[Texascavers] Re: lunar lava tubes

2009-12-11 Thread Mark Minton
I finally got hold of the original scientific journal 
article on that potential lunar lava tube and skylight (Geophys Res 
Lett 36, L21206 (2009)).  I was particularly interested in how they 
estimated the width of the tube at a minimum of 370 m, which would 
dwarf any lava tube on earth.  It turns out that's not very well 
founded.  They used structural theory to calculate _maximum_ possible 
tube size based on purely physical data like thickness of overburden, 
gravity, and tensile strength and density of the rock.  Ceiling 
thickness can be estimated from the photos and lunar gravity is 
known,  but they really have no idea about the properties of the lava 
there so they used figures from terrestrial lava tubes in 
California.  Their result was 370 m, but again, that's the maximum 
possible for those structural conditions and not based on anything 
actually observed.  Then they made some arm-waving arguments about 
how the tube could be even larger, and suddenly 370 m became the 
minimum!  Hogwash!


Reminds me of another paper I read one time that began by 
saying, "Let us assume x, y, and z...". Then a few pages later they 
leapt to a conclusion which they justified by saying, "since we know 
x, y, and z...".  Circular reasoning at it's best.


Mark Minton

At 11:54 AM 10/28/2009, Mark Minton wrote:
>http://dsc.discovery.com/space/qa/lunar-moon-skylight-carolyn-van-d 
er-bogert.html


>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/10/091026-moon-skyligh 
t-lunar-base.html


Did anyone else notice that they claim the lava tube 
associated with that skylight should be at least 370 meters 
wide?!  That would be an unprecedentedly large lave tube.  I wonder 
how they think they can calculate a width for the tube based on 
only the width and depth of the skylight, which are far smaller.  I 
don't believe it for a minute.


Mark Minton


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[Texascavers] Re: lunar lava tubes

2009-10-29 Thread Mark Minton

Don Cooper said:

>I take it the nature of the "Rilles" is still a riddle?  I wonder 
if perhaps they are collapsed lava tubes.


If you read the first article, it said:

>>Sinuous rilles are thought to form in two ways: (1) an open lava 
channel that thermally erodes into the lunar surface, or (2) 
subsurface lava tubes that eventually collapse. There were images of 
collapsed lava tubes that were discussed in the mid to late 1970's as 
evidence for volcanic activity and sinuous rille formation on the Moon.


Mark Minton


On Wed, Oct 28, 2009 at 11:54 AM, Mark Minton  wrote:
>http://dsc.discovery.com/space/qa/lunar-moon-skylight-carolyn-van-d 
er-bogert.html


>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/10/091026-moon-skyligh 
t-lunar-base.html


   Did anyone else notice that they claim the lava tube 
associated with that skylight should be at least 370 meters 
wide?!  That would be an unprecedentedly large lave tube.  I wonder 
how they think they can calculate a width for the tube based on 
only the width and depth of the skylight, which are far smaller.  I 
don't believe it for a minute.


Mark Minton


You may reply to mmin...@caver.net
Permanent email address is mmin...@illinoisalumni.org 



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Re: [Texascavers] Re: lunar lava tubes

2009-10-28 Thread Don Cooper
I take it the nature of the "Rilles" is still a riddle?  I wonder if perhaps
they are collapsed lava tubes.

-WaV

On Wed, Oct 28, 2009 at 11:54 AM, Mark Minton  wrote:

> >
> http://dsc.discovery.com/space/qa/lunar-moon-skylight-carolyn-van-der-bogert.html
>
> >
> http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/10/091026-moon-skylight-lunar-base.html
>
>Did anyone else notice that they claim the lava tube associated with
> that skylight should be at least 370 meters wide?!  That would be an
> unprecedentedly large lave tube.  I wonder how they think they can calculate
> a width for the tube based on only the width and depth of the skylight,
> which are far smaller.  I don't believe it for a minute.
>
> Mark Minton
>
> You may reply to mmin...@caver.net
> Permanent email address is mmin...@illinoisalumni.org
>
> -
> Visit our website: http://texascavers.com
> To unsubscribe, e-mail: texascavers-unsubscr...@texascavers.com
> For additional commands, e-mail: texascavers-h...@texascavers.com
>
>


Re: [Texascavers] Re: lunar lava tubes

2009-10-28 Thread David
They were using the Missouri survey method.

The cave is 370 meters wide and 10 meters long.


[Texascavers] Re: lunar lava tubes

2009-10-28 Thread Mark Minton
>http://dsc.discovery.com/space/qa/lunar-moon-skylight-carolyn-van-der-bogert.html 



>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/10/091026-moon-skylight-lunar-base.html

Did anyone else notice that they claim the lava tube 
associated with that skylight should be at least 370 meters 
wide?!  That would be an unprecedentedly large lave tube.  I wonder 
how they think they can calculate a width for the tube based on only 
the width and depth of the skylight, which are far smaller.  I don't 
believe it for a minute.


Mark Minton

You may reply to mmin...@caver.net
Permanent email address is mmin...@illinoisalumni.org 



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