[www.niftyviews.com:26188] 3 Indian Stocks Worth Watching on 06 March 17

2017-03-06 Thread pronod 
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[www.niftyviews.com:26190] 3 Indian Stocks Worth Watching on 07 March 17

2017-03-06 Thread pronod 
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[www.niftyviews.com:26191] Daily Technical Levels for March 06, 2017

2017-03-06 Thread pronod 
*Link to the Blog - Daily Technical Levels for March 06, 2017
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[www.niftyviews.com:26192] Nifty Closed Higher By 0.62% Despite Tepid Global Cues; But Helped By RIL & Optimism About Better Poll Prospects Of BJP In The Ongoing State Elections And Hopes Of GST Imple

2017-03-06 Thread Asis Ghosh 


*Market Wrap: 06/03/2017 (19:00)*


*Market may be already discounting a likely BJP win including UP (except 
Punjab) and may rally towards life time high even before exit poll on 
Friday evening in a classic scenario like “buy the rumour and sell the 
news”; but in case of any unexpected bad result for BJP/NAMO, market may 
also correct significantly by around 8-10% in the coming days.*



*Time & Price action suggests that, Nifty Fut (March @8978) has to 
sustain over 9020-9035 area for further rally towards 9075-9125 & 
9195-9260 in the short term (under bullish case scenario).*


*On the other side, sustaining below 8995 zone, NF may fall towards 
8945-8900/8870 & 8830-8775 area in the near term (under bear case 
scenario).*


*Similarly, BNF (LTP: 20740) has to sustain over 20950 area for further 
rally towards 21050-21150 & 21350-21500 area in the near term (under 
bullish case scenario).*


*On the other side, sustaining below 20900 area, BNF may fall towards 
20750-20600 & 20500-20425/20250 zone in the near term (under bear case 
scenario).*


Nifty Fut (March) today closed around 8978 (+55 points) after making an 
opening session low of 8928 and late day high of 8985. Indian market 
today opened almost flat following tepid global cues after North Korea 
again tested some long range missiles, which incidentally landed in 
Japan’s coast line territory (special economic zone). As a result, risk 
trade was somewhat subdued and smart money was flowing towards safety of 
Yen and USTSY and Japan as well as other major global markets except 
China was trading lower. Global market was also tepid after an 
allegation by Trump that during his election campaign & afterwards, 
Obama wiretapped his mobile; although this was denied by the later 
vehemently.


Elsewhere, political risk in France is again on the rise as a potential 
Prez candidate (Juppe), who was also a former PM of France in 1995-97 
has withdrawn himself from the Presidential election run up; Juppe was 
seen as one of the market’s favourite candidate after withdrawal of 
another market favourite candidate Fillion, hit hard by his wife’s graft 
allegation. Although, the approval rate of extreme rightist candidate 
(Le Pen) is now lower from the centrist candidate (Macron), it seems 
that market does not trust the opinion polls anymore after tragic shock 
of Brexit & Trumpism and any win for Le Pen can trigger another types of 
Brexit (Frexit).


In this backdrop of ongoing geo-political risk, be it in EU or in US, it 
seems that Indian democracy is politically very stable under leadership 
of NAMO & his economic policies (Modinomics), despite DeMo blues. As of 
now, there is no acceptable national political leader like NAMO and 
despite, best effort by RAGA, he is nowhere in the real politics or 
voter’s mind. Thus, as par the unofficial betting circles, BJP/NAMO is 
going to win big in UP despite duel chorus of “Karan-Arjun” (Akhilesh & 
RAGA). Also, BJP is expected to win all the other states except Punjab 
by big margin and that is being discounted by the Indian market as of now.


A convincing BJP win in all the states including UP may bring NAMO for a 
near majority in the RS and it may also virtually ensure smooth sailing 
of him in the 2019 general election; we may see more effective 
implementation of vital economic reforms including GST and land & labour 
bills. But, election is also an uncertain event, especially for a big & 
complex state like UP, where the present CM enjoys a significant 
popularity and market may also remember some shocking result for 
BJP/NAMO in the recent big elections in Bihar & Delhi. There is also 
significant risk for NAMO in UP despite his repeated campaigns and road 
shows, which may be also an indication that. BJP is not 100% confident 
about its prospect in UP and thus want no stone left unturned; NAMO is 
campaigning in UP like a general election & not a state election.


Indian market may further rally towards the life time high even before 
10^th March, exit poll day in the evening on the hops of a massive BJP 
win in UP, which is seen as a verdict for DeMo. But, even if NAMO wins 
in UP by a major margin, market may also behave like “buy the rumour & 
sell the news” after the actual election result on 11^th March 
(Saturday) as despite all the narratives, valuations are not cheap at 
Nifty 9000-9200 level and there are no lack of headwinds.


After state election euphoria, market may focus on realities like bank 
NPA resolution, any spillover effects of the DeMo in Q4 & subsequent 
quarters, Q4 earnings trajectory after better than expected Q3 earnings 
on the back of various factors out of DeMo. Also, a hawkish RBI & Fed 
and an impending threat of El-Nino this year along with growing EU 
political risks, Trump Tantrum and an end of easy money policy by the 
central bankers, including Fed, ECB, BOJ & PBOC are some of the major 
headwinds.


Indian market today also took positive cues from the GST f

[www.niftyviews.com:26193] Nifty May Open Almost Flat Amid Domestic Optimism About BJP’s Prospects In The State Elections/UP Despite Tepid Global Cues; For NF, 9035-9075 May Be A Big Hurdle Before Rea

2017-03-06 Thread Asis Ghosh 

*Market Mantra: 07/03/2017 (08:30)*

*Watch 8995-8945 & 9035-9075 Zone In Nifty Fut (March), Which May Open 
Around 8975 Today*


*Bharat Fin (LTP: 802)may be in the limelight today for all the wrong 
reasons asmanagement indicates acute stress in some of the loan A/C, 
especially in UP & MH; it may be also an indication that after DeMo, 
overall rural economy or unorganized sector may be still in stress. 
Also, it seems that the recent merger buzz with IIB or any other bank 
may not happen in a hurry due to valuation concern.*


*Technically, the stock need to sustain over 830-850 zone for any 
further rally towards 880-930 zone; otherwise it may come down and 
sustain below 795 may fall towards 750*-590 & further to 515-465 area in 
the near term.*


As par early SGX indication, Nifty Fut (March) may open around 8975, 
almost flat following tepid global cues as a result of Trump tantrum and 
NK missile tests. But, it seems that Indian market is resilient on the 
backdrop of better than expected Q3FY17 GDP, earnings despite DeMo blues 
and also discounting a high probable BJP win in the ongoing state 
elections & UP.



*Hints for actionable trading idea:*

*Time & Price action suggests that, Nifty Fut (March @8975) has to 
sustain over 9020-9035 area for further rally towards 9075-9125 for the 
day/ in the short term (under bullish case scenario).*


*On the other side, sustaining below 8995 zone, NF may fall towards 
8945-8900/8870 area for the day in the near term (under bear case 
scenario).*


*Similarly, BNF (LTP: 20740) has to sustain over 20950 area for further 
rally towards 21050-21150 area for the day/ in the near term (under 
bullish case scenario).*


*On the other side, sustaining below 20900 area, BNF may fall towards 
20750-20600 & 20500 zone for the dayin the near term (under bear case 
scenario).*






 SGX-NF



BHARAT FIN

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Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh

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[www.niftyviews.com:26194] 3 Indian Stocks Worth Watching on 07 March 17

2017-03-06 Thread pronod 
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[www.niftyviews.com:26195] 10 Things to Know About MBL IPO

2017-03-06 Thread pronod 
*Link to the Blog - 10 Things to Know About MBL IPO *

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