Re: [R] mgcv: increasing basis dimension

2012-02-14 Thread Simon Wood
That's interesting. Playing with the example, it doesn't seem to be a 
local minimum. I think that this happens because, although the higher 
rank basis contains the lower rank basis, the penalty can not simply 
suppress all the extra components in the higher rank basis and recover 
exactly what the lower rank basis gave: it's forced to include some of 
the extra stuff, even if heavily penalized, and this is what is 
degrading the higher rank fit in this case.


t2 tensor product smooths seem to be less susceptible to this effect, 
and for reasons I don't understand so does REML based smoothness 
selection (gam(...,method=REML))


best,
Simon



On 13/02/12 23:24, Greg Dropkin wrote:

hi

Using a ts or tprs basis, I expected gcv to decrease when increasing the
basis dimension, as I thought this would minimise gcv over a larger
subspace. But gcv increased. Here's an example. thanks for any comments.

greg

#simulate some data
set.seed(0)
x1-runif(500)
x2-rnorm(500)
x3-rpois(500,3)
d-runif(500)
linp--1+x1+0.5*x2+0.3*exp(-2*d)*sin(10*d)*x3
y-rpois(500,exp(linp))
sum(y)

library(mgcv)
#basis dimension k=5
m1-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts)+te(x3,bs=ts)+te(d,x3,bs=ts),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts,k=10)+te(x3,bs=ts,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=ts,k=10),family=poisson)

#gcv increased
m1$gcv
m2$gcv

summary(m1)
summary(m2)

gam.check(m1)
gam.check(m2)


#is this due to bs=ts?

#basis dimension k=5
m1tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp)+te(x3,bs=tp)+te(d,x3,bs=tp),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp,k=10)+te(x3,bs=tp,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=tp,k=10),family=poisson)

m1tp$gcv
m2tp$gcv

#no

summary(m1tp)
summary(m2tp)

gam.check(m1tp)
gam.check(m2tp)

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--
Simon Wood, Mathematical Science, University of Bath BA2 7AY UK
+44 (0)1225 386603   http://people.bath.ac.uk/sw283

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Re: [R] mgcv: increasing basis dimension

2012-02-14 Thread Simon Wood

Hi Greg,

Recent mgcv versions use extended quasi-likelihood in place of the 
likelihood for (Laplace approx) REML with quasi families (e.g. McCullagh 
and Nelder, GLM book 2nd ed section 9.6): this fixes the problems with 
trying to use the quasi-likelihood directly with REML.


best,
Simon

On 14/02/12 10:42, Greg Dropkin wrote:

thanks Simon

I'll upgrade R to try t2. The data I'm actually analysing requires scaled
Poisson so I don't think REML is an option.

thanks

Greg

On 14/02/12 11:22 Simon Wood wrote:

That's interesting. Playing with the example, it doesn't seem to be a
local minimum. I think that this happens because, although the higher
rank basis contains the lower rank basis, the penalty can not simply
suppress all the extra components in the higher rank basis and recover
exactly what the lower rank basis gave: it's forced to include some of
the extra stuff, even if heavily penalized, and this is what is
degrading the higher rank fit in this case.

t2 tensor product smooths seem to be less susceptible to this effect,
and for reasons I don't understand so does REML based smoothness
selection (gam(...,method=REML))

best,
Simon



hi

Using a ts or tprs basis, I expected gcv to decrease when increasing the
basis dimension, as I thought this would minimise gcv over a larger
subspace. But gcv increased. Here's an example. thanks for any comments.

greg

#simulate some data
set.seed(0)
x1-runif(500)
x2-rnorm(500)
x3-rpois(500,3)
d-runif(500)
linp--1+x1+0.5*x2+0.3*exp(-2*d)*sin(10*d)*x3
y-rpois(500,exp(linp))
sum(y)

library(mgcv)
#basis dimension k=5
m1-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts)+te(x3,bs=ts)+te(d,x3,bs=ts),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts,k=10)+te(x3,bs=ts,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=ts,k=10),family=poisson)

#gcv increased
m1$gcv
m2$gcv

summary(m1)
summary(m2)

gam.check(m1)
gam.check(m2)


#is this due to bs=ts?

#basis dimension k=5
m1tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp)+te(x3,bs=tp)+te(d,x3,bs=tp),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp,k=10)+te(x3,bs=tp,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=tp,k=10),family=poisson)

m1tp$gcv
m2tp$gcv

#no

summary(m1tp)
summary(m2tp)

gam.check(m1tp)
gam.check(m2tp)










--
Simon Wood, Mathematical Science, University of Bath BA2 7AY UK
+44 (0)1225 386603   http://people.bath.ac.uk/sw283

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R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


Re: [R] mgcv: increasing basis dimension

2012-02-14 Thread Greg Dropkin
thanks Simon

I'll upgrade R to try t2. The data I'm actually analysing requires scaled
Poisson so I don't think REML is an option.

thanks

Greg

On 14/02/12 11:22 Simon Wood wrote:

That's interesting. Playing with the example, it doesn't seem to be a
local minimum. I think that this happens because, although the higher
rank basis contains the lower rank basis, the penalty can not simply
suppress all the extra components in the higher rank basis and recover
exactly what the lower rank basis gave: it's forced to include some of
the extra stuff, even if heavily penalized, and this is what is
degrading the higher rank fit in this case.

t2 tensor product smooths seem to be less susceptible to this effect,
and for reasons I don't understand so does REML based smoothness
selection (gam(...,method=REML))

best,
Simon


 hi

 Using a ts or tprs basis, I expected gcv to decrease when increasing the
 basis dimension, as I thought this would minimise gcv over a larger
 subspace. But gcv increased. Here's an example. thanks for any comments.

 greg

 #simulate some data
 set.seed(0)
 x1-runif(500)
 x2-rnorm(500)
 x3-rpois(500,3)
 d-runif(500)
 linp--1+x1+0.5*x2+0.3*exp(-2*d)*sin(10*d)*x3
 y-rpois(500,exp(linp))
 sum(y)

 library(mgcv)
 #basis dimension k=5
 m1-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts)+te(x3,bs=ts)+te(d,x3,bs=ts),family=poisson)

 #basis dimension k=10
 m2-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts,k=10)+te(x3,bs=ts,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=ts,k=10),family=poisson)

 #gcv increased
 m1$gcv
 m2$gcv

 summary(m1)
 summary(m2)

 gam.check(m1)
 gam.check(m2)


 #is this due to bs=ts?

 #basis dimension k=5
 m1tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp)+te(x3,bs=tp)+te(d,x3,bs=tp),family=poisson)

 #basis dimension k=10
 m2tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp,k=10)+te(x3,bs=tp,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=tp,k=10),family=poisson)

 m1tp$gcv
 m2tp$gcv

 #no

 summary(m1tp)
 summary(m2tp)

 gam.check(m1tp)
 gam.check(m2tp)



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PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.


[R] mgcv: increasing basis dimension

2012-02-13 Thread Greg Dropkin
hi

Using a ts or tprs basis, I expected gcv to decrease when increasing the
basis dimension, as I thought this would minimise gcv over a larger
subspace. But gcv increased. Here's an example. thanks for any comments.

greg

#simulate some data
set.seed(0)
x1-runif(500)
x2-rnorm(500)
x3-rpois(500,3)
d-runif(500)
linp--1+x1+0.5*x2+0.3*exp(-2*d)*sin(10*d)*x3
y-rpois(500,exp(linp))
sum(y)

library(mgcv)
#basis dimension k=5
m1-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts)+te(x3,bs=ts)+te(d,x3,bs=ts),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=ts,k=10)+te(x3,bs=ts,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=ts,k=10),family=poisson)

#gcv increased
m1$gcv
m2$gcv

summary(m1)
summary(m2)

gam.check(m1)
gam.check(m2)


#is this due to bs=ts?

#basis dimension k=5
m1tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp)+te(x3,bs=tp)+te(d,x3,bs=tp),family=poisson)

#basis dimension k=10
m2tp-gam(y~x1+x2+te(d,bs=tp,k=10)+te(x3,bs=tp,k=10)+te(d,x3,bs=tp,k=10),family=poisson)

m1tp$gcv
m2tp$gcv

#no

summary(m1tp)
summary(m2tp)

gam.check(m1tp)
gam.check(m2tp)

__
R-help@r-project.org mailing list
https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help
PLEASE do read the posting guide http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html
and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.