RE: off topic economics

2005-02-12 Thread Michael Foster

I find it particularly disturbing whenever I read something like
this:


> Our own Fed chairman, guardian of the nation's money...custodian
> of its economy...night watchman of its wealth...
> How could he do such a thing? And yet he has done it. He turned a
> financial bubble into an economic bubble. Not only were the prices 
> of financial assets ballooned to excess...so were the prices of
> houses...and so were the debts of the average household.
> Where does it lead? The force of a correction is equal to the
> deception that preceded it. Mr. Greenspan's whopper must be
> followed by a whopper of a slump.

This shows almost total ignorance of the nature of the Federal 
Reserve and its purpose.  The Federal Reserve, while it has a government 
charter, is a private company.  Its purpose, and that 
of its chairman is to stabilize banks and to maximize their profits.

Usually, when I inform people of this, they think I must be some
sort of conspiracy nut.  One only needs to read the Federal Reserve
Act of 1913.  It's not very long and should be required reading
for every child in school.

Mr. Greenspan is not the "custodian of (the nation's) economy".
He is merely the public face of the Federal Reserve.  The Fed
makes decisions attempting to make the most money for banks,
especially members of the Fed.  When that corresponds with a
healthy economy, as it generally does, then the Fed is doing us
all a favor.  Aren't we lucky?  

The public assumes great knowledge and
omniscience must reside in institutions such as the Fed.  The 
simple fact is that it's made up of human beings who can guess 
wrong and make really stupid mistakes, just like the rest of us.
Tightening the money supply just as the Great Depression was
descending upon us is an example of such foolishness and wrong-
headedness.

M.




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Re: Re: Mars in a Month - Reactive Sails

2005-02-12 Thread orionworks
> From: "Mike Carrell"
> 
> About solar sail starcraft driven by laser cannon, does
> anyone remember "The Mote in God's Eye"?
> 
> Mike Carrell
> 

Hi Mike, 

Yes, I do.

Larry Niven came up with a rather interesting reproductive cycle for those 
"Moties", didn't he. 

I'll never forget the comment about how it was discovered that Moties love a 
good cup of hot chocolate, especially with a drop of machine oil.

And we think WE have problems with run away green house gasses. Talk about a 
desperate situation.

Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com



RE: More on liquid air engines

2005-02-12 Thread Michael Foster

I like it.  In fact, I like almost anything better than
that policy wonk's paradise, the "hydrogen economy."

M.


=

 --- On Sat 02/12, Jones Beene < [EMAIL PROTECTED] > wrote:
From: Jones Beene [mailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Date: Sat, 12 Feb 2005 14:47:21 -0800
Subject: More on liquid air engines




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Imagine a super-efficient and ecologically sound 2-cycle engine... yet... 
surprise, surprise... an internal combustion engine with no intake 
manifold ! 
 
John Steck should get a "laugh" out of this. How can a real engine have no 
intake manifold?
 
Ans: It is powered by a "form" of liquid air. The cryo-liquid is injected 
directly into the cylinder at TDC and expands upon irradiation. Much of the 
engine can even be made of injection molded engineering plastic, as it can 
operate at around 500 degrees F.
 
Just for some factitious *Laughs,* let use nitrous oxide as our 
"whipping boy"  i.e. fuel.  In reality, the fuel would not be 
nitrous per se, but it would be a similar NOx mixture, which is more light 
sensitive but might contain 60-80% N2O and would be used at a colder 
temperature 
than where nitrous liquefies.
 
IOW the fuel mix would be designed to rapidly decompose into oxygen and 
nitrogen upon laser irradiation. Some small amount of CO2 is tolerable, 
perhaps 5% of what a gasoline engine would emit. This fuel/oxidizer compound 
liquid would have a much smaller energy content, compared to gasoline, but 
could 
produce similar net torque in an actual engine because of a very beneficial 
expansion ratio, lack of normal air intake and parasitic compression 
losses, and exceptional Carnot efficiency. A laser or even RF can 
be used as this engine's spark plug, depending on the fuel composition.
 
Nitrous oxide, N2O, is a colorless gas that was first discovered by a 
clergyman and so must have been a gift from God  Priestley made N2O in 
his garage... err, stable... from simple ingredients like iron powder; and so 
could millions of future laymen make our nitrous-like fuel in the next decade 
in 
their garages at night, using off peak power.
 
For the next 250 years or so the primary use of N2O has been dentistry and 
recreational enjoyment. Many famous people (of their time) including clergy, 
royalty and dignitaries worldwide used to inhale the Priestlly-Davy nitrous 
oxide for recreational purposes, so it is not particularly toxic. Ecologically, 
nitrous is about as close to real "air" in composition as it gets in the 
molecular world.  
 
It was once know as factitious air. An excellent choice ! especially 
for a Madison Ave-type sobriquet, one can imagine. If we can keep the 
additives low, perhaps we can keep the name!
 
When the decomposition reaction of this liquid occurs in the 
combustion chamber of an automobile, 3 moles of gas would be produced from 2 
moles of sprayed liquid, providing an extra boost to the piston over the normal 
800-1 ratio, as well as liberating heat, unlike other cryo-fuels like LN or 
liquid air. The expansion ratio should be much more favorable than normal. It 
also has a number of other benefits. The oxygen provides efficient combustion 
of 
any tiny amount of hydrocarbon additive (butane?), the nitrogen buffers the 
increased cylinder pressure controlling the decomposition, and the latent heat 
of vaporization of the N2O reduces the exhaust temperature. We could probably 
keep the exhaust gases closer to regular air by taking carbon out when this 
fuel 
is made.
 
Of course N2O is occasionally injected into the fuel lines of racing cars 
to give more power to the engine and to give the car exceptional acceleration, 
so there is a long history of this. 
 
Here the purpose is different, of course, and again the fuel would not be 
nitrous, per se... we might want to add in a touch of LP or methane to initiate 
the decomposition reaction, if necessary. Yes, that is some of the 
dreaded-carbon, but one can imagine that, as an interim measure, the net result 
would be a  reduction in net carbon released per unit of torque by a 
humongous ratio maybe 20-1... we can use this kind of reduced carbon technology 
with hundreds of millions of Chinese needing future powered transport.
 
...giving us a much longer "grace period" before runaway... 
 
Say "adieu" to CO2, Gracie... OK George, Adieu to CO2
 
Factiously yours,
 
Jones


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Re: Mars in a Month - Reactive Sails

2005-02-12 Thread Mike Carrell

About solar sail starcraft driven by laser cannon, does anyone remember "The
Mote in God's Eye"?

Mike Carrell





Re: Mars in a Month - Reactive Sails

2005-02-12 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Terry Blanton's message of Sat, 12 Feb 2005 15:14:08 -0800:
Hi,
[snip]
>http://www.physics.uci.edu/faculty/Acceleration_of_Sails.pdf
>
>Excerpt from PDF file:
>
>The major points in this report are:
>
>(a) Beamed power can drive thermal desorption from LEO
>sails, giving high initial velocities, using coated
>sail surfaces.
>
>(b) This capability will open many kinds of fast-start
>interplanetary solar sailing missions
>
>(c) Sun Diver missions, which need to have sails
>tested to high temperatures, can be studied in LEO,
>observing their response to power beamed to (or from)
>LEO.
[snip]
The side of this not mentioned, is that it would require high powered beamed 
power sources, on the surface &/or in space. The space based variety would make 
an ideal weapon to suppress humanity.


Regards,


Robin van Spaandonk

All SPAM goes in the trash unread.



Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?

2005-02-12 Thread Nick Palmer
Terry Blanton wrote << What's in it for Amazon?
A fee?>>
From the small print...
Does it cost me anything to use the Amazon Honor System?
No. There are no fees for making a payment to a participating Web site. To 
cover our administrative and processing costs, Web sites collecting money 
with the Honor System are assessed 2.9% of your payment plus a fixed cost of 
$0.30 per transaction 




Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?

2005-02-12 Thread Colin Quinney
And it's good for me because I live in Canada and I have a Paypal account 
:-)
Colin
- Original Message - 
From: "Grimer" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: 
Sent: Saturday, February 12, 2005 6:17 PM
Subject: Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?


At 12:59 pm 12-02-05 -0800, you wrote:
--- William Beaty <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
   AMASCI.COM TIP JAR
   http://amasci.com/tipjar.html
Now *that* is a kewl concept.  I was able to pay
throught my Amazon account.  What's in it for Amazon?
A fee?
Terry

That's especially convenient for me since I'm
in England but I do have a US Amazon account.
Frank Grimer




Re: OFF TOPIC N.Y. Times offers bad advice to HP

2005-02-12 Thread Terry Blanton

--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

> I bet it uses a lot less energy than what an
> equivalent sized CRT monitor would as well.

80 Watts according to the specs.



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Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?

2005-02-12 Thread Grimer
At 12:59 pm 12-02-05 -0800, you wrote:
>
>--- William Beaty <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>>AMASCI.COM TIP JAR
>>http://amasci.com/tipjar.html
>
>Now *that* is a kewl concept.  I was able to pay
>throught my Amazon account.  What's in it for Amazon? 
>A fee?
>
>Terry


That's especially convenient for me since I'm 
in England but I do have a US Amazon account.

Frank Grimer



Mars in a Month - Reactive Sails

2005-02-12 Thread Terry Blanton
http://www.physics.uci.edu/faculty/Acceleration_of_Sails.pdf

Excerpt from PDF file:

The major points in this report are:

(a) Beamed power can drive thermal desorption from LEO
sails, giving high initial velocities, using coated
sail surfaces.

(b) This capability will open many kinds of fast-start
interplanetary solar sailing missions

(c) Sun Diver missions, which need to have sails
tested to high temperatures, can be studied in LEO,
observing their response to power beamed to (or from)
LEO.

(d) Laboratory sail flights can test acceleration &
stability of carbon sails now.

(e) This basic physics can apply to sails heated by
lasers as well. There is a wide variety of promising
possible materials for laboratory studies.




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More on liquid air engines

2005-02-12 Thread Jones Beene



Imagine a super-efficient and ecologically sound 2-cycle engine... yet... 
surprise, surprise... an internal combustion engine with no intake 
manifold ! 
 
John Steck should get a "laugh" out of this. How can a real engine have no 
intake manifold?
 
Ans: It is powered by a "form" of liquid air. The cryo-liquid is injected 
directly into the cylinder at TDC and expands upon irradiation. Much of the 
engine can even be made of injection molded engineering plastic, as it can 
operate at around 500 degrees F.
 
Just for some factitious *Laughs,* let use nitrous oxide as our 
"whipping boy"  i.e. fuel.  In reality, the fuel would not be 
nitrous per se, but it would be a similar NOx mixture, which is more light 
sensitive but might contain 60-80% N2O and would be used at a colder temperature 
than where nitrous liquefies.
 
IOW the fuel mix would be designed to rapidly decompose into oxygen and 
nitrogen upon laser irradiation. Some small amount of CO2 is tolerable, 
perhaps 5% of what a gasoline engine would emit. This fuel/oxidizer compound 
liquid would have a much smaller energy content, compared to gasoline, but could 
produce similar net torque in an actual engine because of a very beneficial 
expansion ratio, lack of normal air intake and parasitic compression 
losses, and exceptional Carnot efficiency. A laser or even RF can 
be used as this engine's spark plug, depending on the fuel composition.
 
Nitrous oxide, N2O, is a colorless gas that was first discovered by a 
clergyman and so must have been a gift from God  Priestley made N2O in 
his garage... err, stable... from simple ingredients like iron powder; and so 
could millions of future laymen make our nitrous-like fuel in the next decade in 
their garages at night, using off peak power.
 
For the next 250 years or so the primary use of N2O has been dentistry and 
recreational enjoyment. Many famous people (of their time) including clergy, 
royalty and dignitaries worldwide used to inhale the Priestlly-Davy nitrous 
oxide for recreational purposes, so it is not particularly toxic. Ecologically, 
nitrous is about as close to real "air" in composition as it gets in the 
molecular world.  
 
It was once know as factitious air. An excellent choice ! especially 
for a Madison Ave-type sobriquet, one can imagine. If we can keep the 
additives low, perhaps we can keep the name!
 
When the decomposition reaction of this liquid occurs in the 
combustion chamber of an automobile, 3 moles of gas would be produced from 2 
moles of sprayed liquid, providing an extra boost to the piston over the normal 
800-1 ratio, as well as liberating heat, unlike other cryo-fuels like LN or 
liquid air. The expansion ratio should be much more favorable than normal. It 
also has a number of other benefits. The oxygen provides efficient combustion of 
any tiny amount of hydrocarbon additive (butane?), the nitrogen buffers the 
increased cylinder pressure controlling the decomposition, and the latent heat 
of vaporization of the N2O reduces the exhaust temperature. We could probably 
keep the exhaust gases closer to regular air by taking carbon out when this fuel 
is made.
 
Of course N2O is occasionally injected into the fuel lines of racing cars 
to give more power to the engine and to give the car exceptional acceleration, 
so there is a long history of this. 
 
Here the purpose is different, of course, and again the fuel would not be 
nitrous, per se... we might want to add in a touch of LP or methane to initiate 
the decomposition reaction, if necessary. Yes, that is some of the 
dreaded-carbon, but one can imagine that, as an interim measure, the net result 
would be a  reduction in net carbon released per unit of torque by a 
humongous ratio maybe 20-1... we can use this kind of reduced carbon technology 
with hundreds of millions of Chinese needing future powered transport.
 
...giving us a much longer "grace period" before runaway... 
 
Say "adieu" to CO2, Gracie... OK George, Adieu to CO2
 
Factiously yours,
 
Jones


Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?

2005-02-12 Thread Terry Blanton

--- Steven Krivit <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Bill, do you find the 3 bucks to be an ideal choice?

I think we were giving $10 per year previously.  I was
a bit behind; so, I just highlighted the $3.00 and
changed it to my desired amount.



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Re: OOPS, WRONG ADDR Thanks V & Bill B & Donations?

2005-02-12 Thread Terry Blanton

--- William Beaty <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>AMASCI.COM TIP JAR
>http://amasci.com/tipjar.html

Now *that* is a kewl concept.  I was able to pay
throught my Amazon account.  What's in it for Amazon? 
A fee?

Terry

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Re: off topic economics

2005-02-12 Thread RC Macaulay



Thanks Ed for posting the Bill Bonner writing on 
Greenspan.
 
Don Rumsfield recently commented on the US Govt debt.. 
saying.. " deficits don't matter". 
 
He is correct.. they don't matter anymore!  
 Anybody that don't see the huge chasm in the middle of the road about June 
of this year is blind and lying to himself.
 
The hoard of cash and credit made available ( in 
lieu of hard work) has spun the world in ever 
increasing speeds where no one dare try to change because it could bring the 
house of cards down.. so the name of the game is " keep the balloon 
up"
The world banks thought they could win at monolopy 
by printing their own money. (Rothschild said once ..he didnt care who ran the 
Government as long as he ran the bank.) ( which ultimately dictates 
to the Government as the Chinese are learning)
What do the bankers win??
They win play money because thats whats its actually 
worth when the game ends.. It used to be that the winner of the game of monolopy 
had to put all the play money, the hotels, cards and dice back in the box before 
bedtime.
What to you bet they don't ! They will leave it to the 
losers to put the game back in the box, complaining of what rotten losers we 
are.
Brings to mind Geo. Washington's departing speech.. 
"beware of foriegn entanglements".  W is a 
"Yalie".   Not even a Yalie can get himself 
out of this mess and Yalies are known to be able to wiggle out of almost 
anything.
 
Richard
 
<>

off topic economics

2005-02-12 Thread Edmund Storms
In case some of you are still not too bored about economic discussion, 
here is a very good article about how we got into the mess we are in. 
The combination of low interest rates, outsourcing, and deficit spending 
both in government and industry has created a witches brew that is 
expected to produce economic collapse in the very near future, 
regardless of what China does.  Bush et al., based on the submitted 
budget, show no awareness of the problem and are continuing to base 
policy on lies. The only defense is personal awareness on which you can 
base a personal defense before the axe falls.

Regards,
Ed
GREENSPAN'S WHOPPER
by Bill Bonner
"You are wasting your life and your talents writing about Alan Greenspan 
every day," said an old friend.

For years, we have been working on Greenspan's obituary. As far as we 
know, the man is still in excellent health. But we do not want to be 
caught off guard. Maybe we could even rush out a quickie biography, 
explaining to the masses the meaning of Mr. Greenspan's life and work.

Perhaps our friend is right. But then again, we weren't doing anything 
special before we started keeping up with the Fed chairman. Besides, we 
see something in Alan Greenspan's career...his comportment...his 
betrayal of his old ideas...his pact with the Devil in Washington...and 
his attempt to hold off nature's revenge at least until he leaves the 
Fed...that is both entertaining and educational. It smacks of Greek 
tragedy without the boring monologues or bloody intrigues. Even the 
language of it is Greek to most people. Though the Fed chairman speaks 
English, of course, his words often need translation and historical 
annotation. Rarely does the maestro make a statement that is 
comprehensible to the ordinary mortal. So much the better, we guess. If 
the average fellow really knew what he was talking about, he would be 
alarmed. And we have no illusions. Whoever attempts to explain it to him 
will get no thanks; he might as well tell his teenage daughter what is 
in her hotdog.

We persevere anyway, more in mischief than in earnest.
The background: The U.S. economy faced a major recession in 2001 and had 
a minor one. The necessary slump he held off by a dramatic resort to 
central planning. The "invisible hand" is fine for lumber and poultry 
prices. But at the short end of the market in debt, Alan Greenspan's paw 
presses down, like a butcher's thumb on the meat scale. The Fed quickly 
cut rates to head off the recession. Indeed, never before had rates been 
cut so much, so fast. George W. Bush, meanwhile, boosted spending. The 
resultant shock of renewed, ersatz demand not only postponed the 
recession; it misled consumers, investors and businessmen to make even 
more egregious errors. Investors bought stock with low earnings yields. 
Consumers went further into debt. Government liabilities rose. The trade 
deficit grew larger. Even on the other side of the globe, foreign 
businessmen geared up to meet the phony new demand; China enjoyed a 
capital spending boom as excessive as any the world has ever seen.

What the Greenspan Fed had accomplished was to put off a natural, 
cyclical correction and transmogrify an entire economy into a monstrous 
ECONOMIC bubble. A bubble in stock prices may do little real economic 
damage. Eventually, the bubble pops and the phony money people thought 
they had disappears like a puff of marijuana smoke. There are winners 
and losers. But in the end, the economy is about where it began - 
unharmed and unhelped. The households are still there...and still 
spending money as they did before...and the companies still in business. 
Only those that leveraged themselves too highly in the bubble years are 
in any trouble - and they probably deserve to go out of business.

Even a property bubble may come and go with little effect on the overall 
economy. House prices have been running up in France, for example, at 
nearly the same rates as in America. But in France there is very little 
mortgage refinancing...or "taking out" of equity. The European Central 
Bank was repeatedly urged to lower rates in line with those in America. 
It refused to budge. Without falling rates, there was no "refi boom." 
Nor were European banks offering "home equity lines of credit." Property 
could run up...and run down...and the only people who cared would be the 
actual buyers or sellers, who either cursed themselves or felt like 
geniuses, depending on their luck.

But in Greenspan's bubble economy something remarkably awful happened. 
Householders were lured to "take out" the equity in their homes. They 
believed that the bubble in real estate priced created "wealth" that 
they could spend. Many did not hesitate. Mortgage debt ballooned in the 
early years of the 21st century - from about $6 trillion in 1999 to 
nearly $9 trillion at the end of 2004. Three trillion dollars may not 
seem like much to you, dear reader. But it increased the average 
household's debt by $

Re: OFF TOPIC N.Y. Times offers bad advice to HP

2005-02-12 Thread orionworks
> From: "John Steck"

> It's already a great day in the professional graphics
> world...
> http://www.mwave.com/mwave/viewspec.hmx?scriteria=3505972
> 
> -john
> 

Yes, the day is approaching.  Nice resolution specs!

They still need to shave about a thousand dollars off the current price tag. It 
will happen...

I bet it uses a lot less energy than what an equivalent sized CRT monitor would 
as well. That should please most Vorts.

Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com