Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-19 Thread Vito Muggeo (UniPa)

dear Julian,


Il 18/01/2012 14.36, crimsonengineer87 ha scritto:

Thanks for the comments. Yes, I also had segmented and then I went away from
that. I can't remember. I've tried using it but I get some sort of strange
error. Here's some code ...


it is difficult for me to help you without knowing which error you 
obtain.. If you refer to maximum number of iterations, it is a warning 
(not error). See the discussion in the paper on Rnews (that Achim 
suggested). The following code is expected to work


pavlu.glm- lm(Na ~ yield, data=pavludata)
pavlu.seg- segmented(pavlu.glm, seg.Z=~yield, psi=1000)
with(pavludata, plot(yield, Na))
plot(pavlu.seg, add=TRUE)

See in ?segmented and ?plot.segmented for additional examples and 
contact me off list if you have additional questions


best,
vito






pavlu.glm- glm(Na ~ yield, data=pavludata, family=gaussian)
pavlu.seg- segmented(pavlu.glm, seg.Z=~yield, psi=1000,
control=seg.control(display=FALSE))

plot.series- function()
{
plot(pavlu.seg)
plot(pavlu.seg, add=TRUE, linkinv=TRUE, lwd=2, col=2:3, lty=c(1,3))
lines(pavlu.seg, col=2, pch=19, bottom=FALSE, lwd=2)
}

jpeg(pavlu-cuttingsystem-segmented.jpg, width = 1000, height = 700, units
= px)
plot.series()

## Turn off device driver (to flush output to JPG)
dev.off()

1. I don't think I'm doing my plotting right. I'm just not sure how that
works with segmented.
2. My error is something about an error in do.call(lines) and that the
maximum number of iterations has been reached. Am I missing something with
glm or lm?

Thanks again.

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--

Vito M.R. Muggeo
Dip.to Sc Statist e Matem `Vianelli'
Università di Palermo
viale delle Scienze, edificio 13
90128 Palermo - ITALY
tel: 091 23895240
fax: 091 485726
http://dssm.unipa.it/vmuggeo

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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-18 Thread crimsonengineer87
Thanks for the comments. Yes, I also had segmented and then I went away from
that. I can't remember. I've tried using it but I get some sort of strange
error. Here's some code ...


pavlu.glm - glm(Na ~ yield, data=pavludata, family=gaussian)
pavlu.seg - segmented(pavlu.glm, seg.Z=~yield, psi=1000,
control=seg.control(display=FALSE))

plot.series - function()
{
plot(pavlu.seg)
plot(pavlu.seg, add=TRUE, linkinv=TRUE, lwd=2, col=2:3, lty=c(1,3))
lines(pavlu.seg, col=2, pch=19, bottom=FALSE, lwd=2)
}

jpeg(pavlu-cuttingsystem-segmented.jpg, width = 1000, height = 700, units
= px)
plot.series()

## Turn off device driver (to flush output to JPG)
dev.off()

1. I don't think I'm doing my plotting right. I'm just not sure how that
works with segmented.
2. My error is something about an error in do.call(lines) and that the
maximum number of iterations has been reached. Am I missing something with
glm or lm? 

Thanks again.

--
View this message in context: 
http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4306657.html
Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.

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and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


[R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread crimsonengineer87
Dear Forum,

I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
but I am thoroughly confused.

'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:

bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
data=pavludata)
plot(bp.pavlu)
breakpoints(bp.pavlu)

But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?

Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
regression? 

I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.

Julian

--
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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Kenneth Frost
Hi, Julian-
I'm not sure if this will be what you want but you could start by taking a look 
at:
?predict.nls
Ken

On 01/17/12, crimsonengineer87  julianjonre...@gmail.com wrote:
 Dear Forum,
 
 I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
 a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
 using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
 like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
 divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
 those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
 but I am thoroughly confused.
 
 'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
 linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:
 
 bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
 data=pavludata)
 plot(bp.pavlu)
 breakpoints(bp.pavlu)
 
 But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
 the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
 give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?
 
 Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
 regression? 
 
 I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
 tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
 for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
 also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.
 
 Julian
 
 --
 View this message in context: 
 http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4303629.html
 Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.
 
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 R-help@r-project.org mailing list
 https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
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 and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.
 

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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Kenneth Frost
Sorry, that wasn't to helpful...I see that the intervals and se.fit argument 
are currently ignored.

On 01/17/12, crimsonengineer87  julianjonre...@gmail.com wrote:
 Dear Forum,
 
 I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
 a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
 using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
 like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
 divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
 those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
 but I am thoroughly confused.
 
 'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
 linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:
 
 bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
 data=pavludata)
 plot(bp.pavlu)
 breakpoints(bp.pavlu)
 
 But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
 the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
 give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?
 
 Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
 regression? 
 
 I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
 tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
 for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
 also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.
 
 Julian
 
 --
 View this message in context: 
 http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4303629.html
 Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.
 
 __
 R-help@r-project.org mailing list
 https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
 PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
 and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.
 

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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread crimsonengineer87
Hi Ken,

Thx for that advice. I took a brief look at it. I already have my curve by
just using the curve() function using the parameters a and b given by the
nls. Would se.fit and interval have computed the CI?

Maybe where I'm confused is at how I can break up my curve into pieces of
linear regressions. Then doing CI's from there? 

Thanks.

Julian

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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Bert Gunter
On Tue, Jan 17, 2012 at 8:06 AM, Kenneth Frost kfr...@wisc.edu wrote:
 Sorry, that wasn't to helpful...I see that the intervals and se.fit argument 
 are currently ignored.

Yes, because the fitted values are nonlinear in the parameters, which
makes finding exact confidence regions impossible. I think the usual
approach (subject to correction by experts) is to use a delta method
approximation for the fitted variances from the varcov matrix of the
parameters at the converged optimum (itself an approximation) and then
a standard t-interval  based on that. However, this approximation can
be quite bad, because degrees of freedom don't mean much for
nonlinear models -- in fact, that's the essential (and huge!)
difference between linear and nonlinear models -- and the likelihood
surface may not be close enough to quadratic. So one may do better
with, e.g. a bootstrap approximation, although this can be
problematic, too, due to convergence and other issues.

What I think can be said with some certainty is that the idea of
approximating by a segmented regression and then using CI's for each
linear part in the usual way is a particularly bad one -- the CI's
will be underestimated because they don't take into account the
uncertainty in the location of the fitted breakpoints, which are
nonlinear **and** non-smooth functions of the data.

So if confidence intervals for the fitted values are really important,
I suggest that Julian work with his local statistician to come up with
the best approach for his particular situation. It's tricky.

Cheers,
Bert


 On 01/17/12, crimsonengineer87  julianjonre...@gmail.com wrote:
 Dear Forum,

 I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
 a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
 using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
 like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
 divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
 those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
 but I am thoroughly confused.

 'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
 linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:

 bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
 data=pavludata)
 plot(bp.pavlu)
 breakpoints(bp.pavlu)

 But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
 the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
 give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?

 Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
 regression?

 I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
 tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
 for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
 also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.

 Julian

 --
 View this message in context: 
 http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4303629.html
 Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.

 __
 R-help@r-project.org mailing list
 https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
 PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
 and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.



 __
 R-help@r-project.org mailing list
 https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
 PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
 and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.




-- 

Bert Gunter
Genentech Nonclinical Biostatistics

Internal Contact Info:
Phone: 467-7374
Website:
http://pharmadevelopment.roche.com/index/pdb/pdb-functional-groups/pdb-biostatistics/pdb-ncb-home.htm

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
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and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Achim Zeileis

On Tue, 17 Jan 2012, crimsonengineer87 wrote:


Dear Forum,

I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
but I am thoroughly confused.

'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:

bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
data=pavludata)
plot(bp.pavlu)
breakpoints(bp.pavlu)

But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?


breakpoints() currently can just handle linear (in parameters) 
regressions. So unless f(., a, b) is either known or can be written as a 
linear predictor, breakpoints() cannot estimate breaks in the model of 
interest.


If you want approximate f(., a, b) by a piecewise linear function, then 
you would use breakpoints(Na ~ yield). The result however will typically 
not be continuous. To see the result fitted() can be used. See the 
references in ?breakpoints for some examples.


However, I doubt that this is a route worth pursuing given your problem 
description...



Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
regression?


If you want to use nls(), you could use simulation techniques to obtain 
confidence intervals.


Another possible alternative would be to use a GAM formulation. See e.g. 
gam() in package mgcv.


hth,
Z


I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.

Julian

--
View this message in context: 
http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4303629.html
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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Achim Zeileis

On Tue, 17 Jan 2012, Bert Gunter wrote:


On Tue, Jan 17, 2012 at 8:06 AM, Kenneth Frost kfr...@wisc.edu wrote:

Sorry, that wasn't to helpful...I see that the intervals and se.fit argument 
are currently ignored.


Yes, because the fitted values are nonlinear in the parameters, which
makes finding exact confidence regions impossible. I think the usual
approach (subject to correction by experts) is to use a delta method
approximation for the fitted variances from the varcov matrix of the
parameters at the converged optimum (itself an approximation) and then
a standard t-interval  based on that. However, this approximation can
be quite bad, because degrees of freedom don't mean much for
nonlinear models -- in fact, that's the essential (and huge!)
difference between linear and nonlinear models -- and the likelihood
surface may not be close enough to quadratic. So one may do better
with, e.g. a bootstrap approximation, although this can be
problematic, too, due to convergence and other issues.

What I think can be said with some certainty is that the idea of
approximating by a segmented regression and then using CI's for each
linear part in the usual way is a particularly bad one -- the CI's
will be underestimated because they don't take into account the
uncertainty in the location of the fitted breakpoints, which are
nonlinear **and** non-smooth functions of the data.

So if confidence intervals for the fitted values are really important,
I suggest that Julian work with his local statistician to come up with
the best approach for his particular situation. It's tricky.


I fully agree with Bert that, in this case, segmented regression does not 
seem to be a fruitful approach and that it's best to consult a local

statistician.

However, I just wanted to clarify a theoretical detail about what 
breakpoints() does. The breakpoints converge at the faster rate of n 
while the parameter estimates just converge with sqrt(n). This is why in 
principle, it is possible to get the usual inference from segmented 
regressions. The price for this is to assume that the true model is in 
fact a segmented regression (with only breakpoints/coefficients unknown).


Hence, segmented regression will be useful (in the Tukey 
sense) if there are few relatively abrupt changes in a regression 
relationship. On the other hand, for approximating smooth changes there 
are typically better techniques available.


Best,
Z


Cheers,
Bert



On 01/17/12, crimsonengineer87  julianjonre...@gmail.com wrote:

Dear Forum,

I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
but I am thoroughly confused.

'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:

bp.pavlu - breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
data=pavludata)
plot(bp.pavlu)
breakpoints(bp.pavlu)

But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?

Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
regression?

I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.

Julian

--
View this message in context: 
http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4303629.html
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__
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and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.




__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
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PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.





--

Bert Gunter
Genentech Nonclinical Biostatistics

Internal Contact Info:
Phone: 467-7374
Website:
http://pharmadevelopment.roche.com/index/pdb/pdb-functional-groups/pdb-biostatistics/pdb-ncb-home.htm

__
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Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread crimsonengineer87
Thanks for the comments everyone. I was hoping to not have to find someone in
the stats department ... well, we'll see.

So in response to Z's comment ... I have tried breakpoints(Na ~ yield) and I
did expect to get something continuous. The idea was to get two or three
linear functions making up the curve. And then from there, get a CI from
these lines. Of course, it wouldn't be good. (This is coming from a
non-stats guy ... I'm a civil engineer by degree and am now learning to be a
modeler as a grad student!). Do you know of any more examples of
breakpoints? The examples in the references are great, but I can't seem to
get it right.

Thanks again.

--
View this message in context: 
http://r.789695.n4.nabble.com/breakpoints-and-nonlinear-regression-tp4303629p4305000.html
Sent from the R help mailing list archive at Nabble.com.

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and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Rolf Turner


In respect of fitting piecewise linear regressions, have you looked at
the segmented package?

cheers,

Rolf Turner

On 18/01/12 04:30, crimsonengineer87 wrote:

Dear Forum,

I have been wracking my head over this problem for the past few days. I have
a dataset of (x,y). I have been able to obtain a nonlinear regression line
using nls. However, we would like to do some statistical analysis. I would
like to obtain a confidence interval for the curve. We thought we could
divide up the curve into piecewise linear regressions and compute CIs from
those portions. There is a package called strucchange that seems helpful,
but I am thoroughly confused.

'breakpoints' is used to calculate the number of breaks in the data for
linear regressions.  I have the following in my script:

bp.pavlu- breakpoints(Na ~ f(yield, a, b), h=0.15, breaks=3,
data=pavludata)
plot(bp.pavlu)
breakpoints(bp.pavlu)

But I am confused as to how to graph the piecewise functions that make up
the curve. I am not even sure if I am using breakpoints correctly. Do I just
give it a linear relationhip (Na ~ yield), instead of what I have?

Is there an easier way to calculate the confidence interval for a non-linear
regression?

I am new to R (as I've read in many questions), but I have most certainly
tried many things and am just getting frustrated with the lack of examples
for what I'd like to do with my data... I'd appreciate any insight. I can
also provide more information if I am not clear. Thanks in advance.


__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] breakpoints and nonlinear regression

2012-01-17 Thread Achim Zeileis

On Tue, 17 Jan 2012, crimsonengineer87 wrote:


Thanks for the comments everyone. I was hoping to not have to find someone in
the stats department ... well, we'll see.

So in response to Z's comment ... I have tried breakpoints(Na ~ yield) 
and I did expect to get something continuous.


You won't. The result may be close to continuous (depending on your data) 
but there is no inherent continuity restriction.


That's what segmented does (that Rolf already pointed to). See

Vito M. R. Muggeo (2008). segmented: an R Package to Fit Regression Models 
with Broken-Line Relationships. R News, 8/1, 20-25. URL 
http://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/.



The idea was to get two or three
linear functions making up the curve. And then from there, get a CI from
these lines. Of course, it wouldn't be good. (This is coming from a
non-stats guy ... I'm a civil engineer by degree and am now learning to be a
modeler as a grad student!). Do you know of any more examples of
breakpoints? The examples in the references are great, but I can't seem to
get it right.

Thanks again.

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R-help@r-project.org mailing list
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PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.