[PEN-L] Ghana water privatisation

2005-01-25 Thread Chris Burford
Does anyone know how well founded this campaign is. WDM, World
Development Movement, is a well organised campaigning non-charity that
came out of Oxfam and it has had some legal and political successes.
But I am wondering whether to send it to a Quaker friend of mine, who
has just come back from Ghana after a well intentioned visit to
promote a youth exchange.  I do not want to burden him with a
contentious obligation, if it does not grow naturally out of the
concerns of the people there.
WDM is so well organised, including about raising money for its
campaigns, it is just possible that is extremely valid but a bit
artificial as far as the consciousness of the local people is
concerned.
On the other hand I could well imagine that the very opposite is the
case ...
Any comments please?
http://www.wdm.org.uk/biwater/index.htm
Chris Burford
London


Re: [PEN-L] Ghana water privatisation

2005-01-25 Thread Patrick Bond
- Original Message -
From: "Chris Burford" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Does anyone know how well founded this campaign is.
In my view, it's one of the hottest water fights underway anywhere in the
world (alongside Bolivia, Nicaragua, Philippines, South Africa, Uruguay,
Indonesia). One key leader, Rudolf Amenga-Etego, won the Goldman prize last
year, and really deserved it.
I only saw them up close for a week in May 2001, but have run into the Accra
comrades at many other anti-neoliberal events. Superb people with a
fascinating political lineage...
Cheers,
Patrick
***
http://www.zmag.org/sustainers/content/2001-05/23bond.htm
May 23 2001
Ghana's hydro-class struggles
ACCRA -- Notwithstanding the horrific soccer stadium disaster in which at
least 165 people were killed in a police-incited stampede on May 9, the past
week offered signs of genuine hope in Ghana.
I've been privileged to witness a careful regrouping of the country's former
revolutionary student/community movement, which is strengthening its
political base by addressing two key areas of economic and social strife:
the legacy of structural adjustment and water privatisation.
As was the case recently in Bolivia, Ecuador and South Africa, Ghana's
capital city and rural areas could witness rising protest in coming months.
The combination of neoliberal economic policies and the commodification of
water could well drive ordinary Ghanaians to the streets.
That would be bad news for a vociferous US ideologue of neoliberalism,
Thomas Friedman of the New York Times, who visited Accra in late April and
declared that Africans want free markets, penetration by multinational
corporations and the Clinton Administration's African Growth and Opportunity
Act of 2000 (AGOA).
"While the protesters in Quebec were busy denouncing globalization in the
name of Africans and the world's poor," wrote Friedman on April 24,
"Africans themselves will tell you that their problem with globalization is
not that they are getting too much of it, but too little."
Friedman cited just one Ghanaian, George Apenteng of the Institute for
Economic Affairs, which is funded by transnational corporations, including
Kaiser Aluminum and Unilever.
A far better informant would have been Charles Abugre, director of ISODEC,
the Integrated Social Development Centre, whose 68 staff do top-quality
radical analysis, publishing, development projects, community organising,
Africa-wide and international networking, and unrelenting advocacy.
"AGOA is not having a positive effect in Ghana," says Abugre. "We see it
merely as an instrument for opening Ghana's markets in the name of promoting
US investments. For Friedman to argue that AGOA will be the means by which
we can penetrate the US market is a delusion. The main effect of AGOA is to
link aid to economic reform, by which is meant the dismantling of state
regulatory environment. There are no benefits, and the costs include clear
manifestations of deepening structural adjustment and deregulation."
ISODEC and its allies in the African Trade and Development Network are
campaigning to roll back AGOA. Abugre calls for vigilance from US-based
Africa solidarity activists. "We are protesting AGOA in civil society groups
across Africa and are placing it on the agenda of the Organisation of
African Unity and UN Economic Commission for Africa. AGOA is simply another
way of undermining Africa's ability to mobilise domestic resources for
development, and of enforcing an anti- developmental trade regime."
Two decades ago, Abugre and several of ISODEC's other leaders were amongst
those responsible for giving Flight Lieutenant Jerry Rawlings a social power
base of enormous importance--to their great regret.
For after taking control of the students' June 4 Movement and gaining state
power in a December 1981 coup, Rawlings did a vicious political U-turn
within months, forcing the lead activists into exile, jailing thousands, and
killing hundreds.
The final straw was the young leftists' defeat after a national debate in
late 1982 over whether Ghana should turn to the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) for a structural adjustment loan programme. Though public opinion was
clearly with the student movement, conservative opportunists emerged and
helped Rawlings turn right, though he retained his nationalist demagoguery.
(The story of Ghana's revolutionary moment and its squashing is well told by
Zaya Yeebo in his book, Ghana: The Struggle for Popular Power, published in
1991 by New Beacon Books of London.)
During the 1980s-90s the IMF and World Bank ran roughshod over Ghana,
helping open the country's doors to Western governments whose aid schemes
nearly invariably failed. US administrations became friendlier, capped by a
visit from Bill Clinton in 1998. Formal democracy was finally restored in
1992 (Rawlings was then elected twice amidst a mediocre field and boycotts
by opposition parties due to blatant vote-rigging).
Amidst the chaos and underdevelopment, Ghana was officiall

Re: [PEN-L] Ghana water privatisation

2005-01-25 Thread soula avramidis

These are abridged notes about an FDI reprot on Ghana in 2002. Look towards the end.
 
1.  It appears that although Ghanian per capita GDP dropped by about a third the numbers of people in poverty declined. The national poverty line dropped from 40% to 31%. It is also evident that steady growth experienced  by Ghana since 1984 did not translate into a commensurate level of human development ( the human development index remained nearly unchanged). This raises the question: why growth did not spill over into development and, in particular, what was the role of free market reform and FDI promotion in precipitating this poor development outcome. 
2.  Apart from the high peak of FDI flows in the mid nineties, which was due namely to a bout of privatisation in the primary sectors, the levels of FDI declined significantly afterwards and any above average performance can be ascribed to a shift in property of already existing capital stock rather than net additions caused by an expansion of economic activity. More
 importantly, if one considers the trends in FDI apart from this bout of privatisation, it appears that on average, the non market friendly period of pre 1984 is just the same, if not higher, than the post 1984 market friendly period. I understand that a shift in property in the primary sectors is not in itself a kernel for development unless it leads to an expansion in economic activity, viz. industrial activity. However, one notices that local industry did not expand. If anything, industry shrunk (see share of industry/manufacturing  in Ghana)
3.  Moreover, it appears that the revenues generated from privatisation  had no lasting effect on growth (recent recession), and in all likelihood they went to service  a growing budget deficit and external financial constraints/requirements. A closer look at macro data indicates that the 2000 recession was caused by a decline in ODA levels (delays in disbursements as well). Thus irrespective of higher
 revenues from privatisation, as a ratio from GDP these privatisation revenues remained low. One also asks what are the institutional drawbacks that make privatisation a one time gain, e.g. absence of progressive taxation. 
4.  Overall and as a ratio from GDP, ODA remained significant to this economy. Evidently it is this latter component that needs to be addressed- quality and targets for investments. Recall that national savings remained extremely low (about 6% of GDP); so growth must have been generated through external savings. What else would explain the high ratio of investment (nearly a quarter of GDP). And if so, when inflation was brought under control and fiscal restraint was being exercised under the
 dictate of the Bank and the Fund, also growth was proceeding at a steady pace, why haven’t private flows picked up. This crucial question is answered in the sense that more market reforms are needed to boost the process. But the initial flaw lies in the savings investment nexus. No one is going to feel comfortable in a situation where investments are fuelled by additional borrowing and savings do not pick up. That is a recession waiting to happen. So the point is in how to allow a genuine process of high internal savings high investments. The already existing framework for foreign investors guarantees the principal right of high returns and repatriation, so the flaw is more endemic on the macro level and this is a completely forgotten point.  
5.  There is no significance of the contribution of FDI to growth. The most recent empirical results from the literature show no effect of FDI on growth or, at best, the results are inconclusive. In the case of Ghana the ratio of FDI to GDP is less than one percent. Additions to capital stock over time have
 to be comparable to these low ratios.  However, Ghana, was one of the highest recipients of ODA in Africa (about 600 Dollars per head on average). Also a big chunk of public investment, which is more than four times the size of private investment, is determined by ODA. Also note that in Ghana, private investment since the nineties remained steady and the rise in total investment is principally fuelled by public investment. Therefore, this significant component of investment is not given the
 consideration it deserves. I think that one should talk about the stylised facts of high foreign capital flows to GDP ratio and low savings to GDP ratio. This may indicate that Ghana experienced a significant  consumption leakage, hence reducing private savings. It may be that the government is not growth maximizing and that ODA flows are channeled into raising consumption either directly, or through shifting resources currently earmarked for investment. Consequently public savings could fall with falling tax receipts or by a change in the composition of government expenditure. Indeed, foreign capital lowered domestic savings in this instance. Als