[agi] conjunction fallacy [WAS: Betting and multiple-component truth values]

2007-02-09 Thread Pei Wang
The Linda example is a fallacy if all the concepts in it, as well as the notion of probability, are all defined pure extensionally. That is, both bank teller and feminist bank teller are defined as sets, specified by their instances. Obviously, the latter is a subset of the former, and is a

Re: [agi] conjunction fallacy [WAS: Betting and multiple-component truth values]

2007-02-09 Thread Ben Goertzel
I don't think a betting situation will be different for this case. To really avoid intensional considerations, experiment instructions should be so explicit that the human subjects know exactly what they are asked to do. I believe that, in the betting versions of the Linda-fallacy experiment,