Re: [Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-03-02 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 03:23 PM 2/27/2011, Charles Hope wrote:
There is no mathematical definition of fringe. A topic is fringe if 
the majority of scientists subjectively feel it is. Wikipedia is an 
excellent tool for judging such mass subjectivity.


In a way, this is correct. Wikipedia did classify Cold fusion as 
fringe. However, that only works to the extent that Wikipedia 
editors, and particularly administrators, would represent a 
cross-section of scientists. They don't. Nonetheless, there are 
quite a few Wikipedia administrators who are, indeed, scientists of 
some kind or other. Mostly they are young, often grad students. Think 
about who else would have the insane amounts of time it takes to 
sufficiently impress the Wikipedia community that you'd make a good 
administrator.


The problem is that there is another category, called emerging 
science. Emerging science might not be recognised by the majority, 
and emerging science may be emerging from the fringe. When that 
is happening, we will see increasing publication, recognition of the 
topic as worthy of research and publication by peer-reviewers at 
mainstream journals, and other signs of acceptance among those 
*actually familiar with the research.*


Cold fusion is, in fact, quite an unusual case. It is difficult to 
classify by normal standards.


If all that fringe means is that the majority of scientists (who 
are scientists? All people with a degree in a science?) think that 
a topic is fringe, regardless of the level of their knowledge of the 
specific topic, it means little except that controversy exists -- 
assuming that there are some scientists think it isn't fringe.


And most cold fusion researchers do think that Cold fusion is 
fringe. I.e., that most scientists subjectively feel it is. It's 
been pointed out that many of the secondary source reviews of cold 
fusion are defensive, and that this is a sign of fringe science. It is.


It means nothing about the science itself. As Jed has pointed out, 
there is a definition of mainstream that's different. Judging 
mainstream has to do with publication by independent publishers who 
are dedicated to general science or to some particular science (or 
engineering.)


Thus, given the two definitions, cold fusion is a mainstream fringe science.

Cool, eh? 



Re: [Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-03-02 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
Abd sez:

...

 It means nothing about the science itself. As Jed has pointed out, there is
 a definition of mainstream that's different. Judging mainstream has to
 do with publication by independent publishers who are dedicated to general
 science or to some particular science (or engineering.)

 Thus, given the two definitions, cold fusion is a mainstream fringe science.

 Cool, eh?

I prefer the term frontier science myself. ;-)

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-02-28 Thread Jed Rothwell
Charles Hope lookslikeiwasri...@gmail.com wrote:

There is no mathematical definition of fringe.


There is, however, a conventional definition of what constitutes mainstream
science. It calls for professional scientists, replication, peer-review, a
high s/n ratio and various other things. According to this definition, cold
fusion is mainstream, not fringe.



 A topic is fringe if the majority of scientists subjectively feel it is.


That would be another definition of fringe, as I said.

- Jed


[Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-02-27 Thread Jed Rothwell
I do not want to beat this subject to death, but I would like to say what
while I agree with Joshua Cude here, we have to make a subtle distinction:


 And it’s not just Nature or SciAm. Science, all the APS journals, and most
 others would regard cold fusion as fringe science. It doesn’t matter (for
 this argument) if they are wrong about cold fusion or not; their perception
 of it defines it as fringe. It is one of 3 examples of contemporary fringe
 science on the Wikipedia entry on the subject. And whatever one thinks of
 Wikipedia, it can’t be denied that this indicates that the perception I was
 representing is not my own invention.


It is true that many people think cold fusion is a fringe subject. They are
incorrect, but they think so. The thing is, being fringe or not is not a
matter of opinion or perception. These people are biased. They are ignorant.
Their views are analogous to the views of white racists in 1900 who did not
realize there were any wealthy, high-achieving, superlative black people in
the U.S. W. E. B. DuBois sponsored at photographic exhibit at the Paris
Exhibition in 1900 to counter this perception. It shocked many Americans,
and it revealed how inaccurate the mass media portrayal of black society
was. See:

http://www.theroot.com/views/web-du-bois-talented-tenth-pictures

In other words, most white people in 1900 did not realize that by objective
standards of education, achievement, wealth and so on, many black people
were among the leading citizens and solid members of the mainstream.
Opponents of cold fusion do not realize that most cold fusion researchers
are distinguished scientists, and by objective scientific standards of
replication, s/n ratios and so on, the research is mainstream.

Cude cites Wikipedia as a standard. I think Wikipedia is biased and
unreliable, for the reasons given here:

http://www.wired.com/software/webservices/commentary/alttext/2006/04/70670

I think it is better to judge by the weight of evidence in the peer reviewed
literature. The fact that most scientists have not, in fact, judged by this
standard is irrelevant. A scientist who has not read the literature
carefully and evaluated it objectively has no standing, and no right to any
opinion about cold fusion, positive or negative. Science is not a popularity
contest.

Cude also cited the opinion of John Rennie at the Sci. Am. I have
corresponded with Rennie. I uploaded his comments. See:

http://lenr-canr.org/News.htm#SciAmSlam

He told me that he has not read the literature because reading scientific
paper is not my job. As I said, that disqualifies him. He has no right to
an opinion, and we should ignore anything he says about cold fusion. General
knowledge of science is of no use when evaluating novel and unexpected
experimental results.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-02-27 Thread Jed Rothwell
Let me add that we are talking about two different definitions of fringe
here. This is, in part, a dispute over semantics.

Cude is quite right about what he calls fringe and I agree that is a valid
use of the word. He is right that cold fusion fits that definition.

However, I think that in the context of a scientific discovery, when we
invoke concepts such as fringe or marginal or proven we should use the
more rigorous definitions. We should stick to mathematical rather than
popular culture definitions. When we talk about movies or politics, fringe
is defined by whatever the majority thinks. Wikipedia or the New York Times
are the arbiters. When we talk about calorimetry or tritium, opinions don't
count. The majority view itself may be fringe, even though that seems
contradictory. The existing corpus of knowledge described in the textbooks
sets the standard. Quantitative measurements such as signal to noise decide
the issue. Not a headcount. Not who pulls political strings and gets to
write Op Ed columns in Washington Post (Robert Park), or which anonymous
nitwit named after a comic-book character prevails in the edit wars at
Wikipedia.

Decades from now, all knowledge of cold fusion may be lost. After I and
others who know the facts die, the mythology alone may survive. The only
references in textbooks or the mass media may claim that cold fusion was
pathological science that was never replicated, etc. The Wikipedia/Sci. Am.
version of history may prevail, because winners write history books.
However, the Wikipedia version is incorrect. We can determine this by
objective, absolute, universal standards. Cold fusion exists. It always has.
It always will. Science does settle some issues beyond question.

It is rather quaint to assert absolute faith in the scientific method, but I
assert it! I may be mired in the 19th century, but I say there will never be
any way to disprove the heat beyond the limits of chemistry, tritium and
helium. Replicated experiments are the only standard of truth. Once you
achieve a certain level of replication, there is zero chance the results are
a mistake. Theory can always be overthrown. Experiments may be
re-interpreted. But in this case, the results are too simple and clear-cut
to be re-interpreted much. If the term nuclear means anything, and the
distinction between chemistry (changes in electron bonds) versus nuclear
(changes to the nucleus) mean anything, then cold fusion is a nuclear
reaction, by definition.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Yes, cold fusion is a fringe subject by the standards of Wikipedia

2011-02-27 Thread Charles Hope
There is no mathematical definition of fringe. A topic is fringe if the 
majority of scientists subjectively feel it is. Wikipedia is an excellent tool 
for judging such mass subjectivity. 



Sent from my iPhone. 

On Feb 27, 2011, at 11:29, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 Let me add that we are talking about two different definitions of fringe 
 here. This is, in part, a dispute over semantics.
 
 Cude is quite right about what he calls fringe and I agree that is a valid 
 use of the word. He is right that cold fusion fits that definition.
 
 However, I think that in the context of a scientific discovery, when we 
 invoke concepts such as fringe or marginal or proven we should use the 
 more rigorous definitions. We should stick to mathematical rather than 
 popular culture definitions. When we talk about movies or politics, fringe 
 is defined by whatever the majority thinks. Wikipedia or the New York Times 
 are the arbiters. When we talk about calorimetry or tritium, opinions don't 
 count. The majority view itself may be fringe, even though that seems 
 contradictory. The existing corpus of knowledge described in the textbooks 
 sets the standard. Quantitative measurements such as signal to noise decide 
 the issue. Not a headcount. Not who pulls political strings and gets to write 
 Op Ed columns in Washington Post (Robert Park), or which anonymous nitwit 
 named after a comic-book character prevails in the edit wars at Wikipedia.
 
 Decades from now, all knowledge of cold fusion may be lost. After I and 
 others who know the facts die, the mythology alone may survive. The only 
 references in textbooks or the mass media may claim that cold fusion was 
 pathological science that was never replicated, etc. The Wikipedia/Sci. Am. 
 version of history may prevail, because winners write history books. However, 
 the Wikipedia version is incorrect. We can determine this by objective, 
 absolute, universal standards. Cold fusion exists. It always has. It always 
 will. Science does settle some issues beyond question.
 
 It is rather quaint to assert absolute faith in the scientific method, but I 
 assert it! I may be mired in the 19th century, but I say there will never be 
 any way to disprove the heat beyond the limits of chemistry, tritium and 
 helium. Replicated experiments are the only standard of truth. Once you 
 achieve a certain level of replication, there is zero chance the results are 
 a mistake. Theory can always be overthrown. Experiments may be 
 re-interpreted. But in this case, the results are too simple and clear-cut to 
 be re-interpreted much. If the term nuclear means anything, and the 
 distinction between chemistry (changes in electron bonds) versus nuclear 
 (changes to the nucleus) mean anything, then cold fusion is a nuclear 
 reaction, by definition.
 
 - Jed