trees in the forest of the Great Game
of this century -- control of Central Asia and the ME
in conditions of increasing scarcity of oil.

mbs






Re: Israel as a Client

2002-04-26 Thread Michael Perelman

Doesn't the United States have a poor record in selecting its clients?
Mobutu, Marcos, Somoza, 

Is it possible that the United States leaders felt more comfortable around
the European Israelis rather than the Arab leaders?
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]