McKINSEY’s STUDY ON IT CAPABILITY

China no threat to India


China may have stolen a march on India in
manufacturing but it will take years before it can
catch up with its neighbour in information technology
(IT), says a study conducted by consultancy firm
Mckinsey, reports PTI from New Delhi.

“It will be many years before China poses a threat to
India in IT. For starters, the Chinese must
consolidate their highly fragmented industry to gain
the size and expertise needed to capture large
international projects. Currently, there is little
movement in this direction,” the study said.

Shortcomings in the structure of China's IT industry
prevent it from taking full advantage of fast
increasing number of engineering graduates,
software-applications professionals and
English-speaking graduates, the study said.

Since 1997, annual revenues in software and IT
services have risen 42 percent a year, on average,
reaching $6.8 billion in 2003. Although revenues from
IT services are rising, they are barely half of
India’s $12.7 billion a year.

Growth in China is driven by domestic demand; most
customers are small and midsize Chinese enterprises
that want their software customized to their own
needs.

China’s nascent foreign software-outsourcing business
accounts for just 10 per cent of the industry’s total
revenue, compared with around 70 per cent for India.

Japanese customers, who seek mostly low-value
application-development contracts rather than more
lucrative ones for design, supply about 65 per cent of
this sector’s income. Despite lower costs, operating
margins in Chinese software-services companies average
only seven per cent, compared with 11 per cent at
similar companies around the world, because many
projects are below optimal scale, suppliers often
compete on price and collecting payments can be
problematic.

To compete effectively in global outsourcing, China’s
software industry must consolidate. The top 10
IT-services companies have only about a 20 per cent
share of the market, compared with 45 per cent
commanded by India's top 10, McKinsey said.

China has about 8,000 software services providers, and
almost three-quarters of them have fewer than 50
employees. No company has emerged from this crowded
pack; indeed, only five have more than 2,000
employees.

India, on the other hand, has fewer than 3,000
software services companies. Of these, at least 15
have more than 2,000 workers, and some, including
Infosys Technologies, Tata Consultancy Services, and
Wipro Technologies have garnered international
recognition and a global clientele, the consultancy
firm said.

Without adequate scale, Chinese players are unlikely
to attract top international clients. The study shows
that only about 12 per cent of Chinese software
services providers see mergers, acquisitions, and
alliances as a priority. Managers in China have little
M&A experience, and although the culture tends to
favour organic growth, relying on it to counter new
competitors is not realistic. Meanwhile, several
Indian companies are considering acquisitions of
Chinese firms to expand their operations.




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