Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-03 Thread Prof Brian Ripley

On Tue, 2 Dec 2008, Jarle Brinchmann wrote:


Yes I think so if the errors were normally distributed. Unfortunately
I'm far from that but the combination of sem  its bootstrap is a good
way to deal with it in the normal case.

I must admit as a non-statistician I'm a not 100% sure what the
difference (if there is one) between a linear functional relationship
and a linear structural equation model is as they both deal with
hidden variables as far as I can see.


U and V are not 'variables' (not random variables) in a linear functional 
relationship (they are in the closely related linear structural 
relationship).




   J.

On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 9:33 PM, Spencer Graves [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Isn't this a special case of structural equation modeling, handled by
the 'sem' package?
Spencer

Jarle Brinchmann wrote:


Thanks for the reply!

On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 6:34 PM, Prof Brian Ripley [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:



I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
A linear functional relationship is

V = a + bU
X = U + e
Y = V + f

e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with
distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.



This is indeed what I mean, poor phrasing of me. What I have is the
effectively the PDF for e  f for each instance, and I wish to get a 
b. For Gaussian errors there are certainly various ways to approach it
and the maximum-likelihood estimator is fine and is what I normally
use when my errors are sort-of-normal.

However in this instance my uncertainty estimates are strongly
non-Gaussian and even defining the mode of the distribution becomes
rather iffy so  I really prefer to sample the likelihoods properly.
Using the maximum-likelihood estimator naively in this case is not
terribly useful and I have no idea what the derived confidence limits
means.

Ah well, I guess what I have to do at the moment is to use brute force
and try to calculate P(a,b|X,Y) properly using a marginalisation over
U (I hadn't done that before, I expect that was part of my problem).
Hopefully that will give reasonable uncertainty estimates, lots of
pain for a figure nobody will look at for much time :)

Thanks,
Jarle.

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--
Brian D. Ripley,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Professor of Applied Statistics,  http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford, Tel:  +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 (PA)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UKFax:  +44 1865 272595

__
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and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


[R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Jarle Brinchmann
[apologies if this appears twice]

Hi,

I have a situation where I have a set of pairs of X  Y variables for
each of which I have a (fairly) well-defined PDF. The PDF(x_i) 's and
PDF(y_i)'s  are unfortunately often rather non-Gaussian although most
of the time not multi-modal.

For these data (estimates of gas content in galaxies), I need to
quantify a linear functional relationship and I am trying to do this
as carefully as I can. At the moment I am carrying out a Monte Carlo
estimation, sampling from each PDF(x_i) and PDF(y_i) and using a
orthogonal linear fit for each realisation but that is not very
satisfactory as it leads to different linear relationships depending
on whether I do the orhtogonal fit on x or y (as the errors on X  Y
are quite different  non-Gaussian using the covariance matrix isn't
all that useful
either)

Does anybody know of code in R to do this kind of fitting in a
Bayesian framework? My concern isn't so much on getting _the_ best
slope estimate but rather to have a good estimate of the uncertainty
on the slope.

  Cheers,
Jarle.

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Prof Brian Ripley

I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
A linear functional relationship is

V = a + bU
X = U + e
Y = V + f

e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with 
distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.


and pairs from (X,Y) are observed.  As U and V are not random, there is 
no PDF of X or Y: each X_i has a different distribution.  If you know 
the error distribution for each X_i and Y_i, you can easily write down a 
log-likelihood and maximize it.


The first hit I got on Google, 
http://www.rsc.org/Membership/Networking/InterestGroups/Analytical/AMC/Software/FREML.asp, 


has a reference to a paper for the Gaussian case.

But finding R code for the non-Gaussian case seems a very long shot.

Jarle Brinchmann wrote:

[apologies if this appears twice]


It did ...



Hi,

I have a situation where I have a set of pairs of X  Y variables for
each of which I have a (fairly) well-defined PDF. The PDF(x_i) 's and
PDF(y_i)'s  are unfortunately often rather non-Gaussian although most
of the time not multi-modal.

For these data (estimates of gas content in galaxies), I need to
quantify a linear functional relationship and I am trying to do this
as carefully as I can. At the moment I am carrying out a Monte Carlo
estimation, sampling from each PDF(x_i) and PDF(y_i) and using a
orthogonal linear fit for each realisation but that is not very
satisfactory as it leads to different linear relationships depending
on whether I do the orhtogonal fit on x or y (as the errors on X  Y
are quite different  non-Gaussian using the covariance matrix isn't
all that useful
either)

Does anybody know of code in R to do this kind of fitting in a
Bayesian framework? My concern isn't so much on getting _the_ best
slope estimate but rather to have a good estimate of the uncertainty
on the slope.

  Cheers,
Jarle.



--
Brian D. Ripley,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Professor of Applied Statistics,  http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford, Tel:  +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 (PA)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UKFax:  +44 1865 272595

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Prof Brian Ripley

I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
A linear functional relationship is

V = a + bU
X = U + e
Y = V + f

e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with 
distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.


and pairs from (X,Y) are observed.  As U and V are not random, there is 
no PDF of X or Y: each X_i has a different distribution.  If you know 
the error distribution for each X_i and Y_i, you can easily write down a 
log-likelihood and maximize it.


The first hit I got on Google, 
http://www.rsc.org/Membership/Networking/InterestGroups/Analytical/AMC/Software/FREML.asp, 


has a reference to a paper for the Gaussian case.

But finding R code for the non-Gaussian case seems a very long shot.

Jarle Brinchmann wrote:

[apologies if this appears twice]


It did ...



Hi,

I have a situation where I have a set of pairs of X  Y variables for
each of which I have a (fairly) well-defined PDF. The PDF(x_i) 's and
PDF(y_i)'s  are unfortunately often rather non-Gaussian although most
of the time not multi-modal.

For these data (estimates of gas content in galaxies), I need to
quantify a linear functional relationship and I am trying to do this
as carefully as I can. At the moment I am carrying out a Monte Carlo
estimation, sampling from each PDF(x_i) and PDF(y_i) and using a
orthogonal linear fit for each realisation but that is not very
satisfactory as it leads to different linear relationships depending
on whether I do the orhtogonal fit on x or y (as the errors on X  Y
are quite different  non-Gaussian using the covariance matrix isn't
all that useful
either)

Does anybody know of code in R to do this kind of fitting in a
Bayesian framework? My concern isn't so much on getting _the_ best
slope estimate but rather to have a good estimate of the uncertainty
on the slope.

  Cheers,
Jarle.



--
Brian D. Ripley,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Professor of Applied Statistics,  http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford, Tel:  +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 (PA)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UKFax:  +44 1865 272595

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Jarle Brinchmann
Thanks for the reply!

On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 6:34 PM, Prof Brian Ripley [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
 A linear functional relationship is

 V = a + bU
 X = U + e
 Y = V + f

 e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with
 distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.

This is indeed what I mean, poor phrasing of me. What I have is the
effectively the PDF for e  f for each instance, and I wish to get a 
b. For Gaussian errors there are certainly various ways to approach it
and the maximum-likelihood estimator is fine and is what I normally
use when my errors are sort-of-normal.

However in this instance my uncertainty estimates are strongly
non-Gaussian and even defining the mode of the distribution becomes
rather iffy so  I really prefer to sample the likelihoods properly.
Using the maximum-likelihood estimator naively in this case is not
terribly useful and I have no idea what the derived confidence limits
means.

Ah well, I guess what I have to do at the moment is to use brute force
and try to calculate P(a,b|X,Y) properly using a marginalisation over
U (I hadn't done that before, I expect that was part of my problem).
Hopefully that will give reasonable uncertainty estimates, lots of
pain for a figure nobody will look at for much time :)

 Thanks,
 Jarle.

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Spencer Graves
 Isn't this a special case of structural equation modeling, handled 
by the 'sem' package? 


 Spencer

Jarle Brinchmann wrote:

Thanks for the reply!

On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 6:34 PM, Prof Brian Ripley [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
A linear functional relationship is

V = a + bU
X = U + e
Y = V + f

e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with
distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.



This is indeed what I mean, poor phrasing of me. What I have is the
effectively the PDF for e  f for each instance, and I wish to get a 
b. For Gaussian errors there are certainly various ways to approach it
and the maximum-likelihood estimator is fine and is what I normally
use when my errors are sort-of-normal.

However in this instance my uncertainty estimates are strongly
non-Gaussian and even defining the mode of the distribution becomes
rather iffy so  I really prefer to sample the likelihoods properly.
Using the maximum-likelihood estimator naively in this case is not
terribly useful and I have no idea what the derived confidence limits
means.

Ah well, I guess what I have to do at the moment is to use brute force
and try to calculate P(a,b|X,Y) properly using a marginalisation over
U (I hadn't done that before, I expect that was part of my problem).
Hopefully that will give reasonable uncertainty estimates, lots of
pain for a figure nobody will look at for much time :)

 Thanks,
 Jarle.

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.



__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-02 Thread Jarle Brinchmann
Yes I think so if the errors were normally distributed. Unfortunately
I'm far from that but the combination of sem  its bootstrap is a good
way to deal with it in the normal case.

I must admit as a non-statistician I'm a not 100% sure what the
difference (if there is one) between a linear functional relationship
and a linear structural equation model is as they both deal with
hidden variables as far as I can see.

J.

On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 9:33 PM, Spencer Graves [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Isn't this a special case of structural equation modeling, handled by
 the 'sem' package?
 Spencer

 Jarle Brinchmann wrote:

 Thanks for the reply!

 On Tue, Dec 2, 2008 at 6:34 PM, Prof Brian Ripley [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:


 I wonder if you are using this term in its correct technical sense.
 A linear functional relationship is

 V = a + bU
 X = U + e
 Y = V + f

 e and f are random errors (often but not necessarily independent) with
 distributions possibly depending on U and V respectively.


 This is indeed what I mean, poor phrasing of me. What I have is the
 effectively the PDF for e  f for each instance, and I wish to get a 
 b. For Gaussian errors there are certainly various ways to approach it
 and the maximum-likelihood estimator is fine and is what I normally
 use when my errors are sort-of-normal.

 However in this instance my uncertainty estimates are strongly
 non-Gaussian and even defining the mode of the distribution becomes
 rather iffy so  I really prefer to sample the likelihoods properly.
 Using the maximum-likelihood estimator naively in this case is not
 terribly useful and I have no idea what the derived confidence limits
 means.

 Ah well, I guess what I have to do at the moment is to use brute force
 and try to calculate P(a,b|X,Y) properly using a marginalisation over
 U (I hadn't done that before, I expect that was part of my problem).
 Hopefully that will give reasonable uncertainty estimates, lots of
 pain for a figure nobody will look at for much time :)

 Thanks,
 Jarle.

 __
 R-help@r-project.org mailing list
 https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
 PLEASE do read the posting guide
 http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
 and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.



__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


[R] linear functional relationships with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian errors - any packages around?

2008-12-01 Thread Jarle Brinchmann
Hi,

I have a situation where I have a set of pairs of X  Y variables for
each of which I have a (fairly) well-defined PDF. The PDF(x_i) 's and
PDF(y_i)'s  are unfortunately often rather non-Gaussian although most
of the time not multi--modal.

For these data (estimates of gas content in galaxies), I need to
quantify a linear functional relationship and I am trying to do this
as carefully as I can. At the moment I am carrying out a Monte Carlo
estimation, sampling from each PDF(x_i) and PDF(y_i) and using a
orthogonal linear fit for each realisation but that is not very
satisfactory as it leads to different linear relationships depending
on whether I do the orhtogonal fit on x or y (as the errors on X  Y
are quite different using the covariance matrix isn't all that useful
either)

Does anybody know of code in R to do this kind of fitting in a
Bayesian framework? My concern isn't so much on getting _the_ best
slope estimate but rather to have a good estimate of the uncertainty
on the slope.

Cheers,
  Jarle.

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.