Re: Re: Re: Re: "Fear and insecurity" over the 1955 bull market

2000-02-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Brad De Long wrote:

>Why is this a good unconventional measure? I would prefer the total 
>market capitalization of the S&P 500 divided by the companies' total 
>annual wage bill...

Conceptually, the S&P 500 is the price of a share of blue-chip 
corporate America. So, dividing it by the average wage would tell you 
how long it would take for the average worker to buy a representative 
share of big U.S. capital. It's propagandistically nice for those of 
us who remember those charts of how long it would take a Soviet vs. a 
U.S. worker to buy a pair shoes. Speaking of which, it'd be 
interesting to see a chart of how long it'd take a Nike worker to buy 
a pair of Nike shoes.

Doug



Re: Re: Re: "Fear and insecurity" over the 1955 bull market

2000-02-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Jim Devine wrote:

> [*] if this research is accurate, it seems prima facie proof that people
> are irrational.

It proves that people often/usually reach irrational *conclusions*. It offers
no evidence one way or the other as to (a) whether the process by which
they reached the conclusions was irrational or (b) whether they are
irrational. In at least one way people are like computers: GIGO. And
most of us have very little control over what comes in. It is this lack
of control over input that creates all the illusions which ground such
superstitions as psychoanalysis, astrology, conspiracy theories, etc.

Carrol



Re: Re: Re: "Fear and insecurity" over the 1955 bull market

2000-02-29 Thread Jim Devine


>When I first studied econ. in the 1950s, it was an article of faith that wages
>would move with productivity.  Now, economists still try to maintain that
>tradition by appealing to "unobserved factors."

according to neoclassical theory, wages should move with the marginal 
productivity of labor. Since the latter is generally unobservable and 
doesn't exist at the macroeconomic level, unobservability seems the rule, 
not the exception.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~jdevine