Here is an interesting graph 

  http://erikreuter.net/econ/npro_comp.png

comparing my calculation for nominal productivity increases with nominal
compensation increases. All of the data is from:

  http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/categories/2

I calculated productivity by taking business sector output (which is
apparently REAL output), multiplying it by the business sector implicit
price deflator to convert it to nominal output, and then dividing by
business sector hours of all persons.

Note that nominal compensation increases closely track nominal
productivity increases (except for a couple years at the stock market
bubble of 2000 when compensation pulled ahead, and recently when
productivity pulled ahead). Unless there is something fishy going on
with the business sector implicit price deflator (i.e., unless my
reconstruction of nominal business sector output is wrong), it would
appear that the main source of differences between real compensation
increases and real productivity increases is the deflator used in each
case.

Ordinarily, one might be inclined to use the consumer price index to
deflate compensation and something else (PPI?) to deflate business
sector output. But since PPI and CPI differ, that obviously makes
the calculated real values differ even if the nominal values were
growing at the same rate. It seems simpler to just look at nominal
values, and not introduce the complexities of choosing the "right"
deflators. But, almost all of the data in use seems to be calculating
"real" productivity, even though it is not usually explicitly labeled as
"real". So maybe I am missing a good reason for dealing with inflation
adjusted values.

_______________________________________________
http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l

Reply via email to