[R] Error with arima()

2004-06-17 Thread Dan Bebber
Could someone please give a brief explanation, or pointer to an explanation,
of the following error:

 arima(ts.growth, order = c(1,0,0),include.mean=T)
Error in arima(ts.growth, order = c(1, 0, 0), include.mean = T) :
non-stationary AR part from CSS

and why it does not arise with

 arima0(ts.growth, order = c(1,0,0))

Many thanks


Dr. Daniel P. Bebber
Department of Plant Sciences
University of Oxford
South Parks Road
Oxford
OX1 3RB

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Re: [R] Error with arima()

2004-06-17 Thread Prof Brian Ripley
It means that the CSS estimates from the model are invalid.  That's 
possible as CSS does not enforce validity.  It probably means the model is 
inappropriate.

On Thu, 17 Jun 2004, Dan Bebber wrote:

 Could someone please give a brief explanation, or pointer to an explanation,
 of the following error:
 
  arima(ts.growth, order = c(1,0,0),include.mean=T)
 Error in arima(ts.growth, order = c(1, 0, 0), include.mean = T) :
 non-stationary AR part from CSS
 
 and why it does not arise with
 
  arima0(ts.growth, order = c(1,0,0))

Not the same algorithm.  These algorithms only find a local minimum.

You are asking the question the wrong way round: unless you know there is 
uniquely defined estimator, why would you expect the same results?  
Especially if the model is a poor fit.

-- 
Brian D. Ripley,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Professor of Applied Statistics,  http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford, Tel:  +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 (PA)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UKFax:  +44 1865 272595

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