[www.niftyviews.com:23824] An INR/USD at 100. What Will That Do To Your Finances And Inflation?

2016-01-20 Thread Rajiv Handa 
INR Breaches 68/USD
An all time low. And to think that I used to feel that 8/USD in my school
days was too much. But impoverished nations remain so perpetually bcos they
keep playing the weak currency card. The inflation never declines, the
interest differentials never reduce and the currency never rises.

Look at the current scenario, the RBI claims that they have USD 300 Bn in
FX excluding Gold. But the flip side is USD 300 Bn in Equity exposure of
FIIs, an outstanding Iran Debt of USD 18 Bn, the NRI deposits under the
FCNR scheme of USD 18 Bn due in September 2016, about USD 900 Bn in
Corporate and Banking system Debt. And the fact that in FY15 while RBI
bought USD around 60, they have sold one year forward at Rs 68.

If push comes to shove, the RBI will have to deliver USDs at an alarming
rate by middle of 2016. Where will the INR be? Rs 100 to a USD and sizeable
losses for the RBI on the forward sold positions? And we think Rajan is the
best Governor in the World.

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[www.niftyviews.com:23825] Blue Channels=General Entertainment Channels

2016-01-20 Thread Rajiv Handa 
ALL THOSE WHO ARE MISSING COMEDY NIGHTS WITH KAPIL SHOULD SHIFT TO THE BLUE
CHANNELS. THE COMMENTARY IS OUTRAGEOUS. THE TURNAROUND BETWEEN 2015/2016
AND YDAY/TODAY IS AS GOOD AS THE TRIO OF PRANNOY ROY, DORAB SOPARIWALA AND
SHEKAR GUPTA ON NOV 7 2015. THE THREESOME KEPT DISCUSSING THE NDA WIN TILL
10 am AND GUPTA GOING SO FAR TO BLAME THE BIHAR RJD DEFEAT ON THE ARROGANCE
OF NITISH. 10 MIN LATER THE TRIO WERE DISCUSSING A RJD WIN AND THAT
DISCUSSION HAD NO RELATION TO WHAT TRANSPIRED MINS AGO. SO HV UR FUN
WATCHING THE SO CALLED EDITORS-IDIOTS DISCUSS BIZ ON BLUE CHANNELS.

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[www.niftyviews.com:23826] Fwd: USD/JPY: Time To Buy ?

2016-01-20 Thread Asis Ghosh 




 Forwarded Message 
Subject:USD/JPY: Time To Buy ?
Date:   Wed, 20 Jan 2016 18:57:17 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh 
Reply-To:   asis...@gmail.com



*CMP: 116.55*
*
* *Buy either above 116.75 or in dips around 116-115:*
*
* *TGT: 118-121-124-126 (1-3M)*
*
* *TSL<114*

Note: Consecutive closing below 114 for any reason, technically USD/JPY 
may fall up to 110-107 in the near term (although its unthinkable right 
now as BOJ will not let it fall so much).


Its all started on last Friday, when Kuroda somewhat sounded like a 
dovish and commented surprisingly that  further QQE may be damaging for 
Japanese economy. Consequently JPY soared and the follow up China/oil 
woes and severe equity market out flows firmed up JPY further as smart 
money took the cover of safety of JPY.


But in reality, BOJ will not let the JPY so strong as it will further 
undermine their years long QQE effort and a relatively stronger Yen 
could hurt Japan's export edge, which will further push the country 
towards recession and stagflation/deflation.


It seems that now BOJ is coming out of "sleep" and they are "watching" 
FX market quite closely.


Be it verbal intervention or real one, USD/JPY bounced back along with 
"risk" trade.


Technically, sustain below 118, exaggerated the selling of USD/JPY and 
the pair fall below 116.


Now looking at the chart, 116-114 is a strong support zone and if it 
does not close below 114, then expect bounce back to wards 118-121 and 
sustaining above that it may gradually move around 124 zone around March'16.


Again, the current global turmoil in financial world including China/Oil 
woes, Fed may not prefer to hike again in March'16, which may push 
USDJPY towards another key resistance level of 126 by March'16 on the 
back of "risk on" trade.


*Analytical Charts:*














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Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified



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with other members with the best of intentions to help fellow members
in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky venture.The administrator of 
www.Niftyviews.com just provide a platform for the authors to express their opinion 
and take no guarantee for the genuineness of the same."ANY member of this forum 
doesnt prepare or publish any research report; or ii. provide research report; or 
iii. make 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation; or iv. give price target;
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