Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread David Lord

Brian Utterback wrote:

On 12/2/2014 4:00 AM, Rob wrote:

The whole have 3 servers to select a majority thing is absolutely not
required when your servers are accurately synchronized themselves and
your requirements are only within-a-second.  It is true that when you
have two servers the clients cannot know which one is right, but it is
trivial to keep servers within a millisecond of eachother with GPS and
within 10 milliseconds using only network peering.  To that is two
orders of magnitude better than you require.


Be careful with this generalization. While it may be trivial, it isn't 
automatic. I deal with customers all the time that have configured 
exactly two servers on their clients and then are surprised later when 
all of the clients become unsynchronized and start free drifting. I 
always recommend against it. I still think that it takes four to 
guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will 
spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is 
something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off 
with one than two from an operational standpoint.


The ntp html docs on selection state that four are needed to
guarantee a majority and give an example of this case.


David



Brian Utterback


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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread Rob
David Lord sn...@lordynet.org wrote:
 Brian Utterback wrote:
 On 12/2/2014 4:00 AM, Rob wrote:
 The whole have 3 servers to select a majority thing is absolutely not
 required when your servers are accurately synchronized themselves and
 your requirements are only within-a-second.  It is true that when you
 have two servers the clients cannot know which one is right, but it is
 trivial to keep servers within a millisecond of eachother with GPS and
 within 10 milliseconds using only network peering.  To that is two
 orders of magnitude better than you require.
 
 Be careful with this generalization. While it may be trivial, it isn't 
 automatic. I deal with customers all the time that have configured 
 exactly two servers on their clients and then are surprised later when 
 all of the clients become unsynchronized and start free drifting. I 
 always recommend against it. I still think that it takes four to 
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will 
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is 
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off 
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.

 The ntp html docs on selection state that four are needed to
 guarantee a majority and give an example of this case.

In practice this problem does not occur when you use only your own
servers that you monitor and trust, and it confuses people that
want to setup NTP on their company network.

They get sent away with you need to configure and maintain 4 servers
or better even more.  When the servers either are synced correctly
or are down, this is not required.

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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread brian utterback

On 12/3/2014 5:33 PM, William Unruh wrote:
 On 2014-12-03, Jan Ceuleers jan.ceule...@computer.org wrote:
 On 12/03/2014 02:58 PM, Brian Utterback wrote:
 I still think that it takes four to
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.
 It takes three servers *at all times* to enable clients to use majority
 voting. So if you want to guard against a single failure (i.e. not a
 single falseticker, a single server that goes offline), then you need four.
 Offline IS a false ticker. And no, you need three. In fact to gaurd
 against offline, you only need two. Guarding against falseticking is
 harder than guarding against offline. Just as it is harder to guard
 against a liar than a dead man. 



I remain unconvinced. I believe that it takes three correct servers to
outvote a single falseticker, meaning that if you want to be safe
against one of your servers becoming a falseticker and still being
accepted as the system server by a client, the client needs at least
four servers.

Remember that a vote is not for a single offset, it is for a single
offset plus or minus the error, which in our case is the dispersion. Be
definition a truechimer is a server whose range of offset-disp to
offset+disp includes the actual time, while a falseticker is a server
whose range does not include the actual time. Now suppose you have three
servers, two truechimers and one falseticker, call them T1, T2 and F.
The actual time is a bit above the T1 offset, meaning it is in the
interval between T1off and T1off+T1disp. The actual time is also in the
interval T2off-T2disp and T2off, which is to say that they both overlap
with the real time but neither overlaps the other's offset.

Now imagine that the falseticker has a similar overlap with T1, but on
the interval T1off-T1disp to T1off. That interval does not include the
real time, so F is indeed a falseticker. So, we have a completely
symmetric situation, with T1 and F voting for an interval that does
not include the real time and T1 and T2 voting for an interval that
does include the real time. By what mechanism are we to presume that the
client will choose the interval that includes the real time?

-- 
Brian Utterback
Solaris RPE, Oracle Corporation.
Ph:603-262-3916, Em:brian.utterb...@oracle.com


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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread William Unruh
On 2014-12-04, David Lord sn...@lordynet.org wrote:
 Brian Utterback wrote:
 On 12/2/2014 4:00 AM, Rob wrote:
 The whole have 3 servers to select a majority thing is absolutely not
 required when your servers are accurately synchronized themselves and
 your requirements are only within-a-second.  It is true that when you
 have two servers the clients cannot know which one is right, but it is
 trivial to keep servers within a millisecond of eachother with GPS and
 within 10 milliseconds using only network peering.  To that is two
 orders of magnitude better than you require.
 
 Be careful with this generalization. While it may be trivial, it isn't 
 automatic. I deal with customers all the time that have configured 
 exactly two servers on their clients and then are surprised later when 
 all of the clients become unsynchronized and start free drifting. I 
 always recommend against it. I still think that it takes four to 
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will 
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is 
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off 
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.

 The ntp html docs on selection state that four are needed to
 guarantee a majority and give an example of this case.

Under what circumstances? Nothing can guarentee a majority. 11
cannot guarentee a majority. Except 1 I guess. As long as it is working
it is the majority. Of course if it stops working all together, then not
either. 3 guarentees a majority if only one stops or stops sending out
correct time. etc. 



 David

 
 Brian Utterback

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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread William Unruh
On 2014-12-04, Rob nom...@example.com wrote:
 David Lord sn...@lordynet.org wrote:
 Brian Utterback wrote:
 On 12/2/2014 4:00 AM, Rob wrote:
 The whole have 3 servers to select a majority thing is absolutely not
 required when your servers are accurately synchronized themselves and
 your requirements are only within-a-second.  It is true that when you
 have two servers the clients cannot know which one is right, but it is
 trivial to keep servers within a millisecond of eachother with GPS and
 within 10 milliseconds using only network peering.  To that is two
 orders of magnitude better than you require.
 
 Be careful with this generalization. While it may be trivial, it isn't 
 automatic. I deal with customers all the time that have configured 
 exactly two servers on their clients and then are surprised later when 
 all of the clients become unsynchronized and start free drifting. I 
 always recommend against it. I still think that it takes four to 
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will 
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is 
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off 
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.

 The ntp html docs on selection state that four are needed to
 guarantee a majority and give an example of this case.

 In practice this problem does not occur when you use only your own
 servers that you monitor and trust, and it confuses people that
 want to setup NTP on their company network.

 They get sent away with you need to configure and maintain 4 servers
 or better even more.  When the servers either are synced correctly
 or are down, this is not required.

People love to either read or make rules, no matter how senseless. That
way you do not have to think.

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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread Miroslav Lichvar
On Thu, Dec 04, 2014 at 10:46:17AM -0500, brian utterback wrote:
 I remain unconvinced. I believe that it takes three correct servers to
 outvote a single falseticker, meaning that if you want to be safe
 against one of your servers becoming a falseticker and still being
 accepted as the system server by a client, the client needs at least
 four servers.

Four (or any larger number) of servers still doesn't guarantee the
source selection algorithm will mark one bad source as a falseticker.
There was a very similar discussion about this few years ago,
including an example:

http://lists.ntp.org/pipermail/questions/2011-January/028313.html

 Now imagine that the falseticker has a similar overlap with T1, but on
 the interval T1off-T1disp to T1off. That interval does not include the
 real time, so F is indeed a falseticker. So, we have a completely
 symmetric situation, with T1 and F voting for an interval that does
 not include the real time and T1 and T2 voting for an interval that
 does include the real time. By what mechanism are we to presume that the
 client will choose the interval that includes the real time?

The intersection interval determined in the source selection algorithm
will be equal to the interval of T1 and all three servers will pass as
truechimers. Adding a third good server may not be enough to change
the result.

-- 
Miroslav Lichvar
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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread William Unruh
On 2014-12-04, brian utterback brian.utterb...@oracle.com wrote:

 On 12/3/2014 5:33 PM, William Unruh wrote:
 On 2014-12-03, Jan Ceuleers jan.ceule...@computer.org wrote:
 On 12/03/2014 02:58 PM, Brian Utterback wrote:
 I still think that it takes four to
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.
 It takes three servers *at all times* to enable clients to use majority
 voting. So if you want to guard against a single failure (i.e. not a
 single falseticker, a single server that goes offline), then you need four.
 Offline IS a false ticker. And no, you need three. In fact to gaurd
 against offline, you only need two. Guarding against falseticking is
 harder than guarding against offline. Just as it is harder to guard
 against a liar than a dead man. 



 I remain unconvinced. I believe that it takes three correct servers to
 outvote a single falseticker, meaning that if you want to be safe
 against one of your servers becoming a falseticker and still being
 accepted as the system server by a client, the client needs at least
 four servers.

 Remember that a vote is not for a single offset, it is for a single
 offset plus or minus the error, which in our case is the dispersion. Be
 definition a truechimer is a server whose range of offset-disp to
 offset+disp includes the actual time, while a falseticker is a server
 whose range does not include the actual time. Now suppose you have three
 servers, two truechimers and one falseticker, call them T1, T2 and F.
 The actual time is a bit above the T1 offset, meaning it is in the
 interval between T1off and T1off+T1disp. The actual time is also in the
 interval T2off-T2disp and T2off, which is to say that they both overlap
 with the real time but neither overlaps the other's offset.

 Now imagine that the falseticker has a similar overlap with T1, but on
 the interval T1off-T1disp to T1off. That interval does not include the
 real time, so F is indeed a falseticker. So, we have a completely
 symmetric situation, with T1 and F voting for an interval that does
 not include the real time and T1 and T2 voting for an interval that
 does include the real time. By what mechanism are we to presume that the
 client will choose the interval that includes the real time?


No. A false ticker is NOT something whose range does not overlap the true time.
the system has absolutely no way of knowing what the true time is. All
it has is the reports from the remote clocks and their dispersion. 
As I understand it, ntpd looks for islands-- groups of remote clocks
whose ranges overlap each other. The island with a majority of members
is by definition the island of truechimers. All others are false
tickers. Now, it could be that the majority is way off -- 400 days off
from the true time. They are still the truechimers, because the system
has no way of knowing what the true time is. 

In your example, if T1 and T2 are in one island, and F1 and F2 are in
another, what waydoes the system have of determining which is the true
time?
And in your case if T3 has exactly the same time and dispersion as T1,
how does the system decide? 

There is simply no way of deciding which will be robust against all
scenarios. It is impossible (It is basically like Arrow's theorem on voting
that no voting system can have all of the attributes one would like a
real voting system to have.)

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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread David Taylor

On 04/12/2014 11:53, Rob wrote:
[]

In practice this problem does not occur when you use only your own
servers that you monitor and trust, and it confuses people that
want to setup NTP on their company network.

They get sent away with you need to configure and maintain 4 servers
or better even more.  When the servers either are synced correctly
or are down, this is not required.


These days, perhaps the best simple advice is to encourage the use of 
the pool directive and let NTP choose as many servers as it thinks are 
appropriate.


Yes, I did say simple advice.

--
Cheers,
David
Web: http://www.satsignal.eu

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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread Rob
David Taylor david-tay...@blueyonder.co.uk.invalid wrote:
 On 04/12/2014 11:53, Rob wrote:
 []
 In practice this problem does not occur when you use only your own
 servers that you monitor and trust, and it confuses people that
 want to setup NTP on their company network.

 They get sent away with you need to configure and maintain 4 servers
 or better even more.  When the servers either are synced correctly
 or are down, this is not required.

 These days, perhaps the best simple advice is to encourage the use of 
 the pool directive and let NTP choose as many servers as it thinks are 
 appropriate.

 Yes, I did say simple advice.

It is not good practice to use pool on 100-1000 internal systems,
presumably via NAT, to poll time from internet.

Simple advice is: setup 1 NTP server when you are always monitoring,
or 2 servers when you cannot always be on watch to fix the one server,
and keep them mutually synchronized.

That will work OK in a company.  Maybe not in the head of a thought
experimenter, but that is normally not what companies are after.

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[ntp:questions] Red Hat vote for chrony

2014-12-04 Thread David Woolley
I've been reading the migration guidance document for RHEL 7 and it 
seems that Chrony has replaced ntpd as their default NTP based time 
synchonisation package. 
https://access.redhat.com/documentation/en-US/Red_Hat_Enterprise_Linux/7/pdf/Migration_Planning_Guide/Red_Hat_Enterprise_Linux-7-Migration_Planning_Guide-en-US.pdf


They quote a list of benefits, but I think that is just quoting the 
upstream claims, and it took them a long time to disable the local 
clock, so they are not exactly experts.


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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread Brian Utterback

On 12/4/2014 12:13 PM, Miroslav Lichvar wrote:

On Thu, Dec 04, 2014 at 10:46:17AM -0500, brian utterback wrote:

I remain unconvinced. I believe that it takes three correct servers to
outvote a single falseticker, meaning that if you want to be safe
against one of your servers becoming a falseticker and still being
accepted as the system server by a client, the client needs at least
four servers.

Four (or any larger number) of servers still doesn't guarantee the
source selection algorithm will mark one bad source as a falseticker.
There was a very similar discussion about this few years ago,
including an example:

http://lists.ntp.org/pipermail/questions/2011-January/028313.html


Now imagine that the falseticker has a similar overlap with T1, but on
the interval T1off-T1disp to T1off. That interval does not include the
real time, so F is indeed a falseticker. So, we have a completely
symmetric situation, with T1 and F voting for an interval that does
not include the real time and T1 and T2 voting for an interval that
does include the real time. By what mechanism are we to presume that the
client will choose the interval that includes the real time?

The intersection interval determined in the source selection algorithm
will be equal to the interval of T1 and all three servers will pass as
truechimers. Adding a third good server may not be enough to change
the result.




I think we are in violent agreement. The point I am trying to make is 
that for a long time we recommended four servers then started saying 
that three was enough but four is better. I think that we should stick 
with recommending four, at least if you actually care about the time on 
your systems.


Brian Utterback
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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread William Unruh
On 2014-12-04, Brian Utterback brian.utterb...@oracle.com wrote:
 On 12/4/2014 12:36 PM, William Unruh wrote:
 On 2014-12-04, brian utterback brian.utterb...@oracle.com wrote:
 On 12/3/2014 5:33 PM, William Unruh wrote:
 On 2014-12-03, Jan Ceuleers jan.ceule...@computer.org wrote:
 On 12/03/2014 02:58 PM, Brian Utterback wrote:
 I still think that it takes four to
 guarantee a majority but I don't have proof of that. Someday I will
 spend some time to either prove or disprove it, but alas, time is
 something I don't generally have extra to spend. But you are better off
 with one than two from an operational standpoint.
 It takes three servers *at all times* to enable clients to use majority
 voting. So if you want to guard against a single failure (i.e. not a
 single falseticker, a single server that goes offline), then you need 
 four.
 Offline IS a false ticker. And no, you need three. In fact to gaurd
 against offline, you only need two. Guarding against falseticking is
 harder than guarding against offline. Just as it is harder to guard
 against a liar than a dead man.


 I remain unconvinced. I believe that it takes three correct servers to
 outvote a single falseticker, meaning that if you want to be safe
 against one of your servers becoming a falseticker and still being
 accepted as the system server by a client, the client needs at least
 four servers.

 Remember that a vote is not for a single offset, it is for a single
 offset plus or minus the error, which in our case is the dispersion. Be
 definition a truechimer is a server whose range of offset-disp to
 offset+disp includes the actual time, while a falseticker is a server
 whose range does not include the actual time. Now suppose you have three
 servers, two truechimers and one falseticker, call them T1, T2 and F.
 The actual time is a bit above the T1 offset, meaning it is in the
 interval between T1off and T1off+T1disp. The actual time is also in the
 interval T2off-T2disp and T2off, which is to say that they both overlap
 with the real time but neither overlaps the other's offset.

 Now imagine that the falseticker has a similar overlap with T1, but on
 the interval T1off-T1disp to T1off. That interval does not include the
 real time, so F is indeed a falseticker. So, we have a completely
 symmetric situation, with T1 and F voting for an interval that does
 not include the real time and T1 and T2 voting for an interval that
 does include the real time. By what mechanism are we to presume that the
 client will choose the interval that includes the real time?

 No. A false ticker is NOT something whose range does not overlap the true 
 time.

 I stand by my definition of a falseticker. It is the *detection* of a 
 falseticker that you are describing. Indeed it is a hard problem if you 
 do not know what the true time is, which is the case for all NTP 
 servers. But my definition fits what it is that the server is trying to 
 detect.

That may be your definition of a falseticker. It is not that of ntpd,
which cannot know what the true time is, and yet the docs talks all over
the place about falsetickers and how ntpd does not use them. 


 In your example, if T1 and T2 are in one island, and F1 and F2 are in
 another, what waydoes the system have of determining which is the true
 time?
 And in your case if T3 has exactly the same time and dispersion as T1,
 how does the system decide?

 My example didn't have a F1 and F2, only an F, but I think you are 
 saying exactly the same thing that I said. The system has no way to 
 decide and is as likely to get it wrong as right.


Agreed that you did not have an F1 and F2. that was my postulate, just
as T3 was my postulate. Ie, having 4 sources does not mean that the
system can decide properly. Nor does having 11 sources. (at that
point the problem of getting many of the sources all depending on single
other sources becomes a problem.) There is no way of gauranteeing
anything, no matter what the number of sources is. 

One source is fine, unless it either dies or goes nuts. 
Two are fine, unless on goes nuts. 
Three are fine, as long as only one dies or goes nuts.
Four are fine, as long as fewer than three die, or one goes nuts, or two
go nuts in different ways.  Etc. You understand the limitations and you
makes your choices. 

 Brian Utterback

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Re: [ntp:questions] Red Hat vote for chrony

2014-12-04 Thread William Unruh
On 2014-12-04, David Woolley david@ex.djwhome.demon.invalid wrote:
 I've been reading the migration guidance document for RHEL 7 and it 
 seems that Chrony has replaced ntpd as their default NTP based time 
 synchonisation package. 
https://access.redhat.com/documentation/en-US/Red_Hat_Enterprise_Linux/7/pdf/Migration_Planning_Guide/Red_Hat_Enterprise_Linux-7-Migration_Planning_Guide-en-US.pdf

 They quote a list of benefits, but I think that is just quoting the 
 upstream claims, and it took them a long time to disable the local 
 clock, so they are not exactly experts.

Actually Miroslav Lichvar IS an expert. He is the chrony maintainer, has
done a lot of testing comparing chrony to ntpd ( which showed that
chrony controlled the clock a factor of 2 to 20 times better than ntpd
did), and is with Redhat. 



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Re: [ntp:questions] Number of Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Peers

2014-12-04 Thread Brian Inglis

On 2014-12-04 08:58, William Unruh wrote:

On 2014-12-04, David Lord sn...@lordynet.org wrote:



The ntp html docs on selection state that four are needed to
guarantee a majority and give an example of this case.


Under what circumstances? Nothing can guarentee a majority. 11
cannot guarentee a majority. Except 1 I guess. As long as it is working
it is the majority. Of course if it stops working all together, then not
either. 3 guarentees a majority if only one stops or stops sending out
correct time. etc.


There must be a strict majority clique #truechimers  #falsetickers.
I had a bunch of backup servers configured when the DRDoS attacks started,
and a lot of academic servers disappeared from the net for a few weeks.
I had to deconfigure them and restart, as even with a preferred ref clock,
ntpd will not discipline the time without Byzantine agreement.

For a corporate environment, recommend 2n+1 servers, where n is the number
of local servers you will allow to be down at one time, plus network sources
which should be fewer than the number of local servers, and preemptable, so
they will be dropped if they become unreachable.

For example, you could run three peered local servers and two good diverse 
network
sources each, allowing only one local server to be down at any time for updates
or patches. Each of the peers needs to have a different pair of network sources,
to avoid any common mode failures, or rejection from sync loops.
More local servers would allow more good diverse network sources, and more
simultaneous local and remote outages.

The diverse network sources are necessary so congestion or maintenance on a 
single
downstream router or backbone connection does not make all your sources 
unreachable
at once. This will happen occasionally during maintenance outage windows if you 
use
a single ISP or a single outward path from your network.
--
Take care. Thanks, Brian Inglis
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Re: [ntp:questions] Red Hat vote for chrony

2014-12-04 Thread Charles Swiger
On Dec 4, 2014, at 7:00 PM, William Unruh un...@invalid.ca wrote:
[ ... ]
 Actually Miroslav Lichvar IS an expert. He is the chrony maintainer, has
 done a lot of testing comparing chrony to ntpd ( which showed that
 chrony controlled the clock a factor of 2 to 20 times better than ntpd
 did), and is with Redhat. 

The data I've seen for chrony suggests it handles broken clocks such as
commonly found in VMs better than ntpd does.  The tradeoff is that
chrony prioritizes chasing the reference time over first trying to ensure
that the local clock frequency is stable, whereas ntpd really wants
to make sure that the local clock counts 3600 seconds in each hour of
wall-clock time and then worries about slewing the local time to match
up with the reference time.

It's informative to note that the chrony docs (section 5.3.4) recommend
using minpoll=2 and maxpoll=4!  With those settings chrony will send 225
polls per hour, versus 3.5 polls per hour for ntpd with its maxpoll=10.
Assuming arguendo the claim of a factor of 20 times better is true, I
still don't care to pay the price of a factor of 64 times more network polls.

Furthermore-- unfortunately-- I have yet to see data on the accuracy of
chrony measured against high-quality TCXO or Rb/Cs reference clocks,
such as the PRS-10 that PHK used:

http://www.thinksrs.com/products/PRS10.htm

...the current version of which claims to have a +/- 10 ns accuracy for
the PPS signal.  Instead, most of the data I've seen provided for chrony
has involved comparing local clock timestamps to the reference timesource
or to some other network timesource, without detailed information as to the
accuracy of those references.

Of course you're not going to see much delta between the local clock and the
reference that you're polling every 16 seconds.  Without measuring the
local clock against some other clock or oscillator which is known to be
accurate to sub-microsecond levels, one doesn't have the data needed to draw
conclusions about the actual timekeeping precision.

Regards,
-- 
-Chuck

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