Rat choice

2000-04-22 Thread Jim Devine


But I agree that more recently Bates's insights have seemed to me to be 
more obscured than sharpened by the "rational choice" methodology in 
political science...

how does the "rat choice" method of PoliSci differ from that of economics? 
supposedly, rat choice logic is one of the major theoretical tools that 
sharpens rather than obscures economic thinking, right?

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~JDevine




[PEN-L:2867] illusions of rat-choice (was: AIDS and the blow back)

1999-02-04 Thread sokol

Rob:

"Dropping contaminated corpses" was - of course - a historical metaphor
showing the illusion of safet provided by walls, wasn't it Constantinople
that not only fell to the "bacteriological warfare" but whose refugees also
spread the disease across Europe?
For that matter, the film "Safe" - arguably one of the best American motion
pictures in the last quarter of the century -- beautifully shows the
illusory safety offerred by new age "refuge communities"  (no wonder why
liberals and new agers hated the film).

As far as responses to crises are concerned, I am really far away from
rat-choice and game theories, beacuse they try to explain behaviour from
omniscient hindsight assumed by the viewer.  These theories assume that the
actors think what the viewer does - indeed, an example of the arrogance of
(social) philosophy -  without trying to investigate into the actors'
actual thinking, motives, definitions of the situation etc.

I am much more inclined to accept a situationist point of view claiming
that people re-eneac certain role that come with the definition of the
situation, even if that means being harmed in the end.  That point is well
argued by Jack Katz in  _ Seductions of crime : moral and sensual
attractions in doing evil_  New York: Basic Books, 1988 -- where he shows
how crime requires a ceratin cooperation between the perpetrator and the
victim, each one playing the appropriate to the situation and predictable
role.  He furrther argues that defining the sitiuation as a certain type of
crime by the perpetrator is a prerequisite of  a success, for otherwise the
behavior of the victim is not predictable.


I am pretty sure that such is the explanation of the apparent cooperation
of nazi victims - the victims simply succumbed to the definition of the
situation imposed by the nazis and duly played their victims roles (cf.
Richard Rubinstein, _The Cunning of History_ ).  I sincerely doubt that any
rat-choice calculation, e.g. "compliance will prolong my life by a few
minutes" took place.  I am pretty sure that had someone transgressed the
nazi-imposed script and, like that proverbial child souting "the emperor
has no clothes" -- the people quietly marching to the gas chamber would
ceased so doing and behaved "unpredictably."

That illusrates the powerful influence of collective norms on individual
behavior.  "Keeping up with the Jonses" may not stand up to the standards
of rat-choice, but certainly reduces uncertainty.  

That I think may explain much of the behavior associated with capitalism -
people go shopping sprees, vote  answer opinion polls in a predictable
way, scapegoat the poor, flee to the burbs etc. not because of some
rationally (mis)calculated risks, but because they have been lead to
believe that everyone does so and hence it is the "right thing to do."
They simply play out the roles they think are expected of them.

That view, BTW, offers some hints about the possible scenearios for a
revolution in the US Doug asked about a few days ago.  Here is one.  Have a
few truckloads of dynamite to blow up TV stations and newspaper printing
facilities and a few crates of ammo to shoot the celebrities and pundits -
or find some other way to shut the tube up so people will not know anymore
what is being expected of them, what script to follow.  Chaos will result,
but chaos is a prelude to a revolution.  


Best regards,

Wojtek






Prostitution, marriage rat-choice

1998-01-09 Thread Wojtek Sokolowski

At 04:05 PM 1/8/98 -0800, Bill Burgess wrote:
This is not only too much faith in the equality of buyer and seller in the
market, it is too bleak a view of most (physical and emotional) relations
between men and women to be taken seriously.  


It is not the matter of faith in the market, but of the fundamental
difference in cost/benefit calculation between transaction in the market
vs. one in the so-called traditional social institutions.  Assuming no
relation between a sex worker and her client other than a "spot"
transaction exchanging sex for money, there is little opportunity cost for
a sex worker passing on a particular prospective client.  

However, the very nature of most social institutions is to increase the
opportunity cost to motivate the actor to engage rather than not to engage
in a particular sort of activity.  In a marriage-type relationship that
opportunity may vary form informal sanctions imposed by the husband who got
a cold shoulder (ranging from displaying his dissatisfaction to getting
physical) to ending the relationship.  Thus, the opportunity cost of sex
(emotional attachment, informal and formal sanctions) for a woman is
considerably higher in marriage than in a "spot" sex-for-money transaction.

Of course, that is not limited to marriage.  By their very nature, social
institutions impose opportunity cost on certain actions which does not
exist from a rat-choice perspective (assuming no relationship among actors
other than how they value the exchanged objects) - and that explains why
people do what they should not be doing from a rat-choice point of view.
Thus, most women have little to gain from marriage, both emotionally and
financially -- and if they calculated the cost/benefit from a purely
rat-choice perspective, few of them would marry.  That, however, is not
what happens, for there is a considerable opportunity cost attached to the
institution of marriage in the form of a host of informal sanctions
(ostracism, loss of status, ridicule, etc.) which alter the cost/benefit
marriage for the woman and push her into a relationship in which she may
have  little to gain personally.



There is a very good reason for the 'socialist moralism' regarding
prostitution - it reflects the plebian horror of falling into poverty,
privation, dependency, lumpenization, etc. 


Perhaps, but that may or may not be an important factor.  I think that the
fear of falling down the social ladder is much greater in the middle class
than in the working class - for two reasons: working class has much less to
loose than the "middle" class, and working class has social mechanism to
cope with life contingencies that the "middle" class is lacking.  That
mechanism is social solidarity or the obligation to aid another member of
the community in need.  The "middle" class, by contrast, tends to rely on
accumulated wealth and formal agreements (insurance, retirement accounts)
rather than informal social solidarity ties.

That explains, for example, why working class is less attached to their
material possessions and is more willing to share them (cf. on average
working class contributes a higher share of their disposable income to
public causes than the middle class).  

IMO, the main reason behind 'working class moralism' is that not playing
expected social roles jeopardizes social solidarity ties - the main
mechanism of coping with contingencies.  Thus, prostitution threatens the
unity of the household, just as homosexulaity and any other
non-conventional gender role does.  In the same vein, flag burning
threatens the unity of the nation.  Hence the staunch oppostion of the
working class to non-traditional gender roles, falg burining, and other
forms of individualism that intellectuals falsely interpret as "conservatism."

Regards,


wojtek sokolowski 
institute for policy studies
johns hopkins university
baltimore, md 21218
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
voice: (410) 516-4056
fax:   (410) 516-8233