Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-16 Thread Sam Blacketer
On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 8:56 PM, Andrew Gray andrew.g...@dunelm.org.ukwrote:


 There is a project (even longer-running and slower-burning than the
 ODNB) to construct a reference work covering all MPs, at least as much
 as they're known, along with various other bits and pieces:

 http://www.histparl.ac.uk/about.html


Or try http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Parliament for some
explanation of its history.


 In the past sixty years, they've managed to cover a little over half
 the timeframe in twenty-eight (!) volumes. I have never seen their
 work, I admit, but I'd be intrigued to...


I have the CD-Rom containing the volumes published up to 1998 and 12 volumes
published since then are on a shelf just above the computer. They are very
interesting studies, delving very deep into manuscript sources and using as
their sources letters between various senior politicians preserved in the
archives. They concentrate only on the subjects' Parliamentary and political
activities, so for example the only mention of the diary of Samuel Pepys (MP
for Castle Rising 1673-79, Harwich 1679 and 1685-88) is that Pepys stopped
writing it before he became an MP.

-- 
Sam Blacketer
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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-16 Thread Carcharoth
On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 9:54 PM, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:

 There's a *heck* of a lot still to be written.

On that topic, I came across this interesting essay:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia_extended_growth

It tries to project to the year 2025!

Carcharoth

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-16 Thread Ian Woollard
On 16/02/2011, Carcharoth carcharot...@googlemail.com wrote:
 I came across this interesting essay:

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia_extended_growth

 It tries to project to the year 2025!

And fails spectacularly. The extended growth model seems pretty
inaccurate, very over-optimistic:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Enwikipediagrowthcomparison.PNG

That graph hasn't been updated recently, but other graphs show that
the Gompertz model is still tracking about as well as any simple model
could do:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:EnwikipediagrowthGom.PNG

although even that is looking perhaps very slightly pessimistic, but
it's too early to be absolutely sure.

But we can certainly I think, say with some justification, that the
extended growth model is significantly off the mark.

 Carcharoth

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Carcharoth
On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 3:03 AM, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:

 I'm not sure that judging a project with 3 million articles based on a
 sample of just one article a great idea.

That was tongue-in-cheek, but a reminder to be wary of the state of an
article. I wonder whether the recent editing history should be more
visible to readers, or at least an indication of when the article was
last edited? The This page was last modified on 15 February 2011 at
01:35. is right at the bottom of the page - arguably (like on other
sites) it should be up at the top.

 I'm tempted to ask whether the system worked here or not. I
 understand that there is always a chance that you come across an
 article in a poor state during editing, but quite why there wasn't a
 proper reaction here, I don't know.

 I'd say it's hit the wall of text problem beyond a certain size unless
 there is an individual really prepared to look after the article there
 is a tendency towards messiness.

I've just discovered a talk page section where the editors discussed
things. I missed it because it was stuck at the top of the talk page,
rather than the bottom of the talk page (a common misplacement done by
editors not familar with talk page conventions). So the system was
working here. It was just that the discussion was slightly hidden
away. And the talk page is almost as confusing as the article. I
wonder if there is a tool that shows when reading an article if there
has been recent talk page activity? I know you can just click the talk
page tab, but some of this information should be visible immediately,
and not just a few clicks away.

Carcharoth

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Carcharoth
On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 4:33 AM, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:

 We can establish a lower
 bound since the Thomson-Gale's Biography Resource Center contains over
 1,335,000 biographies.

The 2007 edition of the ODNB (British biographical history) has
50,113 biographical articles covering 54,922 lives. What criteria
are used for the Thomson-Gale's Biography Resource Center? We don't
have an article on that, though we do have this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biography_and_Genealogy_Master_Index

The Biography and Genealogy Master Index (BGMI) was a printed
reference index, and is currently a proprietary database published by
the Gale Research Company. The database indexes more than 15 million
individuals, living and deceased, covered in more than 1700
biographical reference sources.

It that something different?

http://www.gale.cengage.com/servlet/BrowseSeriesServlet?region=9imprint=000titleCode=BDMIedition

Carcharoth

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread geni
On 15 February 2011 11:22, Carcharoth carcharot...@googlemail.com wrote:
 On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 4:33 AM, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:

 We can establish a lower
 bound since the Thomson-Gale's Biography Resource Center contains over
 1,335,000 biographies.

 The 2007 edition of the ODNB (British biographical history) has
 50,113 biographical articles covering 54,922 lives. What criteria
 are used for the Thomson-Gale's Biography Resource Center? We don't
 have an article on that, though we do have this:

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biography_and_Genealogy_Master_Index

 The Biography and Genealogy Master Index (BGMI) was a printed
 reference index, and is currently a proprietary database published by
 the Gale Research Company. The database indexes more than 15 million
 individuals, living and deceased, covered in more than 1700
 biographical reference sources.

 It that something different?

 http://www.gale.cengage.com/servlet/BrowseSeriesServlet?region=9imprint=000titleCode=BDMIedition

 Carcharoth


It's something listed at:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Size_comparisons


-- 
geni

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Charles Matthews
On 14/02/2011 22:31, WereSpielChequers wrote:

snip
 If something like WYSIWYG
 editing were to bring in a new wave of editors then the model would
 break and it would be possible to think in terms of how many potential
 articles qualify.
I think there is a point here. There are certainly a number of valid 
topics without articles in enWP (a million is a good enough figure), but 
the question is how many people will (a) think they should be written, 
and then (b) do something about it. The demographics of new editors 
have something to do with (a). We certainly need new editors upgrading 
our older articles where that has not been done, also (which is on-topic 
for the thread).

Much of this discussion seems to work still with a rather primitive 
model of how editors assign themselves to tasks. Among tasks is seeing 
what the encyclopedia needs by direct inspection of existing content.

Charles


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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Ian Woollard
On 15 February 2011 04:33, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 15 February 2011 04:00, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
  Anyway, so I stop there. Even 40 million appears completely
  unsupportable. It looks like it's off again by about another order of
  magnitude.

 Oh really?


Yeah, really. That page claims we only have 3% of notable Poles. Are you
really, seriously, telling me we only have 3% of ALL notable biographies???
Because that's what that page is assuming to calculate that 40 million.


 People have been keeping records for a long time. Western Europe has
 very comprehensive records going back 200 years. More patchy records
 strech back about 8000 years.


Yup.


 When you consider the number of politicians, military leaders,
 aristocracy, industrialists, sportspeople, scientists, writers,
 artists, musicians, performers and general hangers on there have been
 in that time it's quite a lot of people.

 How many is probably impossible to calulate.


It's not impossible to calculate, you look at the counts from an
encyclopedias of famous people. And they very typically list historical
people as well as living people.

--
 geni

-- 
-Ian Woollard
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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread geni
On 15 February 2011 16:19, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 Yeah, really. That page claims we only have 3% of notable Poles. Are you
 really, seriously, telling me we only have 3% of ALL notable biographies???
 Because that's what that page is assuming to calculate that 40 million.

It's possible. Our coverage of say British MPs starts to fall apart
pre-20th century.

 It's not impossible to calculate, you look at the counts from an
 encyclopedias of famous people. And they very typically list historical
 people as well as living people.

But they all hit dead tree limitations. Sure you can chose a very
narrow focus book like the alphabet of the saints. So it seem pretty
likely that up until 1992 Southampton FC had a bit over 700 players
about which it would be possible to write something about. But such
books don't really exist for far areas.

Still assuming players play for an average of 2 clubs (remember
players didn't used to move around as much) you are looking at about
28 000 english male football bios up until 1992.

But how many captains of the royal navy are notable? How many knights? Mayors?

So while yes it may be possible for some individual areas as to how
many bios there could be more generally I don't think can be done.


-- 
geni

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Ian Woollard
On 15/02/2011, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 15 February 2011 16:19, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 Yeah, really. That page claims we only have 3% of notable Poles. Are you
 really, seriously, telling me we only have 3% of ALL notable
 biographies???
 Because that's what that page is assuming to calculate that 40 million.

 It's possible. Our coverage of say British MPs starts to fall apart
 pre-20th century.

But should each MP necessarily have his own biography?

 It's not impossible to calculate, you look at the counts from an
 encyclopedias of famous people. And they very typically list historical
 people as well as living people.

 But they all hit dead tree limitations.

Then they're not capable of being reliably sourced.

 Sure you can chose a very
 narrow focus book like the alphabet of the saints. So it seem pretty
 likely that up until 1992 Southampton FC had a bit over 700 players
 about which it would be possible to write something about. But such
 books don't really exist for far areas.

Then there's no sources, and no biography.

 Still assuming players play for an average of 2 clubs (remember
 players didn't used to move around as much) you are looking at about
 28 000 english male football bios up until 1992.

Only if they're notable, and reliably sourced. I don't think they're
notable enough to have their own article simply for having played.

 But how many captains of the royal navy are notable? How many knights?
 Mayors?

Indeed.

 So while yes it may be possible for some individual areas as to how
 many bios there could be more generally I don't think can be done.

So you're saying that you don't know; and it's not a lot of use is it?

 --
 geni

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Andrew Gray
On 15 February 2011 04:00, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:

 I then checked the British biography 'Who's who'. They have about
 30,000 entries, but that's only about 1 person in 2000 in Great
 Britain, so even less.

This is actually quite an interesting angle to come at the problem from.

Who's Who has 34,210 people in it (the selection process is notable
by their standards, related to the UK, though this is sometimes
stretched, and currently living). Their legacy archive, of people
who were at some point included since publication began c. 1900, is
larger; it runs to 89,763 names - thus a total of ~124,000 people, of
whom 28% are currently alive.

But that's, of course, an undercount of all people notable and
related to the UK.

* Firstly, Who's Who has gaps; it has an idiosyncratic and,
historically, quite old-fashioned selection process. My current work
is on the sort of person that stuffy establishment reference works
thrived on, but I find perhaps 20% of them aren't covered.
* Secondly, the gaps involve systemic biases; to consider one we can
easily check for, only 13% of the current biographies are women, and
a tiny 4% of the old biographies are.
* Thirdly - perhaps the biggest element - notability didn't begin with
the people still breathing in 1900. The Who's Who figures don't
reflect the long tail of historical biographies from the past; a
conservative estimate might be to double or triple the figures.

After making appropriate adjustments for these, we find that the data
suggests there might be 400,000 potentially suitable biographies out
there within the broad geographical remit of Who's Who; expanding that
to the world as a whole would begin to push the high seven figures.

Or, to look at it another way... we currently have around half a
million BLPs from around the world. *Without* correcting for the long
tail of dead people, then our known coverage of BLPs would suggest
there should be around 1,800,000 total possible biographies. If we
*do* make a corresponding adjustment, then the expected total comes in
at three to four million biographies. And, of course, we have known
gaps in our BLP coverage, suggesting the total number would come out
higher...

We currently have around 900,000 biographies. So even by a *highly
conservative* estimate, taking for the sake of argument that we have
100% coverage of living biographies and that the number of people
notable before the late nineteenth century was trivial, there'd still
be, at the very least, a million notable past biographies still
waiting to be written...

-- 
- Andrew Gray
  andrew.g...@dunelm.org.uk

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread geni
On 15 February 2011 18:17, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 15/02/2011, geni geni...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 15 February 2011 16:19, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 Yeah, really. That page claims we only have 3% of notable Poles. Are you
 really, seriously, telling me we only have 3% of ALL notable
 biographies???
 Because that's what that page is assuming to calculate that 40 million.

 It's possible. Our coverage of say British MPs starts to fall apart
 pre-20th century.

 But should each MP necessarily have his own biography?

 It's not impossible to calculate, you look at the counts from an
 encyclopedias of famous people. And they very typically list historical
 people as well as living people.

 But they all hit dead tree limitations.

 Then they're not capable of being reliably sourced.

Of course they are. It's just the sources are things other than
encyclopedias of famous people



 Only if they're notable, and reliably sourced. I don't think they're
 notable enough to have their own article simply for having played.

In practice yes they are. Local newspapers tend to use their local
sports teams as filler.


 So you're saying that you don't know; and it's not a lot of use is it?

No I'm saying it wasn't possible to know. You were the one who claimed it was.

-- 
geni

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Charles Matthews
On 15/02/2011 18:17, Ian Woollard wrote:
 On 15/02/2011, genigeni...@gmail.com  wrote:
 On 15 February 2011 16:19, Ian Woollardian.wooll...@gmail.com  wrote:
 Yeah, really. That page claims we only have 3% of notable Poles. Are you
 really, seriously, telling me we only have 3% of ALL notable
 biographies???
 Because that's what that page is assuming to calculate that 40 million.
 It's possible. Our coverage of say British MPs starts to fall apart
 pre-20th century.
 But should each MP necessarily have his own biography?

Arguably the answer is yes, back to the 16th century at least. There 
has actually been quite a lot of havoc onsite over stub MP biographies 
during the past year, but it transpires that there are pretty good 
sources back to 1660, and usually adequate sources in the century 
leading up to that (if you work at it). The ODNB took a decision not to 
include all MPs (it says somewhere, in terms that suggest that it was a 
decision that did at least require a moment's thought). Some parliaments 
of Henry VIII are apparently lacking lists of MPs, but after then it 
seems like a good use of WP to collate this information.

Charles


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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-15 Thread Andrew Gray
On 15 February 2011 20:18, Charles Matthews
charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:

 Arguably the answer is yes, back to the 16th century at least. There
 has actually been quite a lot of havoc onsite over stub MP biographies
 during the past year, but it transpires that there are pretty good
 sources back to 1660, and usually adequate sources in the century
 leading up to that (if you work at it). The ODNB took a decision not to
 include all MPs (it says somewhere, in terms that suggest that it was a
 decision that did at least require a moment's thought).

There is a project (even longer-running and slower-burning than the
ODNB) to construct a reference work covering all MPs, at least as much
as they're known, along with various other bits and pieces:

http://www.histparl.ac.uk/about.html

In the past sixty years, they've managed to cover a little over half
the timeframe in twenty-eight (!) volumes. I have never seen their
work, I admit, but I'd be intrigued to...

-- 
- Andrew Gray
  andrew.g...@dunelm.org.uk

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Charles Matthews
On 14/02/2011 03:35, Ian Woollard wrote:
 I think you can't take the simple percentages of articles, a lot of
 the most important and well visited articles are pretty well sorted,
 whereas the stubs are mostly articles few people go to.
While this discussion is worth having, I wish to record a view, now long 
held, by means of a metaphor. Wikipedia is an omelette, not scrambled 
eggs. Because of the intrinsic use of of hypertext, taking WP to be (in 
the large) a collection of articles is always a distortion. If the few 
people who go to a stub are just those who would refer to a 
corresponding footnote in a book, the system as a whole is functioning 
as it should.

Charles


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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Newyorkbrad
I think Charles is right about this.  There is a common conception, or
misconception, that stubship or start-class-ship is just a way station on
the way to articlehood.  But some articles are probably destined to remain
short, or at least, can remain short without their
shortness reflecting poorly on the project.  I don't know if there are any
statistics, but I am sure that the Britannica (for example) has at least as
many one- or two- or three-paragraph articles as lengthier ones.

It may be that the wording of the stub template fosters this reading.  This
article is a stub.  You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.  Often, of
course, but perhaps not always.

Newyorkbrad






On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 4:23 AM, Charles Matthews 
charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:

 On 14/02/2011 03:35, Ian Woollard wrote:
  I think you can't take the simple percentages of articles, a lot of
  the most important and well visited articles are pretty well sorted,
  whereas the stubs are mostly articles few people go to.
 While this discussion is worth having, I wish to record a view, now long
 held, by means of a metaphor. Wikipedia is an omelette, not scrambled
 eggs. Because of the intrinsic use of of hypertext, taking WP to be (in
 the large) a collection of articles is always a distortion. If the few
 people who go to a stub are just those who would refer to a
 corresponding footnote in a book, the system as a whole is functioning
 as it should.

 Charles


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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Ian Woollard
I think not. There's a difference between a stub (which may not have
many or even any references at all) and a very short article.
Something can be a valid C-class, and still only be 2 or 3 paragraphs.

On 14/02/2011, Newyorkbrad newyorkb...@gmail.com wrote:
 I think Charles is right about this.  There is a common conception, or
 misconception, that stubship or start-class-ship is just a way station on
 the way to articlehood.  But some articles are probably destined to remain
 short, or at least, can remain short without their
 shortness reflecting poorly on the project.  I don't know if there are any
 statistics, but I am sure that the Britannica (for example) has at least as
 many one- or two- or three-paragraph articles as lengthier ones.

 It may be that the wording of the stub template fosters this reading.  This
 article is a stub.  You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.  Often, of
 course, but perhaps not always.

 Newyorkbrad






 On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 4:23 AM, Charles Matthews 
 charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:

 On 14/02/2011 03:35, Ian Woollard wrote:
  I think you can't take the simple percentages of articles, a lot of
  the most important and well visited articles are pretty well sorted,
  whereas the stubs are mostly articles few people go to.
 While this discussion is worth having, I wish to record a view, now long
 held, by means of a metaphor. Wikipedia is an omelette, not scrambled
 eggs. Because of the intrinsic use of of hypertext, taking WP to be (in
 the large) a collection of articles is always a distortion. If the few
 people who go to a stub are just those who would refer to a
 corresponding footnote in a book, the system as a whole is functioning
 as it should.

 Charles


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-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Newyorkbrad
True, but how well is the distinction understood by people who apply the
templates or rate the articles?

Newyorkbrad

On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 11:30 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 I think not. There's a difference between a stub (which may not have
 many or even any references at all) and a very short article.
 Something can be a valid C-class, and still only be 2 or 3 paragraphs.

 On 14/02/2011, Newyorkbrad newyorkb...@gmail.com wrote:
   I think Charles is right about this.  There is a common conception, or
  misconception, that stubship or start-class-ship is just a way station on
  the way to articlehood.  But some articles are probably destined to
 remain
  short, or at least, can remain short without their
  shortness reflecting poorly on the project.  I don't know if there are
 any
  statistics, but I am sure that the Britannica (for example) has at least
 as
  many one- or two- or three-paragraph articles as lengthier ones.
 
  It may be that the wording of the stub template fosters this reading.
  This
  article is a stub.  You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.  Often, of
  course, but perhaps not always.
 
  Newyorkbrad
 
 
 
 
 
 
  On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 4:23 AM, Charles Matthews 
  charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:
 
  On 14/02/2011 03:35, Ian Woollard wrote:
   I think you can't take the simple percentages of articles, a lot of
   the most important and well visited articles are pretty well sorted,
   whereas the stubs are mostly articles few people go to.
  While this discussion is worth having, I wish to record a view, now long
  held, by means of a metaphor. Wikipedia is an omelette, not scrambled
  eggs. Because of the intrinsic use of of hypertext, taking WP to be (in
  the large) a collection of articles is always a distortion. If the few
  people who go to a stub are just those who would refer to a
  corresponding footnote in a book, the system as a whole is functioning
  as it should.
 
  Charles
 
 
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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread WereSpielChequers
It would be nice if the consistency of the ratings were to improve
over time whilst the criteria remained the same, if that were to
happen we would be able to use this to monitor improvement over time.
But standards inflation has the better of us, that's why at
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Featured_article_review we
can't simply revert to the version that originally passed FA. The
current version of an old FA may well be better than when the article
passed FA, but still not meet current FA standards.

It would be great to have an accurate measure of the change in quality
of the pedia. But the ratings won't give us that.

WereSpielChequers

On 14 February 2011 17:04, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 14/02/2011, Newyorkbrad newyorkb...@gmail.com wrote:
 True, but how well is the distinction understood by people who apply the
 templates or rate the articles?

 I'm certain that the rating system is imperfectly applied.

 It is to be hoped and likely that over time both the ratings and the
 way that they are applied will improve.

 Newyorkbrad

 --
 -Ian Woollard

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[WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread FencesWindows
Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2011 03:16:12 +
From: Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com
Subject: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

This encyclopedia has been rated as C-Class on the project's quality scale.
This encyclopedia has been checked against the following criteria for
B-Class status:
snip
2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
of an estimated 4.4 million articles)
snip

You think there are only 4.4 million possible topics? Based on what criteria? 
Stevertigo also thought this in the essay Wikipedia:Concept limit, which I 
tagged as [citation needed]. There are probably tens of millions of potentially 
notable topics, if not hundreds of millions. However, we're better at deleting 
new articles than writing them and writing a new article that will survive 
these 
days requires more detailed research than in years gone by.


  

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread David Gerard
On 14 February 2011 20:04, FencesWindows
fences_and_wind...@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
 From: Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com

2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
of an estimated 4.4 million articles)

 You think there are only 4.4 million possible topics? Based on what criteria?


I recall someone (Ray Saintonge?) working out there'd be at least 20
million, just going on placenames and politicians that are currently
in all the large WPs. Anyone got a link on hand to that?


- d.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Thomas Dalton
On 14 February 2011 20:04, FencesWindows
fences_and_wind...@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
 Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2011 03:16:12 +
 From: Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com
 Subject: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

This encyclopedia has been rated as C-Class on the project's quality scale.
This encyclopedia has been checked against the following criteria for
B-Class status:
 snip
2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
of an estimated 4.4 million articles)
 snip

 You think there are only 4.4 million possible topics? Based on what criteria?
 Stevertigo also thought this in the essay Wikipedia:Concept limit, which I
 tagged as [citation needed]. There are probably tens of millions of 
 potentially
 notable topics, if not hundreds of millions. However, we're better at deleting
 new articles than writing them and writing a new article that will survive 
 these
 days requires more detailed research than in years gone by.

I agree. There are far more than 4.4 million possible topics. Consider
all the human settlements that we could write articles about. There
could well be millions of those (I really don't know how many there
are).

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Gwern Branwen
On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 3:17 PM, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 14 February 2011 20:04, FencesWindows
 fences_and_wind...@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
 From: Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com

2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
of an estimated 4.4 million articles)

 You think there are only 4.4 million possible topics? Based on what criteria?


 I recall someone (Ray Saintonge?) working out there'd be at least 20
 million, just going on placenames and politicians that are currently
 in all the large WPs. Anyone got a link on hand to that?

Perhaps 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Piotrus/Wikipedia_interwiki_and_specialized_knowledge_test

-- 
gwern
http://www.gwern.net

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread David Gerard
On 14 February 2011 20:48, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 3:17 PM, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:

 I recall someone (Ray Saintonge?) working out there'd be at least 20
 million, just going on placenames and politicians that are currently
 in all the large WPs. Anyone got a link on hand to that?

 Perhaps 
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Piotrus/Wikipedia_interwiki_and_specialized_knowledge_test


That's the one!

There's a *heck* of a lot still to be written.


- d.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Thomas Dalton
On 14 February 2011 20:48, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 Perhaps 
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Piotrus/Wikipedia_interwiki_and_specialized_knowledge_test

I think that page is more a test of how good we are at interwiki
linking than anything else. The trend it shows is far too fast to be
explained by new articles being written, it must be explained by old
articles being linked to.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread WereSpielChequers
There are two approaches to predicting the size of Wikipedia, one
based on working out how many articles would meet the general
notability guideline, the other charting how we have grown and
extrapolating the curve.

I'm not totally convinced at the 20 million theory based on articles
in different Wikipedias that aren't interwiki linked. I suspect that a
bit more work at finding intrawiki links would chip away at that, I
know from the death anomalies project
http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Death_anomalies_table that we are still
adding intrawiki links, and I'm pretty sure that we've added a lot in
the 18 months since the 20 million prediction was made. So the
potential size of the pedia might be less than twenty million, but I'm
pretty sure it is many millions more than the 3.55 million we
currently have. Provided we keep our notability policy and if we can
rein in the deletionists, there are a lot of notable topics that don't
have articles yet.

There was an extrapolation of the trend done in 2007 that predicted
we'd peak at 3.5 million
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia%27s_growth#Logistic_model_for_growth_in_article_count_of_Wikipedia

We are currently 1% above that and still growing.

The 4.4million prediction comes from the Gompertz model
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Size_of_Wikipedia

But the vulnerability of that model, as with any extrapolation, is
that the thing you are modelling can change. If something like WYSIWYG
editing were to bring in a new wave of editors then the model would
break and it would be possible to think in terms of how many potential
articles qualify.


WereSpielChequers



On 14 February 2011 21:54, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 14 February 2011 20:48, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 3:17 PM, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:

 I recall someone (Ray Saintonge?) working out there'd be at least 20
 million, just going on placenames and politicians that are currently
 in all the large WPs. Anyone got a link on hand to that?

 Perhaps 
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Piotrus/Wikipedia_interwiki_and_specialized_knowledge_test


 That's the one!

 There's a *heck* of a lot still to be written.


 - d.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Carcharoth
On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 3:16 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:

 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:

I award it an F minus, based on using it to do some research today on
the topic of the Nebra sky disc (i.e. as a starting point to looking
elsewhere, but I was hoping that the Wikipedia article would be a good
starting point):

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebra_sky_disk

Different bits of text within the article contradict each other, there
is a struck-out bit (using del/del tags) down in the references
section, and when you look in the article history, you find lots of
recent changes in January 2011. From what I can tell, someone in
January 2011 has made lots of changes.

These are the changes since 4 December 2010:

http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nebra_sky_diskdiff=413679667oldid=400465808

Some of the removal edits:

http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nebra_sky_diskdiff=prevoldid=410561429
http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nebra_sky_diskdiff=410525404oldid=409950734
http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nebra_sky_diskdiff=411978495oldid=411480834
http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Nebra_sky_diskdiff=413984194oldid=413679667

Essentially, the article is a mess, so I gave up and went elsewhere to
look for information on this object.

And back on Wikipedia, I've asked some other editors to have a look at
the article.

I'm tempted to ask whether the system worked here or not. I
understand that there is always a chance that you come across an
article in a poor state during editing, but quite why there wasn't a
proper reaction here, I don't know.

Carcharoth

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread geni
On 15 February 2011 01:17, Carcharoth carcharot...@googlemail.com wrote:
 On Mon, Feb 14, 2011 at 3:16 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:

 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:

 I award it an F minus, based on using it to do some research today on
 the topic of the Nebra sky disc (i.e. as a starting point to looking
 elsewhere, but I was hoping that the Wikipedia article would be a good
 starting point):

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebra_sky_disk

I'm not sure that judging a project with 3 million articles based on a
sample of just one article a great idea.


 I'm tempted to ask whether the system worked here or not. I
 understand that there is always a chance that you come across an
 article in a poor state during editing, but quite why there wasn't a
 proper reaction here, I don't know.

I'd say it's hit the wall of text problem beyond a certain size unless
there is an individual really prepared to look after the article there
is a tendency towards messiness.



-- 
geni

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread Ian Woollard
On 14/02/2011, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:
 On 14 February 2011 20:48, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 Perhaps
 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Piotrus/Wikipedia_interwiki_and_specialized_knowledge_test

Oh rght. So back in 2006, Piotrus claims that
there should be 400 million articles.

It turns out he based this essentially only on biographies. In Poland.

Quick sanity check: that's about one bio article for every twentieth
person alive on the entire planet. And these would be encyclopedically
*notable* people would they?

We can easily see that that's not going to happen, even allowing for
the fact that lots of people have died already, most people just
aren't that notable, and the current population completely swamps
historical populations.

OK, so how did this happen? So I checked back through the history of
the article. The first claim was that it essentially needs 400 million
biographies of people. It turns out that the 400 million was based on
dividing 30 into 1000 to get 0.3% and then dividing that into the
biographies in the English Wikipedia. But... 30 in 1000 is 3%. So he's
already out by a factor of 10. That's bad enough. So now we're down to
40 million.

His next error is assuming that the English Wikipedia is off by a
factor of 33 on its biographies *worldwide*, as opposed to having a
blind patch on Poland.

So let's look at this. The biographical encyclopedia that he mentions
has 25,000 entries. Poland has 38 million people. So less than 1
person in a thousand is notable in Poland according to this
encyclopedia.

I then checked the British biography 'Who's who'. They have about
30,000 entries, but that's only about 1 person in 2000 in Great
Britain, so even less.

But again, roughly 1 person in 1000.

The world population is currently about 7 billion.

So if it's as high as 1 in a 1000 then that's about 7 million
articles, and to be honest in reality it's probably a *lot* less, a
lot of people globally do things like subsistence level farming, and
are thus far less likely to be notable. So even that is excessively
favourable.

I would guess we're looking at a few million biographies needed,
worldwide at the very most. And sure, there's probably other
biographical encyclopedias out there, and they may list a few more
that Who's who misses, but that kind of thing depends on notability as
to whether they'd survive AFDs in a general encyclopedia.

Anyway, so I stop there. Even 40 million appears completely
unsupportable. It looks like it's off again by about another order of
magnitude.

So, to sum up, this article's claim of 400 million is just based on
simple and obvious arithmetic logical errors, and seems to be two
orders of magnitude too high.

 - d.

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-14 Thread geni
On 15 February 2011 04:00, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 Anyway, so I stop there. Even 40 million appears completely
 unsupportable. It looks like it's off again by about another order of
 magnitude.

Oh really?

People have been keeping records for a long time. Western Europe has
very comprehensive records going back 200 years. More patchy records
strech back about 8000 years.

When you consider the number of politicians, military leaders,
aristocracy, industrialists, sportspeople, scientists, writers,
artists, musicians, performers and general hangers on there have been
in that time it's quite a lot of people.

How many is probably impossible to calulate. There are various attack
lines how many people does it take to make a person notable or
random sampling of the electoral roll would be one way to make a start
but as far as I'm aware we haven't done so. We can establish a lower
bound since the Thomson-Gale's Biography Resource Center contains over
1,335,000 biographies.




-- 
geni

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[WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Ian Woollard
This encyclopedia has been rated as C-Class on the project's quality scale.

This encyclopedia has been checked against the following criteria for
B-Class status:

   1. Referencing and citation: criterion not met (many common
articles are not adequately referenced)
   2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
of an estimated 4.4 million articles)
   3. Structure: criterion met (seems to be reasonably well structured)
   4. Grammar and style: criterion met (mostly good enough, but would
not please a purist)
   5. Supporting materials: criterion met (multiple wikis surround and
support it)

I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:

The Wikipedia is substantial, but is still missing important content
or contains a lot of irrelevant material. The Wikipedia should have
references to reliable sources, but may still have significant issues
or require substantial cleanup.

The Wikipedia is better developed in style, structure and quality than
Start-Class, but fails one or more of the criteria for B-Class. It may
have some gaps or missing elements; need editing for clarity, balance
or flow; or contain policy violations such as bias or original
research.

Useful to a casual reader, but would not overall provide a complete
picture for even a moderately detailed study. Considerable editing is
needed to close gaps in content and address cleanup issues.

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Newyorkbrad
{{sofixit}} :)


On Sun, Feb 13, 2011 at 10:16 PM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 This encyclopedia has been rated as C-Class on the project's quality scale.

 This encyclopedia has been checked against the following criteria for
 B-Class status:

   1. Referencing and citation: criterion not met (many common
 articles are not adequately referenced)
   2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
 of an estimated 4.4 million articles)
   3. Structure: criterion met (seems to be reasonably well structured)
   4. Grammar and style: criterion met (mostly good enough, but would
 not please a purist)
   5. Supporting materials: criterion met (multiple wikis surround and
 support it)

 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:

 The Wikipedia is substantial, but is still missing important content
 or contains a lot of irrelevant material. The Wikipedia should have
 references to reliable sources, but may still have significant issues
 or require substantial cleanup.

 The Wikipedia is better developed in style, structure and quality than
 Start-Class, but fails one or more of the criteria for B-Class. It may
 have some gaps or missing elements; need editing for clarity, balance
 or flow; or contain policy violations such as bias or original
 research.

 Useful to a casual reader, but would not overall provide a complete
 picture for even a moderately detailed study. Considerable editing is
 needed to close gaps in content and address cleanup issues.

 --
 -Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Brian J Mingus
On Sun, Feb 13, 2011 at 8:16 PM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:


 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:


Considering that 55% of articles are stubs and 21% are start awarding
Wikipedia a C overall is quite generous.

-- 
Brian Mingus
Graduate student
Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Lab
University of Colorado at Boulder
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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Stephanie Daugherty
I say it's start class at best.

On Sun, Feb 13, 2011 at 10:23 PM, Brian J Mingus
brian.min...@colorado.edu wrote:
 On Sun, Feb 13, 2011 at 8:16 PM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:


 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:


 Considering that 55% of articles are stubs and 21% are start awarding
 Wikipedia a C overall is quite generous.

 --
 Brian Mingus
 Graduate student
 Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Lab
 University of Colorado at Boulder
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-- 
Faith is about what you really truly believe in, not about what you
are taught to believe.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Ian Woollard
On 14/02/2011, Newyorkbrad newyorkb...@gmail.com wrote:
 {{sofixit}} :)

fixin' the Wikipedia - brb

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Newyorkbrad
Can we at least agree it's High-importance?

Newyorkbrad

On Sun, Feb 13, 2011 at 10:16 PM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 This encyclopedia has been rated as C-Class on the project's quality scale.

 This encyclopedia has been checked against the following criteria for
 B-Class status:

   1. Referencing and citation: criterion not met (many common
 articles are not adequately referenced)
   2. Coverage and accuracy: criterion not met (currently 3.5 million
 of an estimated 4.4 million articles)
   3. Structure: criterion met (seems to be reasonably well structured)
   4. Grammar and style: criterion met (mostly good enough, but would
 not please a purist)
   5. Supporting materials: criterion met (multiple wikis surround and
 support it)

 I therefore award the Wikipedia class C:

 The Wikipedia is substantial, but is still missing important content
 or contains a lot of irrelevant material. The Wikipedia should have
 references to reliable sources, but may still have significant issues
 or require substantial cleanup.

 The Wikipedia is better developed in style, structure and quality than
 Start-Class, but fails one or more of the criteria for B-Class. It may
 have some gaps or missing elements; need editing for clarity, balance
 or flow; or contain policy violations such as bias or original
 research.

 Useful to a casual reader, but would not overall provide a complete
 picture for even a moderately detailed study. Considerable editing is
 needed to close gaps in content and address cleanup issues.

 --
 -Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Ian Woollard
On 14/02/2011, Brian J Mingus brian.min...@colorado.edu wrote:
 Considering that 55% of articles are stubs and 21% are start awarding
 Wikipedia a C overall is quite generous.

I think you can't take the simple percentages of articles, a lot of
the most important and well visited articles are pretty well sorted,
whereas the stubs are mostly articles few people go to.

I would think that percentages of FA/GA/A/B/C/Start/Stub with respect
to page hits would be much more illuminating.

 --
 Brian Mingus
 Graduate student
 Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Lab
 University of Colorado at Boulder

-- 
-Ian Woollard

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Re: [WikiEN-l] Rating the English wikipedia

2011-02-13 Thread Steve Bennett
 I would think that percentages of FA/GA/A/B/C/Start/Stub with respect
 to page hits would be much more illuminating.

Ooh, I'd like to see that. And to get a list of pages that are well
below par considering their popularity.

Steve

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